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Betfair_Loser
26 Jun 12 03:19 Joined: 26 May 12 | Topic/replies: 7,980 | Blogger: Betfair_Loser's blog captain scarlet - so what system to you use to place your bets on betfair at the moment? No system. I really only bet on football on here at present but I'm not making anything from it for one reason and another. The horse racing thing is an extension of a system I built several years ago which trialled extremely well but like a tool I dropped it due to being too wrapped up in having a decent paying job that afforded me some nice things so I didn't really pursue the racing system all that much. Circumstances (job wise) have changed dramatically so I'm trying to get my head down and recreate what I did before. |
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okay fair play, good luck. Hope it goes well for you
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Oh yes, BL. Form certainly comes into it. Some horses are simply better than their peers. If they're consistent with it - most horses aren't - then you might have a betting win machine. If a horse outclasses the competition, is consistent, is in good form, and won't have any problems with the distance or the way the race is likely to be run, then you have a pick. If you can get a good price on that horse to place in the top three then you may well have something. You don't get many of those in an evening though - and when it comes to truly dependable shots, you only get those a few times a week. Any horse can let you down, but if you're selective and don't get sucked in by stupid prices, then you can turn a profit.
Other horses may be good bets because they are ideally suited to the type of race (that can knock out two thirds of the field right there), or because they're relatively untried and untested in a field full of proven losers. If a horse didn't win last time, you've always got to ask yourself what's so different that'll make it win this time. Most of the time you can't answer that question, in which case you simply move on. Occasionally you can, in which case you have a pick. I can't really say more, since US Racing has pretty small pools as it is. But there are definitely good picks available if you're incredibly selective, and know how to read class, speed and form. |
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Cheers B_L
I hope so too. |
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what makes you say i'm poor?
Poor at selecting horses. |
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Sea Mooooooooooooon.
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feckin hell it's bad enough with a 100 new posts every morning with the parasite Bob's rubbish but now it's 200 replies every morning because Cooee replies with an essay to every one of Bob's inane begging
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bob-vegas 26 Jun 12 03:07
who were you on here before 26 May BL? F*ck me Bob, you really are stupid. The world and his wife knows he's Magic man/xlnc/Cant stop losing/Mystery man and TSO yet you still persist in asking him. He's never going to admit it is he, seeing as having new accounts after being banned was the reason YOU got him banned before ![]() |
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I agree RMB - Sea Moooooooooooon, is she?
I'll give Cooee only a 2:2 I'm afraid - not succinct enough at all the 15th time of asking. |
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Sorry for going on topic
![]() Last Week18/06/12 - 24/06/12 Net PL £ 10,463.95 |
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Brilliant work Cat! |
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Well done, Cat; excellent stuff.
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I don't find it difficult to congratulate someone else despite my losses, no. If I did I wouldn't read the thread.
I don't know if he has the perfect life. He seems like a nice bloke and has put time into making himself a success on here, so I'd say he deserves what he's achieved. It really depends on your definition of a perfect life. |
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Good for him. He's put years of work into getting to this point. Shouldn't he be congratulated?
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He wrote the bot
He had to find a way to win first, he didn't nip down Asda and ask them for a betting bot to make him 10k a week else he'd have invested in the more expensive one that netted him 100k a week or the super, duper deluxe version that guarantees 1 million a week ![]() |
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bob-vegas 26 Jun 12 13:28
he has an automated bot that makes him £10k in a week. it's like the stuff of fantasy. Evidently not bob. catfleppo 21 Jun 12 14:51 Last Week11/06/12 - 17/06/12 Net PL £ -5620.09 |
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cat
upped stakes this week . why does pistachio not ? |
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Thanks guys, the football has been unusually volatile, I guess because of euro 2012
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feckin hell it's bad enough with a 100 new posts every morning with the parasite Bob's rubbish but now it's 200 replies every morning because Cooee replies with an essay to every one of Bob's inane begging
![]() Yup. Guilty. In fairness, I haven't been on the forums much for the last fortnight, and the rest of you seem to have done a great job of helping Bob bury the thread in truckloads of drivel. (And I ain't taking any criticism on arguments from you 666, after you displayed your rather meagre and repetitive skills in that department on last week's 'Prince William is a Bellend' Chit-chat thread...) Point taken though. I shall retire to my steel-encased antechamber, where I can't pick up Betfair or email, and where my corps of green birds are waiting to deliver 500 lashes every day for the next week or two. Tatty bye. |
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what is a BOT?
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I wasn't criticising your arguments Cooee - I just gave you a mark for your thesis: I will teach the world to be right - just like me.
