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This is going to be a thread following a system using doubles in the over 2.5 goals market, there will also be doubles on a correct score in the same match. hopefully all will become clear when I post the first bet.
I will start with a £1000 bank and risk only 1% per bet, however, I will only decrease my stake if the bank falls 35% from it's highest point. Each bet will consist of 4 bets so the 1% is divided by 4 and bet evenly amongst the selections.
Just a warning this is something new i'm working on and wouldn't advice anyone copies the bets at least until it has proven profitable over a decent period of time(fingers crossed).
I will start with a £1000 bank and risk only 1% per bet, however, I will only decrease my stake if the bank falls 35% from it's highest point. Each bet will consist of 4 bets so the 1% is divided by 4 and bet evenly amongst the selections.
Just a warning this is something new i'm working on and wouldn't advice anyone copies the bets at least until it has proven profitable over a decent period of time(fingers crossed).
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first bets are in the man city vs fulham game and the stoke vs sunderland game
so we bet as follows city v fulham over 2.5 and stoke vs sunderland CS 1-1 @ 10.4 stake £2.50 city v fulham over 2.5 and stoke v sunderland over 2.5 @ 3.68 stake £2.50 city v fulham CS 2-0 and stoke v sunderland over 2.5 @ 15.27 stake £2.50 city v fulham CS 2-0 and stoke v sunderland CS 1-1 @ 43.12 stake £2.50 total stake £10 1% of bank |
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bad start yesterday stoke 0-1 sunderland let us down.
bank now £990 so todays bet stays at £10 |
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todays bet
ac milan vs Napoli over 2.5 and chelsea v man utd CS 1-1 @12.56 stake £2.50 ac milan vs Napoli over 2.5 and chelsea v man utd over 2.5 @3.86 stake £2.50 ac milan vs Napoli CS 2-0 and chelsea v man utd over 2.5 @ 17.16 stake £2.50 ac milan vs Napoli CS 2-0 and chelsea v man utd CS 1-1 @55.88 stake £2.50 total stake £10 |
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Ac Milan 0-0 Napoli very surprised this game was goalless but tomorrow is another day and it will only take 1 good win to make up our loses.
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Todays bets
Grenada v Malaga over 2.5 and 1860 v cottbus CS 2-0 @ 18.9 stake 2.5 (CS not available on betfair multiples so placed at another bookmakers) Grenada v Malaga over 2.5 and 1860 v cottbus over 2.5 @ 3.91 stake 2.5 Grenada v Malaga CS 0-2 and 1860 v cottbus ocer 2.5 @ 20.3 stake 2.5 Grenada v Malaga CS 0-2 and 1860 v cottbus CS 2-0 @ 99 stake 2.5 (CS not available on betfair multiples so placed at another bookmakers) |
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Grenada 2-1 malaga and 1860 2-0 cottbus so 32.50 wins £44.75 - £7.50 = £37.25
 bank now stands at £1017.25 we're in profit. tomorrows bet will be 1% £10.17 so £2.54 per double. |
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Great stuff welba. Very well done!
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Nice strategy welba, are you covering 1-1 or 2-0 based on the gulf between the teams or the odds?
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thanks kal. loadedgimp i'm covering based on how I perceive the gulf between the teams.
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todays bets
birmingham v portsmouth 0ver 2.5 and southampton v milwall over 2.5 £2.54 @ 3.70 birmingham v portsmouth 0ver 2.5 and southampton v milwall CS 2-0 £2.54 @ 16 birmingham v portsmouth CS 2-0 and southampton v milwall over 2.5 £2.54 @ 12.95 birmingham v portsmouth CS 2-0 and southampton v milwall CS 2-0 2.54 @ 56 |
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this looks like it'll be 1 step forward 2 steps back repeating over n over... I hope it's not but i just feel you will be stuck around your starting bank for a very very long time. Good idea though, maybe there's a higher percentage strike rate available doing this similar with different market?
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Hi dimebar, I feel like you may be right, however, im happy to stay around the starting balance knowing that eventually I will hit a big winner. It is a fairly low risk strategy and maybe with practise my strike rate will improve, we shall see.
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Agree with Dimebar. Could be a case of 1 step forward 2 backwards, but if you manage to hit one big winner then you wil be well in profit. Good luck with 2nite bets.
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ah dude today would have been sweet with
20:45 FT Southampton 2-3 Millwall (1-1) 20:45 FT Bournemouth 2-0 Exeter City (0-0) obviously pointless saying this after but would have been a nice earner today i guess it's just going to be about picking those lucky games |
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close but not quite tonight. bank now £1007.09.
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Unlucky welba. U done ur selections 4 2mro?
