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no dodgy in play trades this weekend.
trade 1: backed fleetwood at 1.98 layed at 1.9 fleetwood +£80 the draw +£0 kidderminster+0 trade 2: layed tottenham at 2.6 backed at 2.76 everton +£60 the draw+£60 tottenham+£60 trade 3: backed under 2.5 at 1.9 layed at 1.78 under 2.5=+£70 over 2.5 =+£50 off to celebrate the 2-0 win over wolves now GTFI ![]() |
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everton did us proud and I think could do so again leading up to tuesday's derby at 5.4 because:
liverpool are abject, lost 3 on the trot, only won 1 prem game this year and only 4 of 13 at home this season only 2 points separate the teams everton have recently beaten man city, chelsea & spurs (ok at home) and now have a goalscorer liverpool are available at 1.8 which should equal everton at 5.1 |
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Good day yesterday for me . Got Sheff Wednesday at 1.93 and traded at 1.83 which isn't bad for my first week of pre match trading . Once I get a bit more confidence in my own ability i'll post my thoughts on games pre-match. Out of 8 other games I paper tested this week all odds came in except one and that only went out a couple of ticks . Of the other 7 games they all came in between 4 to 10 ticks , not massive moves but its still moving the right way.
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noticed that manutd are 1.36 after trading as low as 1.22
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Im afraid I may have hoovered up all the value here ~(Ive had £500 at evens) but if you can get any get enough on at anything north of 1.95 then I reckon Rerading should be around 1.8 at Donnie on wednesday - why - cos Reading have won 8, yes 8 on the trot and donnie have only won 1 of last 9 - think Arsenal at Wigan, with Arsenal on the back of 8 consecutive wins and think 1.8 or less
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great stuff green army i am having 1k at anything around 1.95 they wil be 1.8 at kickoff or possibly 1.75. this is the reason i was patient at weekend. thank you again for spotting it
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I have taken a large chunk of 2.64- 2.68 on wba away to wigan next week
The thinking is wigan have won only once at home this season and only 1 of last 10, they were ok today but norwich were out of sorts and wigan are clearly poor, esp at home for wba losing 2-0 at united today with 10 men means v little - the albion won the previous 3, sunderland, chelsea and putting 5 past wolves at molineaux, arguably a similar task to next week the bare stats say albion near evens - I reckon 2.3, in any case at 2.6 now I think a reasonable profit v low risk trade |
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hi guys back to a weekend of trading some match odds. i waited on wigan game to strike and last night got matched at 2.84 lay on wigan. out to 3 already when i woke this morning. won £152 midweek from trading man utd on thursday as from sum reason up to 45 min before kickoff they were favourites
.check out my thread in general bettting theres guna be lots of pre off trades in next 5 days so get involved people. |
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I have been watching the Portsmouth v Bristol City game with interest.
Last night they were trading at 2.38 and this morning they are trading at 2.22 I guess its confirming what has already been mentioned about Portsmouth on here. I will be interested to see what they are trading at come 3pm . |
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have you not put money on any trades scara_manga?
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Yes , but im not fully matched on the price I want so i'm keeping quiet for now . I think it will only come in 4 or 5 ticks so its a pretty safe trade i think .
Another one that interests me is MK Dons at Chesterfield . Best you can get at bookies is evens but currently trading here at 2.12 . That's too high and I would expect it to come in back towards 2.02 2.04 . However nothing always goes to plan with trading . |
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gud luck mate seems like your getting the idea. i check odds comparison sites for my trades too definetly helps. there will be some under 2.5 trades next week as big teams in prem are playing each other. will be similar to the spurs vs utd game the other week 2.24 into 2 at kickoff can't wait
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yes things fairly quiet, I had a good week with bilbao going my way
an interesting spot smithy with the unders going that way towards ko, Ive developed it a bit further with the 0-0 CS - ie if the match odds dont change too much the 0-0 bombs in the hour before ko - watch spurs today & utd tomorrow today wba are still hugely overpriced at 2.6 - ie forget utd last week and think the 3 previous wins esp 5-1 at wolves, wigan have only 1 home win all season - whether the market will go this way not sure |
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wigan have not moved further out and i have a football match to play at 2 0 clock so trading out at 3 to leave me like this
wigan= +£0 the draw =+£80 west brom=+80 wigan's shambles of a home record leaves me with no option but to oppose them knowing my luck they will probably win today. always throw profit away in the 3pm kickoffs on saturdays due to football commitments but i love playing too .interesting spot with the correct scores mate al be latching on to that. gd luck traders ![]() |
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why did we not keep this going was going well?
