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ajb89
16 Apr 12 23:40
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Date Joined: 30 Jan 12
| Topic/replies: 358 | Blogger: ajb89's blog
Firstly, I am surprised at the short odds for Lanus here, they don't deserve to be going to this game @1.7.

They have been thoroughly disappointing this clausura season and their lowly standing does not belie their performances. They have played like the side that betfair's odds makes them out to be occasionally such as their 6-0 win over Olimpia and  they fought well against Boca for their 2-2 draw but from what I have seen of them, and what I can see from their results they are very short.
They are toothless in attack- Pavone is like Berbatov's lazier and more erratic cousin. The rest of the team seem to know this and are very defensively minded.
In their last 15 games they have only scored in 9 of them. 4 of these were Copa Lib games. In their last 10 they have only scored in 4.

But obviously their price comes down to who they are playing. Looking at Atletico's league position they seem a few places above Lanus but its always bunched up in the middle.
They have been playing poorly too. They are also very bad on the road like ATROCIOUS. They have won once away since September against Rosario (a primera B side) gaining just ONE point in that time. Apart from the 2 goals they scored in that game to draw they have scored just 3 league goals away since late September.

All in all betting-wise I can't suggest too much I'm just giving you the facts as I see them. I would suggest unders based on the facts but I don't want to be held to account if they decide to go goal-mad. Even as I write that, I feel silly. Neither team can attack unless the Lanus that hosted Olympia turn up and I doubt it- GO UNDERS GO UNDERS GO UNDERS!

Lanus @1.7, its very low for a team playing as badly as they are currently but considering Atletico Rafaela's history of turning up at away games with less attack than a potato gun it seems like a safe bet.

Both teams to score @1.87 seems like the better money if its late and you're feeling greedy.

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Replies: 56
By:
ajb89
When: 16 Apr 12 23:42
Both teams NOT to score I should have said!
By:
ajb89
When: 16 Apr 12 23:42
Both teams NOT to score I should have said!
By:
a bitofinterest
When: 16 Apr 12 23:44
pardon ?
By:
drewboy
When: 16 Apr 12 23:49
I have seen Lanus put in some very dubious efforts against relegation-threatened teams before and they look a horrible price tonight.
By:
ajb89
When: 16 Apr 12 23:50
I put at the end btts to score but i mean for both teams not to score @1.87.
also error when i said clausura is it me or betfair that is wrong, they are saying that its an apertura match? its them i'm sure
By:
themover
When: 17 Apr 12 00:02
Unders for me. Quite tempted to back 0-0 as well.
By:
desperatemunter
When: 17 Apr 12 00:04
Lanus are the pinnacle of Filth and owe me loads.
NO wins in last seven in the league, yet here they are 1.7 at home.  They are DIRT.
By:
themover
When: 17 Apr 12 00:05
Maybe tonight is the night for revenge desperatemunter. At.Rafela at 6's wouldn't be the biggest shock of the night.
By:
desperatemunter
When: 17 Apr 12 00:07
they got their Copa form in order but can't do a tap in their league - this HAS to be a problem they take seriously at the club.  So,  the win HAS to come. Tonight . if not 3 weeks ago.
Therse chuggers HAVE to deliver !!
(yes, themover)
By:
desperatemunter
When: 17 Apr 12 00:09
i'm not in the groove here due to losing out to the suspend (and my own tardiness) on a 0-1 HT bet that payed FAT. judgement may now be suspect.
By:
desperatemunter
When: 17 Apr 12 00:13
nice write up OP.
"Both teams to score @1.87 seems like the better money if its late and you're feeling greedy."  - but that made me laugh
By:
thebert
When: 17 Apr 12 00:16
0-0 @11 has got to be value in Argieball.
By:
Craigyboy77.
When: 17 Apr 12 00:17
Only 1 bet for me in this game. Lanus to score @ 1.21. I have put a good amount on this as i'm pretty much certain they will score tonight.

GL Excited
By:
ajb89
When: 17 Apr 12 00:19
I corrected myself straight away btNts @1.87- that's what i'm on because its late and i'm greedy!


