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shaund10
05 Jun 12 22:53
Joined:
Date Joined: 26 Feb 08
| Topic/replies: 34 | Blogger: shaund10's blog
3/1 joint favs on Germany must be one of the most ridiculous prices of the year. Quite what the side has done to warrant being 3's favs alongside the reigning World and European champions is beyond me. The WC runners up are more than double their price and have arguably more talented players. A lot of Germany's players have had tough seasons also and may be spent at this stage.

Everyone seems to be tipping them, or backing them. They are seen as the 'clever' bet, as people don't want to be obvious in picking Spain. Do people realise that when tipping up Germany they are not tipping some dark horse, they are actually practically tipping the favourite? I understand people often latch onto a fashionable alternative, but this has got out of hand.

They are a good young side and may well go onto win. But their proper price is 5/1 or 11/2, not 3's. Can't understand how anyone can take them at that price
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Report tobermory June 5, 2012 10:58 PM BST
Agree.
Report themover June 5, 2012 10:58 PM BST
you vill be shot
Report donny osmond June 5, 2012 11:01 PM BST
never write off ze germans but their current price is less value than englands, indeed i might prefer snapping up greek debt rather than putting money on germany
Report BoxFresh June 5, 2012 11:23 PM BST
Rep of ireland for me.
Report TheHunk June 5, 2012 11:27 PM BST
Wont get outve the group.
Report erogenous_zone June 5, 2012 11:29 PM BST
Report BoxFresh June 5, 2012 11:43 PM BST
Report Biscuit1979 June 5, 2012 11:59 PM BST
Boateng - looked hopeless at City
Mertesacker - turns about as quick as a cross channel ferry
Schweinsteiger - been carrying an injury for most of the season and hasn't played in their recent friendlies
Muller - scored in the CL final but has been out of form since xmas
Gomez - needs at least 5 chances to score

Probably still make the final though!!
Report henok June 6, 2012 12:04 AM BST
i think german are overrated
Report Glossy June 6, 2012 12:07 AM BST
Mertesacker won't start. Hommels and Badstuber will.
Lahm - best full back in the world.
Ozil - one of the world's top creative midfielders.
Podolski & Klose - proven tournament performers.
Neuer - arguably world's best keeper right now.
Schweinsteiger & Khederia - great defensive midfield partnership.

I agree that 3/1 isn't value but I have them down as winners all day long.
Report DIE LINKE June 6, 2012 12:07 AM BST
Interestingly enough the sound judges have this German squad down as the best in decades. Have a look at the squad from the last world cup and see how much better it is.
Report tobermory June 6, 2012 12:10 AM BST
They are very good, but can't see how they are on the same level as Spain or how they are much better than Holland
Report Glossy June 6, 2012 12:14 AM BST
...and I've not even mentioned the young players like Gotze, Kroos, Reus and Schuerrle. This squad has serious depth.
Report DIE LINKE June 6, 2012 12:16 AM BST
more depth than Linda Lovelace, mate
Report smemon87 June 6, 2012 12:21 AM BST
The thing about the germans is that you just know they'll grind out results even if they don't perform. They'll make it in to the knock out stages for sure and at that stage it's all about calm heads and patience...

They may not be able to out-play a Holland or Spain for example but they could easily take anyone to extra time and penalties so if they make it beyond the group stages, you're gonna be sweating big time if you've layed them from the start.

I'd have them level with Holland myself as 2nd favs behind Spain but you're right... they are pretty hyped. Would still take a brave man to lay them at 4.4 though...
Report HorseRacingExpert June 6, 2012 12:24 AM BST
I will be bumping this thread after the mighty germans win the euros
Report curious8 June 6, 2012 12:26 AM BST
This is the most gifted Germany side since 1996 but also with the weakest winning  mentality.
They do not have enough confidence and winning mentality to play in big matches.
Report DIE LINKE June 6, 2012 12:27 AM BST
I wish everyone who thinks Gomez is shyte would put their money where their mouths are and get laying him for top scorer. I've got thousands tied up on him and I want to back back at 14/1+
Report Glossy June 6, 2012 12:28 AM BST
What are you basing this on curious8?
Report shaund10 June 6, 2012 12:34 AM BST
HorseRacingExpert
06 Jun 12 00:24 Joined: 20 May 12 | Topic/replies: 545 | Blogger: HorseRacingExpert's blog
I will be bumping this thread after the mighty germans win the euros


I fully agree that this could well happen. They have a chance, but that doesnt stop the 3/1 or 4.4 being ridiculously bad value. You could get Spain at 10/3 at the weekend, which made Germany Favs. That's just wrong. Germany could well win, but they should be 11/2 and i'll be saying the same even if they run out winners.

