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happyhibee
17 Dec 13 17:21
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Date Joined: 25 Oct 04
| Topic/replies: 33,262 | Blogger: happyhibee's blog
Well after a bad day yesterday the fayre doesn't look much better tonight with a number of strong odds on pokes. Hopefully there's a bet or two out there but I'm not particularly confident in anything.

Colin Lloyd v Beau Anderson:

Opening match sees forum fave H20 take on the qualifier Anderson. Lloydy has been very average for a few years now but now and again he does still play to a decent level. Trying to predict when those times are though will send you mad. Anderson got his place here by winning the Oceanic Masters and I remember he played ok v Andy Hamilton in a australian tv event. Match odds look about right but I'm taking a small chance on Lloyd being able to hit 3 maxes.

Recommendation: 0.5pt win Colin Lloyd over 2.5 maxes @ 5/6 (365)

Zoran Lerchbacher v Ben Ward:

Probably 2 of the bigger unknowns here sees austrian Lerchbacher take on Ward who plays on the PDC challenge tour. Honestly haven't got any view at all on this so hopefully others might know something I don't.

Recommendation: No Bet

Vincent Van Der Voort v Matt Clark:

Another fairly lacklustre match sees VDV take on Clark who plays at a world championship for the first time since 2010. VDV is very inconsistent and hasn't shown much on tv for a long time. Clark on the other hand has only ever won 1 match in the PDC world championship from 5 attempts so he's not some young unknown who could be anything. I think VDV will win but I'm not convinced he will cover the h'cap or the max line so not gonna risk any cash.

Recommendation: No Bet

Michael Van Gerwen v Lerchbacher/Ward:

Unless something miraculous shows up in the qualifier I can't see anything other than a MVG whitewash here as odds of 1/100 in the match odds suggest.

Recommendation: No Bet

Simon Whitlock v Ross Smith:

Final match of the night sees Whitlock take on another qualifier from the challenge tour in Ross Smith. Whitlock is starting to flatter to deceive more often than not for me and I'm still not convinced he hasn't got ulterior motives in some of his matches. As such I hate betting his game's as something doesn't sit well with me at times. He'll probably leave himself about 8 attempts at a 170 outshot though so might be worse bets out there than that. He should win though as I don't rate Smith much at all but he won't be seeing any of my cash.

Recommendation: No Bet

Summary: Looks a seriously underwhelming night to me and 1 small bet in the first is my lot. Hopefully others might have more inspiration but looks like it could be some tedious matches in store.
HH Happy

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Replies: 398
By:
Navel-Gazer
When: 17 Dec 13 18:01
HH - looks like we're thinking along the same lines as there's no outstanding bet.
As you suggest, on a rare good day, Lloydy could make that 5/6 look inept but it's far from a very confident selection as he's so erratic.

Don't you fancy the double with Whitlock highest checkout (at 1/2) turning that 5/6 into a 7/4 poke?
That's with Sid James & £3.65.

I think I'll throw a stray few quid on the 14/1 for the Whitlock 170 as well to punctuate the impending tedium...I don't think much is gonna happen tonight unless Vincent has his shooting boots on - and that's a longshot!

I'm out for a pint tonight but I'll be keeping a stray mince pie on the action (the fanny as well as the darts) - hope the sound is muted too so I can't hear Pykey Grin
By:
happyhibee
When: 17 Dec 13 18:05
Don't trust Whitlock at all mate no interest really this early. He's usually good in longer matches for high checks mind.
By:
maltese falcon
When: 17 Dec 13 18:17
Winning a qualifier from 128 players with the standard of darts these days has to give you a massive chance against someone as inconsistent as VDV. 

Matt Clark used to be a very steady scorer a few years ago and World Champs losses have been against King, Painter, Taylor, McGowan (the year McGowan was brilliant and averaged 101 v Taylor) and Scholten averaging over 90 in 4 of his 6 matches with a lowest average of 85.  No shame in any of that.

These prices are wrong and judging by the qualifier win Clark may be near his best.  Max stakes for me at the 9/4 mark on Clark.  Worth noting that Clark has a good solid action and isn't overly quick.  A decent start should make his price tumble.  Greatest concern for me is the 1-3 H2H deficit.
By:
the silverback
When: 17 Dec 13 18:19
Lerchbacher seems a pretty reasonable player and he's played a lot of competitive darts this year (off the tour) to a decent enough standard. Got quite a lot of info on him and looks like he's a little better than most of the qualifiers we've seen in recent years from that neck of the woods. Averaged mid 80s in the qualifier final v Suljovic over 14 legs.

Don't know a whole lot about Ward but his results are quite solid (beaten Jan Dekker three times this year for what that's worth).