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thanks kal, selections for today are as follows
Stuttgart vs Bayern over 2.5 and Lyon vs Bordeaux over 2.5 £2.54 @ 3.44 Stuttgart vs Bayern over 2.5 and Lyon vs Bordeaux CS 2-0 £2.54 @ 12 Stuttgart vs Bayern CS 0-2 Lyon vs Bordeaux over 2.5 £2.54 @ 18.27 Stuttgart vs Bayern CS 0-2 and Lyon vs Bordeaux CS 2-0 £2.54 @ 63.75 |
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1-1 at half time in the lyon bordeaux game full time in the same game, 1-1, very frustrating!
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AARRGH Bayern Win 2-0, the Lyon game cost us a decent win tonight. 2 steps back 1 forward now 2 steps back so should be another forward step tomorrow.
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BANK £996.93
Istanbul BB vs Karabukspor over 2.5 and Lazio vs Cesena over 2.5 £2.54 @ 3.70 Istanbul BB vs Karabukspor over 2.5 and Lazio vs Cesena CS 2-0 £2.54 @ 12 Istanbul BB vs Karabukspor CS 2-0 and Lazio vs Cesena over 2.5 £2.54 @ 17 Istanbul BB vs Karabukspor CS 2-0 and Lazio vs Cesena CS 2-0 £2.54 @ 55.25 |
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both overs came in tonight for a total return of -£0.76 taking bank down to £996.17.
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No bets till Monday now, I'm going away for the weekend, weather permitting.
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I'll be watching your betting strategy with interest. A friend of mine tried something along the same lines with a cover bet of two nil & a more substantial bet on over 2.5 goals in the same match. Mixed results so far
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Unlucky 2nite m8. U will hit a big winner soon. U off anywhere decent for wkend?
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were are u doing these bets ? and how can you back a team with a score on a double with overs?
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Hi Steve I either use bet fair multiples or bet 364+1, ou cant select the bets all at once you have to place all 4 doubles individually.
Mac I think it will be all about keeping the bank ass steady as possible with the hope that when big winners come they will get us into decent profit and not just make up for previous losses. thanks Kal, Im quite happy with a small loss like that one, the big wins will come. Im hopefully going to newcastle then a mini cruise to amsterdam. |
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Looks like the type of bets bookies are very happy to accept, (correct scores,
doubles etc) also betting in foreign leagues. I wish you well though. |
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Kenilworth - are you suggestimg foreign football is corrupt?
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back after an interesting weekend.
bets for today with bank of £996.17 Gillingham vs Southend over 2.5 and Napoli vs Cheivo over 2.5 £2.54 @ 3.34 Gillingham vs Southend over 2.5 and Napoli vs Chievo CS 2-0 £2.54 @ 11.22 Gillingham vs Southend CS 1-1 and Napoli vs Cheivo over 2.5 £2.54 @ 12.67 Gillingham vs Southend CS 1-1 and Napoli vs Chievo CS 2-0 £2.54 @ 42.25 |
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Gillingham vs Southend over 2.5 and Napoli vs Cheivo over 2.5 £2.54 @ 3.34
Gillingham vs Southend over 2.5 and Napoli vs Chievo CS 2-0 £2.54 @ 11.22 BOOOOMMMMM!. WELL DONE WELBA |
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[b]kal84,[/b] I'm suggesting he is betting in
bookmaker friendly markets, also in leagues most people know very little about. Am I wrong ? |
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Nice win this evening
Gillingham vs Southend over 2.5 and Napoli vs Chievo CS 2-0 £2.54 @ 11.22 returned £28.52 - £10.16 for a profit on the night of £18.36 new bank is £1014.53. back in profit and still waiting to hit a big winner. |
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Napoli wasn't over 2.5 so first bet doesn't win. Well done on CS double though. Enjoying this thread
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Sorry, just correcting Kal84s post. Well done again
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Cheers kal I see your winning again, seems to be a nice habbit.
Kenilworth you may be right about the bookies being happy to take the bets, however, I still feel that if the balance remains close to the start bank, it will eventually hit a decent winner to significantly boost the profit. It might not be for some people who like to bet everything on a £50 - £10,000 challenge but at the moment, im happy to plod along with it, as it is low risk and hopefully, with the way I stake will build up over time. |
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Thanks thegoodsagain, lets hope we have another winner tomorrow.
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welba, I have no argument with that. GL.
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Apologies for error on my post. IWell done again welba
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Bank is £1014.53
Cardiff vs Posh over 2.5 and Braga vs Besiktas over 2.5 £2.54 @ 3.24 Cardiff vs Posh over 2.5 and Braga vs Besiktas CS 2-0 £2.54 @ 12.49 Cardiff vs Posh CS 2-0 and Braga vs Besiktas over 2.5 £2.54 @ 15.60 Cardiff vs Posh CS 2-0 and Braga vs Besiktas CS 2-0 £2.54 @ 60.00 Come on the two nils! |