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The home side seem a big price, around 2.2 or better
considering they have already beaten the opposition
away 2-0. I guess it's because they don't have to
actually win the match, having a 2 goal start. Any
views ?
considering they have already beaten the opposition
away 2-0. I guess it's because they don't have to
actually win the match, having a 2 goal start. Any
views ?
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I agree it's a big price but not because of the first leg. I think it's a big price full stop. I don't subscribe to the "Don't have to win the match" scenario either. Any manager and good team for that matter should know that if you have the impetus you should keep attacking. I chalked this up at around 10/11 for Huddersfield so I'm happy to be wrong. I'm in.
Absolutely, huge price - was up to 2.28 yesterday, my take is that as 0-0 is unlikely (12.5) then match odds are almost like betting on who scores first cos if its the terriers mkd will know its all over, so yes evens or just above seems right to me
also got to be high scoring options, overs, 3-2 etc, even 3-3 if mkd score first
also got to be high scoring options, overs, 3-2 etc, even 3-3 if mkd score first
I fully agree with green army. It's all about the first goal from a match odds point of view. Reminds me of the west ham Cardiff match which was 0-2 after the first leg. Game over as soon as west ham scored. Very unpredictable if Cardiff had been awarded that early penalty.
It's a similar story tonight. I think Huddersfield will score first and win, but I won't play match odds just in case mk dons score first and Huddersfield are happy with 1-1 (or a nervy 0-1).
It's a similar story tonight. I think Huddersfield will score first and win, but I won't play match odds just in case mk dons score first and Huddersfield are happy with 1-1 (or a nervy 0-1).
I won't play match odds just in case mk dons score first and Huddersfield are happy with 1-1 (or a nervy 0-1).
Exactly, and probably the reason why Huddersfield are the price they are. They could comfortably settle
for a score that gets them through, and not necessarily winning the match.
Exactly, and probably the reason why Huddersfield are the price they are. They could comfortably settle
for a score that gets them through, and not necessarily winning the match.
yeah I see this, I just think if hudderfield score first you have a buoyant terriers side knowing they are thru,& the crowd wanting more v mkd knowing they are out and wanting to go home - I just see it as v unlikely them coming back even for a draw
bit of a bounce here 2.28 into 2.16 now back at 2.26 not sure why, probably the above argument, tho I cant see it lasting
Huddersfield will know they need at least one goal, as MK would be
expected to score, most sides do score, and if MK get the first then
it would get nervy. It should be interesting, especially if MK get in
first.
expected to score, most sides do score, and if MK get the first then
it would get nervy. It should be interesting, especially if MK get in
first.
Green Army....I don't agree with your assertion that it's impossible for MK to score 3 (or more) goals if Huddersfield score 1... "on who scores first cos if its the terriers mkd will know its all over", "a buoyant terriers side knowing they are thru,& the crowd wanting more v mkd knowing they are out"
So am I tonight Kenilworth because (a) I like Jordan Rhodes from his time at Brentford, including helping us win the league and (b) I'd rather face MK next season rather than Huddersfield, and (c) Huddersfield being promoted would be better for my bank than MK going up. Interesting duel in the technical area tonight...Larry Grayson vs a slim version of James Cordern.
I was thinking he was a Huddersfield supporter. Maybe not.
Huddersfield's keeper might wear green but that's about all. He's a Plymouth Argyle fan.
yeah its me wallet supporting the terriers and i agree its not impossible for mkd to score 3, only that heads may go down if huddersfield score first and early
went to leeds road once couldnt stop humming the tune for the hovis ad for a week
went to leeds road once couldnt stop humming the tune for the hovis ad for a week
yeah its me wallet supporting the terriers and i agree its not impossible for mkd to score 3, only that heads may go down if huddersfield score first and early
went to leeds road once couldnt stop humming the tune for the hovis ad for a week
went to leeds road once couldnt stop humming the tune for the hovis ad for a week
hey ken.... is doing odds*probability/100 enough to give you the answer to see if something is value or not? i used the payout indicator and payout share to calculate the probabilities of the outcomes. they all add up to 100% but in essence it's just comparing betfair prices to the average ods of 5 or 6 bookies prices isn't it?
i got...
Huddersfield = 1.020842
Draw = 0.94465
MK Dons = 0.92574
which suggests huddersfield are the only value for a back but i'd rather lay MK Dons.
i want to add my own rating system into it all too to get my own prices to compare as well but i don't want to add too many factors into it.
