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tdf 2017 stage 16
tdf 2017 stage 16
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CJ, the potential problem is that the Race Director allows the car convoy into the gap too early and Kittel uses teh cars to come up -- hopefully morale will be over by then -- but don't want some stupid decision, which would be a premature decision by the Race Director.
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Katusha riding in the Sunweb group and Bouhanni on the front of the green jersey group. Should snap any time soon.
Bennett and Mclay look like being timed out the way it's going. |
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Lotto riding in the Sunweb group as well.
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Agree mate -- looks like it might snap soon.
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The next question to solve is: who are the late-breakaway attempt riders, and are SUN strong-enough to keep the pace high-enough to prvent them from happening?
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Let's see what happens to SUN-peloton on this climb and then assess that question...
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Bennett abandons...
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Pace too high -- SUN strong and getting help from other teams -- no attacks off the top.
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Shame for Bennett. I've been impressed by him so far, definitely a potential top 5-10 if he can continue to show that form in GT's.
What are Cofidis doing? One-man chase for Bouhanni?  |
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Same -- impressed by Bennett.
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Okay.
What do we know? We know that as I stated on the SUN thread, that SUN would want not just the Intermediate for Bling on this stage, but the stage win also, since it gets him fully into the Green competition. Once they get the Intermediate -- in full -- the dynamics might change in the peloton, but you would think that the late-break riders need some inattention or the pace to come off, considerably. There are a couple of ramps on the approaches, soon after the Intermediate and then with 18.5kms to-go. Kristoff, Gorilla, Degenkolb, EBH, and co -- are still going to be bothersome for SUN, so it could be the case that the pace comes off to get Bling into the break and win from there. That seems a little far-fetched, but there is no way that this peloton is not going to see attacks amongst it. Tricky finale, also. |
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The other problem for them is they have driven the pace for the whole first half of the stage. If they ease off too much before the intermediate sprint it gives the chance for people to spring off the front.
Lotto Soudal and Katusha will help in the run in, but you'd still think late attackers will roll the dice. |
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I agree they have, but Bling hasn't, he has been seated neatly in behind, and if others go, he will go with them, I think. The SUN turn off and KAT and LTS left having to cooperate.
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A traditional break will have no chance if there's crosswinds and teams drill it. I'm thinking either a reduced bunch kick or a small group including some GC guys getting away in the wind.
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The Intermediate might be a potential springboard -- acouple of clever riders use the SUN train for Bling to launch off and away into a break.
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Although I accept the consensus against a breakaway in these winds...
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GC fiisticuffs are not off the table -- definitely!
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The exposed sections coming up are ripe for splits through echelons and SKY getting properly involved to distance rivals to Froome.
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Battle for position on the front.
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Things look a little complicated from the bridge crossing -- changes of elevations together with roundabouts. Late ping off the front by a hardman like GVA not off the table, either.
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That's the finale, I mean.
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Bouhani was no laughing matter, CJ.
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Bouhanni going to make it back to the front group, amazing ride. Wonder if he's had a little assistance moto?
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Edetmoto...
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I see that people have availed themselves to the juicy Bouhani 40s...
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How the F has Bouhanni done that? I can imagine the French teams all complaining if he manages to get back.
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He will be back, mate. Edet was the one who made it happen, didn't look like much of a move when you said it, but he will be in this and he and Kristoff are very evenly matched, I believe.
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Contact!
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Bravo!
To: Bouhani and COF, but really it was all Edet! |
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Want to see what this little approaching incline looks like and how it might affect the front -- similar to the one at 18.5kms to-go, more or less.
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Yep, cannot see it being hard enough for a rider to sustain an attack.
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Intermediate approaching SUN all over it as expected!
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No one would dare after all the work SUN have done!
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Good boy!
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Colbrelli and TBM dared, though didn't they...
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Potentil crosswind action by SKY and GC rivals in some 5kms...
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Right turn imminent -- pace coming on...
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That wasn't it!
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That was a lot of nothing, the next section will be the combination of the incline and the change of direction at 18.5kms to-go. That should be the big move in the race, I think. So, GC splits and BMC getting involved. I think getting matched on GVA is smart.
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Market convinced about a bunc sprint involving the remaning sprinters -- I don't want to agree, too much still to happen for such a scenario to be nailed-on.
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