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loadedgimp
17 Jun 12 15:58
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Date Joined: 16 Mar 11
| Topic/replies: 16,671 | Blogger: loadedgimp's blog
Currently losing 0-1 at home to bottom of the table Chacarito.  Rosario home record is Won 13 Drawn 5 Lost 0.  You decide.

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Replies: 38
By:
MiLiTo_22
When: 17 Jun 12 16:01
Feel like killing myself today loadedgimp. All the profit made in a week lost in 2 days. Making logic choices with good prices and I can't pick a winner whatever strategy I try!
By:
sarausa
When: 17 Jun 12 16:13
You kidding me Rosario Dawson?! This must be 2-1 in 20 mins ffs! Angry
By:
sarausa
When: 17 Jun 12 16:13
1-1 Excited
By:
MiLiTo_22
When: 17 Jun 12 16:13
FFS 1-1 too fast. Not even time to get on the over 2.
By:
MiLiTo_22
When: 17 Jun 12 16:14
OMG 1-2!! I would have won god dammit.
By:
sarausa
When: 17 Jun 12 16:14
1-2 fücking pricks
By:
loadedgimp
When: 17 Jun 12 16:16
chill guys.  milito you are betting wrong, try doing safer bets and you should be ok.  I bet over 1.5 but missed the 3rd, can't lay a leading team at over evens.
By:
MiLiTo_22
When: 17 Jun 12 16:17
I'm betting safe :( I was having a great week before these two days.
By:
MiLiTo_22
When: 17 Jun 12 16:17
Will Rosario equalise here?
By:
loadedgimp
When: 17 Jun 12 16:19
if a bet loses, it wasn't safe.  I imagine you must be betting in losing positions and not trading out.
Rosario home record speaks for itself, I imagine they won't lose but can't be certain.
By:
MiLiTo_22
When: 17 Jun 12 16:20
I'm betting with Asian handicap where my stake is safe with just 1 goal and a win around evens with 2. These need to happen in the 2nd half though.
By:
AB13
When: 17 Jun 12 16:22
link anyone?
By:
loadedgimp
When: 17 Jun 12 16:25
firstrowsports.eu

I think under 3.5 and a lay of Chacarito is ok.
By:
Rich1965
When: 17 Jun 12 16:26
how does that work?
By:
MiLiTo_22
When: 17 Jun 12 16:26
Aren't those contradicting choices?
By:
loadedgimp
When: 17 Jun 12 16:28
yes, so at least you win one.  chance to trade them and win them both. 2/1 for no goal, evens if there is one from rosario, lose if chicarito score.
By:
loadedgimp
When: 17 Jun 12 16:29
but I took u5.5 and 6.5 after the goal, I only go for small percentages.
By:
MiLiTo_22
When: 17 Jun 12 16:30
Went for over 3.75 @ 1.92.
By:
MiLiTo_22
When: 17 Jun 12 16:31
Probably your strategy is right but after going on a losing run my patience goes out the window.
By:
loadedgimp
When: 17 Jun 12 16:33
You won't win without patience, take a break and rethink how you bet if you can't manage the losses.
By:
Rich1965
When: 17 Jun 12 16:36
now what
By:
loadedgimp
When: 17 Jun 12 16:37
2-2, never in doubt.
By:
Rich1965
When: 17 Jun 12 16:37
no goal!!
By:
MiLiTo_22
When: 17 Jun 12 16:37
OMG Disallowed....You see? I'M JINXED!!
By:
loadedgimp
When: 17 Jun 12 16:38
ooops not yet.  C'est la vie, I have 400 liability on u5.5 so glad it didn't come yet.
By:
MiLiTo_22
When: 17 Jun 12 16:39
700€ in the red over 2 years. I will never get nothing back.
By:
loadedgimp
When: 17 Jun 12 16:39
now you should have traded out of u3.5 by now, you could get from 3s down to 2s  which is at least half your lay of chicarito back.
By:
loadedgimp
When: 17 Jun 12 16:40
now you can green out of chica lay or leave it, but that's the basics.
By:
loadedgimp
When: 17 Jun 12 16:41
except if you weren't involved yet 1.86 on u3.5 is going to plummet shortly, although 2-2 is very likely.
By:
Rich1965
When: 17 Jun 12 16:41
how do you green out of the lay-the are still winning and the odds have moved against you?
By:
loadedgimp
When: 17 Jun 12 16:44
it won't be green, red out then.  I call it greening still, because you still win some of your stake.  It is a completely separate bet, so I would be backing Chica to win now..you can make it green on Chica if you were quick.
By:
loadedgimp
When: 17 Jun 12 16:45
I haven't bet on that though.
By:
kanu200000
When: 17 Jun 12 16:47
lost pic
By:
loadedgimp
When: 17 Jun 12 16:54
1-3 haha.
By:
loadedgimp
When: 17 Jun 12 16:54
Got caught with a tenner on under 3.5 Sad should have traded it all out at 1.16 but I got greedy.
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 17 Jun 12 16:59
MiLiTo_22 17 Jun 12 16:20 
I'm betting with Asian handicap where my stake is safe with just 1 goal and a win around evens with 2. These need to happen in the 2nd half though.




Thats the point loaded is making, your bet is initially in a losing position because you need a goal to make any money. So the odds are always going against you and if it ends 0-0 you're f*cked. Loaded is placing bets where his bet is already in a winning position (under 5.5, 6.5 etc) so he makes small gains that way.
People knock it but he's well disciplined and makes steady money that way. I do pretty much the same thing myself, short terms gains for long term profit.
By:
loadedgimp
When: 17 Jun 12 17:01
Essentially yes biscuit, but I am not limited to those type of bets.  But if I am going goals I would expect to see a goal fest and have initially gone heavy on 1 goal, then use portions of the profit for more.  But the starting prices or prices after a goal are far too low to take.
By:
loadedgimp
When: 17 Jun 12 17:05
Soccer / Rosario v Chacarita : Over/Under 6.5 Goals     17-Jun-12 15:00     17-Jun-12 16:57    1.05
Soccer / Rosario v Chacarita : Over/Under 5.5 Goals     17-Jun-12 15:00     17-Jun-12 16:57    11.99
Soccer / Rosario v Chacarita : Over/Under 4.5 Goals     17-Jun-12 15:00     17-Jun-12 16:56    6.64
Soccer / Rosario v Chacarita : Over/Under 3.5 Goals     17-Jun-12 15:00     17-Jun-12 16:55    -9.84

The unders bets I did in this match, lost on the 3.5 market when I should have greened out really.

Under 3.5 Goals    *    1.49    90.00    Back         -90.00
Under 3.5 Goals    *    1.36    80.16    Lay         80.16

Price was 1.16 before the goal.
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