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happyhibee
17 Dec 13 17:21
Joined:
Date Joined: 25 Oct 04
| Topic/replies: 33,262 | Blogger: happyhibee's blog
Well after a bad day yesterday the fayre doesn't look much better tonight with a number of strong odds on pokes. Hopefully there's a bet or two out there but I'm not particularly confident in anything.

Colin Lloyd v Beau Anderson:

Opening match sees forum fave H20 take on the qualifier Anderson. Lloydy has been very average for a few years now but now and again he does still play to a decent level. Trying to predict when those times are though will send you mad. Anderson got his place here by winning the Oceanic Masters and I remember he played ok v Andy Hamilton in a australian tv event. Match odds look about right but I'm taking a small chance on Lloyd being able to hit 3 maxes.

Recommendation: 0.5pt win Colin Lloyd over 2.5 maxes @ 5/6 (365)

Zoran Lerchbacher v Ben Ward:

Probably 2 of the bigger unknowns here sees austrian Lerchbacher take on Ward who plays on the PDC challenge tour. Honestly haven't got any view at all on this so hopefully others might know something I don't.

Recommendation: No Bet

Vincent Van Der Voort v Matt Clark:

Another fairly lacklustre match sees VDV take on Clark who plays at a world championship for the first time since 2010. VDV is very inconsistent and hasn't shown much on tv for a long time. Clark on the other hand has only ever won 1 match in the PDC world championship from 5 attempts so he's not some young unknown who could be anything. I think VDV will win but I'm not convinced he will cover the h'cap or the max line so not gonna risk any cash.

Recommendation: No Bet

Michael Van Gerwen v Lerchbacher/Ward:

Unless something miraculous shows up in the qualifier I can't see anything other than a MVG whitewash here as odds of 1/100 in the match odds suggest.

Recommendation: No Bet

Simon Whitlock v Ross Smith:

Final match of the night sees Whitlock take on another qualifier from the challenge tour in Ross Smith. Whitlock is starting to flatter to deceive more often than not for me and I'm still not convinced he hasn't got ulterior motives in some of his matches. As such I hate betting his game's as something doesn't sit well with me at times. He'll probably leave himself about 8 attempts at a 170 outshot though so might be worse bets out there than that. He should win though as I don't rate Smith much at all but he won't be seeing any of my cash.

Recommendation: No Bet

Summary: Looks a seriously underwhelming night to me and 1 small bet in the first is my lot. Hopefully others might have more inspiration but looks like it could be some tedious matches in store.
HH Happy
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Report MrLay0-0 December 17, 2013 10:02 PM GMT
its ridiculous!
Report wisewords December 17, 2013 10:03 PM GMT
Why? You didn't know they would go 1-0 down. If you did, you wouldn't have bothered putting that bet in place in the first place?
Report wisewords December 17, 2013 10:03 PM GMT
Because you would have been confident of cashing out at 28..
Report MrLay0-0 December 17, 2013 10:04 PM GMT
i was more than happy to cash out before the goal, which is when i put the bet in, but i didnt get matched till after the goal, at which point the odds was 28
Report happyhibee December 17, 2013 10:05 PM GMT
The austrian lager to win a set?
Report the silverback December 17, 2013 10:05 PM GMT
+2.5 might just about be a bet here I suppose
Report Lori December 17, 2013 10:06 PM GMT
I've laid 3-0 but it's against what I think is my best judgement tbh.
Report the silverback December 17, 2013 10:06 PM GMT
HH, I would suggest laying MVG most 180s at this price.
Report happyhibee December 17, 2013 10:06 PM GMT
depends on who has throw
Report wisewords December 17, 2013 10:06 PM GMT

Dec 17, 2013 -- 10:04PM, MrLay0-0 wrote:


i was more than happy to cash out before the goal, which is when i put the bet in, but i didnt get matched till after the goal, at which point the odds was 28


you got matched as the goal went in, and the price flew up from 6 to 28... you had it on 'keep'. It's a quirk from having a prematch bet. If it didn't have keep, it would have cancelled it.

