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happyhibee
21 Dec 12 22:32
Joined:
Date Joined: 25 Oct 04
| Topic/replies: 33,262 | Blogger: happyhibee's blog
Going to stick all the matches on 1 thread as opposed to the afternoon and evening like Friday. There seems to be a bit of confusion on running order between Oddschecker and PDC Website so I'm going with the official site and hoping its right Happy

Kevin Painter v Ronnie Baxter:

R1 - Painter bt Leung Chun Nam 3-0
Ave: 94.97
180's: 4
HC: 160
CO %: 53%

Baxter bt Dennis Priestley 3-1
Ave: 88.72
180's: 3
HC: 89
CO %: 26%

Opening match of the day sees one of my favourite players Painter take on the veteran Ronnie Baxter. Painter had a virtual bye in the first round but played well under very little pressure. I don't think we'll ever see him contest world finals again but still a hard man to beat when he's on his game. Baxter is the one player who I never get right and he's so frustrating. Even in his win v Priestley he went from playing brilliantly to horrendously and he was lucky the match never went into a deciding set as it turned out. Painter marginal fav is probably about right but try as I may I can't dig out a bet in this match.

Recommendation: No Bet

Mark Webster v Colin Lloyd:

R1 - Webster bt Ian White 3-1
Ave: 97
180's: 7
HC: 145
CO%: 38%

Lloyd bt Darin Young 3-2
Ave: 94.22
180's: 5
HC: 124
CO%: 52%

Webster is a player who I have a lot of time for since backing him to win the lakeside after a tip from a friend off the forum (Cheers Callataxi!) I think he's got a lovely throw and seems a nice lad and I'd love to see him do really well. He has however had an awful season which is why his fantastic performance in the first round came as a huge shock. The question now is can he follow it up but he does have the pedigree so he may. Lloyd came through a real battle v Young in R1 and actually averaged more than I thought. He was very patchy but when the time came to dig in he came through and out the other end. The small bet I like here is the high check market as I expect this to go 6 sets minimum and both are very capable of high outshots. Webster hit a 145 in the 4th set of his opener which was pure class and I think this bet will cop for us here too.

Recommendation: 1pt win Over 130.5 HC @ 5/6 (general)

Raymond Barneveld v Brendan Dolan:

R1 - Barney bt Michael Smith 3-0
Ave: 108.31
180's: 8
HC: 121
CO%: 75%

Dolan bt Mark Jones 3-0
Ave: 92.98
180's: 3
HC: 120
CO%: 50%

Final match of the afternoon sees 2 players fresh off whitewashes in R1. Barney was brilliant and had the highest average and best doubling % of the whole first round. He looks like he has a lot of confidence since his GSOD win and maybe he can go deep in this tournament for the first time in too long. Dolan is one of those players who isn't flashy and seems to drag opponents down to his level but he does finish well which wins him a lot of matches. He played ok in R1 but was under very little pressure and this is going to be a totally different test. Barney is playing ever so well and I fancy he might just go pillar to post here. What tempers my enthusiasm for a punt is just the fact Dolan always seems to stay in matches and drag his opponents into an armwrestle. As such I'll be watching and hoping Dolan can win to give my Anderson outright bet a better chance Grin

Recommendation: No bet

Wes Newton v Scott Rand:

R1 - Newton bt Johnny Haines 3-0
Ave: 86.9
180's: 0
HC: 135
CO%: 31%

Rand bt Kim Huybrechts 3-2
Ave: 97.82
180's: 2
HC: 104
CO%: 43%

Opening match of the night sees Wes Newton take on the super confident Rand. Newton did not play well in his R1 win and I'm not sure if he's putting extra pressure on himself to try and get in the PL. The commentators said he is struggling with a shoulder injury but I'm not sure how bad it actually is. Rand seemed to infuriate many on here with his facial expressions but ignoring that you can see he is a very good player. Doesnt throw many loose darts and I like the way he finishes too. He played well in R1 last year too then played very poorly in losing to Lloyd so not sure what to expect. Just because I think Newton is there to be beaten I'm going to have a small bet on Rand who is no more than fairly priced.

Recommendation: 1pt win Scott Rand @ 13/8 (fred)

Simon Whitlock v Colin Osborne:

R1 - Whitlock bt Haruki Muramatsu 3-0
Ave: 95.5
180's: 2
HC: 116
CO%: 41%

Osborne bt Lourence Ilagan 3-0
Ave: 94.51
180's: 2
HC: 164
CO%: 50%

Another match pitting 2 players fresh off the back of whitewashes against each other. Whitlock easily overcame the japanese qualifier Muramatsu and Osborne played his best darts on tv in 18 months to bt Ilagan. Whitlock is justifiably a short price here and I cant see Ossie troubling him in a race to 4. I think he can win a set or two though but for a bet here I'm going back to the high check market. Whitlock is in my view the King of the big outs probably helped by the fact he seems to leave himself a lot of them in every match. Osborne also had a 164 out in his R1 win at a vital time and he can also hit them when chances present themselves. Fingers crossed it comes in nice and early for us and we can sit back and enjoy the rest of the match.