Huddersfield = 1.020842
Draw = 0.94465
MK Dons = 0.92574
which suggests huddersfield are the only value for a back but i'd rather lay MK Dons.
i want to add my own rating system into it all too to get my own prices to compare as well but i don't want to add too many factors into it.
huddersfield will outperform the mk dons as they have done in the history on their clashes
My bet has now been matched so I'm on under 2.5 at 2.12.
dimebar, I do my own ratings in all 4 leagues, adjust on a match by match basis,
make allowance for ground advantage and come up with corresponding prices, then
compare them with other compilers, and take it from there. A simple example is
this evenings pairing, Huddersfield v MK Dons 81 and 80 points respectively in
the league, I would rate them equally if played on a neutral ground but with it
being at Huddersfield, I would have the home side about 2.20, the visitors 3.70
the draw about 3.55. Having said that, this is not a league game and other factors
come into it. In the case of, say Huddersfield at 2.20, I compare it with other
prices and if there is a big discrepancy, the home side being perhaps 2.0, I would
be looking to lay them etc, etc. You need to read up it and there are books about
(Pullein ?) which can be helpful. GL.
make allowance for ground advantage and come up with corresponding prices, then
compare them with other compilers, and take it from there. A simple example is
this evenings pairing, Huddersfield v MK Dons 81 and 80 points respectively in
the league, I would rate them equally if played on a neutral ground but with it
being at Huddersfield, I would have the home side about 2.20, the visitors 3.70
the draw about 3.55. Having said that, this is not a league game and other factors
come into it. In the case of, say Huddersfield at 2.20, I compare it with other
prices and if there is a big discrepancy, the home side being perhaps 2.0, I would
be looking to lay them etc, etc. You need to read up it and there are books about
(Pullein ?) which can be helpful. GL.
Had a lay of Huddersfield. I think the 1st goal is gunna be vital and MKD have no choice but to go for it. Huddersfield can be very iffy at the back and have never won a play off game at home.
scared, how many playoff matches have they played at home,
and who is playing tonight who played in the previous ?
and who is playing tonight who played in the previous ?
just using some stats Ken,trying to convince myself rather than anyone else.....good luck with your bet sir
Good luck with yours, young man. For the record, I think those sort
of stats are meaningless for obvious reasons.
of stats are meaningless for obvious reasons.
I wouldnt say they were totally meaningless although i do take your point on board.
If MKD get an early goal the support will be thinking "here we go again,been here before"
These nerves in the stand are soon transfered onto the field of play.
As i said,the 1st goal will be vital. Huddersfield get it,game over. MKD get it,game on.
If MKD get an early goal the support will be thinking "here we go again,been here before"
These nerves in the stand are soon transfered onto the field of play.
As i said,the 1st goal will be vital. Huddersfield get it,game over. MKD get it,game on.
I agree with everything you say to a degree, especially about
the first goal.
the first goal.
DONS PLAYING 3 UP FRONT..SOUNDS LIKE IT COULD BE GOALS....LAY OF THE DRAW FOR ME. GOOD LUCK 
Quite like MK Dons to win in 90 minutes at 7.8. They have been playing well enough to score and with the keep change...
Quite like MK Dons to win in 90 minutes at 7.8. They have been playing well enough to score and with the keep change...
ref was perfectly positioned aswell....total bottle job 
The Ref is a morphed image of Paul Daniels and The Child Catcher from Chitty Chitty Bang Bang.
mk dons havent got a chance in hell in qualifying with their 8 year old club
It's been all Huddersfield second half, got to fancy a goal or 2
Has Mk Dons even got a shot in this half though ??? LoL
Sorry I thought Huddersfield were wearing Blue and White stripes
You've gotta think that MK's heads will drop at some point.
Awrite I see must have missed it cheers ...Was changing between the hertha Berlin game to this 
chaotic scenes in the dussledorf match - crowd stormed the pitch before FT 
Got to fancy Hudd to have a chance with MK throwing so many bodies forward
F uck me Coacxhbuster just seen there CRAZY Scenes is right 
May 15, 2012 -- 9:39PM, Bergkamp93 wrote:
May 15, 2012 -- 9:39PM, T.M.0 wrote:aguero time
Meanwhile in Dussledorf the commentators are sitting silent like tits waiting to see what the f uck is going on for the past 20 mins PMSL
PMSL
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