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Jamesinengland
15 Apr 12 11:27
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Date Joined: 02 Dec 10
| Topic/replies: 536 | Blogger: Jamesinengland's blog
Just out of interest does anyone here back draws before game then trade out later?

Obviously a lot of people use lay the draw just wondered if people back the draw with a view to traded out later in the game?

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Replies: 9
By:
ShirleyKnot
When: 15 Apr 12 12:26
I back it when the price is too big.
By:
Jamesinengland
When: 15 Apr 12 13:10
Fair enough a simple back a hope it comes in?

Once it goes 1-0, do you trade out or hope for an equaliser?
By:
vizouk
When: 15 Apr 12 13:16
I back draw or unders in games i see the goal is not coming soon. I leave the market if i analyse a free kick for e.g more dangerous than the 5+ ticks i would loose if i stayed out of the market.
By:
flatliner
When: 15 Apr 12 13:18
Same here, when its too big.
By:
ShirleyKnot
When: 15 Apr 12 13:31

Apr 15, 2012 -- 1:10PM, Jamesinengland wrote:


Fair enough a simple back a hope it comes in? Once it goes 1-0, do you trade out or hope for an equaliser?


Just when the price is too big and if the price goes too short I will lay it, if the price doesn't go too short I run it.

By:
Burton-Brewers
When: 15 Apr 12 13:34
I sometimes back draws but I never trade out
By:
Jamesinengland
When: 15 Apr 12 13:41

Apr 15, 2012 -- 1:31PM, ShirleyKnot wrote:


Apr 15, 2012 --  1:10PM, Jamesinengland wrote:Fair enough a simple back a hope it comes in? Once it goes 1-0, do you trade out or hope for an equaliser?Just when the price is too big and if the price goes too short I will lay it, if the price doesn't go too short I run it.


Sounds like you can price up draws very well!

By:
ShirleyKnot
When: 15 Apr 12 14:37
I am far too modest to agree to that but I don't see how you can make money unless you can identify wrong prices.

Your suggestion would rely on the market always being wrong and the majority of the time it is right.
By:
Jamesinengland
When: 15 Apr 12 15:05

Apr 15, 2012 -- 2:37PM, ShirleyKnot wrote:


I am far too modest to agree to that but I don't see how you can make money unless you can identify wrong prices. Your suggestion would rely on the market always being wrong and the majority of the time it is right.


I think the market pre match is almost spot on, read somewhere about someone analysing 15,000 matched and it suggested that the draw market was only 0.66% overvalued when it came to backing the draw.

Started this thread as your very rarely see anyone say "free money" back the draw. But surely at times it must be the must "value" bet.

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