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How can anyone justify Liverpool's 1.37 at home on Saturday

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Replies: 123
By:
mafeking
When: 18 Oct 12 21:14
reina being out not the worst news surely the way he's played over the the last season or so
By:
cob316
When: 18 Oct 12 21:17
Another lay of the century eh sofa?
By:
kincsem
When: 18 Oct 12 21:18
Liverpool might scrape a win if Suarez and his invisible sniper mate are in form.
By:
sofaking
When: 18 Oct 12 21:47

Oct 18, 2012 -- 9:17PM, cob316 wrote:


Another lay of the century eh sofa?


No. Tongue Out  Liverpool will probably win this but the price is horrible.

By:
Darlo Bantam
When: 18 Oct 12 21:56

Oct 18, 2012 -- 9:47PM, sofaking wrote:


Oct 18, 2012 --  9:17PM, cob316 wrote:Another lay of the century eh sofa?No.   Liverpool will probably win this but the price is horrible.


Sensible approach. Liverpool will probably win this so I wouldn't be running out to lay it, but I could never back Liverpool at such a stupidly short price. As for EWW, Liverpool is the best team to lay in the Premier League this season and my bet is they continue to be. I'd guess they and Newcastle are probably the most overbacked teams out there.

By:
Talkingfrom yourpocket
When: 19 Oct 12 10:59
I agree Liverpool may well win this, (They absolutely should, this is Reading for fS)but as has been mentioned the price is massively prohibitive, which is the discussion point. I agree with those that have said the price should be somewhere around 1.6 to 1.65.
By:
R0ykeane
When: 19 Oct 12 17:52
Pleasing thread
By:
Bergkamp93
When: 19 Oct 12 18:10

Oct 18, 2012 -- 3:17PM, Biscuit1979 wrote:


booyakasha 18 Oct 12 14:52  Id have Liverpool at 1.3booyakasha 18 Oct 12 14:58  so Id have them at 1.25you sound like you know what you're talking about


Laugh-Make your mind up OP Shocked

By:
Bergkamp93
When: 19 Oct 12 18:10
Very Pleasing Thread Indeed
By:
Bergkamp93
When: 19 Oct 12 18:13
loadedgimp • October 18, 2012 2:33 PM BST
I think it's a value lay but I won't be getting involved, much better lay prices on Pool against better teams.


Cool
By:
Rowan86
When: 19 Oct 12 21:56

sofaking Date Joined: 08 Nov 07
Add contact | Send message When: 18 Oct 12 11:36 Joined: Date Joined: 08 Nov 07 | Topic/replies: 13,281 | Blogger: sofaking's blog

Oct 18, 2012 -- 11:29AM, booyakasha wrote:

Liverpool been unlucky most of this season.They will hammer Reading, Im on Liverpool -1.5Reckon this could be 4 or 5-0 though to be honest


Did you also think that Liverpool at 1.52 would hammer Stoke?   Are you Rowan86?    I don't think I'll lay them but there's no way I'd back them at that price.


God you talk so much sh*t SofaKing. You made such a deal out of Liverpool at 1.52 pre kick off being a huge lay and then you backed them at 1.77 after 35 mins! What a joker!

By:
Rowan86
When: 19 Oct 12 22:02

Darlo Bantam Date Joined: 27 Mar 07
Add contact | Send message When: 18 Oct 12 21:56 Joined: Date Joined: 27 Mar 07 | Topic/replies: 5,826 | Blogger: Darlo Bantam's blog

Oct 18, 2012 -- 9:47PM, sofaking wrote:

Oct 18, 2012 --  9:17PM, cob316 wrote:Another lay of the century eh sofa?No.   Liverpool will probably win this but the price is horrible.


Sensible approach. Liverpool will probably win this so I wouldn't be running out to lay it, but I could never back Liverpool at such a stupidly short price. As for EWW, Liverpool is the best team to lay in the Premier League this season and my bet is they continue to be. I'd guess they and Newcastle are probably the most overbacked teams out there.


To be honest, I don't really understand that reasoning, although I doubt you meant everything that literally. At 1.36, it's not about whether they're probably going to win. It's about whether they have less than a 73% chance of winning.

