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£10 to £400 1 Goal Challenge using my spreadsheet
£10 to £400 1 Goal Challenge using my spreadsheet
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No problem will keep an eye out :D
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I will post tomorrows tips tonight
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Yeah thats grand thanks alot for your help
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No worries buddy
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Going along nicely.
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Yes mate, you too. Just scanning tomorrows games
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Got a shortlist of tomorrows games, just narrowing them down. If anyone wants to know the shortlist its these games
Norwich Sunderland Leeds Sheff Utd Feyenoord Twente PSV B Munich Schalke Real Madrid |
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I've never bet in a Japanese league- FACT. So tomorrow I will try it. I'm working in the morning, a concept some of you haven't heard off, so will be up at 6. So I am kind of not sticking to the system, once again I will be using the 'principles' of the system, and I have found 2 games, one after the other- just for interest. It will probably go tits up, but I am willing to try it.
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Games in Bold are games which I will back over 0.5 if the game before it has a goal in time
Game Stake Odds New Balance Profit Result Half Time Emmen vs Telstar £10.23 1.05 £10.72 £0.49 0-2 0-1 Fulham vs Chelsea £10.72 1.08 £11.54 £0.82 1-1 0-1 Fortuna Dusseldorf vs FSV Frankfurt £11.54 1.05 £12.09 £0.55 1-0 0-0 Mainz vs FC Koln £12.09 1.05 £12.66 £0.57 4-0 3-0 Rochdale vs Sheff United £12.66 1.06 £13.48 £0.82 2-5 1-4 Blackburn vs Liverpool £13.48 1.08 £14.51 £1.03 2-3 1-2 1860 Munich vs Duisburg £14.51 1.07 £15.54 £1.03 2-1 0-0 Wigan vs Man Utd £15.54 1.06 £16.42 £0.88 0-1 0-0 Young Lions vs Geylang United £16.42 1.05 £17.20 £0.78 0-2 0-1 Elfsborg vs Norrkoping £17.20 1.07 £18.34 £1.14 2-0 1-0 Ado Den Haag vs Groningen £18.34 1.06 £19.39 £1.05 3-0 1-0 G Furth vs St Pauli £19.39 1.06 £20.49 £1.10 1-0 2-1 SV Grodig vs WAC St Andra £20.49 1.06 £21.66 £1.17 0-1 0-1 FC Oss vs Fortuns Sittard £21.66 1.05 £22.69 £1.03 1-3 1-1 BW Linz vs Austria Lustenau £22.69 1.07 £24.20 £1.51 0-3 0-2 Nagoya vs Sapporo G-Osaka vs Kawasaki Norwich vs Man City Schalke vs Dortmund Sheff Utd vs L Orient Sunderland vs Wolves Leeds vs Peterborough B Munich vs Mainz PSV vs AZ Alkmaar Feyenoord vs Excelsior Twente vs Breda Levante vs Barcelona I think I am getting a lot more adventurous, I'm not sure if it's good or bad. Ultimately I shall find out tomorrow. The first two morning games I'm not sure on, but I want to try it. See what happens. |
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Good luck to you...looks like our approaches are starting to diverge, with you taking on more risk.
I'm going to try and stick to the system and see how far it takes me. It can be difficult, as it's natural to just want to have a bet, but I'll see how things go. Regarding the Japanese league, although their 0-0 percentage is not too bad for the league as a whole, their average goals per game has fallen quite a bit recently, so it's on mt 'leagues to be avoided list' ta the moment, so whereas in the past I could always look to kickstart the weekend with some Japanese action, now i'LL HAVE TO WAIT A BIT LONGER. |
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16 Nagoya vs Sapporo £24.20 1.06
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JOCI thanks for that info, which of my games would you back a goal? Yes I do think I am being a bit more risky, like you say.Excluding the 2 **** games I only have 4 games for a goal, the others I put in incase I get an early goal. Which games are you expecting a goal in mate?
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Haven't looked yet..just about to do a bit of analysis. Looking at the timings of the games first to see if I can map a route through tomorrow.
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mine are based in time order too, I've not analysed them all as i have to get up in 6 hours...just not got time to be honest mate! post on here if you don't mind so i can see in the morning what you've got. :) cheers man
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Neither of the German ones you put up appeal. I prefer Bayer Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin, which is a marginal one for me. Bayern has a relatively high 0-0 percentage based on the away team's inability to score, meaning that you're reallyt only relying on the home side. My system prefers games between two teams, both of whom can score, but also can show defensive frailties.
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My two Japan games, first one a goal in the 3rd minute, the second one a goal in the 1st minute
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+1 is always luck in my experience, some runs I've gone from £20 to £300+ and stopped, other games I've lost straight away. Just don't pick too many games is my view, sometimes a risk is worth it, but if you try too many games quickly you're more likely to hit a 0-0.
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yeh I am doing more today than usual, but my spreadhseet has showed they are good for a goal. Just fingers crossed i guess
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Nagoya vs Sapporo £24.20 1.06 £25.56 £1.36 3-1 2-0
G-Osaka vs Kawasaki £25.56 1.05 £26.80 £1.24 1-2 Norwich vs Man City £26.80 1.05 |
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I think City should of had a penalty
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Wonder strike from tevez puts City 0-1 up
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16 Nagoya vs Sapporo £24.20 1.06 £25.56 £1.36 3-1 2-0
17 G-Osaka vs Kawasaki £25.56 1.05 £26.80 £1.24 3-2 1-2 18 Norwich vs Man City £26.80 1.05 £28.07 £1.27 19 Schalke vs Dortmund £28.07 1.06 |
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8 minutes 5 seconds in Schalke go 1 up :D
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16 Nagoya vs Sapporo £24.20 1.06 £25.56 £1.36 2-0 3-1
17 G-Osaka vs Kawasaki £25.56 1.05 £26.80 £1.24 1-2 3-2 18 Norwich vs Man City £26.80 1.05 £28.07 £1.27 0-2 1-6 19 Schalke vs Dortmund £28.07 1.06 £29.67 £1.60 Bank 1 1 Sunderland vs Wolves £15.00 1.05 £15.70 Bank 2 1 Leeds vs Peterborough £14.67 1.05 £15.35 |
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27 mins in, both games 0-0. Sunderland vs wolves has been very lively end to end but not too many shots.
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Peterborough make it 0-1 in the 38th minute
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Half time, 0-0 in Sunderland, 0-1 in Leeds
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previous sunderland vs wolves fixture was 0-0 at half time and finished 2-1 this season
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In the last 20 games, sunderland have had 0-0 at half time 8 times, only 1 of which finished 0-0. Wolves have had 4 0-0's at half time in their last 20 and all of which have had at least 3 second half goals, none have ended 0-0.
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1-1 ht at leeds, a late equaliser
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ebanks should have scored, 10 yeards out. Poor poor finishing.
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the last game at home was 0-0, right? what are the odds of 2 0-0s in a row....?
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Not looking great, looking for a late winner for sunderland like with man city game
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Cracking save my Mignolet, 10 mins left. Just had a goal disallowed for wolves
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thats that then, 0-0 dead cert now.
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Although I have tied the Lord of Goals to an exclusive deal, I have just asked him to intervene and provide a goal for you at Sunderland.
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Excellent, much appreciated JOCI. Can't believe how Sunderland can be playing so badly!
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0-0 looks nailed
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