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RamonSanchezPizjuan
28 Apr 12 10:00
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Date Joined: 24 Nov 08
| Topic/replies: 7,610 | Blogger: RamonSanchezPizjuan's blog
Usually last day of the season produces an avalanche of goals. Is it worth p,laying the over5.5 and 6.5 in all games?
Pause Switch to Standard View Championship last day, will we get...
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Report alekhine April 28, 2012 10:07 AM BST
There hasn't been an over 6.5 since 2007 on the last day in this league and no more than one over 5.5 in any year since. There've been only 16 under 2.5 in the last 5 years though and 32% is low, obviously.
Report kenilworth April 28, 2012 10:08 AM BST
I think the market will over react to that and the value
may lie in selling total goals at 33.7. Just an opinion.
Report RamonSanchezPizjuan April 28, 2012 10:11 AM BST
Cheers lads. Might just do an overs double. May be the way to go Ken, would be cautious though fella.
Report RamonSanchezPizjuan April 28, 2012 10:12 AM BST
Thanks for those stats Alek btw.
Report kenilworth April 28, 2012 10:13 AM BST
That's how sellers win.
Report RamonSanchezPizjuan April 28, 2012 10:16 AM BST
High expectation low yield!!
Report STEPTOES YARD April 28, 2012 10:24 AM BST
Lots of palace goals hopefully
Report kenilworth April 28, 2012 10:27 AM BST
The middle price is 34.2. I'd rather be a seller than
a buyer at that price or better. Should be interesting.
Report jonny1 April 28, 2012 10:36 AM BST
As a season as a whole, there has been a lot more unders than last year. Expect this to continue today
Report alekhine April 28, 2012 10:40 AM BST
If you sold at 33 on the last day over the last decade - you'd have lost just once.
Report sugarfoot April 28, 2012 10:46 AM BST
last day frivolity has been on a steady decline over the last few years to the point where there's no value any more (especially as prices have shortened on goals also over 2.5 down from ~1.92 in 2007 to ~1.82 today)

value on overs has been squeezed pretty dry imo
Report kenilworth April 28, 2012 12:41 PM BST
No goals scored after 10 mins
Report Ibrahima Sonko April 28, 2012 12:41 PM BST
early goalfest Plain
Report kenilworth April 28, 2012 12:51 PM BST
5 after 20 mins
Report Ibrahima Sonko April 28, 2012 12:56 PM BST
1-0 brum
Report scott1092 April 28, 2012 1:06 PM BST
1=0 wh
Report kenilworth April 28, 2012 1:08 PM BST
11 goals after 35 mins
Report RamonSanchezPizjuan April 28, 2012 1:11 PM BST
11 coming up to half time. Sellers very happy so far.
Report kenilworth April 28, 2012 1:15 PM BST
There's usually more goals in the second half.
Report RamonSanchezPizjuan April 28, 2012 1:18 PM BST
12 at ht, 23 would be a huge ask for buyers to break even.
Report kenilworth April 28, 2012 1:23 PM BST
You would think so.
Report RamonSanchezPizjuan April 28, 2012 1:45 PM BST
Barring an amazing half an hour sellers are in clover.
Report kenilworth April 28, 2012 1:50 PM BST
16 after 60 mins.
Report larrence April 28, 2012 1:53 PM BST
plenty of fake suspends in the boro game.
Report STEPTOES YARD April 28, 2012 1:55 PM BST
was relying on your boys today larrence Plain
Report Ibrahima Sonko April 28, 2012 1:56 PM BST
reading have missed loads

pen to reading
Report larrence April 28, 2012 1:56 PM BST
sorry m8, still time. I must admit though under freedman we are poor. gl...
Report Ibrahima Sonko April 28, 2012 1:57 PM BST
saved

im on at 11/1 Cry
Report scott1092 April 28, 2012 1:59 PM BST
ive layed brum hmmmm
Report larrence April 28, 2012 2:02 PM BST
i can't believe watford are beating boro, i backed boro sounded like they were all over in them in 1st half. CrazySad
Report Ibrahima Sonko April 28, 2012 2:03 PM BST
why are the games suspended ??
Report Pootle April 28, 2012 2:03 PM BST
from bbc

Bit of an unwelcome surprise for Bristol City against Burnley though where David James has gone off injured and, with no goalkeeper on the bench, defender Liam Fontaine has taken up the gloves. Everyone loves an outfield player in goal, no?


maybe worth a few quid on burnley to win it late on
Report kenilworth April 28, 2012 2:04 PM BST
20 after 75 mins
Report Ibrahima Sonko April 28, 2012 2:05 PM BST
pen to brum
Report larrence April 28, 2012 2:06 PM BST
Fontaine will end up scoring from a goal kick like tim howard did for everton. Grin
Report Ibrahima Sonko April 28, 2012 2:06 PM BST
2-0
Report Pootle April 28, 2012 2:07 PM BST
Boooom 1-0 burnley £30 @ 2.92 happy steal
Report STEPTOES YARD April 28, 2012 2:07 PM BST
yep larrence

boro had about 10 good chances

same old story, cant finish
Report larrence April 28, 2012 2:10 PM BST
SY, my money on jinxed them. Crazy
Report larrence April 28, 2012 2:16 PM BST
2 games i am involved fake suspends and no goals ffs.
Report kenilworth April 28, 2012 2:16 PM BST
You backed high ?
Report STEPTOES YARD April 28, 2012 2:18 PM BST
1-1 Silly
Report STEPTOES YARD April 28, 2012 2:20 PM BST
2-1 Cry
Report Ibrahima Sonko April 28, 2012 2:25 PM BST
another pen to brum
Gunnarsson last game

saved
Report johnny98345 April 28, 2012 2:27 PM BST
yessssssss
last second goal for Leicester
overs inCool
Report kenilworth April 28, 2012 2:32 PM BST
Final total 33, which means on the spreads sellers win 0.8,
buyers  lose 1.8.

Overs/unders
overs 7
unders 5
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