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tobermory
14 Apr 12 03:04
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Date Joined: 01 Mar 08
| Topic/replies: 63,367 | Blogger: tobermory's blog
Will do this with £300 til end of season . Max Stake is 3%, £9 per match

Purpose to test the ratings, which if accurate should identify value bets . So try and get as many bets on as possible, starting with England this weekend ,but will try some other leagues too.

Inaccurate ratings will lead to inaccurate odds compiling, poor value bets, and inevitable losses. By placing many bets will have enough data to adjust ratings as results suggest so should improve accuracy overtime.

Premier League Ratings

Team Rating Team Rating
Man City 100.0 Aston Villa 85.5
Man United  99.5 Stoke 85.0
Tottenham 97.0 West Brom 84.5
Arsenal 96.5 Norwich 84.5
Chelsea 96.5 Swansea 84.0
Liverpool 96.0 Blackburn 83.0
Everton 88.0 QPR 83.0
Newcastle 87.5 Bolton 82.5
Fulham 86.0 Wigan 82.0
Sunderland 85.5 Wolves 81.5
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Report tobermory March 9, 2013 3:00 AM GMT
£2 Wigan@8.6
£9 Man City@1.15

1.05 is probably rather short for City as page 6 table seems to overstate the fav margin for the big favourites but  1.15 is the sort of odds City were v bottom 3 prem not long back and this is bottom 3 championship, and can't really play a weak team with their squad + they don't have many games left to do much resting for

£5 Norwich@2.56
£2 Sunderland@3.65
£3 Stoke@5.4
£5 (liabilty)Lay,Liverpool@1.88 & £4 Tottenham@4.4
Report tobermory March 9, 2013 2:34 PM GMT
£3 more on Norwich@2.80
Report tobermory March 9, 2013 4:58 PM GMT
£7 Malaga@3.65 v Valladolid . Not time to post my odds as forget about this but would have Malaga favs by my ratings
Report tobermory March 9, 2013 8:53 PM GMT
Match P/L Bet 1 Bet 2 Stake Return Tot.Stk. Tot.Ret. ROI Bank Com.Tot.
216 Southampton v QPR £10.73 £3 Lay,Southampton@1.86 £2 QPR@4.9 £5.00 £15.73 £1,037.00 £938.42 90.49% £201.42 £28.01
217 Wigan v Liverpool £4.00 £2 Lay,Liverpool@1.81 £2 Wigan@4.8 £4.00 £0.00 £1,041.00 £938.42 90.15% £197.42 £28.01
218 Osasuna v Athletic Bilbao £4.56 £2 Athletic Bilbao@3.4 £2.00 £6.56 £1,043.00 £944.98 90.60% £201.98 £28.25
219 Valencia v Levante £2.00 £2 Levante@7.2 £2.00 £0.00 £1,045.00 £944.98 90.43% £199.98 £28.25
220 Granada v Mallorca £6.08 £2 Mallorca@4.2 £2.00 £8.08 £1,047.00 £953.06 91.03% £206.06 £28.57
221 Espanyol v Valladolid £2.42 £4 Lay,Espanyol@1.88 £2 Valladolid@4.8 £6.00 £8.42
222 Tottenham v Arsenal £2.81 £2 Tottenham@2.48 £2.00 £4.81 £1,055.00 £966.29 91.59% £211.29 £28.85
223 Malaga v Athletico Madrid £3.00 £3 Malaga@3.4 £3.00 £0.00 £1,058.00 £966.29 91.33% £208.29 £28.85
224 Sociedad v Betis £2.00 £2 Betis@4.8 £2.00 £0.00 £1,060.00 £966.29 91.16% £206.29 £28.85
225 Aston Villa v Man City £2.00 £2 Aston Villa@8.6 £2.00 £0.00 £1,062.00 £966.29 90.99% £204.29 £28.85
226 Juventus v Celtic £2.99 £7 Juventus@1.45 £7.00 £9.99 £1,069.00 £976.28 91.33% £207.28 £29.01
227 Everton v Wigan £14.44 £2 Wigan@8.6 £2.00 £16.44 £1,071.00 £992.72 92.69% £221.72 £29.77
228 Norwich v Southampton £8.00 £8 Norwich@2.65 £8.00 £0.00
229 QPR v Sunderland £2.00 £2 Sunderland@3.65 £2.00 £0.00 £1,081.00 £992.72 91.83% £211.72 £29.77
230 Valladolid v Malaga £7.00 £7 Malaga@3.65 £7.00 £0.00 £1,088.00 £992.72 91.24% £204.72 £29.77
231 Man City v Barnsley £1.28 £9 Man City@1.15 £9.00 £10.28 £1,097.00 £1,003.00 91.43% £206.00 £29.84
Report tobermory March 9, 2013 9:05 PM GMT
Team Rating Team Rating
Barcelona 107.0 Levante 86.0
Real Madrid 104.5 Rayo Vallecano 86.0
Athletico Madrid 97.5 Valladolid 85.0
Malaga 92.5 Osasuna 85.0
Valencia 92.5 Espanyol 83.5
Seville 90.0 Zaragoza 83.0
Real Sociedad 89.5 Celta Vigo 83.0
Betis 87.5 Mallorca 83.0
Athletic Bilbao 87.0 Granada 83.0
Getafe 86.5 Deportivo La Coruna 82.0


Home Draw Away
3.01 Athletic Bilbao 3.48 Valencia 2.63
2.36 Levante 3.6 Getafe 3.35
14.8 Celta Vigo 6.5 Real Madrid 1.28
1.54 Athletico Madrid 4.75 Real Sociedad 7.06
2.29 Zaragoza 3.63 Granada 3.47
Report tobermory March 10, 2013 3:50 PM GMT
£5.99 (liabilty) Lay, Draw@3.25 Levante v Getafe

incredible plunge on the draw to 3.25 Shocked Don't normally see that other than in last few games of the season when clubs do each other 'favours'.Hope this is not one of those sort of games...
Report tobermory March 10, 2013 3:55 PM GMT
ffs what am i doing , the draw never reached that low but i thought it was matched when i'd actually layed Getafe , Cancelled that one now Crazy
Report tobermory March 10, 2013 5:53 PM GMT
£9 Real Madrid@1.50
Report tobermory March 12, 2013 6:03 PM GMT
Page 6 Conversion Table miscalculated so scrapped that and done another

Differential Team 1 Draw Team 2 Differential Team 1 Draw Team 2 Differential Team 1 Draw Team 2
0 2.83 3.40 2.83 10.5 1.69 4.24 5.8 21 1.26 7.3 14.43
0.5 2.76 3.43 2.89 11 1.66 4.4 6.02 21.5 1.25 7.5 14.99
1 2.7 3.45 2.94 11.5 1.63 4.4 6.28 22 1.24 7.7 15.72
1.5 2.63 3.48 3.01 12 1.60 4.5 6.54 22.5 1.23 7.9 16.56
2 2.57[ 3.5 3.08 12.5[ 1.57 4.6 6.86 23 1.22 8.1 17.61
2.5 2.50 3.52 3.17 [13 1.55 4.7 7.04 23.5 1.21 8.3 18.8
3 2.43 3.55 3.26 13.5 1.53 4.8 7.24 24 1.20 8.55 20.1
3.5 2.36 3.57 3.38 14 1.50 4.9 7.74 24.5 1.19 8.8 21.7
4 2.29 3.60 3.50 14.5 1.48 5 8.05 25 1.18 9.1 23.5
4.5 2.23 3.63 3.62 15 1.46 5.12 8.35 25.5 1.17 9.4 25.6
5 2.16 3.66 3.79 15.5 1.44 5.24 8.71 26 1.16 9.8 27.9
5.5 2.10 3.69 3.96 16 1.42 5.36 9.16 26.5 1.15 10.3 30
6 2.05 3.72 4.11 16.5 1.40 5.48 9.69 27 1.14 10.9 32.1
6.5 2.00 3.75 4.29 17 1.38 5.6 10.33 27.5 1.13 11.6 34.7
7 1.96 3.78 4.4 17.5 1.36 5.75 11.01 28 1.12 12.4 37.7
7.5 1.92 3.82 4.6 18 1.34 5.92 11.79 28.5 1.11 13.3 42
8 1.88 3.87 4.77 18.5 1.32 6.15 12.53 29 1.10 14.4 47
8.5 1.84 3.93 4.95 19 1.30 6.4 13.42 29.5 1.09 15.8 52
9 1.80 4.0 5.14 19.5 1.29 6.6 13.64 30 1.08 17.6 58
9.5 1.76 4.08 5.36 20 1.28 6.8 13.97 30.5 1.07 20 65
10 1.72 4.16 5.61 20.5 1.27 7.05 14.12 31 1.06 23 76
Report tobermory March 12, 2013 6:14 PM GMT
Team Rating Team Rating
Barcelona 107.0 Arsenal 94.0
Bayern Munich 102.5 AC Milan 93.5
Porto 94.5 Malaga 92.5
Schalke 94.0 Galatasaray 89.0


