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S League today

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Replies: 264
By:
dmd88
When: 18 Jul 12 12:57
come on teo were nearly thereGrin
By:
sniperAYR
When: 18 Jul 12 12:57
and back to 3-2Laugh
By:
strawhat21
When: 18 Jul 12 12:57
now, i just hope albirex keep it like this.. i layed brunei too
By:
strawhat21
When: 18 Jul 12 12:58
how do you know that they scored? maybe they just allowed the goal that was previously disallowed (just curious, not second guessing you, maybe your source of information is different than mine, and i like to have as much information as possible)
By:
qwertyuiopasd
When: 18 Jul 12 12:59
lol! compare the two games... home game; 25 shots on target, albirex game; 2 shots
By:
teo813
When: 18 Jul 12 12:59
dmd88, I am waiting 10 minutes for the fifth and then green out if Home dont score again, great recovery!
By:
teo813
When: 18 Jul 12 12:59
*for the sixth
By:
dmd88
When: 18 Jul 12 12:59
ya i'll do the same.be very surprised if it doesn't come though.
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 18 Jul 12 13:00
jonny1 18 Jul 12 13:55 
Im still here. Stand by original post. They may well go on to win but were never a 1.2 shot




A 1.2 shot implies (roughly) an 83% chance of winning. Looking at the h2h record Home had won 22 of 27 meetings and 11 out of 13 at home. All roughly equating to around an 80-84% win rate. So 1.2 wasn't far out really.
By:
strawhat21
When: 18 Jul 12 13:00
yep. but brunei doesnt look that dangerous either...
By:
utd
When: 18 Jul 12 13:00
in biscuit i trustExcited
By:
strawhat21
When: 18 Jul 12 13:00

Jul 18, 2012 -- 7:57AM, teo813 wrote:


they scored again lol


teo813 how do you know that they scored? maybe they just allowed the goal that was previously disallowed (just curious, not second guessing you, maybe your source of information is different than mine, and i like to have as much information as possible)

By:
loadedgimp
When: 18 Jul 12 13:02
If I had been on over 5.5 I would have greened out ASAP and started backing again at higher prices.
By:
jonny1
When: 18 Jul 12 13:02
Maybe so biscuit but a home record of 5-2-2 didnt equate to a 1.2 shot to me
By:
loadedgimp
When: 18 Jul 12 13:03
I reckon you could have traded around 1.21-1.23 and now its 1.28 best offer, 5% is your commission paid for :)
By:
strawhat21
When: 18 Jul 12 13:03
i will be very surprised if there isnt another goal on this game.. both teams still attacking and shooting too much
By:
teo813
When: 18 Jul 12 13:04
strawhat21, it took 2-3 minutes between the first goal (which was disallowed) and the second, and there were some throw-ins etc between the two incidents.
I think they scored twice but I am not in the stadium to be 100% sure
By:
utd
When: 18 Jul 12 13:05
yeah, i guess they had the momentum
By:
Bruce Willis
When: 18 Jul 12 13:06
Wp goal backers
By:
teo813
When: 18 Jul 12 13:07
out of my over 5.5 @1.33 but I keep most of my green on overs.
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 18 Jul 12 13:07
we'll have to agree to disagree jonny, we've all made money here anyway so everyone's happy
By:
utd
When: 18 Jul 12 13:07
golllll
By:
teo813
When: 18 Jul 12 13:07
lol 4-2!!!

wd over backers!
By:
utd
When: 18 Jul 12 13:07
wd winners
By:
dmd88
When: 18 Jul 12 13:08
lovely recovery for me.well done teo
By:
strawhat21
When: 18 Jul 12 13:08
there it is...
By:
teo813
When: 18 Jul 12 13:08
3 goals in 20min, that was no bad at all, wd dmd88
By:
FoDale
When: 18 Jul 12 13:08
Do you guys see any more goals in this? :P should i green out of my o6.5?
By:
strawhat21
When: 18 Jul 12 13:08
teo did you get out? you missed it for a minute there :S
By:
strawhat21
When: 18 Jul 12 13:09
i can see one more goal. one more and thats it... after that home will slow down
By:
teo813
When: 18 Jul 12 13:09
yep i get out of my stake but still wanted this goal as most of my green was on overs

no complaints Happy
By:
dmd88
When: 18 Jul 12 13:09
im on fodale @1.50
By:
Joseph123
When: 18 Jul 12 13:09
anyone got a link for     ALBIREX NIIGATA FC?
By:
FoDale
When: 18 Jul 12 13:10
i was on over 6.5 at 11 odds..
By:
loadedgimp
When: 18 Jul 12 13:10
wd lads! haha joseph, never gets old that joke!
By:
strawhat21
When: 18 Jul 12 13:10
damn... what was the stake FoDale?
By:
FoDale
When: 18 Jul 12 13:10
greened out.. Probably theyll  score again but i dont wanna risk it
By:
FoDale
When: 18 Jul 12 13:11
lost like 40+ yesterday just coz i waited :(
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 18 Jul 12 13:11
i would green out at odds on simply because they might ease off now the game is won
By:
tonycottee
When: 18 Jul 12 13:12
Biscuit1979
18 Jul 12 14:00
Joined:
16 Nov 10
| Topic/replies: 28,860 | Blogger: Biscuit1979's blog


A 1.2 shot implies (roughly) an 83% chance of winning. Looking at the h2h record Home had won 22 of 27 meetings and 11 out of 13 at home. All roughly equating to around an 80-84% win rate. So 1.2 wasn't far out really.

But people take different stats into considertaion.  Although I look at the H2H, I don't put too much emphasis on it as teams can change drastically over couple of years.  I prefer to look more at the current seasons stats.  Based on that, I wouldn't have backed Home unless they were about 1.3.
I know some people that will mainly look at form over the last 6 games.  Again, I only have a passing interest in that because of the old saying "form is temporary..." etc
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