Recommendation: 2pts win over 130.5 HC @ 10/11 (fred)

Adrian Lewis v Denis Ovens:

R1 - Lewis bt Gino Vos 3-1
Ave: 83.31
180's: 5
HC: 120
CO%: 26%

Ovens bt Max Hopp 3-2
Ave: 81.71
180's: 2
HC: 91
CO%: 43%

The last game of the day sees the winner from 2011 & 2012 take on the legend that is Captain Hobo. Lewis has played really poorly all year and could easily have gone out in the first round due to his poor play. He's throwing so many bad darts and missing doubles and I honestly think he's there for the taking this week. Unfortunately I don't think Ovens is the man for the job as he was also lucky to beat the german teenager Hopp in R1. His pace may trouble Lewis but I cannot see a thriller here due to both of them being below par. Don't fancy a thing in this due to the many doubts surrounding Lewis and again hopefully one of the short priced favs for the tourney goes out and helps my outright fancies Happy

Recommendation: No Bet

Summary: 2 more checkout bets attract me tomorrow as well as an outsider in Rand who can hopefully do better than he did in the second round here last year. If any of the regulars think I've missed a bet or fancy sharing their thoughts then its welcome as always as is the usual chat and banter as the day goes on.

Best of luck to all who are punting and see you here again tomorrow Happy
HH
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Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:14 PM GMT
On him too Silver Laugh
Report sickoflayinwinners December 22, 2012 10:14 PM GMT
couldnt put u off backing thornton v taylor on current form.i backed 3   webster  out!!   newton   and beaton.
Report the silverback December 22, 2012 10:15 PM GMT
I'm not, despite having just pointed it out. Had better rectify that!
Report Lori December 22, 2012 10:15 PM GMT
It's the main reason I like Jenks. I don't think he can beat Taylor - think he's beat in the head, but fancy he'd beat Thornton
Report Movewiththetimes December 22, 2012 10:15 PM GMT
I think you've got to lay Taylor for the tourney, his interview last night convinced me when he said 'If I don't win it this year I will never win it again'

That statement told me in the last year he has felt the biggest decline in his career, has weight catches up with horses. age is catching up with Taylor, don't think he will ever be this short again for the world!
Report Swardean December 22, 2012 10:15 PM GMT
Grill now on
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:15 PM GMT
I'm on Anderson, Winstanley, Thornton and Pipe of those left in. I was on Rand & Kellett too
Report STEPTOES YARD December 22, 2012 10:15 PM GMT
im on the Hammer
Report scarecrow December 22, 2012 10:16 PM GMT
theres not much downside at that price lori imo and the upsides very good as he would probably more than half in price if he won.
Report Eldrick December 22, 2012 10:16 PM GMT
for all those 4-0/handicap layers - here comes another set lost from 2-0 to the dog
Report the silverback December 22, 2012 10:16 PM GMT
backed Taylor for my sins.
Report the silverback December 22, 2012 10:16 PM GMT
thanks Eldrick. Assume you're on.
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:16 PM GMT
still no maxes?
Report Lori December 22, 2012 10:16 PM GMT
Kellett and Wright my rank outsiders, and I haven't messed around on Wright either!
Report STEPTOES YARD December 22, 2012 10:16 PM GMT
just had bit more on 4-0

think he turns this round, only needs 1 break
Report sickoflayinwinners December 22, 2012 10:17 PM GMT
mardles spot on about  lewis  darts  flapping intothe board
Report Lori December 22, 2012 10:17 PM GMT
yeah, this is the Mardle that started on Sky sports before they dragged him down to their level.
Report the silverback December 22, 2012 10:17 PM GMT
Nobody has mentioned Lloydie.
Report Eldrick December 22, 2012 10:18 PM GMT
I am on silverback, but someone pushed the price out a bit this time before I was filled so I won't be doing my conkers quite as badly
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:18 PM GMT
Whats he averaging here 85?
Report Lori December 22, 2012 10:18 PM GMT
yep
Report Lori December 22, 2012 10:18 PM GMT
87
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:18 PM GMT
I'd love to see H2O win it would be incredible
Report STEPTOES YARD December 22, 2012 10:18 PM GMT
Cry
Report Lori December 22, 2012 10:18 PM GMT
85 now.
Report Swardean December 22, 2012 10:18 PM GMT
yes
Report sickoflayinwinners December 22, 2012 10:18 PM GMT
yippeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee  one more set pleae hobo.
Report the silverback December 22, 2012 10:19 PM GMT
I was waiting for it to come in Eldrick. Assumed the usual morons would be out in force.
Report scarecrow December 22, 2012 10:19 PM GMT
hobo is improving adie might need a windgate if this continues
Report Eldrick December 22, 2012 10:20 PM GMT
they were for a bit, but someone was very keen to lay 4-0

