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Puzzles

Arc / Dewhurst

02 Oct 25 11:21
I have not removed any from the list and will add some that could get an entry . It looks ridiculous at the moment but give it time and it will look better , I hope . Once thinned out I will check them manually .

Quisisana 0*
Alohi Alii 0
Aventure 0*
Los Angeles 0*
Croix Du Nord 0*
Minnie Hauk +1* ntbs
White Birch +1
Sosie +1*
Kalpana +1
Gezora +1
Daryz +2+
Byzantine Dream +2
Giavellotto +2*
Hotazhell +3* if the rain arrives he would not be without a chance .
Cualificar +3+
Leffard +4
Estrange +4
Arrow Eagle +5

* G1 winners , I need to check them .


The list looks odd because of the different wfa scale in use . Main difference being that the 3 y o fillies are allowed 4lb instead of 3lb . Any changes would only shore up the position of Camille Pissarro . If he is confirmed as a runner he should be on every punter's shortlist . A dual Gp1 winner that had the winners of three subsequent Gp1s behind him in one of his victories . Not forgetting a good third , from a bad draw , in another Gp1 and a fine run in The Eclipse . Two wins from three trips to France , he has Autumn form and showed improved form last back end . That does not mean that he will improve this Autumn but we can rest assured that he is not likely to go backwards . He is too high to improve more than a pound or two .My rating for him is possibly too high but his run last time out persuaded me to stick with it for he was running on ground that might have been too fast for him and he was favouring his near fore during the last furlong .
On the debit side he has still to prove that he gets 12f . And if he does not turn up here he will be of interest wherever he runs .
Aloha Alii won easily and two lines from the race suggest that his high rating is justified .
Yesterday's run from Los Angeles was good too since his trainer told everybody that the horse was going to run off of his bed .
The B & H form is messy but it would be mean not to put Ombudsman up 2lb .
The figure for Tornado Alert looks OK since Quest Forr Moon and Grand Stars help his case and a couple of others have done no harm to it .
Kalpana was not fully fit at Kempton but , not for the first time , she looked as if she does not like to be in front .
The first and obvious lay is Minnie Hauk . She should be 14/1 at least .Aventure is too short as well .
Los Angeles is too big at 40/1 .
Hotazhell will not run here but he ran to his best figure at Leopardstown  and , considering that it was not his ground , a race could come his way . The same applies to White Birch . Of the first 4 in the Irish Champion only Anmaat ran below personal best . Shin Emperor was not disgraced having his first run for 5 months .
Al Riffa is not coming here but he should . He is entered , in the form of his life , has form from 7f to 14f , goes on any ground and , on paper , the race looks wide open . He has won THREE G1 events and has finished close up behind Ace Impact and City of Troy . If he was yours , would you run him ? Of course you would .
Down to 18 and nearly all of them could be given a chance .
N B Aventure is 1lb worse off with both Sosie and Los Angeles compared to last years running .
Alohi Alii form has taken a knock from Dumonet .
The latest meteo for Paris suggests evens rain most of Friday and 4/6 about the same for Saturday .
. ....?......
Zavateri 0
Gstaad +1
Benvenuto Cellini +1
Dorset +1
Power Blue +2
Bow Echo +3
Morris Dancer +3
Wise Approach +3
Distant Storm +3
Constitution River +3
Alparslan +4+
Gewan +4
North Coast +4?
Brussels +5
Humidity +5
Words Of Truth +5
Saba Desert +5
Action +6
Puerto Rico +6
Italy +6
Wild Desert +7
Time To Turn +7
A Bit Of Spirit +7
Publish +7
Pacific Avenue +8
Oxagon +8
Montreal +8
Hawk Mountain +9


Not all of these have an entry .


