Euro System Selections Serie A and La Liga

anyone about?

The back selection of Palermo is also quite strong and looks good value at the current market price.

udinese vs fiorentina draw wouldnt be one of my choices, i sense it going either way tbh but good luck mate

Genoa v Siena BACK DRAW @ 3.75
also feel genoa will win this match, should be too strong for siena

thanks stevie

asi i say its all just mathematical so no outside influences come into it

fair enough mate, 1 of my reasons for saying genoa win would be the influence of being at home, also their strong attack line! good luck mate

Hi Jimmy, agree with your NAPS especailly Valla, Xerez are a terrible team and they've no chance of staying up. Also like the look of Bari today, they have been doing very well this season and at 2.1 at home against Livorno side who have only one win away from home all season, I think they are worth a shot. Bari defense is very strong and Livorno have only managed to score two goals away from home all season. Bari 1-0 imo.

My outsider for the day would be Villareal, they have been very poor up to now but in recent games have shown what they are capable of, granted Sevilla are very strong at home but at 6 I think they are worth a small bet. Probably play them on the AH handicap market rather than straight odds

colb i would of called you mad for the prediction of villareal but you give reason for it so good luck mate, i would of said draw or sevilla here but we will see

I know what your saying but just fancy them at that price. Safer backing them on AH I beleive. Probably 3-0 sevilla now !!

Hi Colb

Yeah Bari were a strong selection as well.

I have to say about Villareal, they were close on the system to gaining a draw from the stats. However, they narrowily missed out so the rules of my system state you need to lay the weaker side. However, at the current price i would not be laying them for big stakes

Lazio v AC Milan

Lazio are in a bad way having managed just two league wins in 11 matches this season, whilst Milan have recovered from a stuttering start to be one of the form teams in Italy in October, going unbeaten through the month in Serie A.
I have to say i was a firm doubter of the tactics employed by Leonardo at the start of the season for AC, but stats don't lie and it looks like they are turning the corner, onto Lazio and I feel they are in free fall at he moment, no money, fans disillusioned and players frozen out, it really does'nt look to good.

AC Milan @ 2.24
Under+2.5 goals @ 1.88

Inter v Roma
This is a fascinating clash between two coaches who really don't like each other, and two teams who know each other very well.
Roma come into this off the back of a mid-week win over Fulham and league wise a win over Bologna last weekend, with a couple of wins under their belts they may be feeling a little bit better about themselves but having watched the game v Bologna if they play the same way against Inter they will be going back to Rome pointless.
Inter last 5 at home 5 0 0 14:6 15 points, Roma last 5 away 1 2 2 8:9 5 points.
I think with this in mind Roma will set up defensively and look to frustrate Inter in hope of nicking a point.
A tight low scoring game here, but I still think an in-form Inter will nick it.

Internazionale @ 1.6
Under+2.5 goals @ 2.4 ;)

veedub, some very good stuff there and good contributions

Cheers Jimmy, its taken from my blog :) dunno if thats a good thing though its currently -6.32 points :(

veedub

i am sure with good analysis like that that over the long term you will at least not lose your house. solid thoughts there and none that i can disagree with.

not sure why but i am thinking more and more of laying Santander but worry about the injuries of Bilbao

jimmy, tys 4 the selections but dont you think it will be better if you have separate threads 4 italy and spain.

hi mosub

i did sometimes last season but people posted on the wrong threads and it got confusing!

hello jimmy...ive not really had a good look today due to work commitments...but i see cagliari are at home again, so after the good turn they did me last week, i will have another go with them...

gl

Cagliari v Sampdoria
I like the angle of the lay on Samp here to Jimmy, Cagliari have been on a good run albeit they need to improve at home.Samp have hit a slump Juventus thumped them acouple of weeks back and I know a few Acca's were busted last week when they were held at Bari.
Cagliari's brazilian striker Nene bagged two goals against Atalanta last week which will help with the confidence and Massimiliano Allegri's team look like they maybe on for a top 6 place.

Lay Samp @ 3.25
Under +2.5 goals @ 1.9

hi panther

yeah they were favoured on the system again but not stongly enough today to suggest them as a back, althout if i remember correctly they possibly were not a back last week either

why the palermo drift? i took 2.78, its now 3.05, is miccoli starting?

hi kane

i dont know, will try and find out

3.15 now

3.2

Less is more.

Milan and Villareal are the teams to watch today.

which milan team though ac or inter?

3.2 is a nice nice price on them

palermo have miccoli, simplicio cavani bresciano migliaccio and sirigu all playing, bologna have di vaio and adailton and zalayeta starting

Personaly i stick up a fiver on over 3.5 in the Genoa game.... GL

There has to be an overs Fixture hiding between these two....

Milan = AC

Inter = Inter

game on for palermo then in my book

kick off across Italia

jimmy

some people got confused between italian and spanish football, bloody hell.

i know mosub, incredible hey!! i did well at geography!

GENOA 1-0

Have backed Milan. Looking at a small bet on Villareal later on as have finally hit form.

Jimmy - what's the system based on?

Call me crazy (everybody else does...), but I quite fancy Xerez to make life difficult for Valladolid today. They undeniably got off to a bad start this season, losing four matches in a row and scoring zero goals, but I believe that was mainly due to the fact that they were short on players and were still adding to their squad when they were playing Real Madrid (already playing their third game this season!). It's impossible to get any kind of feel for each other and come up with a suitable system when you're still fitting in new players.

Also, because they've got a bunch of players on loan from other teams (most notably from Sevilla and Deportivo La Coruña), they were not always able to field their best team against those sides -- so losing 0 - 3 to Deportivo La Coruña and 0 - 2 to Sevilla may be obvious but not 100% accurate results. Recently, they've seemed to be improving, drawing away at Espanyol, earning a point at home against Málaga and even beating Villarreal. I'm fairly sure they'll be struggling to avoid the drop, but it's against clubs the likes of Valladolid that Xerez will fancy their chances to earn some points.

Valladolid are a decent team but, if I am not mistaken, this is only their second year in the Primera Division -- how often have we heard people say that that is more difficult than the first? They're not an established side yet and only just managed to prevent relegation to the Segunda Division last season, so to make them such heavy favourites already? I'm not saying that I'm certain they'll drop points, but their results don't inspire me enough to feel confident about backing them at these odds (let alone calling it a NAP :)).

quatsch

some very interesting points their made about loan players, and one the system does not take aco*****of

1-0 bari...get in !

good stuff

Genoa 2 up

AC 1 up

good start

AC 2 up, Genoa 3 up

Parma 1 up

some interesting scores

Bologna 1 up

bolgona 1-1 palermo ht

Probably tempting fate but here'e my acca I placed earlier, fingers crossed for the 2nd half.
Bari v Livorno Match Odds: Bari
Cagliari v Sampdoria Match Odds: The Draw
Bologna v Palermo Match Odds: The Draw
Udinese v Fiorentina Match Odds: The Draw
Lazio v AC Milan Match Odds: AC Milan

Ha ha kiss of death Bologna take the lead again :(

milan 2-1

How comfortable are Bari?

Milan making me nervous now.

good stuff so far

bari still holding on

they bloomin better

Palermo equaliser please ;)

Genoa 3-2 Siena, surely that can't blow this

fc uk sake, was on genoa 3-1 from the start and couldnt trade out in time

oh my dear lord genoa

all i can say is...get in there CAGLIARI

nearly time

genoa held on and fired a 4th then

Bari 1-0...nice.

goalless in spain

Gijon one up

rrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr Bilbao winning!

i talked myself out of laying santander!

bilbao two up!!!!!!

mixed results today