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CJ70
06 Oct 12 10:11
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Date Joined: 26 Nov 11
| Topic/replies: 30,757 | Blogger: CJ70's blog
Tremendous value here. Banga are the better team on paper and are available at 6's

I think the most likely result is probably a draw, you can't leave that Banga price.
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Report RamonSanchezPizjuan October 6, 2012 10:14 AM BST
Good lad.
Report CJ70 October 6, 2012 10:26 AM BST
As the Kruoja price is wrong the ux.5 markets are also value. Be aware that there probably won't be enough liquidity to get out of the market if you go in with anything more than two figures.

I managed to get caught last week and had to turn a winning bet into a loser.
Report CJ70 October 6, 2012 11:05 AM BST
Just been matched at 9's. Unbelievable.
Report virginijus October 6, 2012 11:42 AM BST
CJ70, are you Lithuanian ?
Don't think Banga is better on paper than Kruoja, but current back odds for Banga are mind blowing.
Report CJ70 October 6, 2012 11:52 AM BST
Nope. Just take an interest in the Lithuanian league as there is so many opportunities to watch the live games. I take it you are Lithuanian? I think someone has just priced this up wrong and all the bookies have just followed.

I've been impressed with Banga since the Georgians came in, less so with Kruoja since the break.
Report CJ70 October 6, 2012 12:01 PM BST
Weather looks dreadful. Camera needs wipers on it.
Report CJ70 October 6, 2012 12:16 PM BST
Kruoja on top at the moment.
Report CJ70 October 6, 2012 12:30 PM BST
Kruoja 1-0
Report CJ70 October 6, 2012 12:45 PM BST
1-0 at HT. Even game after the first 20 mins
Report virginijus October 6, 2012 12:59 PM BST
CJ70, I'm Lithuanian and it's very strange when a foreigner is interested in our weak football championship. Where are you from, CJ ?
I used to play for Dainava few years back when they were in 2nd division :)
I'm not too keen on betting on Lithuanian league because of not sufficient market liquidity and odd movement sometimes being very strange and unpredictable.
Report CJ70 October 6, 2012 1:08 PM BST
The matches are scheduled and televised well, so you can end up watching a large amount of the games. I'm from the UK and probably watch more A Lyga matches than Premier league matches, not sure what that says about me. Strange odds is something you always need to watch out for, once you know you have to look for it, it's quite easy to spot market manipulation. Todays game for instance has a large amount of cash on o2.5 relative to the market, not enough for me to suggest it has been arranged but enough to keep me away from what looks to be a low scoring game.

You can probably get a game for Dainava now ;)
Report CJ70 October 6, 2012 1:11 PM BST
Banga on top now.
Report CJ70 October 6, 2012 1:18 PM BST
Talking about strange markets. Have a look where all the money is on the Correct Score market.
Report virginijus October 6, 2012 1:24 PM BST
The matches are scheduled and televised well, but you have to have patience to watch the low quaity football.
You are probably right about strange odds movement. Today's 2.5 goals market has ~18K GBP which is suspiciously high when there's so much to bet on football today, but I don't think there are fixes there. I know some players from A lyga and it's hardly imaginable.
Report virginijus October 6, 2012 1:27 PM BST
But of course I might be wrong.
Where's all the money ?
Report virginijus October 6, 2012 1:28 PM BST
2-0 ?
Report CJ70 October 6, 2012 1:31 PM BST
I'm used to watching Welsh Premier football. This is pretty good compared to that.

£700 on AUQ in a market of £1,500
Report CJ70 October 6, 2012 1:33 PM BST
Great goal by Kruoja.
Report virginijus October 6, 2012 1:34 PM BST
Yes, that's very strange. 1/2 of money there. It would be a little bit suspicious if the game ends 4-3.
But still, sums of money are very small.
Report CJ70 October 6, 2012 1:35 PM BST
2-1. Laugh
Report CJ70 October 6, 2012 1:36 PM BST
Yeah, generally if there is a fix it is obvious as there ends up being 60k on a market. Certainly odd.
Report virginijus October 6, 2012 1:41 PM BST
C'mon Kruoja, 2 more goals and I'll be able to say I've spotted a fix at least once in my life.
Report CJ70 October 6, 2012 1:49 PM BST
FT 2:1. Oh well, taken a big loss, but the value was there on it.
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