davio

Score Some Goals with Your Boots

Another weekend of frustration, a-bloody-gain. Despite 16 goals finding their way into various onion bags, Mallorca’s inability to bag one sunk the acca. That’s four times this season where we’ve been one goal away from collecting. *sad face*

Anyhow…this week we have:

6/8 - 8/8    22/12/12 - 2pm    AS Roma vs AC Milan +7 4-2
8/11 - 10/11    22/12/12 - 3pm    Peterborough vs Bolton +8 5-4
8/11 - 9/11    22/12/12 - 3pm    Scunthorpe vs Carlisle Utd +7 pp
6/8 - 5/8    22/12/12 - 7pm    Bastia vs Nancy +8 4-2

With scunthorpe being PP, it took the bet down to a treble which duly obliged. Which is nice

Milan have cropped up in this blog before when they took on Napoli, that game finishing 2-2. As we can see, goals have been scored and conceded in every away game this season. They travel to Roma who are top goal scorers in Serie A top goal scorers. Goals will reign down in Rome.

From Rome we move onto Peterborough. The Posh, however useless they are, seem to manage to score even though they normally get beat. Bolton has an impressive BTTS record with 10 out of 11 away matches ending up this way.

Scunthorpe have seen over 70% of their home encounters finish up with both teams scoring, whereas it’s over 80% in Carlisle’s away matches.

Finally we take in France where Bastia hosts Nancy. Both teams languish towards to the bottom of Ligue 1 yet both seem to have the ability to find the back of the net. Nancy’s record of five in eight doesn’t look good on paper but their last four matches have seen BTTS. Whilst you have to go all the way back to September to find the last time both teams didn’t bag at the Stade Armand Cesari.

The acca pays a smidge over 11/2 with StanJames

Making a rare appearance this week is the +2.5 acca. We have three picks and they are

23/12/2012 - 3.30pm    VVV vs Roda JC +7.5 2-4
23/12/2012 - 5pm    Besiktas  vs Kayserispor +6 3-1
23/12/2012 - 5pm    Fenerbahce vs Karabukspor +6.75 1-3

Goals AOTS treble landed


Only once this season has there been under 2.5 goals at VVV and that was when I picked them a few weeks back. Roda have seen this happen in six out of eight away matches.

It’s a case of flip reverse the above stats as Besiktas are six from eight whereas Kayserispor are seven from eight.

The final match see’s Fenerbahce take on Karabukspor at the Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium and both teams come into this game with seven out of eight home/away fixtures ending over +2.5 goals.

This tidy treble pays a shade under 7/2 with Bet365

We also have a team acca this week in the shape of

Atletico Madrid -1.5 AHCP
Juventus
Betis


A solid treble is surprisingly sunk *sad face*

Atletico have managed to win by two clear goals in five of their eight home matches. In fact, in their last three home games there have been 12 goals scored with none conceded. They play a Celta Vigo side who have the second worst away record in La Liga this season. The -1 bet looks a solid option but for a bit better odds we’ll play on the Asian Handicap at -1.5. Seeing as we need Atletico to win by two, we can get 43/40 for the AHCP rather the 5/6 on offer for -1.

Juventus travel to Cagliari with Conte now back on the La Vecchia Signora’s bench. Cagliari have only taken eight points at home all season and I can’t see this being added to on Saturday. Juventus have six wins in eight on their travels and that should be seven in nine come Saturday evening.

Betis host Mallorca on Sunday and are taken to take all three points. They have already beaten Real Madrid and Valencia at home and came close to being only the second team this season to take points from Barcelona. Mallorca are worse than dreadful at the moment. They have managed a paltry two points in their last eleven matches and just three out of a possible 24 points away from home.

The treble pays a touch under 4/1 with Bet365

In a single we have Lorient to beat Reims to nil. Reims are in terrible form. They have managed just four points out of their last 10 matches and in that time have lost to nil five times, all of them being away from home.

In stark contrast to them we have Lorient, who currently sit fourth in the league. They have won their last four matches to nil and in the eight matches they have won this season, six have been to zip. Lorient to win to Nil is 11/8 with Paddypower.

Burn in hell Lorient