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ajb89
16 Apr 12 23:40
Joined:
Date Joined: 30 Jan 12
| Topic/replies: 358 | Blogger: ajb89's blog
Firstly, I am surprised at the short odds for Lanus here, they don't deserve to be going to this game @1.7.

They have been thoroughly disappointing this clausura season and their lowly standing does not belie their performances. They have played like the side that betfair's odds makes them out to be occasionally such as their 6-0 win over Olimpia and  they fought well against Boca for their 2-2 draw but from what I have seen of them, and what I can see from their results they are very short.
They are toothless in attack- Pavone is like Berbatov's lazier and more erratic cousin. The rest of the team seem to know this and are very defensively minded.
In their last 15 games they have only scored in 9 of them. 4 of these were Copa Lib games. In their last 10 they have only scored in 4.

But obviously their price comes down to who they are playing. Looking at Atletico's league position they seem a few places above Lanus but its always bunched up in the middle.
They have been playing poorly too. They are also very bad on the road like ATROCIOUS. They have won once away since September against Rosario (a primera B side) gaining just ONE point in that time. Apart from the 2 goals they scored in that game to draw they have scored just 3 league goals away since late September.

All in all betting-wise I can't suggest too much I'm just giving you the facts as I see them. I would suggest unders based on the facts but I don't want to be held to account if they decide to go goal-mad. Even as I write that, I feel silly. Neither team can attack unless the Lanus that hosted Olympia turn up and I doubt it- GO UNDERS GO UNDERS GO UNDERS!

Lanus @1.7, its very low for a team playing as badly as they are currently but considering Atletico Rafaela's history of turning up at away games with less attack than a potato gun it seems like a safe bet.

Both teams to score @1.87 seems like the better money if its late and you're feeling greedy.
Pause Switch to Standard View Lanus v Atletico Rafaela. Here's my...
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Report ajb89 April 16, 2012 11:42 PM BST
Both teams NOT to score I should have said!
Report ajb89 April 16, 2012 11:42 PM BST
Both teams NOT to score I should have said!
Report a bitofinterest April 16, 2012 11:44 PM BST
pardon ?
Report drewboy April 16, 2012 11:49 PM BST
I have seen Lanus put in some very dubious efforts against relegation-threatened teams before and they look a horrible price tonight.
Report ajb89 April 16, 2012 11:50 PM BST
I put at the end btts to score but i mean for both teams not to score @1.87.
also error when i said clausura is it me or betfair that is wrong, they are saying that its an apertura match? its them i'm sure
Report themover April 17, 2012 12:02 AM BST
Unders for me. Quite tempted to back 0-0 as well.
Report desperatemunter April 17, 2012 12:04 AM BST
Lanus are the pinnacle of Filth and owe me loads.
NO wins in last seven in the league, yet here they are 1.7 at home.  They are DIRT.
Report themover April 17, 2012 12:05 AM BST
Maybe tonight is the night for revenge desperatemunter. At.Rafela at 6's wouldn't be the biggest shock of the night.
Report desperatemunter April 17, 2012 12:07 AM BST
they got their Copa form in order but can't do a tap in their league - this HAS to be a problem they take seriously at the club.  So,  the win HAS to come. Tonight . if not 3 weeks ago.
Therse chuggers HAVE to deliver !!
(yes, themover)
Report desperatemunter April 17, 2012 12:09 AM BST
i'm not in the groove here due to losing out to the suspend (and my own tardiness) on a 0-1 HT bet that payed FAT. judgement may now be suspect.
Report desperatemunter April 17, 2012 12:13 AM BST
nice write up OP.
"Both teams to score @1.87 seems like the better money if its late and you're feeling greedy."  - but that made me laugh
Report thebert April 17, 2012 12:16 AM BST
0-0 @11 has got to be value in Argieball.
Report Craigyboy77. April 17, 2012 12:17 AM BST
Only 1 bet for me in this game. Lanus to score @ 1.21. I have put a good amount on this as i'm pretty much certain they will score tonight.

GL Excited
Report ajb89 April 17, 2012 12:19 AM BST
I corrected myself straight away btNts @1.87- that's what i'm on because its late and i'm greedy!


