Football
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Nothing great, just estimates time of first goals, whether there will be a goal and total number of goals using statistics.
You enter stats from soccerway and it does the calculations.
Will use it from today to see how good it is.
If anyone is interested in it I can send you it if you email me
time-to-tip@mail.com
Time.
You enter stats from soccerway and it does the calculations.
Will use it from today to see how good it is.
If anyone is interested in it I can send you it if you email me
time-to-tip@mail.com
Time.
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will start tomorrow with this
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i back the 0-0 for insurance
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yea same back it for insurance, although most games obviously dnt end like that you never know with foot
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*football
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how do you insure bets
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the man from the Pru will sort out the insurance ...
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Sent it to a few people, thanks. The first game I've entered today is sheffield united vs chesterfield, heres what its come up with
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Number of Goals in The Game
2.93 First Goal Scored 39.5 Goals Before HT 1.45 Goals After HT 1.84 |
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So I use this to put the lay of 0-0 on before the 39th minute, probably 30 to be safe and get decent value. Could also lay first half having more goals as it shouldnt, most likely a 2-0, 3-0 or 2-1 scoreline. Will get oddds etc later
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Bets from this: First Goal odds: 31-40 min odds 8.6 and 41-50 min odds 10.5, Over 1.5 at 1.24. Under 4.5 at 1.2. Thats what the stats say, but I just use it to try and get the 0-0 lay in at 30 mins to get good odds.
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Also correct score of these 2-0 at 8.4, 3-0 at 11.5 and 2-1 at 9.2.
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First Goal
31-40 min- 8.6 41-40 min- 10.5 Correct Score 2-0 - 8.4 3-0 - 11.5 2-1- 9.2 Over 1.5 1.24 Under 4.5 1.2 Lay of 0-0 at 30 mins, odds not known yet |
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It is designed for league games, but I've just inputted milan and barca game
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It has not passed the 0-0 lay test. But here's what the bets would be
Half with most goals First half- LAY- 3.25 Fist goal odds 31-40 - 9.6 41-50- 11 Under 4.5 1.2 Correct score 1-0- 19 0-1- 9.2 1-1- 8.8 |
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heres the stats for those who care
Number of Goals in The Game 2.39 First Goal Scored 35.75 Goals Before HT 1.43 Goals After HT 1.64 |
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Sheffield United vs Chesterfield
First Goal 31-40 min- 8.6 41-40 min- 10.5 Correct Score 2-0 - 8.4 3-0 - 11.5 2-1- 9.2 Over 1.5 1.24 Under 4.5 1.2 Lay of 0-0 at 30 mins, odds not known yet Ac Milan vs Barcelona Half with most goals First half- LAY- 3.25 Fist goal odds 31-40 - 9.6 41-50- 11 Under 4.5 1.2 Correct score 1-0- 19 0-1- 9.2 1-1- 8.8 Not passed the 0-0 test. |
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how do you know if it passes the 0-0 or not?
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there is a box at the bottom that tells you, it uses 0-0 results this season and previous 0-0s between them
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how matches you tested it on?
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tonight is first time ive tested it, i only put in two games, already had sheffield united in mind because they have good goal rate. put milan in just for fun- should only work on league games
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looking good so far, put my 0-0 lay in sheffield in
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1-0, good stuff.
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Goal in Sheffield, spreadsheet was right about the lay of 0-0 and he goal time, thats a 8.6 winner.
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How did you go about making this spreadsheet, is there a lot of data input?
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well, on soccerway, you use the avg goals scored at home, conceeded. goals before ht and recent form. All of the data is just on 1 page on soccerway so its not too taxing
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At half time
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Sheffield United vs Chesterfield
First Goal 31-40 min- 8.6 WIN 41-40 min- 10.5 Correct Score 2-0 - 8.4 3-0 - 11.5 2-1- 9.2 CURRENTLY 4.2 TO LAY Over 1.5 1.24 WIN Under 4.5 1.2 Lay of 0-0 at 30 mins, odds not known yet (9.8 WIN) Ac Milan vs Barcelona Half with most goals First half- LAY- 3.25 0 goals so 1 goal would win Fist goal odds 31-40 - 9.6 41-50- 11 Under 4.5 1.2 CAN TRADE AT 1.02 SO CLASSING AS A WIN Correct score 1-0- 19 CURRENTLY 12 TO LAY 0-1- 9.2 CURRENTLY 4.2 TO LAY 1-1- 8.8 Not passed the 0-0 test. STILL 0-0 |
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I see mate, then how have you gone about deciding the bets? Frequency of results/stats?
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thanks for that ttt, looks very useful
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no worries :) share the wealth, we're all in it to win it.
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The bets is kind of down to me, it gives you 5 outputs, how many goals, which half, time, if they having been scoring more recently and if its good for a 0-0 lay. i then use this to pick a good bet, by the stats i could of gone under 2.5 in barca- but its barca and under 4.5 is much safer
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Goal in Sheffield, spreadsheet was right about the lay of 0-0 and he goal time, thats a 8.6 winner.
ermmmm |
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Fair play. It could be luck, but that's bloody impressive so far.
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pretty accurate on the first goal time in the sheffield game, fair play. cant see it being to accurate over a long period of time though as many early first goals and late first goals will always average out to around half way in. definately useful for the 0-0 lay though.
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ttt can't find the actual stats on soccerways site where do I find them?
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scoreline 2-1 in sheffield
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http://uk.soccerway.com/ find the league on the left
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then click on table to get some stats
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