Report happyhibee December 17, 2013 10:06 PM GMT
price is it mate I aint even got BF open just the forum?
Report doridoru December 17, 2013 10:07 PM GMT
Why does the blond walk on bird stare at the camera like an inane grinning hamster?
Report wisewords December 17, 2013 10:07 PM GMT
Learn the lesson. Don't have 'keep' turned on if you don't want it to be.
Report the silverback December 17, 2013 10:07 PM GMT
Some loon after 1.13 / 1.14
Report MrLay0-0 December 17, 2013 10:07 PM GMT
Betfair said i got matched after the goal yeah, i thought the keep option just did not cancel it at the start of the match, as in keeps it in play as opposed to cancelleing...not keep it even if a team is 1-0 down!
Report wisewords December 17, 2013 10:08 PM GMT
It just keeps it, until it's possible to be matched, whatever happens. Suspends don't cancel it.
Report happyhibee December 17, 2013 10:08 PM GMT
Wouldn't want to be on at 7's on thats for sure
Report MrLay0-0 December 17, 2013 10:09 PM GMT
Yeah, seems a bit weird to me! Obviously someone is exploiting it!
Report a bitofinterest December 17, 2013 10:09 PM GMT
time to lay mvg.if he loses the first 2 sets he'll drift
Report the silverback December 17, 2013 10:10 PM GMT
Suspect he will need a couple but far from out of the question 0 or 1 is enough
Report the silverback December 17, 2013 10:12 PM GMT
FML
Report Lori December 17, 2013 10:12 PM GMT
Cry
Report Lori December 17, 2013 10:13 PM GMT
He's good at that 1
Report the silverback December 17, 2013 10:15 PM GMT
And it hurts all the more because it's so bloody quick
Report happyhibee December 17, 2013 10:15 PM GMT
Chelsea seconds from going out
Report Lori December 17, 2013 10:15 PM GMT
I had to battle to get some of that 1.15 that came back so I managed to lose a bit more.
Report Lori December 17, 2013 10:18 PM GMT
Last ten minutes of kickball matches need a shot-clock NBA style.
Report The Bhoys December 17, 2013 10:19 PM GMT
was watching chelsea game, taylor drifted to 2.28? wtf?
Report happyhibee December 17, 2013 10:20 PM GMT
I like that idea Lori
Report MrLay0-0 December 17, 2013 10:20 PM GMT
watching darts now.hows mvg been?
Report Lori December 17, 2013 10:22 PM GMT
Not exciting, plenty good enough though.
Report MrLay0-0 December 17, 2013 10:24 PM GMT
doesnt seem as one sided as 1.01 suggests
Report Lori December 17, 2013 10:25 PM GMT
Beefburger's first dart is almost perfect every time ffs
Report Eldrick December 17, 2013 10:26 PM GMT
laid the 1.01 mvg and 3-0 here

come on zoran
Report Lori December 17, 2013 10:26 PM GMT
Ive laid 3-0 and laid 180 MVG and laid MVG (short term) for title. So we're all doomed.
Report happyhibee December 17, 2013 10:26 PM GMT
Killer 180 that
Report Lori December 17, 2013 10:28 PM GMT
7 140s vs 6 ffs
Report MC Roller December 17, 2013 10:29 PM GMT
dart out the board, taking the pi55
Report The Bhoys December 17, 2013 10:29 PM GMT
cant stand mardle anymore
Report Eldrick December 17, 2013 10:30 PM GMT
mvg you tease
Report happyhibee December 17, 2013 10:30 PM GMT
I'm off to bed anyway till tomorrow gents
Report Lori December 17, 2013 10:31 PM GMT
GN HH
Report MC Roller December 17, 2013 10:31 PM GMT
Goodnight hh, goodnight Lerchbacher
Report airbag December 17, 2013 10:32 PM GMT
Is Roland Scholten still playing?
Report The Bhoys December 17, 2013 10:32 PM GMT
I have to wait to go to bed, backed whitlock heavy
Report 1alph1 December 17, 2013 10:32 PM GMT
same
Report Eldrick December 17, 2013 10:32 PM GMT
he's left us in the lerch


(match)
Report the silverback December 17, 2013 10:33 PM GMT
Catch you tomorrow chaps. Smith +2.5 is a clear bet for me whoever chucks first. So you may wish to avoid.
Report Eldrick December 17, 2013 10:35 PM GMT
lerch has higher avg at the moment, in 8th leg
Report The Bhoys December 17, 2013 10:39 PM GMT
lewis 8.4 now
Report wisewords December 17, 2013 10:39 PM GMT
MVG can turn it on when needed
Report Eldrick December 17, 2013 10:42 PM GMT
well that was amusing anyway
Report OVERSEAS December 17, 2013 10:42 PM GMT
going for wrong double..jesus..
Report MC Roller December 17, 2013 10:43 PM GMT
drank too much lerchbacher
Report The Bhoys December 17, 2013 10:43 PM GMT
u wudnt see that in the bdo
Report Eldrick December 17, 2013 10:43 PM GMT
i'm sure you can bet on highest avg with some books, wonder what price lerch was there 100s?
Report wisewords December 17, 2013 10:47 PM GMT
so how much has Whitlock layed himself for today? Or is it UNDERS 180's today, and then laying himself when leading vs Lewis in the quarters
Report Lori December 17, 2013 10:48 PM GMT
Did he win it?

