Football
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28 Apr 12
10:00
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Date Joined:
24 Nov 08
Usually last day of the season produces an avalanche of goals. Is it worth p,laying the over5.5 and 6.5 in all games?
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There hasn't been an over 6.5 since 2007 on the last day in this league and no more than one over 5.5 in any year since. There've been only 16 under 2.5 in the last 5 years though and 32% is low, obviously.
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I think the market will over react to that and the value
may lie in selling total goals at 33.7. Just an opinion. |
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Cheers lads. Might just do an overs double. May be the way to go Ken, would be cautious though fella.
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Thanks for those stats Alek btw.
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That's how sellers win.
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High expectation low yield!!
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Lots of palace goals hopefully
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The middle price is 34.2. I'd rather be a seller than
a buyer at that price or better. Should be interesting. |
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As a season as a whole, there has been a lot more unders than last year. Expect this to continue today
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If you sold at 33 on the last day over the last decade - you'd have lost just once.
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last day frivolity has been on a steady decline over the last few years to the point where there's no value any more (especially as prices have shortened on goals also over 2.5 down from ~1.92 in 2007 to ~1.82 today)
value on overs has been squeezed pretty dry imo |
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No goals scored after 10 mins
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early goalfest
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5 after 20 mins
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1-0 brum
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1=0 wh
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11 goals after 35 mins
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11 coming up to half time. Sellers very happy so far.
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There's usually more goals in the second half.
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12 at ht, 23 would be a huge ask for buyers to break even.
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You would think so.
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Barring an amazing half an hour sellers are in clover.
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16 after 60 mins.
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plenty of fake suspends in the boro game.
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was relying on your boys today larrence
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reading have missed loads
pen to reading |
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sorry m8, still time. I must admit though under freedman we are poor. gl...
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saved
im on at 11/1  |
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ive layed brum hmmmm
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i can't believe watford are beating boro, i backed boro sounded like they were all over in them in 1st half.
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why are the games suspended ??
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from bbc
Bit of an unwelcome surprise for Bristol City against Burnley though where David James has gone off injured and, with no goalkeeper on the bench, defender Liam Fontaine has taken up the gloves. Everyone loves an outfield player in goal, no? maybe worth a few quid on burnley to win it late on |
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20 after 75 mins
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pen to brum
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Fontaine will end up scoring from a goal kick like tim howard did for everton.
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2-0
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Boooom 1-0 burnley £30 @ 2.92 happy steal
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yep larrence
boro had about 10 good chances same old story, cant finish |
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SY, my money on jinxed them.
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