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right suppose al get it up and running again £1500 at 2 on over 2.5 on germany vs greece for a pre off trade. germany are 1/3 shots so overs should be shorter and would be suprised if price didn't shorten before kickoff. if more money comes for germany then price will come in.
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did any1 get on? layed overs at 1.91 with £500 this morning after laying unders at 2 last night. a low risk trade. price has gone back a bit now though need germany to get backed in more
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layed unders again at 2.04 still to short in greece vs germany way out line with bookies prices.
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i said it was to short
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time to pile into italy's current odds now. 3.05.3.1 is big should be shorter come kickoff. when have england ever reached a semi **** me its not 1990
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Hard to believe that England are being backed as favorites here, they've a poor record against the big teams in tournaments, let alone in the knockout stages. Last time being Argentina in 02' where they beat what you'd consider to be a favorite. Can't think off the top of my head, that in a game where they were considered underdogs they've prevailed in 90mins?
Think blind patriotism is driving the England price down, with them opening pretty even a pair at 3s. I do believe they'd got a great chance, but Italy have to be considered favorites. What would your thinking be on the Spain France game tomorrow? I've got a couple of hundred waiting at 1.82 atm; won't be able to watch the match, so looking to tie up a few quid before gets underway. Pinnacle have Spain at 1.78 as I write this, but wom is favoring the lay side. |
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hi tom i'm not willing to pile in on spain at 1.82 as they were 1.9 yesterday that would of been a better time to get on. no trade for me but if you reckon spain will come in could be worth a shout.
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look at the odds for spain vs portugal. portugal trading at 4.7 whilst 4/1 with bookies. spain at evens and bigger i have 2k on spain already they will be 1.9 or lower at kickoff this is insane price.
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crazy stuff 2.04 now being taken on spain pre off trade heaven
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excellant arbing chance with stan james price of the draw and portugal bigger on there than here
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stan james have cut the 13/5 offered on the draw and the 4/1 they were offering on portugal unsuprisingly
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italy into 2.94 after being matched at 3.1 i got 3.05 but couldn't get matched at 3.1
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full lot out at 2.94. quite a lot of bookies have england as faves so perhaps now is the best time to lock in profit. would like england to win so greening up italy. england =+£0 the draw=+£0 italy=+£72
lets hope we can do somrthing we never do and win a quarter final ![]() |
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should a waited a bit longer italy went into 2.86. not to worry spain will come steaming in
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small world i already have the OP on twitter without realising
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time to load up on spain they can't be odds against at kickoff lets drive it in
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Did the odds on Spain come in in the end? I saw they came in to about 1.96 and then last time I checked (about 5hrs before ko) they were back up to @ 2.
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started around 1.99
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Cheers!
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Ger vs Italy tonight
Best Trades on this? |
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I was thinking that the over 2.5 is a wee bit high at 2.46/2.48 but after all the 0-0's recently I don't know if people will be too keen to back it!!
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god can the new football season please hurry up my betfair account is becoming dormant
. only three trades so far in july and one was on david haye. liverpool are playing a few games in next week or so hopefully will be worth a back to lay![]() |
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brazil 1.25 vs egypt . 1.2 at kickoff thursday
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"god can the new football season please hurry up my betfair account is becoming dormant"
Move into pretrading the horses, you can do what you do for a footy match (at your usual stakes) in about 5 minutes rather than 5 days: lay-to-back on smelly favourites. |