Backing Lerchbacher at 2-1+ can't be wrong.
By:
the silverback
When: 17 Dec 13 18:27
Clark basically had one good day's darts all year and it just happened to be in the qualifiers.

VDV really seems to like Ally Pally and has got a pretty solid record here for someone of his rank. He tends to throw more maxes here than elsewhere which is a sign he's comfortable in the surroundings. His form's ok despite a pretty mixed bag in the GSOD. He missed match darts not so long ago v MVG in the Dutch Masters. I'm looking to get with him on the handicap.
By:
STEPTOES YARD
When: 17 Dec 13 18:29
Cant see any upsets tonight

lloydy winners interview be nice
By:
maltese falcon
When: 17 Dec 13 18:32
I think it's a good thing that his last effort was his best of the year.  I have no interest in form from earlier in the year.  In decent nick, is a decent player, in a short format is not 9/4+.
By:
HankTheTank
When: 17 Dec 13 19:10
Think Van Der Voort to cover the handicap at 10-11 is a play but a night largely for watching.
By:
the silverback
When: 17 Dec 13 19:10
Petersen love-in still going strong!
By:
happyhibee
When: 17 Dec 13 19:10
Punching the board is just part and parcel of the game Dave
By:
happyhibee
When: 17 Dec 13 19:11
yeah those 88 and 85 averages show a star is born Silver
By:
Lori
When: 17 Dec 13 19:11
Laugh HH, that was a great quote.
By:
happyhibee
When: 17 Dec 13 19:13
Lloydy has came out with a load of memorable quotes Lori but I think that was genuinely my favourite. Punching a board and making your hand bleed then describing it as part and parcel of the game was legendary
By:
happyhibee
When: 17 Dec 13 19:16
Brissy with an Evs money treble and Rod saying he wants a 9 darter and a 100+ average from MVG

I truly despair
By:
Lori
When: 17 Dec 13 19:18
They can all make 9 darters HH
By:
the silverback
When: 17 Dec 13 19:19
Let's rave about Lloydie because he threw a shape or two there
By:
happyhibee
When: 17 Dec 13 19:20
I'd have sworn Beau was almost 40 never mind 30 Shocked
By:
the silverback
When: 17 Dec 13 19:20
Pearson, excellent.

Playing quite beautifully landed.

Party Piece next
By:
happyhibee
When: 17 Dec 13 19:20
Playing quite beautifully landed by Nige after 5 darts thrown
By:
happyhibee
When: 17 Dec 13 19:21
Has KJP gone home? Had this clown on 3/5 last night and now back on again so he has did 4 out of last 6 matches
By:
the silverback
When: 17 Dec 13 19:22
"straight as we call it"
By:
happyhibee
When: 17 Dec 13 19:22
Stay straight as we call it
By:
happyhibee
When: 17 Dec 13 19:22
My ears are bleeding already
By:
Lori
When: 17 Dec 13 19:23
Cry
By:
happyhibee
When: 17 Dec 13 19:24
I've actually just sent him a tweet let's see if he bothers to reply
By:
the silverback
When: 17 Dec 13 19:24
170 was perfect for the party piece.
By:
happyhibee
When: 17 Dec 13 19:24
No Rod you emphasise it all the time
By:
Lori
When: 17 Dec 13 19:24
What did you say HH?
By:
happyhibee
When: 17 Dec 13 19:25
"Any chance you could stop saying playing quite beautifully or screaming PRESSURE PRESSURE all the time"? #darts
By:
Lori
When: 17 Dec 13 19:26
Laugh
By:
happyhibee
When: 17 Dec 13 19:27
1/20 he doesn't respond
By:
happyhibee
When: 17 Dec 13 19:28
Playing quite beautifully landed twice inside 4 legs
By:
the silverback
When: 17 Dec 13 19:30
I'm not on Lloyd unders but when I am it's very annoying the way he looks as if he's going for cover every time when he sets himself only to ram in a 60.
By:
Lori
When: 17 Dec 13 19:31
He'll probably block you like Aggers did to me.
By:
happyhibee
When: 17 Dec 13 19:31
Yeah he has very funny eyeline
By:
Srichaphan or Ancic?
When: 17 Dec 13 19:32
Laughable odds.
By:
happyhibee
When: 17 Dec 13 19:32
Who blocked you Lori? Happened to one of my mates after he asked Paul Smith the boxer why he kept on blocking punches with his face Laugh
By:
MC Roller
When: 17 Dec 13 19:32
playing quite beau tifully.
By:
Lori
When: 17 Dec 13 19:32
His sponsor looks like it swears from a distance.
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