By:
Rowan86
When: 19 Oct 12 22:02
I'm sure you knew that anyway btw Darlo. Just making a point.
By:
Rowan86
When: 19 Oct 12 22:10
Imo Liverpool are pretty much correctly priced at 1.37. Probably not wrong by more than a few %. Okay, Liverpool's home form has been shocking by their standards for over a season now, but they've been very unlucky so far this season and shown how they can take the best of teams apart on their day. Their form is very misleading and the market realises that.
By:
CJ70
When: 19 Oct 12 22:10
Oh god.
By:
Rowan86
When: 19 Oct 12 22:11
lol. How's it going CJ. What price do you make Liverpool? I'd say they're about right at 1.37.
By:
Rowan86
When: 19 Oct 12 22:29

EdwardWoowardWould Date Joined: 18 May 12
Add contact | Send message When: 18 Oct 12 19:36 Joined: Date Joined: 18 May 12 | Topic/replies: 930 | Blogger: EdwardWoowardWould's blog
Oh no, what will I do now the "great one" has blocked me

I will bet 1.00000000001 to everything I own he will read this reply

Sad ****ker , hates Liverpool so claims he makes a fortune laying them

MASSIVE LOSER .....absolute stone cold 24 carat certainty


Last week he backed Liverpool at 1.77 after 35 mins and then backed them again at 3.0 with 12 mins + injury time left despite saying they were ridiculously short pre-kick off at 1.52.  He doesn't even think about what he's doing. He's just random.

By:
Rowan86
When: 19 Oct 12 22:38

CJ70 Date Joined: 26 Nov 11
Add contact | Send message When: 18 Oct 12 18:12 Joined: Date Joined: 26 Nov 11 | Topic/replies: 4,012 | Blogger: CJ70's blog
Reading away this season..

Chelsea 4-2
West Brom 1-0
Newcastle 2-2
Swansea 2-2
QPR 2-3

Take away the West Brom game and it's clear that Reading are decent away side but struggle to maintain a lead.


Reading were at home against Newcastle.

By:
CJ70
When: 19 Oct 12 22:42
Well done. You win the betting points.
By:
Rowan86
When: 19 Oct 12 22:45
hahaha. Sorry, wasn't trying to be facetious. Just pointing it out. What price do you think Liverpool should be?
By:
Rowan86
When: 20 Oct 12 14:40
My bet for this match is Liverpool 3 Reading 0 at 10.5.
By:
iamhewho
When: 20 Oct 12 14:46
layed 3 goals = liverpool total goals Cool
By:
scaredmoney
When: 20 Oct 12 15:40
Layed Liverpool for a few bob @ 1.14
By:
sofaking
When: 20 Oct 12 16:37
Rowan86 the worthless retard is still obsessed with me I see.   He still hasn't gotten over the fact that I took his cash (He backed Liverpool at 1.52 FULL BANK v Stoke). LaughLaugh
By:
sofaking
When: 20 Oct 12 16:50

Oct 20, 2012 -- 2:40PM, Rowan86 wrote:


My bet for this match is Liverpool 3 Reading 0 at 10.5.


Another loser. Cry

By:
Rowan86
When: 20 Oct 12 17:06
lol. SofaKing's still crying about his losing bets on Liverpool last week at 1.77 after 35 mins and at 3.0 with 12 mins + injury left. Laugh
By:
sofaking
When: 20 Oct 12 17:09
Idiot.  I made a large profit on that game as you know. You still have no idea how Betfair works, do you.
By:
EdwardWoowardWould
When: 20 Oct 12 18:08
LMFA

sofakinsmug shouts down a guy who fancied a winner by CLAIMING he makes "fortunes" laying them all the time when the guy was talking about this game in isolation

Well smug bollooocks, you were wrong, wrong wrong and did your stones as I have no doubt you do on a constant basis you arrogant man ( man used loosely )

Well done the the backers , no doubt these smug feckers will convince themselves you back Liverpool EVERY game and are incapable of spotting value in ONE game

GL

1.01 sofakingsmug will read this LaughLaughLaughLaugh
By:
EdwardWoowardWould
When: 20 Oct 12 18:11
Rowan86 19 Oct 12 22:29 Joined: 13 Jan 05 | Topic/replies: 1,723 | Blogger: Rowan86's blog
EdwardWoowardWould Date Joined: 18 May 12
Add contact | Send message When: 18 Oct 12 19:36 Joined: Date Joined: 18 May 12 | Topic/replies: 930 | Blogger: EdwardWoowardWould's blog
Oh no, what will I do now the "great one" has blocked me

I will bet 1.00000000001 to everything I own he will read this reply

Sad ****ker , hates Liverpool so claims he makes a fortune laying them

MASSIVE LOSER .....absolute stone cold 24 carat certainty

Last week he backed Liverpool at 1.77 after 35 mins and then backed them again at 3.0 with 12 mins + injury time left despite saying they were ridiculously short pre-kick off at 1.52.  He doesn't even think about what he's doing. He's just random.


