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marychain1
21 Jul 15 20:01
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Date Joined: 05 Apr 05
| Topic/replies: 5,589 | Blogger: marychain1's blog
Stage 17  »  Digne-Les-Bains  ›  Pra-Loup   (161k)

A repeat of Stage 6 of the Daphine, won by Romain Bardet after a daring attack on the descent of the Col d'Allos


Following yesterday's rest day we have the first and probably the least intimidating of four stages of Alpine climbing. This stage has 5 categorised climbs, but the first two of them are only Cat 3, with a Cat 1 and two Cat 2s, which are the third climb and the final climb at Pra-Loup. There is every likelihood that this stage will be again decided by the descent of the Col d'Allos, as there is every chance of building up a significant gap on the descent and maintaining it on the shortish final climb of Pra Loup, especially if the forecast rain materialises. The stage starts in Digne-les-Bains and heads South East towards the Med in the Nice/Antibes area. The start of the first climb comes after roughly 34km, the Cat 3 Col des Lèques (6km @5.3%). After this climb the riders reach the town of Castellane and head North. Here the riders skirt the outstandingly beautiful Verdon Gorge, where the turqoise-green Verdon forms a river valley through 700m high Limestone cliffs. At St Julien the route turns away from the gorge and towards Vergons. Here the riders reach the second climb, the Cat 3 Col des Toutes Aures (6.1km @ 3.1%). There is a long descent of the Toutes Aures at the bottom of which the riders will turn once again Northwards and head immediately upwards towards the Cat 2 Col de la Colle-Saint-Michel. At 11km @ 5.2% this is a long climb and by the time they have got onto the climb proper they will already have taken on several km of false flat. Following a short descent the riders again find a section of false flat where the intermediate sprint is located. Following the sprint the road goes uphill again, with about another 12km of false flat before the road cranks up further at Allos.

The Cat 1 Col d'Allos is 14km @ 5.5%, but they will have gained over 1100m from the valley floor and the Col d'Allos reaches 2250m. This is not a hard or steep climb, but it is very long. The GC teams should be working hard on this climb, and even if Sky do not ride hard, I would expect Astana, Movistar and Tinkoff to be driving a fast pace to test their rivals after the rest day. The descent from Col d'Allos could be more significant than the climb. Rain looks a distinct possiblity, and this is a long, fast and technical descent with uneven portions of road, and places with adverse camber.


The final climb is Pra Loup, a Cat 2 climb that is 6.2km @ 6.5%. This is the climb that broke Eddy Merckx in 1975 when he was caught and passed by Bernard Thévenet. It starts off fairly easily, with gradients of around 5.5% before getting steeper in the second kilometre. After this the gradient eases, with a few km at or around 6%. The final 1250m or so get steeper with gradients above 8%. This is the second time Pra Loup has been an arrival destination on the Tour. Thévenet won in 1975, and then when the Tour came back in 1980, Jos De Schoenmaecker took the honours. Personally I don't see this as a stage the break wins. It could go right out to 10-15 minutes again, but I think the amount of long climbs on this stage will mean the break getting caught. The GC teams will want to test each other following the rest day and the huge number of long, shallow climbing miles are perfect for the GC teams to drive a fast pace. Descending skills are absolutely paramount, especially if the rains come, and I see Vincenzo Nibali continuing his improving form and taking the stage.
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Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 2:24 PM BST
They got rid of the Green Jersey on the time gap graphic. Sad
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 2:25 PM BST
To think that Valverde was an 7/1 favourite at the start of this! Laugh
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 2:28 PM BST
MC -- Bardet -- in the Crit Dauphine -- attacked just prior to the descent, didn't he?
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 2:34 PM BST
If I remember rightly he attacked on the peak and only had a second or so on the bunch.
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 2:35 PM BST
Looks like Pauwels + Durasek + Herrada out in front with that big group behind, numbering 24, and then the Rogers + 4 riders behind.