Rate Arsenal 93.0 with Wilshere out


Home Draw Away
1.36 Barcelona 5.75 AC Milan 11.01
1.80 Schalke 4 Galatasaray 5.14
1.53 Bayern Munich 4.8 Arsenal 7.24
2.50 Malaga 3.52 Porto 3.17
Report tobermory March 13, 2013 4:38 PM GMT
miscalculated the Malaga one

Home Draw Away
2.57 QPR 3.5 Norwich 3.08


£3 Malaga @2.98, currently 2.90
Report tobermory March 13, 2013 4:38 PM GMT
ffs

Home Draw Away
2.57 Malaga 3.50 Porto 3.08
Report tobermory March 13, 2013 7:40 PM GMT
£2 (liabilty) Lay,Bayern Munich@1.38 & £2 Arsenal@9.4
Report tobermory March 13, 2013 11:54 PM GMT
the 83p commission from Saturday's winners was given back because of the site problems

Match P/L Bet 1 Bet 2 Stake Return Tot.Stk. Tot.Ret. ROI Bank Com.Tot.
223 Malaga v Athletico Madrid £3.00 £3 Malaga@3.4 £3.00 £0.00 £1,058.00 £966.29 91.33% £208.29 £28.85
224 Sociedad v Betis £2.00 £2 Betis@4.8 £2.00 £0.00 £1,060.00 £966.29 91.16% £206.29 £28.85
225 Aston Villa v Man City £2.00 £2 Aston Villa@8.6 £2.00 £0.00 £1,062.00 £966.29 90.99% £204.29 £28.85
226 Juventus v Celtic £2.99 £7 Juventus@1.45 £7.00 £9.99 £1,069.00 £976.28 91.33% £207.28 £29.01
227 Everton v Wigan £14.44 £2 Wigan@8.6 £2.00 £16.44 £1,071.00 £992.72 92.69% £221.72 £29.77
228 Norwich v Southampton £8.00 £8 Norwich@2.65 £8.00 £0.00
229 QPR v Sunderland £2.00 £2 Sunderland@3.65 £2.00 £0.00 £1,081.00 £992.72 91.83% £211.72 £29.77
230 Valladolid v Malaga £7.00 £7 Malaga@3.65 £7.00 £0.00 £1,088.00 £992.72 91.24% £204.72 £29.77
231 Man City v Barnsley £1.28 £9 Man City@1.15 £9.00 £10.28 £1,097.00 £1,003.00 91.43% £206.00 £29.84
232 Newcastle v Stoke £3.00 £3 Stoke@5.4 £3.00 £0.00 £1,100.00 £1,003.83 91.26% £203.83 £29.01
233 Liverpool v Tottenham £9.00 £5 Lay,Liverpool@1.88 £4 Tottenham@4.4 £9.00 £0.00 £1,109.00 £1,003.83 90.52% £194.83 £29.01
234 Celta Vigo v Real Madrid £4.27 £9 Real Madrid@1.50 £9.00 £13.27 £1,118.00 £1,017.10 90.97% £199.10 £29.24
235 Malaga v Porto £5.64 £3 Malaga@2.98 £3.00 £8.64
236 Bayern Munich v Arsenal £20.97 £2 Lay,Bayern Munich@1.38 £2 Arsenal@9.4 £4.00 £24.97 £1,125.00 £1,050.71 93.40% £225.71 £30.64
Report tobermory March 14, 2013 11:01 PM GMT
Team Rating Team Rating
Man United 100.0 Fulham 85.0
Man City 99.5 Stoke 84.5
Chelsea 96.0 Norwich 84.5
Tottenham 96.0 Wigan 84.0
Liverpool 94.5 West Ham 84.0
Arsenal 94.0 Sunderland 83.5
Everton 92.0 Aston Villa 83.5
Newcastle 87.5 Southampton 83.0
Swansea 87.0 QPR 82.5
West Brom 86.5 Reading 81.5


Home Draw Away
3.38 Everton 3.57 Man City 2.36
2.16 Aston Villa 3.66 QPR 3.79
4.6 Southampton 3.82 Liverpool 1.92
2.59 Stoke 3.34 West Brom 3.17
3.38 Swansea 3.57 Arsenal 2.36
1.23 Man United 7.9 Reading 16.56
2.45 Sunderland 3.34 Norwich 3.41
1.46 Tottenham 5.12 Fulham 8.35
2.76 Wigan 3.43 Newcastle 2.89
1.42 Chelsea 5.36 West Ham 9.16


Page 1 Table for Stoke & Sunderland ,Page 8 for others
Report tobermory March 14, 2013 11:44 PM GMT
most of these some way from being matched

£3 (liability) Lay,Man City@2.04 & £2 Everton@4
£1 (liability) Lay,Man United@1.17 & £2 Reading@24
£3 (liability) Lay,Sunderland@2.06 & £2 Norwich@4.3
£3 (liability) Lay,Wigan@2.32 & £2 Newcastle@3.45
£4 Tottenham@1.58
Report tobermory March 14, 2013 11:59 PM GMT
Team Rating Team Rating
Barcelona 107.0 Levante 86.0
Real Madrid 104.5 Rayo Vallecano 86.0
Athletico Madrid 97.5 Valladolid 85.0
Malaga 92.5 Osasuna 85.0
Valencia 92.5 Espanyol 83.5
Seville 90.0 Zaragoza 83.0
Real Sociedad 90.0 Celta Vigo 83.0
Betis 87.5 Mallorca 83.0
Athletic Bilbao 87.0 Granada 83.0
Getafe 86.5 Deportivo La Coruna 82.0


Home Draw Away
2.43 Deportivo La Coruna 3.55 Celta Vigo 3.26
1.80 Real Sociedad 4 Valladolid 5.14
2.36 Getafe 3.57 Athletic Bilbao 3.38
1.17 Real Madrid 9.4 Mallorca 25.6
1.80 Valencia 4 Betis 5.14
1.55 Malaga 4.7 Espanyol 7.04
1.66 Seville 4.4 Zaragoza 6.02
4.95 Osasuna 3.93 Athletico Madrid 1.84
1.18 Barcelona 9.1 Rayo Vallecano 23.5
2.70 Granada 3.45 Levante 2.94
Report tobermory March 16, 2013 2:42 PM GMT
£6.97 (liablity) Lay, Southampton@4.1
£2 Aston Villa@2.44
Report tobermory March 16, 2013 2:45 PM GMT
£1.94 (liability) Lay Sociedad@1.61 & £2 Valladlid@7
Report tobermory March 16, 2013 2:56 PM GMT
£3 Stoke@2.94
Report tobermory March 16, 2013 5:01 PM GMT
Team Rating Team Rating
Juventus 98.5 Sampdoria 85.5
Napoli 95.0 Parma 85.0
AC Milan 94.0 Torino 84.5
Inter 93.0 Siena 84.5
Lazio 92.5 Cagliari 84.0
Fiorentina 92.0 Atalanta 84.0
Roma 91.5 Chievo 83.5
Udinese 89.0 Genoa 82.0
Catania 87.5 Palermo 81.5
Bologna 85.5 Pescara 80.5


