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BetfairMike
09 Feb 12 12:44
Joined:
Date Joined: 22 Mar 10
| Topic/replies: 277 | Blogger: BetfairMike's blog
Siena host Napoli for the semi final of the Coppa Italia we both teams playing for a final against Italian giants Juventus or AC Milan. Both teams have been struggling in the league recently, Siena have just one win, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 8 league games. Napoli have just the 2 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 8 league games.

Siena find themselves 17th in the league but there home form is not appalling with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. Napoli have the 5th best away record in Serie A with 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses. Recent head to head meetings between the two have seen 2 wins for Napoli, 2 draws and one win Siena.

Napoli sit in seventh place in Serie A with 31 points from seven wins, 10 draws and five losses. Siena sit 17th in the table with 20 points from four wins, eight draws and nine losses which sees them just three ahead of the relegation zone above Lecce.

Despite this Siena has one of the best defensive records in the league as they conceded just 22 goals in their 21 games, which is fifth best in the league.The problem is they’ve scored only 21 goals, which is the sixth lowest total in Serie A. Napoli, on the other hand, have conceded 36 goals but have scored 31.

Im going to back the draw in this one, and expect Napoli to progress when the host Siena at Stadio San Paolo.

Team News:

Siena:

Siena manager Giuseppe Sannino will have to do without the services of regular goalkeeper Zeljko Brkic since the Serbian international is out of action for at least another week after having surgery on his groin. It also looks like Francesco Bolzoni won’t be playing either as he also has a nagging groin injury.

Napoli:

Napoli manager Walter Mazzarri has a relatively healthy squad to choose from, but there could be a few changes to the team that played to a draw against AC Milan in last Sunday’s league game. Goran Pandev could take over up front from Ezequiel Lavezzi while Dokhan Inler and Andrea Dossena could replace Blerim Dzemaili and Juan Zuniga in the midfield.

Last 6 Games (league):

Siena:        DLDLWD       

Napoli:            DDLDDW   


Prediction: Siena 0 - 0 Napoli

My Pick: Draw at 3.25 at (9/4)

Outside Bet: No Goalscorer at 9 (8/1)

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Pause Switch to Standard View Siena v Napoli! Coppa Italia!
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Report Detriuz February 9, 2012 1:33 PM GMT
Gone with the 0-0 to trade, think it's better value than unders. Also DNB Napoli.
Report BetfairMike February 9, 2012 1:37 PM GMT
Good luck i can't see there being many goals in this one
Report BetfairMike February 9, 2012 6:09 PM GMT
Anyone have any thoughts on this game?
Report SrgtDouche February 9, 2012 6:38 PM GMT
just hate napoli nowadays... they lack motivation against smaller teams to great extent. Knwoing Siena coach he would want this vry very badly... they'll look for a 1-0 win but ET likely here imo
Report gawdalmighty February 9, 2012 6:54 PM GMT
Full respect to you, BetfairMike. The last tip you posted on here (that I read) came in just as you predicted - so Im on this one! Cool
Report gawdalmighty February 9, 2012 6:54 PM GMT
no pressure! lol
Report Kal84 February 9, 2012 7:00 PM GMT
Any team news?
Report Kal84 February 9, 2012 7:02 PM GMT
Any team news?
Report CCStretch February 9, 2012 7:03 PM GMT
Siena a tough nut at home ... Napoli unpredictable but nearly always capable of scoring. Under 2.5 @ 1.75 actually looks decent - rare for me to back at odds on. Napoli should not be short of motivation in a semi so I expect a replication of their recent 1-1 meeting - both teams to score seems fair - I will put in a bet at 2.1 and hope to get matched in running.  Backing pre match correct score at 0-0 and 1-1 (9.6 & 7.4) respectively should give us trade out opportunities.
NB I wouldn't recommend trading all these positions ... just taking one view depending on what your bag is.... good luck all
Report Johnny_Mustang February 9, 2012 7:05 PM GMT
SrgtDouche
just hate napoli nowadays... they lack motivation against smaller teams to great extent. Knwoing Siena coach he would want this vry very badly... they'll look for a 1-0 win but ET likely here imo