Looks like both MOV and TCS want to give SKY a hard ride, hence SKY foreseeing this and having Porte and Roche in the break. Might all come together if Quintana and Contador try something again, but at this stage it looks like a guessing game.
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 2:38 PM BST
Cheers CJ, was just researching it, he made all of his gap on the descent, certainly so the descent will advantage the daredevil out in the break, especially since as MC states that SKY won't go hard there -- but perhaps am looking too far ahead at this point.
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 2:40 PM BST
Sam Bennett abandons...
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 2:47 PM BST
When is Geschke going to take his breakthrough win? Looks like the Ardennes is where he is suited best, but just never seems to have that critical instincts in those hilly races.
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 2:54 PM BST
Four groups on the road:
Geschke: Stage Leader
Sagan Group +1:06
Rogers Group + 2:30
Peloton +7:15
Report casemoney July 22, 2015 2:56 PM BST
Channel 4 appear to Think Porte is still looking after chris Laugh
Report casemoney July 22, 2015 2:57 PM BST
Itv 4 sorry Happy
Report nugget July 22, 2015 2:59 PM BST
Will Majka get the order to wait back and help Contador out later in the stage? He could be useful in helping Contador take some time and get onto the podium.  Contador has already attacked once and looks lively today.
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:01 PM BST
Bardet opened a gap of over a minute in the 16 km descent, btw.
Geschke just starting the lower slopes. Tekman with Durasek, some +36 secs behind.
Looking breakaway I think, with everything we know about the SKY interview MC provided for the forum.
Report casemoney July 22, 2015 3:02 PM BST
What a Great 1st tour the Man from Eritrea Dan Tek is having Happy
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:03 PM BST
Yep, the winner is coming from the breakaway.

Thunderstorms coming!!
Report nugget July 22, 2015 3:04 PM BST

Jul 22, 2015 -- 9:02AM, casemoney wrote:


What a Great 1st tour the Man from Eritrea Dan Tek is having


Good rider. Liked him since his days at OGE.

Report casemoney July 22, 2015 3:07 PM BST
Can Gesh stay Away ?
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 3:08 PM BST
Think how much more efficient Geschke would be without that beard. Always remember the stage from Tirreno? last year that he should have won when we saw a proper Dirty Bertie performance. Something like 16% walls and he was the last one there with Contador.
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:10 PM BST
On best form he can, yes. The gap can only be halved by the bottom of the final climb, but I think if a climber like Porte is a minute back he can get him as Gesh blows up.
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:12 PM BST
He's not a 5/1 pop, that's for sure, but he might get the weather advantage on the descent -- it'll be close.
Report ekbalko July 22, 2015 3:12 PM BST
These beards always bring back visions of that awful film American FlyersCry
Report Angela Rebecchi July 22, 2015 3:13 PM BST
Very unlikely casemoney.
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:13 PM BST
I'd be laying the Gesh, but after my loss on Plaza on the previous stage I've lost my confidence a little.
Report nugget July 22, 2015 3:13 PM BST
Kangert can go downhill ok.  He did some good descending in the giro.
Report Angela Rebecchi July 22, 2015 3:14 PM BST
Majka and Pinto shouldn't be underestimated here.
Report nugget July 22, 2015 3:14 PM BST
go Pinto
Report Angela Rebecchi July 22, 2015 3:14 PM BST
Pinot* (on at 19.0 so knowing my luck won't win)
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 3:15 PM BST
Anyone seen a recent time gap of how far the Eritrean genius is behind? He can probably climb and descend better than Geschke.
Report Angela Rebecchi July 22, 2015 3:15 PM BST
You on too nugget? Good luck. Majka can't be underestimated here.
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 3:16 PM BST
Nevermind Tekla caught by the rest of that break group.
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:16 PM BST
Definitely, Pinot and Majka are good chances and Majka -- short enough already, though!
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 3:16 PM BST
Kwitakowski abandon. Cav's lead out train is falling away.
Report nugget July 22, 2015 3:17 PM BST
Majka isn't underestimated here, he is the current favourite.  I dont think he's a very good descender though but I might be wrong.