Plenty of people like Germany this year, but if they are disciplined they'll acknowledge that they simply aren't a punting proposition at 3's
Report DIE LINKE June 6, 2012 12:38 AM BST
I agree that 10/3 isn't great value, i prefer Holland at 7/1. But 11/2 is a poorhouse price.
Report Stringer June 6, 2012 12:41 AM BST
They are very good, but can't see how they are on the same level as Spain or how they are much better than Holland

spain without puyol and villa, xavi carrying a knock, and they don't look as cohesive as they did in 2010

germany should be favs

THAT IS ALL.
Report HorseRacingExpert June 6, 2012 12:43 AM BST
all on germany please

Report Stringer June 6, 2012 12:45 AM BST
^ this guy has the right idea Cool
Report neill d June 6, 2012 12:50 AM BST
Agree with OP, their subs bench is more talented than their starting 11.
Report hearts1874 June 6, 2012 12:53 AM BST
pfffffffffft, get on spain, no worries on this one SAFE BETLove
Report Stringer June 6, 2012 12:53 AM BST
2 mugs ^
Report DIE LINKE June 6, 2012 12:55 AM BST
anyone who thinks Holland are more talented than Germany hasn't been doing their homework.
Report aaronh June 6, 2012 1:06 AM BST
if Stringer's tipping them Germans are doomed
Report Stringer June 6, 2012 1:12 AM BST
yawn
Report aaronh June 6, 2012 1:17 AM BST
Devil
Report tobermory June 6, 2012 1:24 AM BST
I suppose they must be feeling confident as they haven't 'Aryanized' as many Poles etc in the last couple of years as they were doing a while ago
Report Stringer June 6, 2012 1:28 AM BST
david silva is a great player

but spain are worse with him imo

infact i wouldn't be surprised if they struggle to make it out of the group

Cool
Report JrSk June 6, 2012 6:32 AM BST
Netherlands v Germany in the final. 10/1
Report Redford_Blade June 6, 2012 8:28 AM BST
Who would meet Spain, Germany or Netherlands?
Report DIE LINKE June 6, 2012 8:37 AM BST
tobermory
06 Jun 12 01:24

I suppose they must be feeling confident as they haven't 'Aryanized' as many Poles etc in the last couple of years as they were doing a while ago


I did have you down as one of the more knowledgeable posters on here, but you have shown your ignorance there. Both Klose and Podolski are from Silesia and everyone with a modicum of education knows about the history of this region.
Report play45 June 6, 2012 10:14 AM BST
My advice - Insider:
I am german and i think that spain will be kicked by netherlands in half final.
The other half final will be france/italy and germany. I think final will be netherlands against france or germany.
One of the biggest cracking bets is Marco Reus topscorer 2012.
odds 210 !!! He will play as second striker with Klose.
Gomez is done and will not have much playtime - dont bet on him.
Reus is a great technical player and shoot many goals this season. he was the shooting star.
Chelsea wanted him to sign a contract, bayern munich too, but he signed in Dortmund for next season.
He could become the same important player as Müller was - World Cup 2010.
Coach Löw thrust in him too.
Thats me advices to you. You dont have to bet on it, but i will help you.
Report jasey June 6, 2012 1:08 PM BST
only a couple of spanish players would get into germanys team,(villa and puyol maybe but they are out).
thats why germany will win.
the only downside for germany backers,is if that usless lanky streak of piss starts
Report anfeild June 6, 2012 1:36 PM BST
only a couple of spanish players would get into germanys team,(villa and puyol maybe but they are out).

Most stupid statement i have ever read on the betfair forum. Xavi/Iniesta would make and team. Both would be in a world eleven you muppet.
Report jasey June 6, 2012 1:37 PM BST
i didnt say which ones did i,muppet
Report Swardean June 6, 2012 1:44 PM BST
Germany will win hans down
Report OnTheSnafff June 13, 2012 9:14 PM BST
Not a bad side,are they?Grin
Report jasey June 13, 2012 9:37 PM BST
be even better when they hit top gear
Report loui June 13, 2012 9:42 PM BST
casillas is better keeper  too imo,
Report OnTheSnafff June 13, 2012 9:44 PM BST
Must be outright Favs now?
Report TimeformSquiggle June 27, 2012 11:20 PM BST
Head in hands time for the op
Report aaronh June 27, 2012 11:32 PM BST
they will be the biggest mug punt of the year in the final
Report mrfishfingers June 27, 2012 11:34 PM BST
Just saw this
I am a huge mug, backing them @4.7

What was I thinkingHappy
Report TimeformSquiggle June 28, 2012 5:02 PM BST
ttt
Report TimeformSquiggle June 28, 2012 7:11 PM BST
*Thread added to Favourites for when Germany muller the italians tonight.
Report high_lander June 28, 2012 7:19 PM BST
agree with the op, germany have been terrible value for this tournament. i wouldn't bet on them with stolen money.
Report aaronh June 28, 2012 9:08 PM BST
^^ always knew you were shrewd h_l
Report shaund10 June 28, 2012 9:43 PM BST
The OP is back and no Timeform, my head is not in my hands! I suppose you'll all tell me you traded out now? I can say I definitely didn't trade out of my 4.5 lay.

They got lucky in the group, should have been neaten by an off colour Portugal and the Dutch were a shambles. Luck plays no part tonight and they get well beaten by a good side at best.
Report TimeformSquiggle June 28, 2012 9:45 PM BST
Forza italia Cool
Report shaund10 June 28, 2012 9:45 PM BST
And yes Mrfishfingers, you are a mug. Even if they won the tournament, u'd still be a mug with that bet.
Report mrfishfingers June 28, 2012 9:46 PM BST
Traded out for massive green shaund10 if that is your real name.
Report shaund10 June 28, 2012 9:48 PM BST
Fair play, glad you seen sense!
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