Provisionals are included . The figure for Daytona could get help tomorrow . I wait with bated breath .
That bubble went pop within minutes but Daytona never looked happy at Deauville .
The Solario result appears to shore up the ratings of Zavateri and Morris Dancer . North Coast is still problematic .
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Dusseldorf / Deauville

03 Aug 25 15:01
Garden Of Eden 0
Santagada 0
Spirited Style +3
Nicoreni +5
Starlight Lips +5
Lady Charlotte +5
Lips Vega +7
No figures for the others .
There is a doubt about Santagada on this ground but her stablemate goes on it .
Live on Wett Star youtube . FTV
Result Nicorini beat Innora , Nyra and Starlight Lips .It looked as if Santagada went on the ground but had nowhere to go at times and I believe Andreas lost his cosh .
...??
Matilda 0
Fallen Angel +1
January +1
Mandanaba +2
Exactly +2
Atsila +2
Crimson Advocate +4
Start Of Day +6
Godspeed +6
Pina Sonata +7
Spiritual +8
Riyabovka +15
Pinta +15

Matilda has been reduced and is now on a realistic perch but this is the acid test .
Do not forget that it is 2lb per length .
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Stewards Cup

01 Aug 25 15:30
I had Seven Questions in mind for the King George but the owner ran Khaadem instead . My reasons for fancying him were that he goes on any ground , he handles undulations ,  he stays 6 and probably could get 7 on a good day . All these points could stand him in good stead tomorrow . He has good recent form with JM Jungle who has just won the Group race .
As a baby he showed a deal of promise and in his second season he must have had a setback as he was off for nine months . His come back runs have been promising but he probably needs to find a few pounds . A speculative punt but far from forlorn hope .
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Goodwood

30 Jul 25 22:41
An impossible looking race with a range of only 9lb . The warm favourite does not seem to be well treated .

Magellan Cloud 0
Janey Mackers 0
Seagolazo +2
Parole d'Oro +2
Bride Noir +2
Best Adventure +2
Ernst Blofeld +3
Hymnbook +4
High Degree +4
Serenity Blue +5
Daiquiri Bay +5
Thunder Wonder +7
Zebras +7
Marhaba Ghaiyyath +7
Fort George +7
Dantes Lad +7
Best Secret +8
Calla Lagoon +9
..........
Cercene 0
See The Fire 0
Whirl 0
Bedtime Story +1
Running Lion +1
There has to be value here . 
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King George VI + Sussex

01 Aug 25 14:16
Calandagan 0
Kalpana 0
Rebels Romance 0
Jan Breughel 0
Continuous +5

I thought Calandagan was outstayed at Epsom but at Saint Cloud he looked as if he would get 14f . He is a mystery to me .
The Jan Breughel form does not stand scrutiny . At Epsom the form is held back by Continuous who was less than 6 lengths behind after his pacemaking efforts . At Doncaster Jan Breughel beat Illinois , Deira Mile , Sunway and Wild Waves . Not King George form . He looks like a lay to me but perhaps of more interest is Green Impact if he goes to York . Mrs Harrington's charge was guaranteed 20k for turning up here and must have been in line for 35k if finishing fifth .



I have never seen anything like this . The order has been decided by countback .
.............
At Doncaster the Nursery looks interesting because it is such a tight handicap . The booking of a good claimer might win the day .
1.25
Strength Of Spirit 0
Champion Island 0
The Resdev Scholar +1
Ibshara +1
Snake Charmer +2
Senorita Vega +2
Dodge City +2
Kawthar +3
Indigo Dawn +3
Commanders Intent +3
Boiling Over +3

At 2lb per length there is nothing in it .
Young Fentiman is on Kawthar but that does not help much .
....,,,,
Rosallion 0
Field Of Gold 0
Exactly +1?
Henri Matisse +2
Carl Spackler +3
Lead Artist +4
The Lion In Winter +5
Docklands +5
Diego Velazquez +5
Serengeti +12
Qirat  +14

It is worth laying the favourite here . The Craven form looks dubious , at Newmarket he did not look like a superstar and the Curragh form needs inspection .
The subsequent runs of Cosmic Year and Hotazhell knock the race back . Commanche Brave and Windlord help the race but the latter had pacemaker duties in the Guineas and Commanche Brave is inconsistent .
The Saint James Palace was , effectively , a match with Henri Matisse and that horse has two ways of running so at odds on Field Of Gold looks like a lay .