Frank is a danger
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:19 PM BST
Majka gave up easily there, though.
Report nugget July 22, 2015 3:19 PM BST
Did Porte sit up?
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 3:19 PM BST
Frank is fighting for the podium surely? He's on the same time as Valverde atm with no reaction in the peloton.
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:20 PM BST
Frank is a good descender I believe, anyone confirm?
Report nugget July 22, 2015 3:21 PM BST
fkn Richie, had him at 360-1 e/w

He'll be a good domestique (plan-b) for TJ next year.
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 3:21 PM BST
Yes, Frank is a great descender. Some great hurtling downhill in the Tour de Suisse a couple of years ago I remember.
Report nugget July 22, 2015 3:22 PM BST
Go Pinto
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:22 PM BST
Cheers CJ -- missed the 30s, though. Sad
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 3:22 PM BST
What are Trek up to?
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:23 PM BST
I think it's TFR that up to something, but it's a bit of a laugh, isn't it?
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:23 PM BST
I mean Trek, yes, sorry -- used to using the acronym. Blush
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:24 PM BST
...Testing Mollema's contract is what Trek are doing. Laugh
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 3:26 PM BST
Trek protecting Mollema's GC against Frank? Maybe Gesink or Nibali struggling?

Don't fancy Pinot on the descent. Could lose a couple of minutes if he has the 2013 yips
Report casemoney July 22, 2015 3:27 PM BST
Also had porte at Big odds Nugget Very Disapointing
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 3:28 PM BST
Who's that Lotto NL bridging to the break group?
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:28 PM BST
Pinot is a bum on the descent.
Not concentrating on minor GC placings at the moment CJ, sorry for being lighthearted. Stage betting my main play here.
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 3:31 PM BST
Astana drilling this in the main group.
Report casemoney July 22, 2015 3:32 PM BST
looks Like the call Porte will look after Froome was right Shocked
Report nugget July 22, 2015 3:33 PM BST

Jul 22, 2015 -- 9:27AM, casemoney wrote:


Also had porte at Big odds Nugget Very Disapointing


Apparently he was sick and got punched and spat on
but it couldn't of been that bad for him to be in the breakaway.

with the way he was going earlier in the year and his 2nd place on stage 10 I was actually quitely confident he could do something here

Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:33 PM BST
Kruiswijk CJ...
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 3:33 PM BST
Laying Pinot at odds on.
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:33 PM BST
Same!
Report casemoney July 22, 2015 3:34 PM BST
They havent mentioned Uran where is he ?
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:34 PM BST
Only for a trade though, I think.
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 3:35 PM BST
Kruiswijk, Frank, Uran are all decent descenders. Should all catch/pass Pinot on the descent?
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:35 PM BST
Uran with Sagan group, losing time.
Report casemoney July 22, 2015 3:35 PM BST
Someone was trying to bet him at 15 LOL
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 3:37 PM BST
Carlton mentioned Uran is bridging to that Frank group. Apologies if wrong.
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 3:39 PM BST
Lol Pinot. Lucky it wasn't hard, but that's him done.
Report casemoney July 22, 2015 3:39 PM BST
Pinot unreal Shocked
Report geoff m July 22, 2015 3:40 PM BST
Novice error trying to put power down before out of corner
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:43 PM BST
Getting out of that odds-on lay on Pinot -- think he might still win this, since he can close 60+ secs on Geschke.
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 3:43 PM BST
Porte back for Froome. Valverde doesn't look good to me.

