davio

A few bets this weekend to get our teeth stuck into so let’s start with the +/- 2.5 Goals acca. The double last week came in with little fuss and hopefully we can have the same result this week.

11/01/2013 - 6pm    Saint-Etienne  vs Toulouse -10 2-2
13/01/2013 - 8pm    Malaga vs Barcelona +7 1-3
14/01/2013 - 5.30pm    Kerkyra vs Asteras -7.5 0-1
14/01/2013 - 8pm    QPR vs Tottenham +6 * 0-0

*Hit and miss with the over/unders this weekend. Cant believe four goals were scored in France*

Friday night see’s Saint-Etienne take on Toulouse under the floodlights at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard and under 2.5 goals is the call for this match. So far this season this has happened in seven of the 10 Les Verts home matches and in eight out of nine Toulouse away matches. In fact, Toulouse has only managed eight goals on their travels. Factor into the equation that Saint-Etienne hasn’t scored their last five matches and the unders call looks a solid pick.

88.9% of Malaga’s home matches have ended up with over 2.5 goals being scored. The last time this didn’t happen was the first match of the season back on 25th August. This week they play Barcelona, who has a habit of putting the ball into the onion bag. Every away game this season has seen over 2.5 goals. Gol! Gol! Gol!

Asteras travel to Corfu to take on Kerkyra on Monday evening. Kerkyra currently sit bottom of the Super League with a whopping seven goals scored. I would be wary of including a bottom of the league team in an under 2.5 bet but their visitors aren’t renowned onion baggers on their travels. Asteras have scored just three goals in eight away matches and in those matches under 2.5 goals has occurred in 87.5% of their games.

Finally we have QPR and Spurs. London derby matches can be hard to predict but with every Spurs game away from White Hart Lane this season ending up over 2.5 goals, one can be quietly confident that this will be the outcome come 10 bells on Monday Night.

The 4 fold pays a touch over 5/1 with BetVictor.

Goals Galore.

10/12 - 6/13    12/01/2013 - 3pm    Stevenage vs Doncaster +7 1-2
8/11 - 9/11    12/01/2013 - 3pm    Lincoln City vs Newport +7 2-4
6/9 - 7/9    13/01/2013 - 2pm    Udinese vs Fiorentina +6 3-1
8/13 - 8/13    13/01/2013 - 3pm    Carlisle Utd vs Coventry City +7 1-0

*One Coventry goal away...*   
   
       
Stevenage has conceded at least one goal in 92% of their home matches. Stevenage has also scored at least one goal in 92% of their home matches. Doncaster scored at least one goal in 92% of their away matches. Both teams to score? I should bloody well think so.

Carlisle and Coventry boast a BTTS record of 8/13 in their respective home and away games.  In Carlisle’s last seven home matches, both teams have bagged in six times. Coventry City has scored at least one goal in 85% of their away matches. Cumbria should be seeing goals on Saturday.

Udinese have seen both teams’ score in six of their nine home matches. Udinese has conceded, on average, just over one goal a game at home, whilst bagging 16 goals in the process. The Viola has managed to bag in every away game so far this season and both teams have scored in seven of their nine away encounters. Hopefully this will be the case come Sunday afternoon at the Stadio Friuli.

Lincoln has conceded at least one goal in 85% of their home matches and has scored at least one goal in 92% of their home matches. Newport has conceded at least one goal in 91% of their away matches and has scored at least one goal in 91% of their away matches. Goals for both teams are on the Menu this Sunday.

The 4 fold is currently just under 15/2 with StanJames

A few singles for the weekend as well.

We will take Saint-Etienne to beat Toulouse to nil this Friday evening. When Saint-Etienne win at home it’s to nil (5/9) and when Toulouse away from home, it’s to nil (5/9). The single pays 9/4 with Ladbrokes.

Lille has drawn 50% of their away games and in those 10 matches, 1-1 has been the score line on four occasions. They are playing a Nancy side that have drawn four out of their last six home matches, the score on each occasion being 1-1. The 1-1 correct score line is currently 6/1 with WilliamHill and that’s more than fair.

*It did end up a draw 2-2 *sad face*

Doncaster currently lies second in League 1 and travel to Stevenage this weekend boasting the league’s best away record.  Of the 23 goals they have scored away from home, 30% of them have been within the first 15 minutes. Nearly a fifth of the goals Stevenage has conceded at home have also come within the first 15 minutes. With that in mind, the 9/2 with WilliamHill for time of first away goal being with 0-15 minutes is worth a dabble.

Looking deeper into the time of first away goal market and one can see that BetVictor go 9/4 that the first away goal is scored up to 27th minute. Given that 47% of Doncaster’s away goals have come within that time frame, it makes it a worthwhile back up should the above no occur.

*thumbs down*

*now Saturday 12-45pm