Home Draw Away
2.50 Catania 3.52 Udinese 3.17
5.14 Bologna 4 Juventus 1.80
2.23 Siena 3.63 Cagliari 3.62
1.40 AC Milan 5.68 Palermo 9.69
1.50 Fiorentina 4.9 Genoa 7.74
1.46 Napoli 5.12 Atalanta 8.35
2.76 Pescara 3.28 Chievo 2.99
1.69 Roma 4.24 Parma 5.8
3.26 Sampdoria 3.55 Inter 2.43
3.52 Torino 3.48 Lazio 2.32


Pescara and Torino done with page 1 table , others page 8
Report tobermory March 16, 2013 5:01 PM GMT
Udinese would have been a good bet but missed that
Report tobermory March 16, 2013 5:25 PM GMT
another £1.01 (liability) Layed on United@1.15
Report tobermory March 16, 2013 7:11 PM GMT
£2 Bologna@5.8
Report tobermory March 16, 2013 8:34 PM GMT
£2 (liability) Lay,Valencia@1.67 & £2 Betis@6.2
Report tobermory March 16, 2013 11:25 PM GMT
£9 Malaga@1.94
£5 (liability) Lay,The Draw@3.25, Siena v Calgari
£2 Palermo@13
£2 Genoa@9.6
£4 Napoli@1.57
£4 (liability) Lay, Chievo@2.54
£2 (liability) Lay, Sevilla@1.42 & £2 Zaragoza@9.6
£3 Athletico Madrid@2.14
£2 Parma@7.2
£5 (liability) Lay,Sampdoria@2.42 & £4 Inter@3.35
£5 (liability) Lay,Torino@2.50 & £4 Lazio@3.35
£6 (liability) Lay,Granada@1.99 & £3 Levante@4.6
£2 (liability) Lay,Barcelona@1.13 & £2 Vallecano@32
Report tobermory March 30, 2013 4:54 AM GMT
disastrous results from all that, will update results table tommorow

Team Rating Team Rating
Man United 100.0 Fulham 85.5
Man City 99.0 Stoke 84.5
Chelsea 96.5 Norwich 84.5
Tottenham 96.0 Wigan 84.0
Liverpool 94.5 West Ham 84.0
Arsenal 94.0 Aston Villa 84.0
Everton 92.0 Sunderland 83.5
Newcastle 87.5 Southampton 83.0
Swansea 87.0 QPR 82.5
West Brom 86.5 Reading 81.5


page 1 conversion table used for West Ham & Fulham ,Page 8 for others

Home Draw Away
6.86 Sunderland 4.6 Man United 1.57
1.40 Arsenal 5.8 Reading 9.69
1.44 Man City 5.24 Newcastle 8.71
5.36 Southampton 4.08 Chelsea 1.76
3.79 Swansea 3.66 Tottenham 2.16
2.67 West Ham 3.32 West Brom 3.07
2.36 Wigan 3.57 Norwich 3.38
1.63 Everton 4.4 Stoke 6.28
4.11 Aston Villa 3.72 Liverpool 2.05
2.00 Fulham 3.70 QPR 4.3
Report tobermory March 30, 2013 5:10 AM GMT
£2 (liability) Lay,Arsenal@1.27 & £2 Reading@14.5
£6 (liability) Lay, Draw@3.9 , Everton v Stoke
£2 (liability) Lay,Man City@1.33 & £2 Newcastle@12.5
£6 Chelsea@2.26
£2 Tottenham@2.44
£3 West Brom@3.75
£2 (liability) Lay,Wigan@1.97 & £2 Norwich@4.6
£2 (liability) Lay,Liverpool@1.73 & £2 Aston Villa@5.3
Report tobermory April 2, 2013 3:53 AM BST
Scared this is the worst run i've ever had , or seen anyone have on football betting , good thing only small stakes

Match P/L Bet 1 Bet 2 Stake Return Tot.Stk. Tot.Ret. ROI Bank Com.Tot.
235 Malaga v Porto £5.64 £3 Malaga@2.98 £3.00 £8.64
236 Bayern Munich v Arsenal £20.97 £2 Lay,Bayern Munich@1.38 £2 Arsenal@9.4 £4.00 £24.97 £1,125.00 £1,050.71 93.40% £225.71 £30.64
237 Everton v Man City £8.44 £3 Lay,Man City@2.04 £2 Everton@4 £5.00 £13.44 £1,130.00 £1,064.15 94.17% £234.15 £31.08
238 Sociedad v Valladolid £3.94 £1.94 Lay,Sociedad@1.61 £2 Valladolid@7 £3.94 £0.00
239 Southampton v Liverpool  £6.98 £6.98Lay,Southampton@4.1 £6.98 £0.00
240 Stoke v West Brom £3.00 £3 Stoke@2.94 £3.00 £0.00
241 Aston Villa v QPR £2.74 £2 Aston Villa@2.44 £2.00 £4.74 £1,145.92 £1,068.89 93.28% £222.97 £31.22
242 Man United v Reading £4.01 £2.01 Lay,Man United@1.16 £2 Reading@24 £4.01 £0.00 £1,149.93 £1,068.89 92.95% £218.96 £31.22
243 Bologna v Juventus £2.00 £2 Bologna@5.8 £2.00 £0.00 £1,151.93 £1,068.89 92.79% £216.96 £31.22
244 Valencia v Betis £4.00 £2 Lay,Valencia@1.67 £2 Betis@6.2 £4.00 £0.00 £1,155.93 £1,068.89 92.47% £212.96 £31.22
245 Malaga v Espanyol £9.00 £9 Malaga@1.94 £9.00 £0.00 £1,164.93 £1,068.89  91.76% £203.96 £31.22
246 Siena v Cagliari £5.00 £5 Lay,Draw@3.25 £5.00 £0.00 £1,169.93 £1,068.89  91.36% £198.96 £31.22
247 Sunderland v Norwich £0.79 £3 Lay,Sunderland@2.06 £2 Norwich@4.3 £5.00 £5.79 £1,174.93 £1,074.68 91.47% £199.75 £31.26
248 Napoli v Atalanta £2.17 £4 Napoli@1.57 £4.00 £6.17
249 Pescara v Chievo £4.00 £4Lay,Chievo@2.54 £4.00 £0.00
250 Fiorentina v Genoa £2.00 £2 Genoa@9.6 £2.00 £0.00
251 AC Milan v Palermo £2.00 £2 Palermo@13 £2.00 £0.00 £1,186.93 £1,080.85 91.06% £193.92 £31.37
252 Sevilla v Zaragoza £20.97 £2 Lay,Sevilla@1.43 £2 Zaragoza@9.6 £4.00 £0.00
253 Wigan v Newcastle £5.00 £3 Lay,Wigan@2.32 £2 Newcastle@3.45 £5.00 £0.00 £1,195.93 £1,080.85 90.38% £184.92 £31.37
254 Osasuna v Athletico Madrid £3.25 £3 Athletico Madrid@2.14 £3.00 £6.25 £1,198.93 £1,087.10 90.67% £188.17 £31.54
255 Roma v Parma £2.00 £2 Parma@7.2 £2.00 £0.00
256 Torino v Lazio £9.00 £5 Lay,Torino@2.50 £4 Lazio@3.35 £9.00 £0.00 £1,209.93 £1,087.10 89.85% £177.17 £31.54
257 Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano £4.00 £2 Lay,Barcelona@1.13 £2 Rayo Vallecano@32 £4.00 £0.00
258 Granada v Levante £2.91 £6 Lay,Granada@1.99 £3 Levante@4.6 £9.00 £11.91 £1,222.93 £1,099.01 89.87% £176.08 £31.69
259 Man City v Newcastle £4.00 £2 Lay,Man City@1.33 £2 Newcastle@12.5 £4.00 £0.00
260 Arsenal v Reading £4.00 £2 Lay,Arsenal@1.27 £2 Reading@14.5 £4.00 £0.00
261 Wigan v Norwich £4.00 £2 Lay,Wigan @1.97 £2 Norwich@4.6 £4.00 £0.00
262 West Ham v West Brom £3.00 £3 West Brom@3.75 £3.00 £0.00
263 Swansea v Tottenham £2.74 £2 Tottenham@2.44 £2.00 £4.74
264 Southampton v Chelsea £6.00 £6 Chelsea@2.26 £6.00 £0.00 £1,245.93 £1,103.75 88.59% £157.82 £31.83
265 Everton v Stoke £1.97 £6 Lay,Draw@3.9 £6.00 £7.97 £1,251.93 £1,111.72 88.80% £159.79 £31.93
266 Aston Villa v Liverpool £4.00 £2 Lay,Liverpool@1.73 £2 Aston Villa@5.3 £4.00 £0.00 £1,255.93 £1,111.72 88.52% £155.79 £31.93
Report tobermory April 2, 2013 4:04 AM BST
Team Rating Team Rating
Barcelona 107.0 Juventus 99.0
Real Madrid 104.5 Paris St Germain 95.0
Bayern Munich 103.0 Malaga 92.5
Borrussia Dortmund 100.0 Galatasaray 90.0




