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Bani vs Enppi Club
Bani vs Enppi Club
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which coincidentally made my lay at 1.07 a winner? (pure luck IMO but I only did it because I was covering my unders)
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DRAW 50 SHINES WELL...
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dear friends,
be carefull GALATASARAY because in istanbul snowing and so cold |
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1-2 FT, what a fine example on how not to bet on a game
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end
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i wish i stayed with my £5 profit at h/t now i lost £25 lol
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same as me, saying no o3.5 and then going in against my stomach feelinhg
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-h
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of course its lucky the overs game in but im afraid they did and to me thats all i care about.....your a tough school if everytime a bet wins its lucky....give some credit to yourelf and others
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£5 profit h/t with horse race in thats £13 profit first game first horse race now -£5
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loadedgimp • February 1, 2012 12:46 PM GMT
130 to lay over 6.5 think ill go with under 4.5 loadedgimp • February 1, 2012 1:07 PM GMT kirilkach I was on under 4.5 market and 1.07 disappeared from lay side before goal. I normally think about jumping out at that point but over 50% of my stake was out so I left it. On under 4.5 again at 1.13 loadedgimp • February 1, 2012 1:16 PM GMT 0-1 0-2 or 1-1 FT I guess but I wouldn't put money on it. loadedgimp • February 1, 2012 1:19 PM GMT Ixel I usually aim to have half my stake out before the first goal (the other half is queued up waiting for better odds) and if a goal comes before I am fully greened I buy in again confident in my under selection. loadedgimp • February 1, 2012 1:19 PM GMT Under 4.5 is back to SP. loadedgimp • February 1, 2012 1:20 PM GMT So mine is fully out, unfortunate if there is a goal for under 3.5 backers loadedgimp • February 1, 2012 1:28 PM GMT Maybe wilson, depends how much you put on under 4.5 and 5.5, I got out of under 4.5 for little risk. I won on over 1.5, on under 5.5 and 6.5 after the 2nd goal and put 50% of current profit on over 2.5 loadedgimp • February 1, 2012 1:32 PM GMT Oh wow more goals than I expect so far. Qwerty very unlucky, but you could have laid 1-1 at 1.07 loadedgimp • February 1, 2012 1:33 PM GMT yes prele feel relatively safe on under 5.5 and 6.5 still. loadedgimp • February 1, 2012 1:36 PM GMT Not for you Ixel, but for me I believe the bet wins, not if I was chasing my losses without any ideas of my own. Csibee I wouldn't be telling people to lay the worst value bet here. (refers to laying 1-2 FT at halftime) loadedgimp • February 1, 2012 1:40 PM GMT I hope you all learnt from the Libertad game last night, who sat there for 45 minutes after betting there would be another goal in the second half only to be saved in the last minute? It's not a great value bet. That said betting over 3.5 is different to laying CS loadedgimp • February 1, 2012 1:42 PM GMT But if you do bet over 3.5 cover it with under 6.5 or 5.5 and if a goal comes back over 4.5 simples loadedgimp • February 1, 2012 1:45 PM GMT csibee I don't pretend I know anything about this game, I just bet as risk-free as possible. I currently have 1.05 odds on under 5.5 and 1.02 odds on under 6.5 - I won over 1.5 over 2.5 1-1 lay at 1.07 HT and am now on over 3.5, under 4.5 traded successfully twice in and out before the 2 goals. loadedgimp • February 1, 2012 1:45 PM GMT Wilson how are you judging the 2nd half by the first? wilson1 • February 1, 2012 1:47 PM GMT the ease at which they scored not exactly loads of open chances and yet there have still been goals...home team has to go for it now which will lead to open spaces.... prele • February 1, 2012 1:48 PM GMT So, will there be another goal? Vote YES or NO Report•Quote prele • February 1, 2012 1:48 PM GMT YES Report•Quote loadedgimp • February 1, 2012 1:48 PM GMT ok how about I say the lack of goals these two normally score, barely any chances...away team want to defend their lead...lucky pen to make the game seem more goalbound.... loadedgimp • February 1, 2012 1:49 PM GMT or Biscuit1979 • February 1, 2012 1:51 PM GMT Right i HATE backing unders. I've switched bets, i'd rather hope and pray for another goal than sit here knowing a lucky deflection, mis-hit cross or dodgy pen will lose me my bet. Come on the second half goal!! Report•Quote Mental • February 1, 2012 1:51 PM GMT i laed 1-2 CS... now wating... Report•Quote prele • February 1, 2012 1:53 PM GMT **** it, o3.5, here we go |
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anyone on the next games
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for those who don't bother reading a thread to see where they went wrong, sound advice every step of the way. wilson I am not knocking your bet but you saying it won gives any ground to you knowing what you are doing and enabling you to ignore my advice is ridiculous. If you can't see 3 first half goals does not make over 2.5 a good bet then I am obviously wasting my time. I kept banging on about it as I feel sorry for the ten or more times I kept quiet. This is a valuable punting lesson. Best of all it was free, and can save you from blowing your bank like I used to constantly.
Anyway peace out, hope someone learns something. |
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that's a lot of copy and pasting to make yourself look even more of a smart arse when you already proved your point about half an hour ago
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Yes Biscuit it may seem big headed but it saves people reading the whole thread which I doubt anyone was going to anyway, besides I won't be typing out that amount of advice again nor will I be trying to tell everyone what to do again. Like I said free advice, take it or leave it. But don't think Wilson knows what he was doing
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This will soon fall off the bottom of the first page and be confined to forum history, but the lesson I learnt and detailed here has saved me countless times, I wish you all luck, from now on the only forum posting I do will be on my 'Nobody should lay this multi' thread and will only help with that.
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Loaded - sent you a PM instead. See what you think.
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Wilson thought, as he posted, that over 2.5 was priced too big so he bet. That's the correct thing to do as long as he was getting the best possible price by checking all available options his reasoning for his bet was sound and whether it won or lost was by the by. In gambling, over the long term, there's a fine line between winning and losing, even the extremely successful operate on tight margins it's the nature of the beast, so getting the best possible price is paramount even though many on here fail to see that and state a winner is a winner....you can't eat value........rather have a 1-2 winner than a 10-1 loser and many other mindless quotes.
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