went out from 2.36ish to 2.66ish without stopping to pass go
Report Lori December 22, 2012 10:20 PM GMT
Poked the bear
Report sickoflayinwinners December 22, 2012 10:20 PM GMT
hobo just showing signs of  playing a touch better, certainly good enuff to nick 1 more set        fingers xssed
Report the silverback December 22, 2012 10:20 PM GMT
May have been Lewis from the looks of it........
Report Eldrick December 22, 2012 10:21 PM GMT
you may well have taken some of my money on lewis u94.5 though by the sounds of your earlier comment
Report Lori December 22, 2012 10:22 PM GMT
What's the chant?
Report alun2005 December 22, 2012 10:22 PM GMT
So no-one else fancies my tip, Barney????
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:23 PM GMT
I'm not having Barney sorry alun
Report alun2005 December 22, 2012 10:23 PM GMT
BREAK

back on serve
Report sickoflayinwinners December 22, 2012 10:24 PM GMT
come on hobo   2 more legs pleeeeeeeeeeeease
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:24 PM GMT
Hobo playing rope a dope working perfectly
Report MC Roller December 22, 2012 10:25 PM GMT
Anyone who doesn't fancy Barney is a target for the raging polly who is prepared to wield the ironing board.
Report scarecrow December 22, 2012 10:25 PM GMT
LaughLaugh
Report Lori December 22, 2012 10:25 PM GMT
Laugh
Report alun2005 December 22, 2012 10:26 PM GMT
And no-one else fancies Wade from the other half of draw???
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:26 PM GMT
Sorry Roller I apologise of course he can win Alun Blush
Report sickoflayinwinners December 22, 2012 10:26 PM GMT
one more hold please hobooooo
Report the silverback December 22, 2012 10:26 PM GMT
I'm on Barney Alun.

And MVG at the shortest price he ever traded.

And Taylor.

And Thornton.

Its an interesting book developing.
Report Swardean December 22, 2012 10:26 PM GMT
Heat should look more surprised if his first dart of a leg is in the twenty
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:26 PM GMT
wade has no chance in my view
Report Eldrick December 22, 2012 10:27 PM GMT
i am actually on wade and barney for a fair whack
Report Lori December 22, 2012 10:27 PM GMT
Yeah, Wade looks cooked for the time being to me too.
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:27 PM GMT
I aint a layer at big prices but if I was I'd want Wade, Barney and Lewis in the book
Report alun2005 December 22, 2012 10:28 PM GMT
I'm doing well here.

I'm also the only person on Planet Earth who seemingly thought Denise Van Outen and KImberley Walsh were the best dancers on SCD. At least I know my limitations and didn't bet them.
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:28 PM GMT
In fact the more I look at the front 8 in the market theres doubts about all of them to a certain extent
Report Lori December 22, 2012 10:28 PM GMT
While I believe Lewis can (potentially) snap back into form, I think Wade's problems are a little deeper - he's going to have to work on long term concentration and stuff for a while IMO
Report STEPTOES YARD December 22, 2012 10:29 PM GMT
tough job for barney with anderson,then probably whitlock just to reach the semis
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:30 PM GMT
Agreed Steppy thats why I think hes miles too short
Report STEPTOES YARD December 22, 2012 10:30 PM GMT
ffs hobo
Report Lori December 22, 2012 10:30 PM GMT
It's nice not to be sat here waiting for the inevitable Quarter Finals with one surprise player from the 8.
Report alun2005 December 22, 2012 10:30 PM GMT
FFS Hobo
Report alun2005 December 22, 2012 10:31 PM GMT
Laugh
Report sickoflayinwinners December 22, 2012 10:32 PM GMT
fffffkkkkkkkkkkk
Report sickoflayinwinners December 22, 2012 10:33 PM GMT
that was our chance, cant imagine  lewis could play as badly after the break,nemind u neve know
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:34 PM GMT
Got the throw here too aint he?
Report STEPTOES YARD December 22, 2012 10:34 PM GMT
yep
Report the silverback December 22, 2012 10:34 PM GMT
Someone's got to beat Taylor for any of these speculative bets to cop. And Thornton is comfortably best equipped mentally to do so and also catches him before he's got a chance to play himself into form with a couple of matches in quick succession.
Report the silverback December 22, 2012 10:35 PM GMT
(in his half)
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:35 PM GMT
I think Thornton has to do it cos Taylor will beat Hammer or Jenkins in my opinion
Report MC Roller December 22, 2012 10:36 PM GMT
I'd be prepared to give the hammer another chance against Phil.
Report STEPTOES YARD December 22, 2012 10:36 PM GMT
hammer should have beat phil at players but nerve went, think he can beat him myself
Report the silverback December 22, 2012 10:37 PM GMT
And if Taylor gets as far as the semis then he's going to have to have hit some sort of form and most possible opponents have mental baggage.
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:37 PM GMT
I think hes been beaten too many times by him that he just doesnt believe he can do it. Unlike Thornton who knows he can
Report the silverback December 22, 2012 10:41 PM GMT
There's a decent interview with Taylor on that audioboo site.

