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loadedgimp
17 Jun 12 15:58
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Date Joined: 16 Mar 11
| Topic/replies: 16,671 | Blogger: loadedgimp's blog
Currently losing 0-1 at home to bottom of the table Chacarito.  Rosario home record is Won 13 Drawn 5 Lost 0.  You decide.
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Report MiLiTo_22 June 17, 2012 4:01 PM BST
Feel like killing myself today loadedgimp. All the profit made in a week lost in 2 days. Making logic choices with good prices and I can't pick a winner whatever strategy I try!
Report sarausa June 17, 2012 4:13 PM BST
You kidding me Rosario Dawson?! This must be 2-1 in 20 mins ffs! Angry
Report sarausa June 17, 2012 4:13 PM BST
1-1 Excited
Report MiLiTo_22 June 17, 2012 4:13 PM BST
FFS 1-1 too fast. Not even time to get on the over 2.
Report MiLiTo_22 June 17, 2012 4:14 PM BST
OMG 1-2!! I would have won god dammit.
Report sarausa June 17, 2012 4:14 PM BST
1-2 fücking pricks
Report loadedgimp June 17, 2012 4:16 PM BST
chill guys.  milito you are betting wrong, try doing safer bets and you should be ok.  I bet over 1.5 but missed the 3rd, can't lay a leading team at over evens.
Report MiLiTo_22 June 17, 2012 4:17 PM BST
I'm betting safe :( I was having a great week before these two days.
Report MiLiTo_22 June 17, 2012 4:17 PM BST
Will Rosario equalise here?
Report loadedgimp June 17, 2012 4:19 PM BST
if a bet loses, it wasn't safe.  I imagine you must be betting in losing positions and not trading out.
Rosario home record speaks for itself, I imagine they won't lose but can't be certain.
Report MiLiTo_22 June 17, 2012 4:20 PM BST
I'm betting with Asian handicap where my stake is safe with just 1 goal and a win around evens with 2. These need to happen in the 2nd half though.
Report AB13 June 17, 2012 4:22 PM BST
link anyone?
Report loadedgimp June 17, 2012 4:25 PM BST
firstrowsports.eu

I think under 3.5 and a lay of Chacarito is ok.
Report Rich1965 June 17, 2012 4:26 PM BST
how does that work?
Report MiLiTo_22 June 17, 2012 4:26 PM BST
Aren't those contradicting choices?
Report loadedgimp June 17, 2012 4:28 PM BST
yes, so at least you win one.  chance to trade them and win them both. 2/1 for no goal, evens if there is one from rosario, lose if chicarito score.
Report loadedgimp June 17, 2012 4:29 PM BST
but I took u5.5 and 6.5 after the goal, I only go for small percentages.
Report MiLiTo_22 June 17, 2012 4:30 PM BST
Went for over 3.75 @ 1.92.
Report MiLiTo_22 June 17, 2012 4:31 PM BST
Probably your strategy is right but after going on a losing run my patience goes out the window.
Report loadedgimp June 17, 2012 4:33 PM BST
You won't win without patience, take a break and rethink how you bet if you can't manage the losses.
Report Rich1965 June 17, 2012 4:36 PM BST
now what
Report loadedgimp June 17, 2012 4:37 PM BST
2-2, never in doubt.
Report Rich1965 June 17, 2012 4:37 PM BST
no goal!!
Report MiLiTo_22 June 17, 2012 4:37 PM BST
OMG Disallowed....You see? I'M JINXED!!
Report loadedgimp June 17, 2012 4:38 PM BST
ooops not yet.  C'est la vie, I have 400 liability on u5.5 so glad it didn't come yet.
Report MiLiTo_22 June 17, 2012 4:39 PM BST
700€ in the red over 2 years. I will never get nothing back.
Report loadedgimp June 17, 2012 4:39 PM BST
now you should have traded out of u3.5 by now, you could get from 3s down to 2s  which is at least half your lay of chicarito back.
Report loadedgimp June 17, 2012 4:40 PM BST
now you can green out of chica lay or leave it, but that's the basics.
Report Rich1965 June 17, 2012 4:41 PM BST
how do you green out of the lay-the are still winning and the odds have moved against you?
Report loadedgimp June 17, 2012 4:41 PM BST
except if you weren't involved yet 1.86 on u3.5 is going to plummet shortly, although 2-2 is very likely.
Report loadedgimp June 17, 2012 4:44 PM BST
it won't be green, red out then.  I call it greening still, because you still win some of your stake.  It is a completely separate bet, so I would be backing Chica to win now..you can make it green on Chica if you were quick.
Report loadedgimp June 17, 2012 4:45 PM BST
I haven't bet on that though.
Report kanu200000 June 17, 2012 4:47 PM BST
lost pic
Report loadedgimp June 17, 2012 4:54 PM BST
1-3 haha.
Report loadedgimp June 17, 2012 4:54 PM BST
Got caught with a tenner on under 3.5 Sad should have traded it all out at 1.16 but I got greedy.
Report Biscuit1979 June 17, 2012 4:59 PM BST
MiLiTo_22 17 Jun 12 16:20 
I'm betting with Asian handicap where my stake is safe with just 1 goal and a win around evens with 2. These need to happen in the 2nd half though.




Thats the point loaded is making, your bet is initially in a losing position because you need a goal to make any money. So the odds are always going against you and if it ends 0-0 you're f*cked. Loaded is placing bets where his bet is already in a winning position (under 5.5, 6.5 etc) so he makes small gains that way.
People knock it but he's well disciplined and makes steady money that way. I do pretty much the same thing myself, short terms gains for long term profit.
Report loadedgimp June 17, 2012 5:01 PM BST
Essentially yes biscuit, but I am not limited to those type of bets.  But if I am going goals I would expect to see a goal fest and have initially gone heavy on 1 goal, then use portions of the profit for more.  But the starting prices or prices after a goal are far too low to take.
Report loadedgimp June 17, 2012 5:05 PM BST
Soccer / Rosario v Chacarita : Over/Under 6.5 Goals     17-Jun-12 15:00     17-Jun-12 16:57    1.05
Soccer / Rosario v Chacarita : Over/Under 5.5 Goals     17-Jun-12 15:00     17-Jun-12 16:57    11.99
Soccer / Rosario v Chacarita : Over/Under 4.5 Goals     17-Jun-12 15:00     17-Jun-12 16:56    6.64
Soccer / Rosario v Chacarita : Over/Under 3.5 Goals     17-Jun-12 15:00     17-Jun-12 16:55    -9.84

The unders bets I did in this match, lost on the 3.5 market when I should have greened out really.

Under 3.5 Goals    *    1.49    90.00    Back         -90.00
Under 3.5 Goals    *    1.36    80.16    Lay         80.16

Price was 1.16 before the goal.
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