I'm such an idiot, i've been reading through the facts for the Colombia primera B game just. Why can't I just leave it alone? (i'd say home win on that btw if anyone's interested)
By:
lukekelly88
When: 17 Apr 12 00:21
they are the epitimome of scum,are a state of a team at that price,id love to lash the 11 players bare backsides with a football for a few hours a day over the crappy football they conjure up every week
By:
desperatemunter
When: 17 Apr 12 00:23
I'll be doing the Colombian game too - depraved innit.
Actually the Colombian footie is interesting.  One of the hardest of the lot to get right.
managed to screw a few shekels out of Atl Nat last night with the 1-0 HT, but they gave nothing for anyone after that.
By:
lukekelly88
When: 17 Apr 12 00:24
f Lanus dont win here i hope the 11 players are done up the anus by the local rapists after the game.. im putting 100 on these gits
By:
desperatemunter
When: 17 Apr 12 00:25
I don't bet on this stuff with the expectation of profit - that's a bonus if it happens.  Leagues like Colombia and Mexico are akin to some kind of brainteaser challenge : yer pretty damn smart when you can foretell how one these games will unfold.
By:
lukekelly88
When: 17 Apr 12 00:27
Arsenal de sarandi are the best team to back at home for overs.. does any1 know the Boca result last night?
By:
desperatemunter
When: 17 Apr 12 00:27
Iget the bile out when Anus play Colon. Never fails for me that pair.   When I'm old and senile that'll be what makes me laugh.
By:
Craigyboy77.
When: 17 Apr 12 00:27
I'm also going to have a small interest on over1.5 half time @ 3.45
By:
desperatemunter
When: 17 Apr 12 00:28
I love Arsenal.  give me results time and again. lovethem so much I even bet them against Colon (ha!) last game even though I knew their good run was waaay overdue to end.
By:
desperatemunter
When: 17 Apr 12 00:30
"I love Arsenal" which is ironic as I am spud.  Had good laugh at Arsenal tonight. almost removed the 1-5 memories of yesterday. Spuds so gash. I bet draw/Chelsea.
By:
ben54321
When: 17 Apr 12 00:36
they played decent against boca, all be it a 'big game', got a feeling they're going to beat the -1 to be honest or at least the ht/ft
By:
ajb89
When: 17 Apr 12 00:44
Boca got done 2-1 by a late OG luke, but they were chasing their equaliser for long enough so it wasn't unjust.

I think I have backed Arsenal (de Sarandi)twice and lost both times. They are my argentinian west ham
By:
lukekelly88
When: 17 Apr 12 01:21
smells like **** the poor odds on lanus
By:
Bashy
When: 17 Apr 12 01:23
Anouncement: Betfair are training a suspend monkey on this game.
By:
ImAllIn
When: 17 Apr 12 01:24
Backed Unders at 1.83!!

Anyone else on this? :)
By:
lukekelly88
When: 17 Apr 12 01:27
and bet365 are hiring traders from paddy Power with their terrible odds
By:
mecca
When: 17 Apr 12 01:32
Away team @ 6.4 looks good to me
By:
bikos
When: 17 Apr 12 01:33
unders look good, should have taken them earlier when odds were better
By:
desperatemunter
When: 17 Apr 12 01:33
both teams can score here.  2-1 betted.
By:
bikos
When: 17 Apr 12 01:38
i dont know mayb im nuts,dont know 2 much about this 2 teams but lanus are playing well,1.74 doesnt look 2 bad ...i think they are good enuf to back
By:
bikos
When: 17 Apr 12 01:40
initially thought of laying the draw
By:
lukekelly88
When: 17 Apr 12 01:46
penalty,flip
By:
Bashy
When: 17 Apr 12 01:47
GOALLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL
By:
mecca
When: 17 Apr 12 01:50
home team did start to look stronger as the game went on, but that was a very soft penalty
By:
ajb89
When: 17 Apr 12 01:52
For the good of your bank I still wouldn't chase the goals. I did with Quilmes n Rosario and that finished 1-0 thanks to a 32min penalty
By:
lukekelly88
When: 17 Apr 12 01:54
they'll get 1 next half too,all over them
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