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Univ de Chile v Cobreloa 1am

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Replies: 293
By:
Ross8481
When: 12 Jun 12 00:18
They haven't played for a couple of weeks, if they don't play tonight, they may be rusty. hth
By:
Betfair_Loser
When: 12 Jun 12 00:20
what justifies UDC over 2.5 goals to be 1.5 when their last 6 games three have been overs and three have been unders! exactly the same with the away team! judging by those stats, over 2.5 should be evens! therefore, laying over 2.5 is the way forward here
By:
Ross8481
When: 12 Jun 12 00:25
Cobreloa need to score 3 goals to go through for a start (this is a 2nd leg play off game), UdC great in cup-style games, not to mention U de Chile beating them 4-1 in the opening week of the season
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 12 Jun 12 00:26
Herrera; Magalhaes, Acevedo, Lichnovsky, Cereceda; Díaz, Aranguiz, Marino; Fernandes, Henríquez, Castro
By:
Betfair_Loser
When: 12 Jun 12 00:26
lets be realistic, cobreloa realise the match is over. They wont come here to score 3 goals. It will be low scoring with UDC focusing midweek. They wont bust a gut to score goals
By:
Ross8481
When: 12 Jun 12 00:27
Nice to see a strong attack
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 12 Jun 12 00:28
Betfair_Loser 12 Jun 12 00:20 
what justifies UDC over 2.5 goals to be 1.5 when their last 6 games three have been overs and three have been unders!




Look at their domestic home results. 10 of their last 12 were over 2.5. Their last 8 homes were:

4-1
3-1
3-2
2-0
3-0
4-0
5-0
4-0
By:
heskeyismyhero
When: 12 Jun 12 00:28
Udc ht ft and udc 3/4-0 me thinks
By:
Betfair_Loser
When: 12 Jun 12 00:30
this means UDC are due a 0-0. will have a small nibble on 0-0
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 12 Jun 12 00:30
Betfair_Loser 12 Jun 12 00:30 
this means UDC are due a 0-0. will have a small nibble on 0-0




Go to bed, betting clearly isn't for you.
By:
Betfair_Loser
When: 12 Jun 12 00:32
we shall see at FT. people backing goals at 1.5 with two teams who in the last 12 matches have had only 6 gone overs, in a cup match which is raelly a dead rubber in a team who are not focused on this match and instead more focused on the midweek match need to be shot! Unders is the value
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 12 Jun 12 00:37
The last 7 meetings here between these 2 sides:

4-1
3-0
3-1
3-1
4-1
3-2
3-1


Yep, your unders bet looks great value.
By:
loadedgimp
When: 12 Jun 12 00:37
Betfair Loser I don't believe you have formed your opinions on the greatest information.  This is not really a dead rubber, maybe an exhibition match for UDC if they get 1 or 2 early on.  Can't see under 2.5 being sensible in any way.
By:
Betfair_Loser
When: 12 Jun 12 00:38
unders even better value now, no way can a team keep being involved in goalfests against the same team. I feel a 0-0 at big odds here, defo under 2.5
By:
Betfair_Loser
When: 12 Jun 12 00:38
loadedgimp - i disagree, please back overs! PLEASE
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 12 Jun 12 00:39
If this ends 0-0 i will give you the money myself and leave the forum for good.
By:
Betfair_Loser
When: 12 Jun 12 00:40
just to be clear before the match starts, what is your bet biscuit?
By:
joe9000
When: 12 Jun 12 00:42

Jun 12, 2012 -- 12:39AM, Biscuit1979 wrote:


If this ends 0-0 i will give you the money myself and leave the forum for good.


lol

By:
loadedgimp
When: 12 Jun 12 00:43
Betfair Loser, is it essential I take a position before the match starts?  I would enjoy guessing but I would rather watch the match until I can make a decent guess, I assume it won't be 0-0 HT and UDC will win, that is the best I can do right now.
By:
loadedgimp
When: 12 Jun 12 00:44
Which unsuprisingly is what the odds say too.
By:
mrfishfingers
When: 12 Jun 12 00:44
Laid Cobreloa @10.5

People who use the "team is due a certain result" argument on here should be banned from money ownership IMO
By:
Betfair_Loser
When: 12 Jun 12 00:45
nice to see biscuit dissapearing as soon as people ask him of his bets
By:
Betfair_Loser
When: 12 Jun 12 00:46
huge money coming in for under 1.5! the market knows! something is wrong here
By:
Betfair_Loser
When: 12 Jun 12 00:47
10k laying over 1.5 goals at 1.16! that should tell u something straight away! dodgy SA match incoming
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 12 Jun 12 00:47
Betfair_Loser 12 Jun 12 00:40 
just to be clear before the match starts, what is your bet biscuit?




