dunlaying

Hyland 0
Riskintheground 0
Katati Dori +4
A Penny A Hundred +6
Panic Attack +9
Gorgeous Tom +9
Pic Roc +11
O'moore Park +12
Annual Invictus +13
Three Card Brag +13
Montys Star +13
Intense Raffles +13
One forecast predicts rain for most of Saturday . That would not help Hyland or Gorgeous Tom .
The figure for Riskintheground comes from a short field and looks wrong .
The rider of A Penny A Hundred has a 31,3% strike rate when riding for Mr Mullins .
An impossible puzzle to solve but it looks like a real Hennessy .
...................?
Calandagan 0
Brede Weg 0 2023 form
Justin Palace +1
Serum Hades +2
Cosmo Kuranda +2
Masquerade Ball +3
Danon Decile +3
Tastiera +3
Brede Weg +3 recent form
Ho o Biscuits +4
Croix Du Nord +4
Shin Emperor +5
Durezza +5
Danon Beluga +5

Ascoli Piceno 0
Jantar Mantar 0
Soul Rush +1
Win Marvel +3
Magic Sands +4
Docklands +4
Cervinia +5



There is no point in going to Punchestown as we have no idea of fitness levels .

Il Est Francais 0
Pic D'orhy +3
Master Chewy +8
Jango Baie +10
Gidleigh Park +14

Do not forget that the Ditcheat horse has had a run and loves Ascot .
?...........?.
Martator 0
Gabriel's Getaway +1
Teddy Blue +2
Boothill +3
JPR One +4
Kotmask +5
...........
Largy Poet 0
Rock My Way +1
My Silver Lining +2
Rapper +2
Our Power +4
Snipe +5
Aspurofthemoment +6

Grey Dawning 0
Stellar Story +1
Royal Pagaille +4
Handstands +5
Haiti Couleurs +10+

This might be more open than the market suggests . The figure for Grey Dawning comes from Aintree in the Spring and must be eyed with suspicion . I am not a fan of the horse but gave him every ounce possible .
Hitman could be interesting . A run under his belt might give him the edge . It seems that his trainer is finished , no longer a force etc .
Paul Nicholls , " gone at the game " , 20% strike rate
Dan Skelton , " unstoppable form " , 24% strike rate

No need for a GoFundMe page just yet .

Royal Pagaille is easy to crab . In 2023 he beat Bravemansgame who has done nothing since . I know that the Ditcheat horse ran up in The King George but that race can be forgotten . You will remember that Il Est Francais was 12 lengths faster than Hewick according to the clock watchers , They were correct but instead of downgrading Hewick they put the French horse up . A look at the replay will confirm that Shark's hero did not run a race and still won . I too got the King George wrong .
Last year Royal Pagaille beat Grey Dawning who is already under the lens .
Marsh Wren , on paper , looks progressive but has not run for a year .
Handstands gets his figure from Sandown in the Spring ,

Haiti Couleurs will be fit .
Looks like the value could be to oppose Grey Dawning and Royal Pagaille . To get matched you are likely to offer 6/4 and 7/1 which gives you 21/19 for your money . If it goes wrong you are not exposed to any real danger .

Tiffany 0
Ami De Vega 0
Junko +1
Convergent +1
Alleno +1
Bay City Roller +3
Lazio +3
Cold Heart +3
Rashford +4


Every horse has his price and I could not resist Platoon at 300+ in The Manchester November . It seems unlikely but if he ran to his best form he would have his chance .

She Feels Pretty 0
Dancing Rain 0
Cinderellas Dream +1
Atsila +5
See The Fire +6
Gezora +7
Cathedral +7
Mission Of Joy +8
Bedtime Story +8
Be Your Best +9
Village Voice +12
Belleza +13

5th May The Curragh . If Atsila is in that form she could go close at a big price .

