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1-0
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Bet 16 Hoffenheim v Leverkusen £32.97 @ 1.06
Having somehow reached £50 have withdrawn my original stake and am carrying on with the rest |
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just gotta be a little bit careful with some of these predictions, some games have nothing riding on them now..so goal stats aren't as reliable as if it meant something. just wondering about your german game JOCI. did it mean anything
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Hard to factor that into a stats based approach.
I'm also pretty sure that as professional footballers with that competitive instinct, you'd still be doing your best to win a game. |
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I've been very naughty and now must aftertime like mad..
just got in from teaching, and saw the blackburn game at 0-0, so... 1. Blackburn v Norwich Lay 0-0 IR £30 @ 7.18 Great start, discipline from tomorrow (or maybe tonights foreign games) Off to BBQ now, so good luck all tonight |
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Thun v Grasshopper at 1.08 next
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Finally. Thought a goal was never going to come.
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Bet 17. Gijon v Rayo Vallecano £34.85 @ 1.05
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Start Bank £10.00
001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0] 002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2] 003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2] 004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3] 005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2] 006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05 [3-0] 007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05 [2-1] 008 Mainz v Koln 0.5+ goals £13.46 @ 1.05 [4-0] 009 Barcelona v Getafe 0.5+ goals £14.10 @ 1.02 [4-0] 010 Karlsruhe v Dynamo Dresden 0.5+ goals £14.36 @ 1.06 [2-0] 011 Breda v Heracles 0.5+ goals £15.19 @ 1.05 [1-2] 012 Wolves v Arsenal 0.5+ goals £15.90 @ 1.04 [0-3] 013 Oss v Fortuna Sittard 0.5+ goals £16.52 @ 1.04 [1-3] 014 Bayer Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin 0.5+ goals £15.70 @ 1.05 [3-3] 015 Leeds v Peterborough 0.5+ goals £17.90 @ 1.05 [4-1] 016 Young Boys v Grasshoppers 0.5+ goals £18.75 @ 1.04 [2-2] 017 Feyenoord v Excelsior 0.5+ goals £19.46 @ 1.03 [3-0] 018 Real Madrid v Sporting Gijon 0.5+ goals £10.01 @ 1.03 [3-1] 019 FC Twente v Breda 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.03 [2-2] 020 Groningen v Roda 0.5+ goals £10.29 @ 1.05 [0-1] 021 Utrecht v VVV Venlo 0.5+ goals £10.28 @ 1.04 [4-2] 022 Moenchengladbach v Koln 0.5+ goals £10.77 @ 1.05 [3-0] 023 HB Koge v FC Copenhagen 0.5+ goals £11.28 @ 1.06 [0-5] 024 Lille v Ajaccio 0.5+ goals £11.93 @ 1.05 [4-1] 025 Malaga v Real Sociedad 0.5+ goals £10.66 @ 1.04 [1-1] 026 Sochaux v Dijon 0.5+ goals £11.07 @ 1.08 [1-0] 027 Arsenal v Wigan 0.5+ goals £12.21 @ 1.04 [1-2] 028 Ipswich v Birmingham 0.5+ goals £12.44 @ 1.05 [1-1] 029 Peterboro v Southampton 0.5+ goals £12.45 @ 1.04 [1-3] 030 Dordrecht v FC Oss 0.5+ goals £12.97 @ 1.04 [3-2] 031 Go Ahead Eagles v Emmen 0.5+ goals £12.98 @ 1.04 [1-0] 032 Mainz v Wolfsburg 0.5+ goals £13.41 @ 1.05 [0-0] 033 Notts County v Bury 0.5+ goals £13.50 @ 1.05 [2-4] 034 Koln v Stuttgart 0.5+ goals £14.14 @ 1.04 [1-1] 035 FC Thun v Grasshoppers 0.5+ goals £14.68 @ 1.08 If early goal, will be on at Gijon. |
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strange choice on FC thun game, what your stats say?