I pretty much opposed MVG on every other metric.
Report doridoru December 17, 2013 10:50 PM GMT
Whitlock DEFFO MATCH FIXER!
Report The Bhoys December 17, 2013 10:50 PM GMT
I still think the winner of mvg v lewis wins it
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 17, 2013 10:52 PM GMT
He is big odds on 180s because he is a switcher.
Report doridoru December 17, 2013 10:52 PM GMT
How come Gerwin comes across as smashed?
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 17, 2013 10:53 PM GMT
be better advised going for Whitlock highest check out.
Report wisewords December 17, 2013 10:53 PM GMT

Dec 17, 2013 -- 10:50PM, The Bhoys wrote:


I still think the winner of mvg v lewis wins it


spot on. Although Adrian can lose his mind vs Phil sometimes

Report doridoru December 17, 2013 10:54 PM GMT
THE WONDERFUL FIXER OF OZ!
Report MC Roller December 17, 2013 10:54 PM GMT
Laugh
Report wisewords December 17, 2013 10:55 PM GMT
he's certainly a very iffy character. i'm surprised it isn't highlighted
Report RMB © December 17, 2013 10:56 PM GMT
It's that beard. Wonder how Smith handles the floor tonight.
Report The Bhoys December 17, 2013 10:57 PM GMT
WW i wana see taylor v MVG again but should be a good final whoever wins semi between both
Report BarryManilow December 17, 2013 10:59 PM GMT
So it's Smith on the HC here?
Report OVERSEAS December 17, 2013 11:00 PM GMT
some big units for the promo girls ...pleasing
Report MrLay0-0 December 17, 2013 11:01 PM GMT
going under on the 180s
Report wisewords December 17, 2013 11:02 PM GMT
that's the natural bet Mr. Lay,but I don't trust Whitlock.
Report The Bhoys December 17, 2013 11:03 PM GMT
unlucky mr lay
Report wisewords December 17, 2013 11:04 PM GMT
whitlock can check anything out, and hit as many 180's as he feels like hitting
Report The Bhoys December 17, 2013 11:07 PM GMT
ross smiths ma looks like hankeys ma
Report doridoru December 17, 2013 11:08 PM GMT
...and the FIXARD OF OZ ARRIVES!
Report wisewords December 17, 2013 11:09 PM GMT
maybe he's just really inconsistent. who kniws
Report Eldrick December 17, 2013 11:09 PM GMT
3-0 layers did not like that last leg much
Report wisewords December 17, 2013 11:10 PM GMT
180 #2
Report Lori December 17, 2013 11:10 PM GMT
Cry
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 17, 2013 11:18 PM GMT
kjp been on tonight?
Report nicky27 December 17, 2013 11:22 PM GMT
that match wizard with hankey was class
Report The Bhoys December 17, 2013 11:25 PM GMT
unders on 180s shud be beat here
Report wisewords December 17, 2013 11:26 PM GMT
how many now bhoys? missed part of that 2nd set
Report wisewords December 17, 2013 11:26 PM GMT
4 for whitlock.. how many for smith?
Report The Bhoys December 17, 2013 11:27 PM GMT
think 1 for smith
Report thefish December 17, 2013 11:28 PM GMT
1 for smith
Report wisewords December 17, 2013 11:28 PM GMT
yeah 4-1, you're right
Report RMB © December 17, 2013 11:32 PM GMT
Taking a pasting on the 3-0 lay. Cry
Report wisewords December 17, 2013 11:32 PM GMT
4-2
Report wisewords December 17, 2013 11:33 PM GMT
unders backers hold on tight
Report wisewords December 17, 2013 11:35 PM GMT
sqeaky bum time
Report wisewords December 17, 2013 11:35 PM GMT
5-2. overs hits.
Report RMB © December 17, 2013 11:35 PM GMT
Perfect marker then snatches the next 2 darts.
Report Eldrick December 17, 2013 11:37 PM GMT
last dart in hand goes in again for the fav, breaks throw with smudger left on 51
Report RMB © December 17, 2013 11:40 PM GMT
Never hit 2 good scores in a row really, chances to put pressure on Whitlock in the legs but then threw 40-60 and Simon would free up and hit a max. Shame, wp winners. Top night, not financially though LaughCry
Report gnashersblackpool December 17, 2013 11:46 PM GMT
whitlock game, did whitlock get a 120 checkout?
Report Eldrick December 17, 2013 11:59 PM GMT
yes 120
Report gnashersblackpool December 18, 2013 12:05 AM GMT
cheers, my bookie seetled over 119 as a  loser.
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