Home Draw Away
4.77 Paris St Germain 3.87 Barcelona 1.88
1.88 Bayern Munich 3.87 Juventus 4.77
1.32 Real Madrid 6.15 Galatasaray 12.53
3.38 Malaga 3.57 Borrussia Dortmund 2.36
Report tobermory April 2, 2013 4:10 AM BST
of course lost £4.00 on match 252

£2 (liabilty) Lay,Bayern Munich@1.65 & £2 Juventus@6.6
£2 (liabilty) Lay,Real Madrid@1.19 & £2 Galatasaray@22
Report seddon61 April 2, 2013 4:15 AM BST
why no bet psg v barca
Report tobermory April 6, 2013 4:39 AM BST
didn't think the prices were different enough from mine . Have to be more choosy with half a bank Sad

Match P/L Bet 1 Bet 2 Stake Return Tot.Stk. Tot.Ret. ROI Bank Com.Tot.
252 Sevilla v Zaragoza £4.00 £2 Lay,Sevilla@1.43 £2 Zaragoza@9.6 £4.00 £0.00
253 Wigan v Newcastle £5.00 £3 Lay,Wigan@2.32 £2 Newcastle@3.45 £5.00 £0.00 £1,195.93 £1,080.85 90.38% £184.92 £31.37
254 Osasuna v Athletico Madrid £3.25 £3 Athletico Madrid@2.14 £3.00 £6.25 £1,198.93 £1,087.10 90.67% £188.17 £31.54
255 Roma v Parma £2.00 £2 Parma@7.2 £2.00 £0.00
256 Torino v Lazio £9.00 £5 Lay,Torino@2.50 £4 Lazio@3.35 £9.00 £0.00 £1,209.93 £1,087.10 89.85% £177.17 £31.54
257 Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano £4.00 £2 Lay,Barcelona@1.13 £2 Rayo Vallecano@32 £4.00 £0.00
258 Granada v Levante £2.91 £6 Lay,Granada@1.99 £3 Levante@4.6 £9.00 £11.91 £1,222.93 £1,099.01 89.87% £176.08 £31.69
259 Man City v Newcastle £4.00 £2 Lay,Man City@1.33 £2 Newcastle@12.5 £4.00 £0.00
260 Arsenal v Reading £4.00 £2 Lay,Arsenal@1.27 £2 Reading@14.5 £4.00 £0.00
261 Wigan v Norwich £4.00 £2 Lay,Wigan @1.97 £2 Norwich@4.6 £4.00 £0.00
262 West Ham v West Brom £3.00 £3 West Brom@3.75 £3.00 £0.00
263 Swansea v Tottenham £2.74 £2 Tottenham@2.44 £2.00 £4.74
264 Southampton v Chelsea £6.00 £6 Chelsea@2.26 £6.00 £0.00 £1,245.93 £1,103.75 88.59% £157.82 £31.83
265 Everton v Stoke £1.97 £6 Lay,Draw@3.9 £6.00 £7.97 £1,251.93 £1,111.72 88.80% £159.79 £31.93
266 Aston Villa v Liverpool £4.00 £2 Lay,Liverpool@1.73 £2 Aston Villa@5.3 £4.00 £0.00 £1,255.93 £1,111.72 88.52% £155.79 £31.93
267 Bayern Munich v Juventus £4.00 £2 Lay,Bayern Munich@1.65 £2 Juventus@6.6 £4.00 £0.00 £1,259.93 £1,111.72 88.24% £151.79 £31.93
268 Real Madrid v Galatasaray £4.00 £2 Lay,Real Madrid@1.19 £2 Galatasaray@22 £4.00 £0.00 £1,263.93 £1,111.72 87.96% £147.79 £31.93
Report tobermory April 6, 2013 4:40 AM BST
Man United 100.0 Fulham 85.5
Man City 99.0 Stoke 84.5
Chelsea 96.5 Norwich 84.0
Tottenham 96.0 Wigan 84.0
Liverpool 94.5 West Ham 84.0
Arsenal 94.5 Sunderland 83.5
Everton 92.0 Aston Villa 83.5
Newcastle 87.0 Southampton 83.5
Swansea 87.0 QPR 82.5
West Brom 86.5 Reading 81.5
Home Draw Away
3.92 Reading 3.60 Southampton 2.13
2.04 Norwich 3.66 Swansea 4.21
1.45 Stoke 4.90 Aston Villa 9.26
5.78 West Brom 3.96 Arsenal 1.74
2.59 Liverpool 3.34 West Ham 3.17
1.88 Tottenham 3.81 Everton 4.87
2.26 Chelsea 3.48 Sunderland 3.64
1.78 Newcastle 3.92 Fulham 5.53
4.67 QPR 3.77 Wigan 1.92
3.25 Man United 3.37 Man City 2.52
Report tobermory April 6, 2013 4:41 AM BST
all those prices are wrong Crazy
Report tobermory April 6, 2013 4:48 AM BST
page 1 conversion table for Norwic and Stoke games,page 8 for others

Home Draw Away
2.57 Reading 3.50 Southampton 3.08
2.76 Norwich 3.28 Swansea 2.99
2.19 Stoke 3.57 Aston Villa 3.78
3.50 West Brom 3.60 Arsenal 2.29
1.48 Liverpool 5 West Ham 8.05
2.05 Tottenham 3.72 Everton 4.11
1.38 Chelsea 5.6 Sunderland 10.33
2.10 Newcastle 3.69 Fulham 3.96
2.50 QPR 3.52 Wigan 3.17
2.16 Man United 3.66 Man City 3.79
Report tobermory April 6, 2013 4:53 AM BST
£4 Reading@3.45
£2 West Brom@4.3
Report RMB © April 6, 2013 4:56 AM BST
Have you adjusted Tottenhams rating based on Bale not playing?
Report tobermory April 6, 2013 4:58 AM BST
yeah RMB , forget to say , rated them 94.0
Report RMB © April 7, 2013 3:23 AM BST
Cool. Cool Should be interesting to see how they cope without him.
Report tobermory April 7, 2013 3:41 AM BST
the key thing is not how good the player missing is as such, more the difference between him and the player that comes in

You'd think it would be necessary to drop Barca's rating by a lot with Messi out , but they replace him with Fabregas , who showed how he can play the  Messi position better than anyone other than Messi himself (people seemed to think Fab was an alternate for Iniesta or Xavi, but he can't realy do what they do so good ,but they would not be such good replacements for Messi)

Yes it will be intriguing to see what Spurs do without Bale as i'm not sure how they replace him but a drop of 2.0 seems about right.

