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meltdown
08 Aug 12 12:47
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Date Joined: 18 Feb 09
| Topic/replies: 12,677 | Blogger: meltdown's blog
LETS DISCUSS KICK OFF - 1:45
Pause Switch to Standard View Geylang Utd v Tampines Rovers
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Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:10 PM BST
I said that earlier'  'They have to loose someday'
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:10 PM BST
going to let 2.5 overs run.
Report mozzy5 August 8, 2012 3:10 PM BST

Aug 8, 2012 -- 3:10PM, meltdown wrote:


I said that earlier'

Report loadedgimp August 8, 2012 3:11 PM BST
Depends...I pick different markets all the time.  This one I chose to lay over 0.5 goals at 1.05 and backed 1.08, might not seem a lot but I thought it would see at least 1.1 so 5% risk for 100% gain seemed reasonable.  I don't enjoy these games as they are usually valueless but I don't think any game should have one goal priced that low.

I never predict 3 goals in a match only that there won't be less than 3, but for example I would say a far better bet is taking less than 2 more at evens than 1 more at evens, but that should be blindingly obvious to anyone who's been on betfair for a while.

Of course when you take less than 2 and you lose (last night in Cobresol for example) then it was a bad move, but with smart timing and good selections you can always edge your way closer to glory.
Report loadedgimp August 8, 2012 3:12 PM BST
5% risk for 100% gain (of the 5% risked)
Report judzis007 August 8, 2012 3:12 PM BST
@melt

you layed Tampines?
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:12 PM BST
red out over 2.5  or will tamps win it late ?
Report EnvyMyGreen August 8, 2012 3:13 PM BST
I doubt they care if they get knocked out of this joke competition. This probably finishes 1-0 or 2-0.
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:13 PM BST

Aug 8, 2012 -- 3:12PM, judzis007 wrote:


@meltyou layed Tampines?


i have both teams to score & over 2.5 may red out over 2.5  think may end 1v1

Report loadedgimp August 8, 2012 3:13 PM BST
one sec, I'll just dig out my old crystal balls
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:14 PM BST
the odds were all similer at 55 minute so didn't want to risk anymore..
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:14 PM BST
anything could happen in the last 20 minutes
Report Biscuit1979 August 8, 2012 3:15 PM BST
After what the Tampines manager said and all their early shots, it seems like their gameplan was to come out firing and get an early lead. That hasn't work and now they don't seem to be doing anything, no shot on target for about half an hour. Taken a red here, disappointing.
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:15 PM BST

Aug 8, 2012 -- 3:15PM, Biscuit1979 wrote:


After what the Tampines manager said and all their early shots, it seems like their gameplan was to come out firing and get an early lead. That hasn't work and now they don't seem to be doing anything, no shot on target for about half an hour. Taken a red here, disappointing.


100% agree

Report loadedgimp August 8, 2012 3:15 PM BST
correct meltdown, just a casual observation would be that BTTS seems bad value unless both teams score in the first half?
Report timbob August 8, 2012 3:16 PM BST
under 2.5 on evens taken yay :D
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:16 PM BST

Aug 8, 2012 -- 3:15PM, loadedgimp wrote:


correct meltdown, just a casual observation would be that BTTS seems bad value unless both teams score in the first half?


I saw the value, because i expected 3-4 goals easy i think we all did according to both teams previous records

Report judzis007 August 8, 2012 3:16 PM BST
i just dont believe , that sh!t team can win 3 matches without lettting in a goal
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:17 PM BST
and only draw 3 from 12 too
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:17 PM BST
& can't score in this important cup game they really want to win
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:17 PM BST
lets hope late drama
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:17 PM BST
tampin corner, they got to go for it now... surely
Report loadedgimp August 8, 2012 3:18 PM BST
I've never seen people panic about goals with 20 minutes left in Singapore, we'd still be expecting over 4.5 a few seasons ago.
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:18 PM BST
i am sure tamp will score....
Report OSKI August 8, 2012 3:20 PM BST
tamp will never score they happy to be out of this compt.
Report henok August 8, 2012 3:20 PM BST
i need a goal to ramp up my exposure on under 3.5
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:20 PM BST
the draw is 2/1 yet tampins  25/1
Report loadedgimp August 8, 2012 3:20 PM BST
brutal fall on bbc 3 bmxing
Report timbob August 8, 2012 3:21 PM BST
OUCH
Report supersmith August 8, 2012 3:21 PM BST
This game is a jokeSad
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:22 PM BST
yup. Its not over yet.
Report OSKI August 8, 2012 3:22 PM BST
according bet365 says corner then 5 seconds later throw in 3 seconds later shot on target lol
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:22 PM BST
how many times have we seen late goals
Report superroger August 8, 2012 3:22 PM BST
Tampines are pushing now
Report ronin4s August 8, 2012 3:22 PM BST

Aug 8, 2012 -- 3:18PM, meltdown wrote:


i am sure tamp will score....


me2, may come in final 10, they seem to score most in final 10-20mins and its been along time since they failed to score in a game.

Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:22 PM BST
The live map is slightly infront of betfair live stream when games are shown, give & take
Report Biscuit1979 August 8, 2012 3:24 PM BST
Tampines came back 3 times against Albirex to stay in this cup and now they can't even get 1 goal against these mugs.
Report loadedgimp August 8, 2012 3:24 PM BST
if it's any consolation I am not willing to trade unders right now
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:25 PM BST

Aug 8, 2012 -- 3:24PM, loadedgimp wrote:


if it's any consolation I am not willing to trade unders right now


2 late goals.. DOOM DOOM DOOM!

Report superroger August 8, 2012 3:25 PM BST
One goal can turn-around this game
Report Boozle August 8, 2012 3:25 PM BST
sounds like there are openings according to the twitter feed
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:25 PM BST
1 goal before 82nd minute & its GAME ON
Report judzis007 August 8, 2012 3:25 PM BST
GayLand yelllow card
Report ronin4s August 8, 2012 3:25 PM BST
the odds for a draw in the final 10mins if they do equalize will be so poor, Im going to have to hope for a acceptable Cashout or a winner.
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:26 PM BST
If Tamp score... i think we will crash the forum LOL
Report gawdalmighty August 8, 2012 3:26 PM BST
@ OSKI  Good call on laying Tampines @ 3.1  Nice green up on that trade now @ 19, cheers mate Cool
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:26 PM BST
over 1.5 & under 1.5   both evens
Report OSKI August 8, 2012 3:26 PM BST
you welcome gawdal :)) the way game been going odds were gift i thought lol
Report lukekelly88 August 8, 2012 3:27 PM BST
hjk and barca later bets of the day
Report gawdalmighty August 8, 2012 3:27 PM BST
and you thought right, my friend :)
Report Biscuit1979 August 8, 2012 3:28 PM BST
I think this is one of those days where it's not meant to be and the underdog will cling on to have their day.
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:28 PM BST
tams going for it.. how can they not score...
Report judzis007 August 8, 2012 3:28 PM BST
ok , iam laying Gayland
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:29 PM BST
Good things about singapore, china, japan they really gooo for it!!!! with all heart unlike english players lazy
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:29 PM BST
OMFG
Report Boozle August 8, 2012 3:29 PM BST
booom
Report OSKI August 8, 2012 3:29 PM BST
2-0 get in :)))))))))))))))))))
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:29 PM BST
0-2
Report Biscuit1979 August 8, 2012 3:29 PM BST
OMG!!

2-0
Report ronin4s August 8, 2012 3:29 PM BST
Has anyone got this match on Betfair Live, have just started using it and finding it still listing Japan games from this morning.
Report judzis007 August 8, 2012 3:29 PM BST
faaaaaaaaaaakkkkkkkkkkkkkkk
Report ronin4s August 8, 2012 3:30 PM BST
nuts.
Report EnvyMyGreen August 8, 2012 3:30 PM BST
I suspect they were motivated to try and get one over on Albirex since they are up there at the top of the league with them. But they don't give a toss about a match against Geylang in this comp.
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:30 PM BST
OMG
Report JPeter August 8, 2012 3:30 PM BST
2-0  greeaaaaaattttttttt   hehehhee
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:30 PM BST
STILL 10 MINS TO GO... CMON TAMS
Report Biscuit1979 August 8, 2012 3:31 PM BST
All i can say is:

1. I read this match horribly wrong
2. Thank god i took a red on Tampines
3. at least over 1.5 came in as a small consolation
4. WTF, Geylang in the final
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:31 PM BST
I think we all read this match wrong @biscuit... we didn't read it wrong, its one of them weird games which has tams to win 5-1 & ended up loosing 2-0
Report henok August 8, 2012 3:31 PM BST
too many banks busted today. this one and the early Japanese game
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:32 PM BST
still time for BTTS & OVER 2.5 GOALS!
Report cannonballrun August 8, 2012 3:33 PM BST
layed 1-0 at 75 and 80 mins - so v happy
layed 2-0 with a bit of profit, hopefully forlate consolation goal !  come on tampine - just 1 goal !
Report Boozle August 8, 2012 3:33 PM BST
I'd be well chuffed with my early profit for this, if I hadn't lost over 1/3rd of my bank while asleep last night Cry
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:33 PM BST
2-0 must have been a decent price.
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:33 PM BST

Aug 8, 2012 -- 3:33PM, Boozle wrote:


I'd be well chuffed with my early profit for this, if I hadn't lost over 1/3rd of my bank while asleep last night


i lost £75 on mexico matches low scoring

Report Escobar. August 8, 2012 3:33 PM BST
a lesson for you all is to leave matches alone when you know bugger all about the league, the line up of the teams etc etc

The lessons always cost you money, the important thing is to learn from them
Report kingmax August 8, 2012 3:33 PM BST
if you layed 2-0 arent you losing if its 2-0?
Report henok August 8, 2012 3:33 PM BST
traded at 60
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:34 PM BST
i still think tamps will score 2.5 in & BTTS
Report henok August 8, 2012 3:34 PM BST

Aug 8, 2012 -- 3:33PM, kingmax wrote:


if you layed 2-0 arent you losing if its 2-0?


he layed it with a profit from somewhere else

Report kingmax August 8, 2012 3:34 PM BST
oh ok..
Report cannonballrun August 8, 2012 3:35 PM BST
stays 2-0 - make nice green
one more goal - v nice green :-)
Report Boozle August 8, 2012 3:35 PM BST

Aug 8, 2012 -- 3:33PM, meltdown wrote:


Aug  8, 2012 --  3:33PM, Boozle wrote:I'd be well chuffed with my early profit for this, if I hadn't lost over 1/3rd of my bank while asleep last nighti lost £75 on mexico matches low scoring


Worst part is that I lost all that cash on markets I don't normally follow. If I'd stuck religiously to my niche, I'd have double my current bank. Literally every time I touch a different kind of market I seem to get stung immediately Cry

Report Biscuit1979 August 8, 2012 3:36 PM BST
Escobar. 08 Aug 12 15:33 
a lesson for you all is to leave matches alone when you know bugger all about the league, the line up of the teams etc etc




90% of the people on this thread bet on this league every day
Report loadedgimp August 8, 2012 3:36 PM BST
I won .03 like a pro left all green on over 0.5 Grin

Escobar unfortunately that doesn't make any sense.  A lot of people will lose heavily on a game because they know the teams but actually they know f all about the match - because the match is unpredictable.  I know Premier League the best because I follow it the most, but that leads to me being more cautious because I know how unpredictable it is - Chelsea 3-5 Arsenal at the bridge for example.
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:37 PM BST
& 8-2 LAST SEASON
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:37 PM BST
2-3 minutes left..
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:37 PM BST
:(
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:38 PM BST
there we go again corner then throwing lol
Report Escobar. August 8, 2012 3:38 PM BST

Aug 8, 2012 -- 3:36PM, loadedgimp wrote:


I won .03 like a pro left all green on over 0.5 Escobar unfortunately that doesn't make any sense.  A lot of people will lose heavily on a game because they know the teams but actually they know f all about the match - because the match is unpredictable.  I know Premier League the best because I follow it the most, but that leads to me being more cautious because I know how unpredictable it is - Chelsea 3-5 Arsenal at the bridge for example.


with that attitude my friend you will lose long term I am afraid to say and they are classic signs of a problem gambler. Treat it as a recreation, nothing more nothing less and only stake a fraction of what you think you can afford.

Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:39 PM BST
well there we go, lets move on to the next game...
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:41 PM BST
I don't believe it.
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:42 PM BST
time to build my daily bank up again..was nearly triple before this game.
Report loadedgimp August 8, 2012 3:42 PM BST
I have no idea what you are talking about Escobar.    I said to be cautious before thinking you know how a match will go because you follow a league...I bet here to win 3%, hardly a sign of over staking....classic signs of a problem gambler where?  by pointing out football is unpredictable at times?
Report henok August 8, 2012 3:43 PM BST
anyone on the polish game?
Report loadedgimp August 8, 2012 3:44 PM BST
I know Premier League the best because I follow it the most, but that leads to me being more cautious because I know how unpredictable it is

with that attitude my friend you will lose long term I am afraid to say and they are classic signs of a problem gambler.
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:47 PM BST
whats the next game guys ?
Report loadedgimp August 8, 2012 3:50 PM BST
I'd suggest Maribor v Dudelange if you want a competitive match with a clear favourite, but as a problem gambler I wouldn't suggest backing Maribor at the current price Wink
Report The Magic Flea August 8, 2012 3:51 PM BST
with a 4-1 lead it is hardly competitive. Would be like Usain Bolt in the qualifying heats
Report meltdown August 8, 2012 3:52 PM BST

Aug 8, 2012 -- 3:50PM, loadedgimp wrote:


I'd suggest Maribor v Dudelange if you want a competitive match with a clear favourite, but as a problem gambler I wouldn't suggest backing Maribor at the current price


lol

Report loadedgimp August 8, 2012 3:54 PM BST
As opposed to the friendlies, streamed as well.  See how they start before piling in, I personally won't bother watching the match, probably stick to high unders or back Maribor to qualify if the Dudes get a goal or 2.
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