This is first leg isn't it? Can't be extra time.
Report the swog February 9, 2012 7:07 PM GMT
think napoli will win this 1 played well away at milan on sunday i no it the cup and different mentally but am backing napoli to win also back high on corners could be looking over 11 for me
Report Green Devil February 9, 2012 7:34 PM GMT
over 2.5 goals for me!!
game on
Report baconsandwhich February 9, 2012 7:37 PM GMT
lazio to win both halfs is 4, massive if u ask me, and on lazio ht ft at 2.26
Report baconsandwhich February 9, 2012 7:37 PM GMT
shiit wrong fred
Report gawdalmighty February 9, 2012 7:38 PM GMT
lol bacon
Report dave_the_poor February 9, 2012 7:41 PM GMT
siena lineup is awful looking, either they have bought a lot of new players or they have reserves out tonight
Report supersmith February 9, 2012 7:45 PM GMT
the strikers dont have a goal between them, Im on Napoli win and for a laugh, scorecast - Cavani 2-1/3-1!!
Report BetfairMike February 9, 2012 7:56 PM GMT
gawdalmighty thanks for the pressure!! The goals will probably start flying in now to prove me wrong haha
Report gawdalmighty February 9, 2012 8:01 PM GMT
@ BetfairMike. Well we are all adults (allegedly)so if we decide to take your tips, on our own shoulders be it. Tongue Out But seriously, good tipping BFMike, I am already out and in profit on  my unders trade Cool
Report Kal84 February 9, 2012 8:04 PM GMT
How on earth have napoli not scored yet?
Report BetfairMike February 9, 2012 8:05 PM GMT
Good work! i know i dont mind as long as im making profit in the long run thats all i care about! Just thought i would share some of my tips
Report BetfairMike February 9, 2012 8:06 PM GMT
lazio 1-0 up, i can;t believe anyone would back a side with that many injures to win at 1.5!!
Report meadway February 9, 2012 8:09 PM GMT
cesena you mean
Report BetfairMike February 9, 2012 8:11 PM GMT
Yep sorry that what i meant, but why anyone would of backed lazio is beyond me
Report meadway February 9, 2012 8:16 PM GMT
check the lazio vs cesena its a fix didnt you know? haha.
Report Detriuz February 9, 2012 8:17 PM GMT
Trading out of 0-0 , getting on a red with the profits.
Report Bergkamp93 February 9, 2012 8:22 PM GMT
2-0 Cesena LoL 1.50 BACKERS in the Poor House LaughLaugh
Report Bergkamp93 February 9, 2012 8:26 PM GMT
GTFI BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMM SIENAAAAAAAALoveLoveLoveLoveLoveLoveLoveLoveLoveLoveLoveLoveLoveLoveLoveLoveLove
Report meadway February 9, 2012 8:27 PM GMT
1-0 come on napoli for my BTTS bet
Report Bergkamp93 February 9, 2012 8:27 PM GMT
WE LOVE YOU SIENAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA
Report Bergkamp93 February 9, 2012 8:27 PM GMT
BIG REGGGGGG !!!
Report meadway February 9, 2012 8:27 PM GMT
underdogs night! hahaLaugh
Report Bergkamp93 February 9, 2012 8:29 PM GMT
I could not resist a small lay of Napoli hehe...

Sure is Underdogs on Fire !!
Report supersmith February 9, 2012 8:45 PM GMT
Come on Napoli I could do with a comeback here!!!Scared
Report mesmerised February 9, 2012 8:50 PM GMT
don't know about anyone else, but the match odds market was going haywire for a minute, kept flashing loading market loading market loading market, ffs 2 minutes later a goal, would you adam and eve it.
Report Bergkamp93 February 9, 2012 8:51 PM GMT
LaughLaugh
Report meadway February 9, 2012 8:54 PM GMT

Feb 9, 2012 -- 8:50PM, mesmerised wrote:


don't know about anyone else, but the match odds market was going haywire for a minute, kept flashing loading market loading market loading market, ffs 2 minutes later a goal, would you adam and eve it.


lol wasnt just me then! i almost didnt get my cesena next goal and back cesena bets on haha

Report Bergkamp93 February 9, 2012 9:07 PM GMT
2-0
Report Tgkaplan1970 February 9, 2012 9:08 PM GMT
LOL WHAT A FIX
Report Bergkamp93 February 9, 2012 9:28 PM GMT
2-1
Report meadway February 9, 2012 9:32 PM GMT
come on napoli! 5+ mins
Report Bergkamp93 February 9, 2012 9:36 PM GMT
WoW what a chance for Napoli smashed bar !!
Report meadway February 9, 2012 9:36 PM GMT
brilliant fix! 2-1 Crazy
Report Bergkamp93 February 9, 2012 9:37 PM GMT
I laid Napoli but traded out literally 1 min  before siena got second :( ...Oh well better to be safe than sorry
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