As for this whole thread , the ratings and Page 8 conversion Table seem much better to me , rarely do my odds seem silly in comparison to the markets (so i struggle to find a bet in  England more) but the results have been terrible lately as whenever i'm out of line i seem to lose big .

The losing does affect confidence ; as subconsciously  try to limit bets and missed out on some ; the draw in Norwich/Swansea was a bet on my ratings but i can't recall considering it . I'd have made Betis favs v Granada by the ratings (they were available @3.25 and won 4-0) but not much enthusiasm for pricing up leagues when on a disastrous run.

The main flaws this has revealed are how slow i am to adjust ratings when they are wrong (notably Espanyol & Southampton, but several others no doubt) and this will all have  to be revised if i am ever to resume football match odds betting with serious money.

As it is though i'll carry on with the same methods on this thread till the bank falls to  £1.99
Report tobermory April 7, 2013 3:48 AM BST
may as well do some bets, though none of them seem especially great value, they are just somewhat bigger than i make them

£2 (liabilty) Lay, Liverpool@1.37 & £2 West Ham@10.5
£2 Sunderland@12
£2 Tottenham@2.28

the QPR & Newcastle games are pretty much the same odds i have
Report Winner_Winner_Chicken_Diner April 7, 2013 7:18 AM BST
Tober, destroying some piss poor team in Spain is one thing but could Cesc do it against the best? I doubt it
Report 4uc ewe April 7, 2013 9:20 AM BST
Even if you could make consistent profit you would then have to pay premium tax right?
Report tobermory April 9, 2013 3:46 AM BST
Probably not as even if it was succesful the % of winning markets would likely be below 40% . Not that the premium charge is a pressing concern with Sadthis thread 

Team Rating Team Rating
Barcelona 107.0 Juventus 99.0
Real Madrid 104.5 Paris St Germain 95.0
Bayern Munich 103.5 Malaga 92.0
Borrussia Dortmund 100.0 Galatasaray 90.0


Home Draw Away
5.8 Galatasaray 4.24 Real Madrid 1.69
1.60 Borrussia Dortmund 4.5 Malaga 6.54
2.89 Juventus 3.43 Bayern Munich 2.76
1.42 Barcelona 5.36 Paris St Germain 9.16


£3 Real Madrid@1.81 (not matched , doubt it'll get that high but mot worth backing below imo)
£2 (liabilty) Lay,Borrussia Dortmund@1.43 & £2 Malaga@9.2
Report Winner_Winner_Chicken_Diner April 10, 2013 8:47 PM BST
To answer my last point, not on this evidence. Barca are not providing much, not a shot on target!
Report tobermory April 11, 2013 4:16 AM BST
yeah  Fab did not have a good night

Team Rating Team Rating
Chelsea 96.5 Rubin Kazan 90.0
Tottenham 95.5 Fenerbahce 88.0
Benfica 94.5 Newcastle 87.0
Lazio 91.5 Basel 86.0


Home Draw Away
3.92 Rubin Kazan 3.60 Chelsea 2.13
2.04 Basel 3.66 Tottenham 4.21
1.45 Lazio 4.90 Fenerbahce 9.26
5.78 Newcastle 3.96 Benfica 1.74
Report tobermory April 11, 2013 4:16 AM BST
ffs
Report tobermory April 11, 2013 4:19 AM BST
correct odds

Home Draw Away
3.17 Rubin Kazan 3.52 Chelsea 2.50
3.38 Basel 3.57 Tottenham 2.36
1.92 Lazio 3.82 Fenerbahce 4.6
3.38 Newcastle 3.57 Benfica 2.36
Report tobermory April 11, 2013 4:22 AM BST
£2 Chelsea@2.8
£4 Tottenham@2.98
Report stu April 11, 2013 10:08 AM BST
Lot of injuries for spurs (including Bale) - not sure could back them that price away?
Report stu April 11, 2013 10:08 AM BST
But can get over 3.0 now
Report Stringer April 11, 2013 11:14 AM BST
You know this is all completely pointless if your "ratings" and "correct odds" are regulary wrong (which they are)

I guess it's subjective though.

GL
Report tobermory April 13, 2013 2:55 PM BST
it's not pointless Stringer as the point is to imrove the ratings/prices over time  (though not much evidence lately tbh)

Team Rating Team Rating
Man United 100.0 Fulham 85.5
Man City 99.5 West Ham 84.5
Chelsea 96.5 Norwich 84.0
Tottenham 95.5 Wigan 84.0
Liverpool 94.5 Stoke 84.0
Arsenal 94.5 Aston Villa 84.0
Everton 92.0 Sunderland 83.5
Newcastle 87.0 Southampton 83.5
Swansea 87.0 QPR 82.5
West Brom 86.5 Reading 81.0


Home Draw Away
1.48 Arsenal 5 Norwich 8.05
2.57 Aston Villa 3.50 Fulham 3.08
1.53 Everton 4.8 QPR 7.24
5.36 Reading 4.08 Liverpool 1.76
2.43 Southampton 3.55 West Ham 3.26
Report tobermory April 13, 2013 3:01 PM BST
£2 (liabilty) Lay,Arsenal@1.30 & £2 Norwich@14
£2 Fulham@3.55
£2 (liabilty) Lay, Southampton@1.81 & £2 West Ham@5
£2 (liabilty) Lay,Liverpool@1.47 & £2 Reading@8
Report tobermory April 13, 2013 5:11 PM BST
Team Rating Team Rating
Man City 99.5 Wigan 84.0
Chelsea 96.5 Millwall 78.5


used page 1 table for FA Cup as Wembley usually dull

Home Draw Away
2.13 Wigan 3.60 Millwall 3.92
2.45 Man City 3.41 Chelsea 3.34
Report tobermory April 13, 2013 5:13 PM BST
£2 Millwall@4.6
Report tobermory April 14, 2013 2:25 AM BST
Home Draw Away
1.92 Newcastle 3.82 Sunderland 4.86
6.5 Stoke 4.1 Man United 1.66


no bets there
Report tobermory April 14, 2013 2:34 AM BST
Team Rating Team Rating
Juventus 99.0 Sampdoria 85.0
Napoli 95.0 Parma 85.0
AC Milan 94.0 Torino 84.5
Inter 92.5 Siena 84.5
Lazio 92.0 Cagliari 84.5
Fiorentina 92.0 Atalanta 84.5
Roma 91.0 Chievo 83.5
Udinese 89.0 Genoa 82.0
Catania 87.5 Palermo 82.0
Bologna 85.0 Pescara 80.0


Home Draw Away
2.70 Palermo 3.45 Bologna 2.94
3.50 Cagliari 3.60 Inter 2.29
2.83 Chievo 3.40 Catania 2.83
2.70 Genoa 3.45 Sampdoria 2.94
2.83 Parma 3.40 Udinese 2.83
3.17 Torino 3.52 Roma 2.50
2.43 AC Milan 3.55 Napoli 3.26
3.26 Lazio 3.55 Juventus 2.43
Report tobermory April 14, 2013 2:39 AM BST
£3 Bologna@4.5
£2 Inter@2.68
£2 Catania@3.7
£3 Udinese@4.5
£2 Napoli@4
£3 Lazio@4.5
Report tobermory April 14, 2013 6:00 PM BST
£5 Barcelona@1.58 v Zaragoza, would make them 1.28 with normal team, can't think what team they could put out that wouldn't be value at these odds
Report tobermory April 15, 2013 3:02 AM BST
Home Draw Away
2.36 Mallorca 3.57 Celta Vigo 3.38


£2 Celta Vigo@4.2
Report stu April 15, 2013 11:26 AM BST
roughly how are you calculating figures tobes?
Report stu April 15, 2013 11:27 AM BST
team ratings I mean
Report Stringer April 15, 2013 12:52 PM BST
celta vigo's top scorer is suspended
Report tobermory April 16, 2013 3:45 AM BST
never knew that, they could have done with him i guess Sad

Stu, the 100 rating is what i'd class as an average  winner of the premier league over the last 20 years or so . Maybe Barca at their peak 109,  typical relegation candidate about 83. On this thread i have rated a lot of teams i don't know a whole lot about (as with above example of C Vigo) , so the ratings have often been way out ,hence the inaccurate odds and poor results. Though had really appalling luck on this thread that has gone on since last May (injury time goals so one sided quite unbelievable), though not too bothered because of the small stakes ,and now i'd say the ratings/prices are much better.

