Apr 15, 2012 -- 1:10PM, Jamesinengland wrote:
Fair enough a simple back a hope it comes in? Once it goes 1-0, do you trade out or hope for an equaliser?
Just when the price is too big and if the price goes too short I will lay it, if the price doesn't go too short I run it.
Apr 15, 2012 -- 1:31PM, ShirleyKnot wrote:
Apr 15, 2012 -- 1:10PM, Jamesinengland wrote:Fair enough a simple back a hope it comes in? Once it goes 1-0, do you trade out or hope for an equaliser?Just when the price is too big and if the price goes too short I will lay it, if the price doesn't go too short I run it.
Sounds like you can price up draws very well!
Apr 15, 2012 -- 2:37PM, ShirleyKnot wrote:
I am far too modest to agree to that but I don't see how you can make money unless you can identify wrong prices. Your suggestion would rely on the market always being wrong and the majority of the time it is right.
I think the market pre match is almost spot on, read somewhere about someone analysing 15,000 matched and it suggested that the draw market was only 0.66% overvalued when it came to backing the draw.
Started this thread as your very rarely see anyone say "free money" back the draw. But surely at times it must be the must "value" bet.