EDIT : The run of Cosmic Year today puts the Irish 2000 form under more pressure . Clearly the Kingman colt does not want to race .
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Super Sprint

17 Jul 25 13:26
Our Cody 0
Havana Hurricane 0
Anthelia 0
Gaga Mate +1
Cotai Belle +4
Ardrisia +4
Ambishio +4
Ali Shuffle +5
Irish Fighter +6
Logi Bear +6
Call Me BY My Name +6
Under The Radar +7
Raakeb +7
Kamakameleon +7
Artists +7
Mister Moet +8
Son Of Sarabi +9
Big Fun +9
Sands Of Spain +11
Corniche Girl +17

3lb to a length here .
The figure for Gaga Mate is from his first run . Ran poorly at Ascot and did not get the best of runs last time but it could be that he needs a little cut in the ground .
Ambishio I can get two figures for , both seemingly valid , that differ by 7lb . I have opted for the higher figure as there is a tenuous link between him and Charles Darwin .
And it should be obvious to you that although Havana Hurricane has to be favourite he is way too short a price . You need 5/2 about him .
Good luck .

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Hamburg von Lotto

08 Jul 25 15:39
Atoso 0
Calyx Rose +4
Eagle Emblem +5

Last years winner has followed a similar route .

................
The Eclipse was great fun . I have dropped both Ombudsman and Camille Pissarro 1lb and raised Delacroix by 2lb . From memory Hotazhell went up 3lb . Camille Pissarro looked to be favouring his near fore close home which is why I have only deducted 1lb .
Ruling Court was at the start for too long . It might be a good idea to take him down after the others as he frets .
At Hamburg Augustus continued his progression . Do not underestimate him . Possibly unlucky behind Palladium in last years Derby and the winner ran a fine race behind Rebels Romance to illustrate that German horses are not that far behind ours .
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Hamburg/ Eclipse

03 Jul 25 19:09
Straight 0
Augustus +1
Quiemados +2
Nastania +2
Narrativo +3
Cold Heart +7

Augustus looks as if he is being trained for a later target .
.............
Ombudsman 0
Camille Pissarro 0
Ruling Court +1
Delacroix +3
Sosie +3
Hotazhell +6+

The favourite is clearly the one to beat but Hotazhell was beaten by two very talented horses at The Curragh and if you extrapolate you could quite easily make out a very good case for him . As it is he should improve on his seasonal debut and the big prices on offer about him are ridiculous .
Both Field Of Gold and Cosmic Year were hard race fit in Ireland but Hotazhell was coming back at them close home and could step up for the extra two furlongs .
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Hardwicke/ Jubilee

20 Jun 25 21:51
Rebels Romance 0
Al Riffa 0
Ghostwriter +1
Bellum Justum +1
Palladium +2
Al Easy +2
Candleford +3
Burnett Road +3

....,,......
Satono Reve 0
Lazzat +1
James Delight +1
Elite Status +1
Run To Freedom +2
Sajir +2
Inisherin +2
Great Generation +2
Flora Of Bermuda +3
Topgear +4
Anna +4

Run To Freedom can hang to his right but this time he has the rail to help him should they choose to use it  . It would be lovely to see Mr Candy in the winners enclosure .
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Norfolk

18 Jun 25 15:12
Exclamation 0
First Legion +1
Charles Darwin +1
Star Material +2
Clear Force +2
Lil Brother +4
Wise Approach +5
Naval Light +10
Hey Tru Blue +10
Irish Fighter +10
Graft +10
Ameeq +12
London Boy +16
No figures for the rest .
The favourite looks ripe for a lay as his form was not helped by the run of Cardiff On Sea in The Queen Mary and it looked shakey before that race .
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