Judging from your last post though I will have to mark you down on basic English skills. |
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666, I shall address your points on the FAO Erogenous Zone thread....
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BOT is Bobs Online Tips
rule one and the main rule is when you lose a bet you throw double the stake at your next bet value doesn't come into play if you think they will win bet at it. |
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tza_SAm0xHQ 3mins in.
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Tennis=+£190.
Backed Raonic 3-0, but traded out at start of 3rd set when it looked like the match might not finish tonight. Congrats to the lucky punter who took the massively overpriced 1.5 I laid due to lack of liquidity in the market. |
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Tennis Showing 1 - 20 of 24 markets
Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Tennis / Wickmayer v Kuznetsova : Set 02 Winner 26-Jun-12 16:45 26-Jun-12 20:14 1.10 Tennis / Vinci v Barty : Match Odds 26-Jun-12 15:30 26-Jun-12 19:49 15.70 Tennis / Davydenko v A Murray : Set Betting 26-Jun-12 16:15 26-Jun-12 19:34 52.77 Tennis / Davydenko v A Murray : Set 01 Winner 26-Jun-12 16:15 26-Jun-12 18:29 5.72 Tennis / Falconi v Azarenka : Set Betting 26-Jun-12 15:30 26-Jun-12 18:15 0.08 Tennis / Falconi v Azarenka : Set 02 Winner 26-Jun-12 15:30 26-Jun-12 18:13 11.39 Tennis / Bellucci v Nadal : Set Betting 26-Jun-12 14:15 26-Jun-12 17:42 21.12 Tennis / Ward v Andujar : Set 04 Winner 26-Jun-12 13:30 26-Jun-12 17:39 2.30 Tennis / Cilic v Stebe : Set 01 Winner 26-Jun-12 14:30 26-Jun-12 17:33 0.17 Tennis / Melzer v Wawrinka : Set 01 Winner 26-Jun-12 14:45 26-Jun-12 17:32 0.52 Tennis / Mayr Achleitner v Lepchenko : Match Odds 26-Jun-12 13:30 26-Jun-12 17:17 1.44 Tennis / Dellacqua v Bartoli : Match Odds 26-Jun-12 13:30 26-Jun-12 16:46 3.83 Tennis / Mayr Achleitner v Lepchenko : Set 01 Winner 26-Jun-12 13:30 26-Jun-12 16:44 2.34 Tennis / Tsonga v Hewitt : Match Odds 26-Jun-12 13:30 26-Jun-12 16:35 7.39 Tennis / Bellucci v Nadal : Set 01 Winner 26-Jun-12 14:15 26-Jun-12 16:24 11.48 Tennis / Dellacqua v Bartoli : Set 01 Winner 26-Jun-12 13:30 26-Jun-12 16:00 2.63 Tennis / Tsonga v Hewitt : Set 02 Winner 26-Jun-12 13:30 26-Jun-12 15:57 1.67 Tennis / Mchale v Konta : Match Odds 26-Jun-12 12:45 26-Jun-12 15:47 2.01 Tennis / Tsonga v Hewitt : Set 01 Winner 26-Jun-12 13:30 26-Jun-12 15:35 1.34 Tennis / Hercog v Kr Pliskova : Match Odds 26-Jun-12 13:30 26-Jun-12 15:34 6.36 This is how to pick winners on the first round of wimbledon matches. Football > Malmo (W) v Linkopings (W) : Over/Under 3.5 Goals Showing 1 - 5 of 5 Selections Selection Odds Stake(£) Bid type Placed Profit/loss(£) Over 3.5 Goals 1.70 40.00 Back 26-Jun-12 19:38 -40.00 Over 3.5 Goals 1.18 150.00 Back 26-Jun-12 18:29 -150.00 Over 3.5 Goals 1.78 10.00 Back 26-Jun-12 19:50 -10.00 Over 3.5 Goals 1.25 51.09 Lay 26-Jun-12 19:32 51.09 Over 3.5 Goals 1.31 150.00 Lay 26-Jun-12 19:36 150.00 Football > Malmo (W) v Linkopings (W) : Correct Score Showing 1 - 2 of 2 Selections Selection Odds Stake(£) Bid type Placed Profit/loss(£) 1 - 1 * 6.42 12.40 Back -12.40 Any Unquoted 4.40 13.00 Lay 26-Jun-12 19:37 13.00 Soccer > Malmo (W) v Linkopings (W) : Match Odds Showing 1 - 10 of 10 Selections Selection Odds Stake(£) Bid type Placed Profit/loss(£) Malmo (W) 1.48 25.00 Back 26-Jun-12 18:26 12.00 Malmo (W) 1.56 5.00 Back 26-Jun-12 18:37 2.80 Malmo (W) 1.12 35.00 Back 26-Jun-12 19:59 4.20 Malmo (W) 1.54 23.86 Back 26-Jun-12 18:31 12.88 Malmo (W) 1.57 10.00 Back 26-Jun-12 18:33 5.70 Malmo (W) 1.06 45.00 Back 26-Jun-12 20:05 2.82 Malmo (W) 1.60 35.00 Back 26-Jun-12 18:47 21.00 Malmo (W) 1.19 120.00 Back 26-Jun-12 19:34 22.80 Malmo (W) 1.83 60.00 Lay 26-Jun-12 19:29 -49.80 Malmo (W) 1.50 50.00 Lay 26-Jun-12 18:31 -24.99 These bets are posted purely for people looking for a 'how to' sort of post. I was originally backing Malmo Women as I had them for a 3-1 sort of win. I bottled it just before the goal and ended up with -20 on them so piled in to make it green for the Malmomians. Maybe someone will find this post useful. Better than me posting a random figure for the day. |
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Shame for the Murray set betting too. For some reason I laid off early, usually I would lay a lot lower.