Talansky shooting past Pinot
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 3:46 PM BST
Uran now on Porte. Uran could be the play here if he's recovered.
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:46 PM BST
Talansky has to be covered here, can climb with the best of them on his day, and will have a gap on Pinot.
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 3:46 PM BST
*pinot not Porte
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 3:47 PM BST
Contador's floored it.
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:49 PM BST
Think Geschke will blow up on the final climb -- has 1.44 secs lead. Needs all of it for Talansky.
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:50 PM BST
Is Uran with Talansky, yet?
Report the swede July 22, 2015 3:51 PM BST
evens on pinot was just crazy. even if he hasnt crashed. but 34 now is almost to much
Report geoff m July 22, 2015 3:53 PM BST
not watched it all but who was the rider who went over the barriers just in front of contadors stop/bike change??
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:55 PM BST
Let's go Talansky...
Report nugget July 22, 2015 3:56 PM BST
Talansky flying
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 3:57 PM BST
Wow Talansky a minute behind Geschke has this.
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:57 PM BST
Laying Geschke here now -- blows up as he gets steeps near the top, imo.
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 3:58 PM BST
Uran in there somewhere also, laying Geschke might be the best bet?
Report nugget July 22, 2015 3:59 PM BST
free money on ze german
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 4:00 PM BST
400metres down with 2.5 to go. Can't see anything but Geschke if that is right.
Report CJ70 July 22, 2015 4:00 PM BST
400metres down with 2.5 to go. Can't see anything but Geschke if that is right.
Report nugget July 22, 2015 4:01 PM BST
Geschke looks rock hard
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 4:01 PM BST
Come on Talansky, lift! Geschke looks solid, the bastard!
Report Angela Rebecchi July 22, 2015 4:03 PM BST
Class from the German. Pinot went odds on, some people haven't seen him descend before!
Report nugget July 22, 2015 4:03 PM BST
Another stage won by a none climber on a mountain stage
Report Angela Rebecchi July 22, 2015 4:04 PM BST
Tactics spot on, great ride by Geschke.
Report nugget July 22, 2015 4:05 PM BST
lol Geschke wouldn't blow a candle out
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 4:05 PM BST
If it wasn't for the Pinot trade... Cool
Report nugget July 22, 2015 4:13 PM BST
Hard to believe that Froome and Contador are the same riders we saw less than 12 months ago at the vuelta
Report geoff m July 22, 2015 4:14 PM BST
Nairo nicks a second back? if he contiues like this he could catch Froome by XmasLaugh
Report nugget July 22, 2015 4:15 PM BST
Quintana needs another lap
Report nugget July 22, 2015 4:16 PM BST
You know it's been any easy route when Valverde is in 3rd on the GC
Report nugget July 22, 2015 4:18 PM BST
What are Movistar doing? Just as well they had 4 riders up the road in the break.  Surely they would of been better served back in the peleton pushing the pace on the col d'Allos.
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 4:20 PM BST
My apologies for describing Geschke as 'the bastard' back there -- in play desperation -- riders deserve our respect that's for sure, and a good win by him, best climbing display of his career, no doubt. I thought he looked bad just on attacking and trying to build his lead, and was thinking even back then he might be paying for it on the final climb, but he had the good sensations and hung tough -- the Pinot lay at odds-on was as a fair IR play, in any case.
Report razz July 22, 2015 4:25 PM BST
missed the lay of pinot by microseconds when he was 1.7 : / got a bit on geschke at the end at least. what's looking the most likely stage for froome and sky to attack now and wrap the tour up?
Report nugget July 22, 2015 4:25 PM BST
Well done Pinot backers and layers.  Thought 20's was good value and as mc pointed out his descending skills are lacklustre so a good trading opportunity was to be had when he got into odds-on.  Good win by Geschke he needed that win to save a rather disappointing tour for Giant.
Report SwingingPick July 22, 2015 4:28 PM BST
Nice response by the Geschke in the post-race interview -- might give him the belief to win more often!

The Germans coming good again after a strong start to the Tour with the Panzerwagon and the Gorilla -- now they have five wins. The GBR and ESP with three wins apiece.
Report sixtwosix July 22, 2015 5:33 PM BST
Little more than bluster from Quintna and Valverde .....again.

Valverde is now on the podium , can't see him wanting to risk losing that in order to help Quintana trying to weaken Froome.
Especially as Quintana looks to have nothing in his locker for Froome to be scared of.
Report jumper July 23, 2015 7:45 PM BST
Hi

Can anyone tell me what price Bardet was broadly for today's stage, on here

Thanks
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