Match P/L Bet 1 Bet 2 Stake Return Tot.Stk. Tot.Ret. ROI Bank Com.Tot.
268 Real Madrid v Galatasaray £4.00 £2 Lay,Real Madrid@1.19 £2 Galatasaray@22 £4.00 £0.00 £1,263.93 £1,111.72 87.96% £147.79 £31.93
269 Reading v Southampton £4.00 £4 Reading@3.45 £4.00 £0.00 £1,267.93 £1,111.72 87.68% £143.79 £31.93
270 West Brom v Arsenal £2.00 £2 West Brom@4.3 £2.00 £0.00 £1,269.93 £1,111.72 87.54% £141.79 £31.93
271 Liverpool v West Ham £3.24 £2 Lay,Liverpool@1.37 £2 West Ham@10.5 £4.00 £7.24 £1,273.93 £1,118.96 87.84% £145.03 £32.10
272 Chelsea v Sunderland £2.00 £2 Sunderland@12 £2.00 £0.00 £1,275.93 £1,118.96 87.70% £143.03 £32.10
273 Dortmund v Malaga £4.00 £2 Lay,Dortmund@1.43 £2 Malaga@9.2 £4.00 £0.00 £1,279.93 £1,118.96 87.44% £139.03 £32.10
274 Rubin Kazan v Chelsea £2.00 £2 Chelsea@2.80 £2.00 £0.00 £1,281.93 £1,118.96 87.29% £137.03 £32.10
275 FC Basel v Tottenham £4.00 £4 Tottenham@2.98 £4.00 £0.00 £1,285.93 £1,118.96 87.02% £133.03 £32.10
276 Reading v Liverpool £2.15 £2 Lay,Liverpool@1.47 £2 Reading@8 £4.00 £6.15
277 Aston Villa v Fulham £2.00 £2 Fulham@3.55 £2.00 £0.00
278 Southampton v West Ham £0.45 £2 Lay,Southampton@1.81 £2 West Ham@5 £4.00 £4.45
279 Arsenal v Norwich £4.00 £2 Lay,Arsenal@1.30 £2 Norwich@14 £4.00 £0.00 £1,299.93 £1,129.56 86.90% £129.63 £32.23
280 Millwall v Wigan £2.00 £2 Millwall@4.6 £2.00 £0.00 £1,301.93 £1,129.56 86.76% £127.63 £32.23
281 Palermo v Bologna £3.00 £3 Bologna@4.5 £3.00 £0.00 £1,304.93 £1,129.56 86.56% £124.63 £32.23
282 Cagliari v Inter £2.00 £2 Inter@2.68 £2.00 £0.00
283 Parma v Udinese £9.97 £3 Udinese@4.5 £3.00 £12.97
284 Chievo v Catania £2.00 £2 Catania@3.7 £2.00 £0.00 £1,311.93 £1,142.53 87.09% £130.60 £32.76
285 Zaragoza v Barcelona £2.75 £5 Barcelona@1.58 £5.00 £7.75 £1,316.93 £1,150.28 87.35% £133.35 £32.91
286 AC Milan v Napoli  £2.00 £2 Napoli@4 £2.00 £0.00 £1,318.93 £1,150.28 87.21% £131.35 £32.91
287 Lazio v Juventus £3.00 £3 Lazio@4.5 £3.00 £0.00 £1,321.93 £1,150.28 87.02% £128.35 £32.91
288 Mallorca v Celta Vigo £2.00 £2 Celta Vigo@4.2 £2.00 £0.00 £1,323.93 £1,150.28 86.88% £126.35 £32.91
Report tobermory April 16, 2013 3:51 AM BST
Home Draw Away
2.00 Arsenal 3.75 Everton 4.29
1.30 Man City 6.4 Wigan 13.4
6.28 West Ham 4.4 Man United 1.63
4.4 Fulham 3.78 Chelsea 1.96
Report tobermory April 16, 2013 3:55 AM BST
£2.07 (liabilty) Lay,Arsenal@1.77 & £2 Everton@5.1
£2 Fulham@5
Report stu April 16, 2013 3:49 PM BST
Thanks for the reply - been interested in using team ratings for while, since following some of the RFO ratings for teams.
Report tobermory April 20, 2013 4:32 AM BST
Team Rating Team Rating
Man United 100.0 Fulham 85.5
Man City 99.5 Sunderland 84.5
Chelsea 96.5 West Ham 84.5
Tottenham 95.5 Wigan 84.5
Liverpool 94.5 Norwich 84.0
Arsenal 94.5 Stoke 84.0
Everton 92.0 Aston Villa 84.0
Swansea 87.0 Southampton 84.0
Newcastle 86.5 QPR 82.5
West Brom 86.5 Reading 81.0


just used page 1 table for QPR/Stoke

Home Draw Away
3.79 Fulham 3.66 Arsenal 2.16
1.96 Norwich 3.78 Reading 4.4
2.52 QPR 3.37 Stoke 3.25
3.38 Sunderland 3.57 Everton 2.36
1.96 Swansea 3.78 Southampton 4.4
2.29 West Brom 3.60 Newcastle 3.50
2.29 West Ham 3.60 Wigan 3.50
2.83 Tottenham 3.40 Man City 2.83
2.57 Liverpool 3.50 Chelsea 3.08
1.29 Man United 6.6 Aston Villa 13.6
Report tobermory April 20, 2013 4:40 AM BST
£2 (liabilty) Lay,Arsenal@1.71 & £2 Fulham@5.7
£2 (liabilty) Lay,Norwich@1.77 & £2 Reading@5.7
£2 Stoke@3.7
£3 Swansea@2.46
£3 Chelsea@3.7
Report tobermory April 23, 2013 3:02 AM BST
injury time goal sequence ever more amazing with one in the 97th minute now

