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bj hero
12 Apr 10 07:13
Joined:
Date Joined: 22 Mar 10
| Topic/replies: 4 | Blogger: bj hero's blog
Hi i just joined betfair,
anyone seen any hand on winning streaks
longer than 7 times consecutive.

Been testing for 3 days data only a handful
7 times consecutive.

Anybody seen 8 or more, that may be a record?

I did use some real money and made 100usd plus but should i continue???Will i lose playing this
strategy??I wait for 6 times consecutive then
bet martingale...
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Report bj hero April 12, 2010 7:32 AM BST
Anybody, Grunweld? Your pro opinion pls...
Report Grunweld April 12, 2010 7:56 AM BST
IMO all strategies based on a Martingale progression are doomed to failure eventually.
Report Grunweld April 12, 2010 8:02 AM BST
The problem is that even waiting for some consecutive losses the odds for the selection winning in the next game are the same as in the first game.

Also the more consec. losses you wait for, the fewer bets will be made, s0 their is not enough profit accumulated when a large bullet hits you.
Report JohnM April 12, 2010 1:25 PM BST
Hi bj hero

Before you get too excited about your observations you need to temper your enthusiasm with a brief introduction to mathematical probability.

It is possible to calculate the longest consecutive sequences, both winning and losing, that one can reasonable expect over a given number of 'games'. The result does not give an absolute maximum for either as it cannot know how many 'games' there will be but it is as good as it gets mathematically to getting a more accurate idea of what to expect - before - you gamble on any progressive system.

In the case of hands in BJ the round 1 starting odds are 2.07/2.09 which implies true odds of 2.08 which calculated over 100,000 games results in:
Winning Runs COULD be as long as 16
Losing Runs COULD be as long as 18

So even though you haven't yet seen many, or any, runs longer than 7 or 8 you can bet your life (or your bank at least) that you will eventually see runs of this magnitude, usually just after you start using real money.

HTH
Report _kawasaki_ April 13, 2010 1:10 AM BST
you tryed couple days and you seen 7, youll try for a week and youll see 11, try for a month and youll see so un**gbelievable runs that youll not believe them
Report bj hero April 14, 2010 2:49 PM BST
Hi all,
thanks for your professional advice and help..
Am deeply surprised that consecutive runs can
run for miles....

Thanks again1!!!!
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