Rowan tbh I have never uttered a word to sofakingsmug on any other thred but his big headed claims to someone who simply had a view that Liverpool were good value vs a poor Reading side ( and was proved right btw ) by claiming he makes fortunes Laying Liverpool was utter bullshiit as the guy was not talking about backing Liverpool ALL THE TIME , he simply had a view on the game

Sofakingsmug is a serial big time loser on here I have absolutely no doubt whatsoever, his type who shout how good they are NEVER win money long term.

GL
By:
CJ70
When: 20 Oct 12 18:11
Edward, you could have taken my cash.

What could have been eh?
By:
EdwardWoowardWould
When: 20 Oct 12 18:16
CJ70

Unlikely , I didn't have a bet.

My point was as stated above , some arrogant ****s are not capable of de=bating a bet without ahouting about how clever they are and not even arguing the right thing

The guy pointed out THIS match was a value bet on Liverpool only for sofakingsmug to start shouting his garbage about making fortunes yadayadayada without even stopping to see the fact this guy might actually only bet Liverpool this once in his life but  everyone who bet Pool today were mugs

GL

Ed
By:
CJ70
When: 20 Oct 12 18:18
Don't agree that this was a value bet on Liverpool.
By:
EdwardWoowardWould
When: 20 Oct 12 18:19
sofaking 18 Oct 12 11:38 Joined: 08 Nov 07 | Topic/replies: 13,288 | Blogger: sofaking's blog
Oct 18, 2012 -- 11:36AM, Talkingfrom yourpocket wrote:

Don't you love the deluded Liverpool fans, poor old booyakasha will do his nuts on them. If they don't get him this weekend then they will get him in the future when he backs them again at crazy odds.

I've made a fortune laying Liverpool over the last few seasons.   A lot of people still haven't realised that they are now a mid-table club who are hugely underpriced for every game they play.


I must have missed where anyone said on this thread that they backed Liverpool EVERY time they were short or "crzy " price

What a dumb tool sofakingsmug is
By:
EdwardWoowardWould
When: 20 Oct 12 18:21
How many Prem lge games do you think Reading will get a result from out of 10.

I would say very very few so price might not have been value, I stated on this thread that I thght it was about right but it certainly wasn't "crazy"

If it was then the smug sofa would have laid it for a "fortune" as I would and do if I think a price is cray either too short or too long

But as with many he is all pisss and wind and likes to shout how clever he was
By:
sofaking
When: 20 Oct 12 19:22

Oct 20, 2012 -- 6:21PM, EdwardWoowardWould wrote:


How many Prem lge games do you think Reading will get a result from out of 10.I would say very very few so price might not have been value, I stated on this thread that I thght it was about right but it certainly wasn't "crazy"If it was then the smug sofa would have laid it for a "fortune" as I would and do if I think a price is cray either too short or too longBut as with many he is all pisss and wind and likes to shout how clever he was


I didn't lay Liverpool today, idiot.

By:
cob316
When: 20 Oct 12 19:26

Oct 18, 2012 -- 6:42PM, Mr Eboue wrote:


If Liverpool can score 5 at Norwich we should be aiming for twenty.At least.


Whoops!

By:
cob316
When: 20 Oct 12 19:28

Oct 18, 2012 -- 1:04PM, sofaking wrote:


A bottom of the table scrap.

By:
sofaking
When: 20 Oct 12 19:28
Why do you get so angry Edward when I say that I make good money from laying Liverpool?   Confused
By:
cob316
When: 20 Oct 12 19:28
if you believed that you had to lay @ 1.37
By:
sofaking
When: 20 Oct 12 19:29

Oct 20, 2012 -- 7:28PM, cob316 wrote:


if you believed that you had to lay @ 1.37


I like to wind up the Liverpool fans, cob.  Don't take everything I post literally. Happy

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