Match P/L Bet 1 Bet 2 Stake Return Tot.Stk. Tot.Ret. ROI Bank Com.Tot.
279 Arsenal v Norwich £4.00 £2 Lay,Arsenal@1.30 £2 Norwich@14 £4.00 £0.00 £1,299.93 £1,129.56 86.90% £129.63 £32.23
280 Millwall v Wigan £2.00 £2 Millwall@4.6 £2.00 £0.00 £1,301.93 £1,129.56 86.76% £127.63 £32.23
281 Palermo v Bologna £3.00 £3 Bologna@4.5 £3.00 £0.00 £1,304.93 £1,129.56 86.56% £124.63 £32.23
282 Cagliari v Inter £2.00 £2 Inter@2.68 £2.00 £0.00
283 Parma v Udinese £9.97 £3 Udinese@4.5 £3.00 £12.97
284 Chievo v Catania £2.00 £2 Catania@3.7 £2.00 £0.00 £1,311.93 £1,142.53 87.09% £130.60 £32.76
285 Zaragoza v Barcelona £2.75 £5 Barcelona@1.58 £5.00 £7.75 £1,316.93 £1,150.28 87.35% £133.35 £32.91
286 AC Milan v Napoli  £2.00 £2 Napoli@4 £2.00 £0.00 £1,318.93 £1,150.28 87.21% £131.35 £32.91
287 Lazio v Juventus £3.00 £3 Lazio@4.5 £3.00 £0.00 £1,321.93 £1,150.28 87.02% £128.35 £32.91
288 Mallorca v Celta Vigo £2.00 £2 Celta Vigo@4.2 £2.00 £0.00 £1,323.93 £1,150.28 86.88% £126.35 £32.91
289 Arsenal v Everton £0.66 £2.07 Lay,Arsenal@1.77 £2 Everton@5.1 £4.07 £4.73 £1,328.00 £1,155.01 86.97% £127.01 £32.94
290 Fulham v Chelsea £2.00 £2 Fulham@5 £2.00 £0.00 £1,330.00 £1,155.01 86.84% £125.01 £32.94
291 Swansea v Southampton £3.00 £3 Swansea@2.46 £3.00 £0.00
292 Fulham v Arsenal £4.00 £2 Lay,Arsenal@1.71 £2 Fulham@5.7 £4.00 £0.00
293 Norwich v Reading £4.00 £2 Lay,Norwich@1.77 £2 Reading@5.7 £4.00 £0.00
294 QPR v Stoke £5.13 £2 Stoke@3.7 £2.00 £7.13 £1,343.00 £1,162.14 86.53% £119.14 £33.21
295 Liverpool v Chelsea £3.00 £3 Chelsea@3.7 £3.00 £0.00 £1,346.00 £1,162.14 86.34% £116.14 £33.21
Report tobermory April 23, 2013 3:22 AM BST
Team Rating Team Rating
Barcelona 107.0 Chelsea 96.5
Real Madrid 104.5 Benfica 94.5
Bayern Munich 104.0 Fenerbache 88.0
Borrussia Dortmund 100.0 Basel 86.5


Home Draw Away
2.70 Bayern Munich 3.45 Barcelona 2.94
2.89 Borrussia Dortmund 3.43 Real Madrid 2.76
4.11 Basel 3.72 Chelsea 2.05
3.17 Fenerbache 3.52 Benfica 2.50
Report tobermory April 23, 2013 3:29 AM BST
£3 Barcelona@3.50
£3 Chelsea@2.56
Report tobermory April 27, 2013 3:09 AM BST
wow had an injury time winner there

Man United 100.0 Fulham 85.5
Man City 99.5 Sunderland 85.0
Chelsea 96.5 West Ham 85.0
Tottenham 95.5 Wigan 84.5
Liverpool 94.5 Norwich 84.0
Arsenal 94.5 Stoke 84.0
Everton 92.0 Aston Villa 84.0
Swansea 87.0 Southampton 84.0
Newcastle 86.5 QPR 82.5
West Brom 86.5 Reading 81.0


used page 1 table for Stoke and Liverpool rated 92.5 without Suarez

Home Draw Away
1.32 Man City 6.15 West Ham 12.5
1.69 Everton 4.24 Fulham 5.8
2.63 Southampton 3.48 West Brom 3.01
2.32 Stoke 3.48 Norwich 3.52
4.4 Wigan 3.78 Tottenham 1.96
3.08 Newcastle 3.50 Liverpool 2.57
2.50 Reading 3.52 QPR 3.17
1.53 Chelsea 4.8 Swansea 7.24
3.01 Arsenal 3.48 Man United 2.63
2.43 Aston Villa 3.55 Sunderland 3.26
Report tobermory April 27, 2013 3:18 AM BST
£2 Draw @6.6,Man City v West Ham(unmatched)
£2 (liabilty) Lay,Everton@1.53 & £2 Fulham@8
£4 West Brom@4.8
£2 (liabilty) Lay,Chelsea@1.38 & £2 Swansea@10.5
£4 Man United@3.4
Report tobermory April 27, 2013 7:33 PM BST
Team Rating Team Rating
Juventus 99.0 Sampdoria 85.0
Napoli 95.0 Cagliari 85.0
AC Milan 94.0 Torino 84.5
Inter 92.0 Siena 84.5
Lazio 91.0 Parma 84.5
Fiorentina 92.0 Atalanta 84.5
Roma 91.0 Chievo 84.0
Udinese 89.5 Genoa 82.0
Catania 87.5 Palermo 82.0
Bologna 85.0 Pescara 80.0


Home Draw Away
3.92 Pescara 3.60 Napoli 2.13
2.05 Chievo 3.72 Genoa 4.11
4.11 Palermo 3.72 Inter 2.05
3.17 Parma 3.52 Lazio 2.50
1.69 Roma 4.24 Siena 5.8
3.26 Sampdoria 3.55 Fiorentina 2.43
5.8 Torino 4.24 Juventus 1.69
1.69 AC Milan 4.24 Catania 5.8
Report tobermory April 27, 2013 7:34 PM BST
Home Draw Away
6.02 Pescara 4.4 Napoli 1.66
Report Mr Eboue April 27, 2013 7:36 PM BST
Good call on the Baggies Tober.

cant believe they were 4.8 Shocked
Report tobermory April 27, 2013 7:36 PM BST
£2 (liabilty) Lay,Napoli@1.39 &£2 Pescara@10
Report tobermory April 27, 2013 7:37 PM BST
yeah did seem big ther Mr E , Southampton always seem overrated to me but christ knows how many times i've lost opposing them Crazy
Report tobermory April 28, 2013 12:24 AM BST
£3 Chievo@2.76
£4 Inter@3.50
£3 Lazio@3.25
£2 (liabilty) Lay, Roma@1.51 & £2 Siena@7.6
£2 Sampdoria@4.3
£2 Torino@6.6
£2 (liabilty) Lay, AC Milan@1.37 & £2 Catania@11.5
Report tobermory April 30, 2013 2:48 AM BST
jesus , 10 losers in a row currently Scared

Team Rating Team Rating
Barcelona 106.5 Chelsea 96.5
Real Madrid 104.5 Benfica 94.5
Bayern Munich 104.0 Fenerbache 88.0
Borrussia Dortmund 100.5 Basel 86.5


Home Draw Away
1.88 Real Madrid 3.87 Borrussia Dortmund 4.77
2.00 Barcelona 3.75 Bayern Munich 4.29
1.50 Chelsea 4.90 Basel 7.7
1.69 Benfica 4.24 Fenerbache 5.8


£3(liabilty) Lay,Real Madrid@1.62
£2(liabilty) Lay,Benfica@1.46 & £2 Fenerbache@8.8
Report tobermory May 1, 2013 3:33 AM BST
£2 Draw @4.5(Barca v Bayern)
Report tobermory May 4, 2013 5:29 PM BST
13 losers in a row some sort of record there

Man United 100.0 Fulham 85.0
Man City 99.5 Sunderland 85.0
Chelsea 96.5 West Ham 85.0
Tottenham 95.5 Wigan 84.5
Liverpool 94.5 Aston Villa 84.5
Arsenal 94.5 Stoke 84.0
Everton 92.0 Norwich 84.0
Swansea 86.5 Southampton 84.0
West Brom 86.5 QPR 82.0
Newcastle 86.0 Reading 81.0
Home Draw Away
4.95 QPR 3.93 Arsenal 1.84
2.10 Liverpool 3.69 Everton 3.96
1.92 Man United 3.82 Chelsea 4.86
2.19 Sunderland 3.57 Stoke 3.78


rating Liverpool 93.5 without Suarez, page 1 table for Stoke

£1 (liabilty) ,Lay,  Arsenal@1.40 & £2 QPR @9.6
£3 Man United@2.24
Report tobermory May 5, 2013 3:09 AM BST
£2 Everton@4.7
Report teo813 May 5, 2013 3:11 AM BST
does it work in general, tobermory?
Report tobermory May 5, 2013 3:18 AM BST
what my ratings? No it is a disaster (or would be if i had bet serious money on them last couple of years) . If the ratings were accurate it would work very well.
Report tobermory May 8, 2013 7:44 PM BST
15 consecutive losers , this is epic

rate Chelsea 97 now .

