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Hi gang, looks like fun and games this
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Break as one, again, Erviti out alone, still.
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Gallina next isn't it?
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Have a feeling Dumoulin may suffer on the Gallina has been riding near the back mostly so far so is perhaps expecting to be dropped today. Despite Landa trying to inject pace on the break the gap has been rock solid at 3m 30 ( 4m 30 to leader). Should start to see some real action on this climb.
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here comes abit of rain
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Erviti all over the shop on the descent -- caught by the breakaway. Still think the GC principals will leave it alone until d'Encamp. 4mins definitely not enough for Landa. Spits here and there shouldn't be a concern.
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Still got to fancy the peleton at this stage imo, has been slow enough that the teams have plenty of firepower left
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If we could get accurate GPS sectionals in terms of speed and time gaps between a rider in the break and a rider in the GC peloton, like what they were trying to do in the Tour, then we could clean up on these types of questions.
If it's with the GC riders than the best bet is to request better value bids in a hostile market on the top contenders, or lay Landa into 14. |
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i wouldnt back Landa or anyone in the break personally. I think there is more chance of Landa picking up a attack from Aru and working for him then Landa winning the stage himself
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SKY going pretty hard here, unbuckled the front a little in places. Gap at 4.40 -- not enough still, I don't think.
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The gap starting to grow a little but we should know more in the next 20 mins as they get serious on this climb. Looking at Landa i don't think he is looking that comfortable, thinking he just isn't in the form he was at the giro.
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There went the Landa 14s!!
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Anyone ever been to Andorra?
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Roman Sicard is the virtual race leader at this point lol
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Are the GC boys thinking about the stage win here? How much time gap does Landa et al need at the bottom of the final climb?
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Looks like the breakaway is down to 8 riders. If they can work together to the bottom of the last climb they have a good chance imo. Anyone seen Landa do any work yet?
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Landa looked pretty fresh from the start, was riding smart to initially not get involved with those false attacks a little earlier, which has since developed into a breakaway selection including Landa, who bridged across when realizing it was a legitimate move. 5.30 mins is enough for Landa, I think.
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Landa clear!
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not sure on the time gap. youd think 5-6 minutes may be enough but who knows. not showing too much of the front group. rain could still play a part
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Now this is interesting, astana send a man to the fron of the peleton and at the same time Landa attacks the break going clear. Not sure what they are thinking here?? For Aru or landa?
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Froome gone, dead down the drain
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Gap to grow in favour of Landa I think as the peloton tiptoe down the descent. 5s will become 3s or less.
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We saw it in Romandie with his yo-yoing MC.
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Hope this break of 5 makes it all the way, I've got Atapuma at 104/1 average on BF and Landa 40/1 each way.
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Froome is going backwards in a hurry even with Thomas and Cataldo in company
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few coines on Nieve
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Problem for the GC guys now (in terms of catching the break and winning the stage) is that the lead group is getting much smaller, especially with Sky not there on the front.
I'm happy sitting on my Landa and Atapuma bets and keeping my fingers crossed (also got Pozzovivo if the GC group gets back in) but if I was making another play I think I would back the break here. |
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Have added Nieve at 100/1 here and Atapuma 16/1.
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no idea why i said Cataldo was with Froome. not even the right team :s
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Froome was clearly in trouble.... Can't believe Sky dropped all their men back for him. They should have have just changed plan and backed nieve or roache. Not happy that roache dropped back to try and help him :( (as a backer of roache)
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was that Ruben Plaza in the front group ?
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Oliveira, I think.
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Yes it Plaza. I'd be laying the hell out of Quintana and Aru if I was inclined to have any more bets on this stage.
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Actually SP is right it is Oliveira.
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Dry roads haven't helped the break.
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Broom if you had been watching Roche was already starting to suffer himself before Froome was and is now off the back of Froome! he had 2 crashes this week so was always likely to suffer today.
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Spanish tagteam!!
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Purito and Valverde taken 50 sec out of Quintana and Dumoulin etc on the descent!!
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