Why don't people bet on under 4.5 goals?

Because of games like Xerez vs Betis which would make Baby Jesus cry if he bet on under 4.5.

i suppose one of the advantages to doing 1+ goals is that you would get your money back quicker than waiting for the final whistle to go.  I assume that as soon as the first goal goes in on a 1+ goals you get your stake and winnings.

Only if you lay no next goal Heardit.

yeah but all the 0-0 or late goal games would kill you off

Yeah you only get money if you lay it, meaning you would get a smaller bet back.

always going to be high stakes on both for little profit but 1+ goal just seems to be a safer bet to make then going large on under 4.5

personally i'd rather just pick out teams that don't score many goals and preferably don score many in the 1st half and go for under 2.5 for a trade at half time

Debatable, just as much chance of 5 goals being scored than 0 being scored. Any stats on this?

Alex the Greek bets on under 4.5

backing correct scores at what they are at half time is good for a trade too if no goals are scored between 45 to 60 odd mins... for instance i just did the maccabi game, last 5 encounters between them have been 0-0 backed at half time @ 3.9 now trading them off at 1.85.

yeah alex the greek posted a huge loss of around $5k the other day backing under 4.5 lol

about 5k on about 5 different games lol would have been sound today though

nah he lost it on 2 games... although he bottled it on the everton game n traded out for only $1900 odd but lost $2900 on the tottenham game lol

That's a lot of loss in a day!

$1900 loss not profit

yeah he posted them 2 first and then had a couple more in the day like the koln game   

trikidiy i got sum goals per game stats for u for each league from 95 to 2010 if u want them?

no point in posting they are all every single season average between 2 to 2.9 per game with a cple of 3.1's for every league every season lol

That list would interest me dimebar8, if you would be so kind

come on guys, you'll have to think a bit harder than this

You'd have been absolutely done up the arse if you did this bet in Portugal yesterday. Porto was 0-0 at HT and 2-3 FT, Rio Ave were 1 down at the break and won 6-1.

I agree in a lot of cases though you'd at least have a chance to trade out, i don't know what stats are for games with over 4.5 though.

i'll just post links to the sites...

Europe - http://soccer-europe.com/Statistics/Goals/GPGEuro.html

and this tool covers everything for every country... goals per team etc - http://www.imscouting.com/reports-generator2/?id=10

Lets just Put it this way:

Betting on Under 4.5 at the Odds that are normaly on offer makes almost no sense under any Circumstances, whilst betting on Over 4.5 under Specific Conditions with the Odds regularily on offer makes pretty much sense :)

Hope that helps (or not) :)

anna he was just pointing out that more bet on 1+ than under 4.5 when the probability for both is probably around the same...

Sure thing :)

premier league this season

1 goal or more - 291 games

under 4.5 goals - 272 games

Nice one T.M.O

So it is fairly close but slightly higher odds for 1+

ALEXANDER_THE_GREEK 16 Sep 12 20:58 Joined: 15 Nov 07 | Topic/replies: 12,715 | Blogger: ALEXANDER_THE_GREEK's blog
time to back under4.5

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