No bet yet but i will be looking to back UDC and over 1.5 in play.

I stand by my earlier comment that this won't be 0-0.

Oh and i hope you do a lot better than you did in the Ukraine game, can't believe you have any money left after that.
By:
Betfair_Loser
When: 12 Jun 12 00:47
LaughLaugh classic biscuit comment. 'no bet yet, will bet in play' Transaltion - too scared to get shown up on the forum. Love it.
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 12 Jun 12 00:47
Betfair_Loser 12 Jun 12 00:45 
nice to see biscuit dissapearing as soon as people ask him of his bets




Apologies for taking 7 minutes to reply, i forgot there was a time limit.
By:
Betfair_Loser
When: 12 Jun 12 00:48
right unders is the bet here lads, follow and get rich quickly
By:
Ross8481
When: 12 Jun 12 00:48
Betfair loser, it may be for trading purposes, UdC renowned for scoring late on
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 12 Jun 12 00:49
Betfair_Loser 12 Jun 12 00:47 
classic biscuit comment. 'no bet yet, will bet in play' Transaltion - too scared to get shown up on the forum. Love it.





Actual translation - WANTS BETTER ODDS.

We know you don't give a sh*t about odds and just bet regardless like you did in the ukraine game, but some of us do.
By:
Betfair_Loser
When: 12 Jun 12 00:49
ROSS8481 - ile be out of this match at half time regardless
By:
Betfair_Loser
When: 12 Jun 12 00:50
okay biscuit - let us no when you decide to go for your 'over 2.5' bet... ! 1.01 - if this finishes 0-0 he will say i didnt bet. if someone scores he will say i just placed a bet on overs.
By:
mrfishfingers
When: 12 Jun 12 00:50
I think that the correct "transaltion" would be wise betting. Anybody intending to bet overs would never do it pre-ko or first 5 mins unless they actually hated having money.
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 12 Jun 12 00:52
Betfair_Loser 12 Jun 12 00:50 
okay biscuit - let us no when you decide to go for your 'over 2.5' bet... ! 1.01 - if this finishes 0-0 he will say i didnt bet. if someone scores he will say i just placed a bet on overs.





Please read my post at 00:47
By:
addrian
When: 12 Jun 12 00:52

Jun 12, 2012 -- 12:49AM, Betfair_Loser wrote:


ROSS8481 - ile be out of this match at half time regardless


too bad ull have no money at ht

By:
Betfair_Loser
When: 12 Jun 12 00:52
listen here fish boy. Do u no what value is? Just because the price increases in play how exactly does it make overs more value? Do u no what value means.
By:
Betfair_Loser
When: 12 Jun 12 00:53
addrian - dont be a mug. 0-0 half time, and ile be out of this match. even if its 1-0, ile still be out of this match
By:
addrian
When: 12 Jun 12 00:55

Jun 12, 2012 -- 12:52AM, Betfair_Loser wrote:


listen here fish boy. Do u no what value is? Just because the price increases in play how exactly does it make overs more value? Do u no what value means.


so in ur opinion over 2,5 at ht betwen ukraine sweden was not value??oh no I remember what u backed

By:
Betfair_Loser
When: 12 Jun 12 00:56
of course it wasnt value, it was a fluke! flukes happen now and again
By:
mrfishfingers
When: 12 Jun 12 00:56
I know enough about value to trade out of my Cobreloa lay @10.5 @13s now if i wanted, in just 10 minutes.

A sound strategy for me in the past was o2.5 after 15/20 min mark,

I actually make money on here though, so what do I knowPlain
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