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This should be fun...
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I'm taking a few at big prices who could get in the break. Atapuma 50/1, Niemiec 80/1, Uran 100/1, Bongiorno 150/1 & Herrada 250/1. Also done a bit on Niemiec, Elissonde, Uran and a bigger stake on Ixausti on here to trade.
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Same here. Probably the same scenario than yesterday, even though this stage is a lot harder. I took Niemiec@100 Bongiorno @120 Polanc @150 Herrada @260, Uran @120 and Elissonde.
The difference here is the mountains classification. Intxausti (has been quiet for a while) and Betancur may be in the mix, and Kruisjwick is the lead but has a GC position that dont allow him to go to the break. Hesjedal may want something from the stage, has he looks very strong in this final week. Tinkoff and Astana will be happy to a allow a breakaway and cant see anybody chasing such a long stage. And the first climb is 150km in the stage, where the breakaway can already have a big gap. Good luck all. |
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And i went (again) with my "mate" Andre Cardoso. He's in good form but didnt go for a stage yet... maybe today.
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Breakaway, but Intxausti not there, and Visconti is a threat to TOP 10...
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Doesn't look like this breakaway is going to work out with the pace the peloton are setting. Contador is bound to trade much shorter than 3.0-3.5
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Well, it really depends if Astana can maintain this for the next climb, because they are down to 4 riders, and 2 of them wont work (Aru-Landa) and the 4 upfront are keeping a good rithym and can risk in the descent. Lets see what happens in the next climb, wich is the harder one. Landa shoukd try to attack from long range to test Contador
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i took Trofimov @32, is a fast descender and he can hold on on the last climb for sure and i also like Hesjedal.
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Wrong about Astana, they still have there 3 more in the back
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Kuijswick goes on the attack, with Inxausti on his wheels
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2 mniutes is nothing, will dissolve quickly on the steep slopes of this penultimate climb
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Contador is too short @2.6 for that last climb. The last 2km are almost flat.
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Contador has come out with strong intentions for the stage win prior to the start, and I think what yesterday was all about was him testing himself for today. It's the queen stage as MC states, and he'll want to raise his arms on a mountaintop finish to confirm his win on GC. Winning on GC without winning a stage is not a prestigious win, and top class riders like Bertie are aware of such things, and I think he'll want to put to put himself into some hurt for stage glory.
Amador won this stage in 2012, so he will know it well and may show something, but I'm looking for Contador to win this, and certainly trade odds on. Good luck to all, SP |
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Visconti goes solo and puts 40sec in the peloton. Kochetkov chasing
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Pace no more than steady from the bunch so far, hope we get the chance to lay Visconti cheap
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And Visconti is cooked. Astana wont have many mens to final, could be an interesting final for mens like Hesjedal, Trofimov, Kruijswijk,etc
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Visconti won on the Galibier in 2013 edition of the Giro, won it well, but this headwind is not helping him much. If he can get it to 3 mins by the final climb there may be some interest in his price and cheap lay opportunities may become available as AST drive the pace and pull the armchair for Contador.
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Mens like riders!
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Mens like riders!
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I better get the fred up for Stage 20
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Your hard work for this forum is not going unobserved and unappreciated, MC. Thanks heaps mate.
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yap, good work marychain ;)
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AST increasing the speed from tempo riding.
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Zeits and Cataldo putting the pace. Then Tiralongo and Kangert for the last climb
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Gap has come down dramatically against Visconti. Looked to be labouring initially, but then rode quite hard toward the top.
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...And the Aru and Landa dynamic?
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I think we will see each one making their own race. Landa for the stage and Aru to keep top3
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Visconti descended quite well, but I still think he'll need 3 mins at a minimum at the base of the final climb to have a chance.
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I agree with that!
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What is Hesjedal doing so back in the group? :S
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Visconti didn't get it, more like less than 2 mins, and suddenly about 1.30 -- race going against him now.
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The steepest part of the climb is at 9-10km to the finish.
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I think AST may still have a good compliment so probably not the part for Bertie to attack. Looks like they'll have Visconti by then, though.
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Felinne still there, what a great ride
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Visconti has blown up -- game over -- lowest looked like 6s.
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Open finish to everyone, climb is not hard enough to make a selection
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Bertie in the AST armchair now, forgoing his two trusted teammates, who are sticking on behind him.
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Boom!
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Hesjedal, thats my boy
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