He says he doesn't like the late starts. He's last on again tomorrow.
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:41 PM GMT
Really? Surprised he just doesnt pick his time they usually suit Phil
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:42 PM GMT
Through better the last set has Lewis
Report sickoflayinwinners December 22, 2012 10:43 PM GMT
come on hobo hold the BREAK please u scruffy old g8t
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:43 PM GMT
Or even threw
Report the silverback December 22, 2012 10:43 PM GMT
If he's not, it means they've changed it to suit him.
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:44 PM GMT
Stop it Hobo
Report sickoflayinwinners December 22, 2012 10:44 PM GMT
yeeees , now break hobo
Report Lori December 22, 2012 10:44 PM GMT
Not scored much better but looked a bit more fluent last set and a bit.

I think I'll be missing one session all tourney and it's the one where Lewis plays Painter annoyingly.
Report MC Roller December 22, 2012 10:44 PM GMT
not asking for much solw.
Report Lori December 22, 2012 10:46 PM GMT
He's not carrying this weight well either, obviously he's always got hot, but absolutely p1ssing sweat here.
Report sickoflayinwinners December 22, 2012 10:46 PM GMT
41   doh
Report STEPTOES YARD December 22, 2012 10:46 PM GMT
Well, until next years inevitable 3rd successive run to the Uk open semis... bye bye hobo
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:46 PM GMT
Lewis wins. Thats about all you can say
Report Lori December 22, 2012 10:47 PM GMT
LOL
Report Lori December 22, 2012 10:47 PM GMT
Yeah, was hoping for better sooner I must admit.
Report sickoflayinwinners December 22, 2012 10:47 PM GMT
that coulda copped  booooo.
Report StillLearning December 22, 2012 10:47 PM GMT
lol ovens checkinh if it was in, bet he's a round dodger
Report nicky27 December 22, 2012 10:49 PM GMT
87 average forPlain lewis
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:49 PM GMT
Is it just me or does he look ill?
Report Lori December 22, 2012 10:49 PM GMT
Another 2 rounds like that and he'll have lost about 3 stone in sweat
Report Lori December 22, 2012 10:49 PM GMT
Very pale HH, think it's just too hot for him now he's got so big.

Would explain a lot if he's actually ill though
Report Lori December 22, 2012 10:51 PM GMT
Reason I say that is because a couple of times it looked an effort to get the dart high enough to t20
Report STEPTOES YARD December 22, 2012 10:52 PM GMT
Phil Taylor (1)  - Robert Thornton (17)
Andy Hamilton (8) - Terry Jenkins (9)

Simon Whitlock (5) - Dave Chisnall (12)
Gary Anderson (4) - Raymond van Barneveld (13)

Adrian Lewis(2) - Kevin Painter(15)
Michael van Gerwen(7) - Wright(26) / Colin Lloyd(23)

Wes Newton(10) - / Justin Pipe(11) - Mark Walsh(22)
Wade(3)/ Beaton(30) - Winstanley / VvVoort(19)
Report happyhibee December 22, 2012 10:52 PM GMT
I just think there's more going on behind the scenes that might explain his rotten form all year. I know nothing just guessing
Report Lori December 22, 2012 10:52 PM GMT
Yeah, very possible
Report Eldrick December 22, 2012 10:58 PM GMT
anyone know where to buy one of those soft tip boards with the all singing electronic scoreboard?
Report alun2005 December 22, 2012 11:00 PM GMT
Another night of Hobo Heartbreak.
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