I'm such an idiot, i've been reading through the facts for the Colombia primera B game just. Why can't I just leave it alone? (i'd say home win on that btw if anyone's interested)
Report lukekelly88 April 17, 2012 12:21 AM BST
they are the epitimome of scum,are a state of a team at that price,id love to lash the 11 players bare backsides with a football for a few hours a day over the crappy football they conjure up every week
Report desperatemunter April 17, 2012 12:23 AM BST
I'll be doing the Colombian game too - depraved innit.
Actually the Colombian footie is interesting.  One of the hardest of the lot to get right.
managed to screw a few shekels out of Atl Nat last night with the 1-0 HT, but they gave nothing for anyone after that.
Report lukekelly88 April 17, 2012 12:24 AM BST
f Lanus dont win here i hope the 11 players are done up the anus by the local rapists after the game.. im putting 100 on these gits
Report desperatemunter April 17, 2012 12:25 AM BST
I don't bet on this stuff with the expectation of profit - that's a bonus if it happens.  Leagues like Colombia and Mexico are akin to some kind of brainteaser challenge : yer pretty damn smart when you can foretell how one these games will unfold.
Report lukekelly88 April 17, 2012 12:27 AM BST
Arsenal de sarandi are the best team to back at home for overs.. does any1 know the Boca result last night?
Report desperatemunter April 17, 2012 12:27 AM BST
Iget the bile out when Anus play Colon. Never fails for me that pair.   When I'm old and senile that'll be what makes me laugh.
Report Craigyboy77. April 17, 2012 12:27 AM BST
I'm also going to have a small interest on over1.5 half time @ 3.45
Report desperatemunter April 17, 2012 12:28 AM BST
I love Arsenal.  give me results time and again. lovethem so much I even bet them against Colon (ha!) last game even though I knew their good run was waaay overdue to end.
Report desperatemunter April 17, 2012 12:30 AM BST
"I love Arsenal" which is ironic as I am spud.  Had good laugh at Arsenal tonight. almost removed the 1-5 memories of yesterday. Spuds so gash. I bet draw/Chelsea.
Report ben54321 April 17, 2012 12:36 AM BST
they played decent against boca, all be it a 'big game', got a feeling they're going to beat the -1 to be honest or at least the ht/ft
Report ajb89 April 17, 2012 12:44 AM BST
Boca got done 2-1 by a late OG luke, but they were chasing their equaliser for long enough so it wasn't unjust.

I think I have backed Arsenal (de Sarandi)twice and lost both times. They are my argentinian west ham
Report lukekelly88 April 17, 2012 1:21 AM BST
smells like **** the poor odds on lanus
Report Bashy April 17, 2012 1:23 AM BST
Anouncement: Betfair are training a suspend monkey on this game.
Report ImAllIn April 17, 2012 1:24 AM BST
Backed Unders at 1.83!!

Anyone else on this? :)
Report lukekelly88 April 17, 2012 1:27 AM BST
and bet365 are hiring traders from paddy Power with their terrible odds
Report mecca April 17, 2012 1:32 AM BST
Away team @ 6.4 looks good to me
Report bikos April 17, 2012 1:33 AM BST
unders look good, should have taken them earlier when odds were better
Report desperatemunter April 17, 2012 1:33 AM BST
both teams can score here.  2-1 betted.
Report bikos April 17, 2012 1:38 AM BST
i dont know mayb im nuts,dont know 2 much about this 2 teams but lanus are playing well,1.74 doesnt look 2 bad ...i think they are good enuf to back
Report bikos April 17, 2012 1:40 AM BST
initially thought of laying the draw
Report lukekelly88 April 17, 2012 1:46 AM BST
penalty,flip
Report Bashy April 17, 2012 1:47 AM BST
GOALLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL
Report mecca April 17, 2012 1:50 AM BST
home team did start to look stronger as the game went on, but that was a very soft penalty
Report ajb89 April 17, 2012 1:52 AM BST
For the good of your bank I still wouldn't chase the goals. I did with Quilmes n Rosario and that finished 1-0 thanks to a 32min penalty
Report lukekelly88 April 17, 2012 1:54 AM BST
they'll get 1 next half too,all over them
Report ramazz April 17, 2012 2:06 AM BST
what do you guys think of one more goal here?
Report ajb89 April 17, 2012 2:14 AM BST
I'd say you can never rule it out, Ramazz. By the way the game has gone and Atletico's bad away scoring record you could put lanus next goal on @1.88 rather than just 1.32
Report lukekelly88 April 17, 2012 2:28 AM BST
cmon ye fools and score again
Report ajb89 April 17, 2012 2:38 AM BST
Lanus' movement is alright, isn't it? Just got those lack of confidence finishing blue aka couldn't hit a barn door with a banjo
Report lukekelly88 April 17, 2012 2:43 AM BST
and the wanks score 6 two weeks ago when i dont bet on goals.agh i hate these wasters
Report smb360 April 17, 2012 2:46 AM BST
The team that scored 147 own goals in one match tried harder to keep the ball out of their net than Olimpia though.
Report lukekelly88 April 17, 2012 2:50 AM BST
true,still these are a shambles too,should be out of sight.1 lousy penalty, pish game
Report lukekelly88 April 17, 2012 2:51 AM BST
just have to lol at this its so rubbish
Report lukekelly88 April 17, 2012 2:51 AM BST
how on earth wasnt that an eq ha
Report a bitofinterest April 17, 2012 2:53 AM BST
you can almost smell another goal
Report mecca April 17, 2012 2:55 AM BST
away goal please
Report lukekelly88 April 17, 2012 2:56 AM BST
they could easily get it if they passed it in instead of the wild shooting,hope the local rapists get them later
Report mecca April 17, 2012 2:58 AM BST
here we go
Report lukekelly88 April 17, 2012 2:58 AM BST
never again,waste of money completely.wish the Argy lge would get some good strikers
Report mecca April 17, 2012 3:01 AM BST
c rap
Report themover April 17, 2012 3:01 AM BST
FT 1-0

well done OP Cool
Report ajb89 April 17, 2012 3:06 AM BST
Cheers, mover. quite chuffed I didn't get it wrong, i'd never boast that i'm going to get it right as a cert like some idiots on here.

My side prediction of a home win on the colombian's game is working out too. researching games might be worth it you know!!!
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