Selection Odds Stake(£) Bid type Placed Profit/loss(£) A Murray 3 - 0 1.42 250.00 Back 26-Jun-12 17:56 105.00 A Murray 3 - 0 1.04 60.00 Lay 26-Jun-12 18:38 -2.40 A Murray 3 - 0 1.21 45.00 Lay 26-Jun-12 18:16 -9.45 A Murray 3 - 0 1.34 50.00 Lay 26-Jun-12 18:11 -17.00 A Murray 3 - 0 1.21 100.00 Lay 26-Jun-12 18:15 -21.01 1.34 and 1.21 were poor choice lays. |
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Cricket: -£137.12 | Tennis: £79.58 Total P&L: -£57.54
Cricket Showing 1 - 3 of 3 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Cricket / Kent v Middlesex : Middlesex Innings Runs 26-Jun-12 19:10 26-Jun-12 20:26 -399.75 Cricket / England (W) v India (W) (1st T20) : Match Odds 26-Jun-12 15:10 26-Jun-12 17:59 -9.54 Cricket / England (W) v India (W) (1st T20) : England (W) Innings Runs 26-Jun-12 15:10 26-Jun-12 16:29 272.17 |
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Soccer: £51.44 Total P&L: £51.44
Soccer Showing 1 - 6 of 6 markets |
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I wish I could learn how to follow and trade cricket, so much potential given the market swings. Can't usually find the scores for things like Sussex v Hampshire matches...
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Cricinfo for all scores, all formats.
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Cheers berto, now I just need to learn how to read them and the rules of cricket and I will be at least 1/4 way there.
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Well player Loaded. What was your p+l, I don't have my calculator handy?
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I often find/think cricket is under the control of market manipulators. The odds are obviously forced by the match itself but I find that the exact price is set by the whim of tens of thousands of pounds which can get withdrawn/put into the market at will.
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HI GUYS
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not a bad day, could have been better. I fear tomorrow i will have a stinker
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its been a while , seems to be getting a bit harder on here as well !!
last 7 : Boxing: £66.82 | Greyhound Racing: -£7.37 | Horse Racing: £748.26 | Soccer: £82.71 | Tote: | Total P&L: £890.42 last 30 : Boxing: £66.82 | Golf: £258.04 | Greyhound Racing: -£7.37 | Horse Racing: £836.94 | Soccer: -£259.24 | Tote: | Total P&L: £895.19 last 3 months : Boxing: £72.60 | Darts: -£60.40 | Golf: £850.88 | Greyhound Racing: -£7.37 | Horse Racing: £1,027.84 | Rugby League: £33.10 | Snooker: £0.70 | Soccer: £133.61 | Tote: | Total P&L: £2,050.96 |
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look at DAVESCRAZY MR BIG SHOT showing up with his 2k profit! arrogance is the road to failure
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i take it betfair_loser is paul ?? used to make that a month , how times have changed, sayin that , there should be another £500 on there , done a little arb with carroll to make the england squad , backed him @ 15/8 and laid it @ 1.9 on here
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Betfair_Loser
26 Jun 12 22:53 Joined: 26 May 12 | Topic/replies: 8,368 | Blogger: Betfair_Loser's blog look at DAVESCRAZY MR BIG SHOT showing up with his 2k profit! arrogance is the road to failure Posting a profit is hardly arrogance. Just a statement of progress |