True Love 0
Havana Anna +1
Brussels +5
Mission Central +5
Aspect Island +7
Military Code +8
Lennilu +11
Rogue Legend +15
Later Than Planned +23

No figure for the others . 3lb per length here .
........?.....
Precise 0
Balantina +6
Queen Of Hawaii +9
Pacific Mission +11
No figures for the rest .
.....?.......
Gstaad 0
North Coast +3?
Outfielder +5+
Ardisia +5
Argos +6
North Coast is a youngster that I can not get a grip on . If you put a line through his latest run one could give him a chance . 20/1 does not excite but should he drift to 33/1 I might take a chance .
..............
Tawny Port 0
Goliath 0
Silawi 0
Rebels Romance +1
Minnie Hauk +1
Ethical Diamond +2
El Cordobes +3
Rashabar +4
Wimbledon Hawkeye +5
Rebel Red +5
Amiloc +5
Redistricting +7
Gold Phoenix +7
Hill Road +11
The lay trio is obvious Minnie Hauk , Rebels Romance and Amiloc .
The first two are too short and Amiloc has a fair bit to do .

Daytona -3?
Zavateri 0
Gewan 0
Gstaad +1
Benvenuto Cellini +1??
Wise Approach +2
Power Blue +2
Talk Of New York +3+
Bow Echo +3
Distant Storm +3
Morris Dancer +3
Constitution River +3
Flushing Meadows +4
Alparslan +4?
Mission Central +5
Puerto Rico +5
Hawk Mountain +5
Publish +5
Humidity +5
Charles Darwin +5
Song Of The Clyde +5
Brussels +5
Words Of Truth +5
Pierre Bonnard +6
Action +6
Piazza San Marco +6
Italy +6
Ardisia +6+
North Coast +7
Oxagon +7
Into The Sky +7
Dorset +7+
Daytona +7++
Poatan +7
Montreal +8
Shayem +8
Campacite +8
Cape Orator +9
A Boy Named Susie +10

There are a few to come but I need to work through the weft to find them .
NB  For their grade sprinters generally have higher ratings than the milers who , in turn , are higher than middle distance types .
Two figures for Daytona for the time being . He has to be better than the lower of the two but it is far from certain that he is as good as the higher figure which is not much lower than my original figure . Time will tell . These are 3 y o now so we will start The Guineas .

Controlled
Blue Jewel
Lunar Approach , this could  be one of the best Burke 2 y o . A late withdrawal from a good race , presumably because of bad ground , he is entered in the Irish Guineas .
Nation's Hope
.............
Benvenuto Cellini*
Pierre Bonnard *
Christmas Day **
Raaheeb ***
Joulany **
Bay Of Brilliance **
Bay Royale **X
Port Ferdinand **
Handshake ***X
Bay Of Stars ***X
Knowing nothing of breeding science I have been through the entries for The Irish Sweep Derby . The 10 horses named above are the only entries that look as if they will definitely get the Epsom 12 . A strictly personal view . Only seven of these are entered at Epsom and The Curragh . I have not left the country but have been in a hospital many miles from home with no computer , phone or papers so I am in the process of catching up as I escaped today .
To clarify they are the only colts entered at Epsom and The Curragh but there are others entered at Epsom that should get home eg Maltese Cross .
Why did I start this ? It was a wet , wintry morning and seemed like a good idea at the time .
Listening to the Maestro giving his rundown of the Ballydoyle prospects for 2026 I get the impression that he does not fancy Wootton Bassetts will get more than 10f .
And , for my money , there is an air of fragility about the faster Wootton Bassetts .

Time To Turn 0
Stella Sunrise +2
Arabian Desert +4
Wechaad +5
Pandemonium +8+
Boiling Over +10
May Angel +10
.........An awful race .
Grand Stars 0
Higher Leaves 0
Zia Agnese 0
Safia +3
Ginalyah +3
Skellet +4
Whataboutism +5
Light The Ghost +5
Dare To Dream +6
Ashariba +6
Saxons Girl +6
..?,,.,,..
I do not think much of The Observer form . If any one of those wins at Epsom I will give up racing . Tomorrow we could get more but indirect information re the flashy chestnut that finished third .

Quisisana 0
One Look +1
Kalpana +1
Ballet Slippers +1?
Wemightakedelongway +3
Bedtime Story +3
Latakia +4
Estrange +4
Waardah +8+
Danielle +9
........,
Words Of Truth 0
Egoli +3
Super Soldier +4
Mission Central +4
Kansas +4
Division +4
Ardisia +5

Egoli might be well over priced . He looked pretty good early on but lost his way , His last run was promising . The key race was Newbury July 19 , By my reckoning all that finished behind him that day have improved .