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3.8 goals, 3.0% chance of 0-0.
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head to head against these 2 shows less than 1.5 goals per game, lots of 1-0 and 0-0's
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Grasshopper failed to concede only once away from home all season, and concede almost 2.5 goals per game on average. I'm hoping that will continue, but do see the merit of what you're saying regarding the H2H stats.
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I know you are just going solely from your findings on the spreadsheet, I like to add a little more security to the selection. As you can see I like to bet after seeing stats on the game so far...Anyway keep it going.
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Sadly, missed the goal at Gijon.
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PM sent JOCI. Thanks.
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I missed the goal at Gijon also.
They've moved the over 0.5 market to half way down the selections instead of just before the over 1.5. Missed Girona also. ffs |
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that was a quick one at middlesbrough
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Not looking to good at half time 0-0 JOCI, and not much happening, fingers crossed for goals in 2nd half
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Zero shots on target either team.
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bet 22 now qpr spurs o 0.5 @ 1.08.
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The Computer says that the Barcelona v Real Madrid game has a goals prediction of 2.9 goals, but has a whopping 34.4% chance of being 0-0.
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1) St Polten v Grodig £10 @ 1/20 £0.50
2) Portsmouth v Crystal Palace £10.50 @ 1/25 3) Chelsea v Barcelona £10.92 @ 1/33 4) Club Cerro Porteno v Club Sportivo Luqueno £11.25 @ 1/50 5) Juan Aurich v Internacional £11.48 @ 1/25 6) Santos v The Strongest £12 @ 1/100 (Very Lucky late goal) 7) Universidad de Chile v Atletico Nacional £12.12 @ 1/40 8) AB v Vestsjaelland £12.42 @ 1/50 9) Den Bosch v Almere City £12.67 @ 1/10 10) Pacos Ferreira v Braga £13.94 @ 1/50 11) Spartak Moscow Youth v Anzhi Makhachkala Youth £14.22 @ 1/12 12) Sandefjord v Start £15.41 @ 1/25 13) Salzburg v Ried £16.03 @ 1/25 |
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2. Montpellier v Valenciennes Lay 0-0 £35.03 @ 14.525!!
Again not strictly within my rules but i cant ignore the home scoring avg versus away conceding avg. We'll see... |
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Kinners 21 Apr 12 17:43
2. Montpellier v Valenciennes Lay 0-0 £35.03 @ 14.525!! Again not strictly within my rules but i cant ignore the home scoring avg versus away conceding avg. We'll see... Came out too low for me, mainly because of the very small chance of Valenciennes scoring. |
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Flash1966 21 Apr 12 17:43
Apr 21, 2012 -- 5:39PM, JOCI Club wrote: The Computer says that the Barcelona v Real Madrid game has a goals prediction of 2.9 goals, but has a whopping 34.4% chance of being 0-0. worth a little bet on 0-0 then, try to win some staking money :) 19/1 |
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monpellier scored 3 mins
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That Thun game deff looks like a 0-0 in the making, very dissapointing
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Bet 18. Locarno v Delemont £36.51 @ 1.04
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Lord of Goals, the players in the Thun game need your urgent assistance to find the net. Please work your magic, Lord!
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Good Luck, gotta go to work..back later
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Thun 0-0 FT :(
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0-0 Thun.
Let's start again! |
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Start Bank £20.00
001 De Graafschap v Heracles 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.04 002 Excelsior v Twente 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.03 [unmatched] |
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Mind if i get involved? im going to start with £16.04 because thats what i have spare so why not? first bet
£16.04 Barcelona Real Madrid @1.05 |
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Bet 19. Defensa y Justicia v Boca Unidos £37.90 @ 1.07
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Start Bank £20.00
001 De Graafschap v Heracles 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.04 002 De Graafschap v Heracles 2.5+ goals (I/R) £20.37 @ 1.1 Cancelled the Excelsior bet to go all-in on a 3rd goal at De Graafschap. |
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