Home Draw Away
2.10 Chelsea 3.69 Tottenham 3.96


£2 Tottenham@4.9

Swansea were 4.9 too and came out at about 3.0 on my ratings but i forget about that match Sad
Report tobermory May 11, 2013 2:48 PM BST
Team Rating Team Rating
Man United 100.0 Fulham 85.0
Man City 99.5 West Ham 85.0
Chelsea 97.0 Sunderland 84.5
Tottenham 95.5 Wigan 84.5
Liverpool 94.5 Aston Villa 84.5
Arsenal 94.5 Stoke 84.0
Everton 92.0 Norwich 84.0
Swansea 86.5 Southampton 84.0
West Brom 86.0 QPR 82.0
Newcastle 86.5 Reading 81.0
Report tobermory May 11, 2013 5:03 PM BST
Draw
1.46 Man City 5.12 Wigan 8.35
Report tobermory May 11, 2013 5:03 PM BST
£2 Wigan@10.5
Report tobermory May 12, 2013 2:48 AM BST
17 consecutive losers in the end Blush


Match P/L Bet 1 Bet 2 Stake Return Tot.Stk. Tot.Ret. ROI Bank Com.Tot.
295 Liverpool v Chelsea £3.00 £3 Chelsea@3.7 £3.00 £0.00 £1,346.00 £1,162.14 86.34% £116.14 £33.21
296 B Munich v Barcelona £3.00 £3 Barcelona@3.5 £3.00 £0.00 £1,349.00 £1,162.14 86.15% £113.14 £33.21
297 Basel v Chelsea £4.45 £3 Chelsea@2.56 £3.00 £7.45 £1,352.00 £1,169.59 86.51% £117.59 £33.44
298 Man City v West Ham £2.00 £2 Draw@6.6 £2.00 £0.00 £1,354.00 £1,169.59 86.38% £115.59 £33.44
299 Everton v Fulham £4.00 £2 Lay,Everton@1.53 £2 Fulham@8 £4.00 £0.00
300 Southampton v West Brom £14.44 £4 West Brom@4.8 £4.00 £18.44 £1,362.00 £1,188.03 87.23% £126.03 £34.20
301 Pescara v Napoli £4.00 £2 Lay,Napoli@1.39 £2 Pescara@10 £4.00 £0.00 £1,366.00 £1,188.03 86.97% £122.03 £34.20
302 Sampdoria v Fiorentina  £2.00 £2 Sampdoria@4.3 £2.00 £0.00
303 Chievo v Genoa £3.00 £3 Chievo@2.76 £3.00 £0.00
304   Roma v Siena £4.00 £2 Lay,Roma@1.51 £2 Siena@7.6 £4.00 £0.00
305   Parma v Lazio £3.00 £3 Lazio@3.25 £3.00 £0.00
306 Palermo v Inter £4.00 £4 Inter @3.5 £4.00 £0.00
307 Torino v Juventus £2.00 £2 Torino@6.6 £2.00 £0.00 £1,384.00 £1,188.03 85.84% £104.03 £34.20
308 Chelsea v Swansea £4.00 £2 Lay,Chelsea@1.38 £2 Swansea@10.5 £4.00 £0.00 £1,388.00 £1,188.03 85.59% £100.03 £34.20
309 Arsenal v Man United £4.00 £4 Man United@3.4 £4.00 £0.00 £1,392.00 £1,188.03 85.35% £96.03 £34.20
310 AC Milan v Catania £4.00 £2 Lay,AC Milan@1.37 £2 Catania@11.5 £4.00 £0.00 £1,396.00 £1,188.03 85.10% £92.03 £34.20
311 Real Madrid v Dortmund £3.00 £3 Lay,Real Madrid@1.62 £3.00 £0.00 £1,399.00 £1,188.03 84.92% £89.03 £34.20
312 Barcelona v Bayern Munich £2.00 £2 Draw@4.5 £2.00 £0.00 £1,401.00 £1,188.03 84.80% £87.03 £34.20
313 Benfica v Fenerbahce £4.00 £2 Lay,Benfica@1.46 £2 Fenerbahce@8.8 £4.00 £0.00 £1,405.00 £1,188.03 84.56% £83.03 £34.20
314 QPR v Arsenal  £3.00 £1 Lay,Arsenal@1.40 £2 QPR@9.6 £3.00 £0.00 £1,408.00 £1,188.03 84.38% £80.03 £34.20
315 Liverpool v Everton £2.00 £2 Everton@4.7 £2.00 £0.00 £1,410.00 £1,188.03 84.26% £78.03 £34.20
316 Man United v Chelsea £3.00 £3 Man United@2.24 £3.00 £0.00 £1,413.00 £1,188.03 84.08% £75.03 £34.20
317 Chelsea v Tottenham £2.00 £2 Tottenham @4.9 £2.00 £0.00 £1,415.00 £1,188.03 83.96% £73.03 £34.20
318 Man City v Wigan  £18.05 £2 Wigan@10.5 £2.00 £20.05 £1,417.00 £1,208.08 85.26% £91.08 £35.15
Report tobermory May 12, 2013 3:00 AM BST
Newcastle meant to be 86.0 , Liverpool 93.5 without Suarez ,Page 1 Table for Stoke

Home Draw Away
4.50 Stoke 3.73 Tottenham 1.95
1.66 Everton 4.4 West Ham 6.02
3.62 Fulham 3.63 Liverpool 2.23
2.57 Norwich 3.50 West Brom 3.08
2.83 QPR 3.40 Newcastle 2.83
2.23 Sunderland 3.63 Southampton 3.62
1.36 Man United 5.75 Swansea 11
Report tobermory May 12, 2013 3:04 AM BST
£2 West Ham@7.6
£2 West Brom@3.55
£2 QPR@3.35
£3 Sunderland@2.84
£2 Swansea@13
Report tobermory May 19, 2013 3:53 PM BST
not making any adjustments for team news 'need to win' etc

Home Draw Away
1.80 Chelsea 4 Everton 5.14
1.44 Liverpool 5.24 QPR 8.71
3.62 Newcastle 3.63 Arsenal 2.23
1.30 Man City 6.4 Norwich 13.4
2.23 Southampton 3.63 Stoke 3.62
2.10 Swansea 3.69 Fulham 3.96
1.46 Tottenham 5.12 Sunderland 8.35
5.8 West Brom 4.24 Man United 1.69
1.80 West Ham 4 Reading 5.14
2.10 Wigan 3.69 Aston Villa 3.96
Report tobermory May 19, 2013 4:01 PM BST
£2 (liabilty) Lay,Liverpool@1.29  & £2 QPR@13.5
£2 (liabilty) Lay,Arsenal@1.56 & £2 Newcastle@6.6
£2 Stoke@5.8
£2 Fulham@5.8
£2 (liabilty) Lay,Tottenham@1.27 & £2 Sunderland@15
£4 Man United@2.1
£2 Reading@6
Report tobermory May 25, 2013 6:50 PM BST
|Team
Rating Team Rating
Bayern Munich 104.5 Borrussia Dortmund 100.5


Draw
2.29 Bayern Munich 3.60 Borrussia Dortmund 3.50


£2 Borrussia Dortmund@4.9
Report tobermory September 30, 2017 2:39 AM BST
Yes i guess when their opponents are sub 1.30 , then 7.0 would not be appealing . I just meant Hodgson 0-0s should not be the same odds for a team of similar ability managed by someone else

Though i got 23 for this one
Report tobermory September 30, 2017 2:56 AM BST
Jesus what a disaster this was
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