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marychain1
24 May 15 21:39
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Date Joined: 05 Apr 05
| Topic/replies: 28,704 | Blogger: marychain1's blog
Stage 17  »  Tirano  ›  Lugano   (134k)

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After all the recent excitement for the GC guys, this stage should give them a bit of a break. This is short at 134km, and primarily flat with just the one Cat 3 climb that comes very early on. This could well finish in a bunch sprint. We start today in Tirano, near the Swiss border. We head primarily West and almost immediately we hit the Cat 3 Teglio, which is a fairly straightforward ascent. This scenic parcours then takes the peloton through the Valtellina, through the Addo River valley towards the mouth of Lake Como. The roadway narrows all the way along the lakefront road to the short Croce di Menaggio climb. There's a few tunnels as we head towards Lake Como, and then as we run into the urban area of Lugano there's plenty of street furniture. The last few kilometres are primarily downhill. There are two hairpin turns with 3km to go. As we head round Lake Lugano the road flattens out. There's one last bend at 750m, but the home straight is 7m wide on the asphalt surface of Riva Vincenzo Vela. This should end in a bunch sprint. The sprint wins so far have been evenly shared enough to ensure all the sprinters' teams (Lotto, Trek & Lampre certainly) work together to bring back the break, and even though bad weather could again play a part there is nothing in the profile to suggest anything other than a sprint. I'll be keeping an eye on the price of Andre Grepiel.

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Report marychain1 May 26, 2015 8:21 PM BST
No Greipel or Henderson after their withdrawal. The fast men left are Modolo who won Stage 13, Viviani who won Stage 2 and Nizzolo who hasn't won anything yet but has been on the premises a fair few times.
Report marychain1 May 26, 2015 8:35 PM BST
Bet £3.65 going best price about pretty much all the favourites, I've taken the 7/1 about Viviani. Suspect he may even team support tomorrow.
Report marychain1 May 27, 2015 12:17 AM BST
Will be very interesting to see who is in the break tomorrow.
Report SwingingPick May 27, 2015 4:32 AM BST
Just looking at the final 3.5 kms -- looks like the perfect launching pad for a TT specialist having good sensations. Might be even easier if he was to find himself in the breakaway. There could also be a bit of a tailwind, which would assist the stage hunter.
Report ExpertBoy May 27, 2015 9:31 AM BST
Small stage, not hard for 2-3 teams to control. But cant see value in any bet really...
Report marychain1 May 27, 2015 11:06 AM BST
Hoping the sprinters teams don't infiltrate the break
Report marychain1 May 27, 2015 1:15 PM BST
This is looking pretty good for the sprinters teams so far. There is a break of 3 up the road with 1 rider trying to bridge across.
Report ExpertBoy May 27, 2015 1:16 PM BST
wait for the climb...
Report marychain1 May 27, 2015 1:20 PM BST
Rumours around the race circulating that Alberto Contador is going home after today's stage
Report ExpertBoy May 27, 2015 1:25 PM BST
Looks pretty safe for the sprinters teams
Report CJ70 May 27, 2015 1:34 PM BST

May 27, 2015 -- 7:20AM, marychain1 wrote:


Rumours around the race circulating that Alberto Contador is going home after today's stage


That from Dan Lloyd?

When's the last time a GT leader was forced out with the race won? Rasmussen?

Report CJ70 May 27, 2015 1:35 PM BST
Also Eurosport are absolutely hopeless mixing tennis and the Giro. *twiddles thumbs*
Report CJ70 May 27, 2015 1:46 PM BST
Ahh sneaky, MC. Sneaky!
Report ExpertBoy May 27, 2015 2:04 PM BST
Lugano is where Contador lives, along with Sergio Paulinho.
Report marychain1 May 27, 2015 2:32 PM BST
Report marychain1 May 27, 2015 2:32 PM BST
Yes mate, Dan Lloyd's joke from twitter Laugh
Report marychain1 May 27, 2015 2:34 PM BST
Pretty impressed we had 110 posts on yesterday's fred. Viva Il Giro. Viva Il Forum. Cool
Report ExpertBoy May 27, 2015 3:19 PM BST
All set for a bunch sprint.
Report ExpertBoy May 27, 2015 3:33 PM BST
BMC making the race harder for Gilbert? Not steep enough to drop sprinters i think
Report SwingingPick May 27, 2015 3:39 PM BST
G'day gents, got in a bit late for this. Haussler, Chavanel, and Gilbert were my picks. Only managed to get matched with Gilbert, though. I think heard Chavanel was mentioned walking into the room -- any excitement with those other two?
Report SwingingPick May 27, 2015 3:40 PM BST
It looks quite excited on the front -- that final 3.5kms may very-well be the staging point for one to steal a march.
Report SwingingPick May 27, 2015 3:42 PM BST
Looks bloody fast -- tailwind will assist a breakaway -- can anyone confirm the manner of the wind?
Report SwingingPick May 27, 2015 3:47 PM BST
Hansen did a similar thing in 2013 stage 7 over a bumpy course at the Giro. Increased his lead, but he's still a fair way out.
Report ExpertBoy May 27, 2015 3:49 PM BST
yes tailwind for most of the time. That final could be good to launch an attack for guys like durbridge or to teams like movistar or CCC to make it harder for grega bole or Lobato
Report ExpertBoy May 27, 2015 3:52 PM BST
Sergio Paulinho driving the peloton on his roads :)
Report SwingingPick May 27, 2015 3:53 PM BST
Nice one, cheers EB. Pace really fast, but that final bump will retard the arrowhead a bit perhaps. Bunch sprint not assured, but positioning critical for the likes that can TT well.
Report SwingingPick May 27, 2015 3:54 PM BST
Hard to tell who is moving up on these narrow roads...
Report ExpertBoy May 27, 2015 3:55 PM BST
small stakes on Grega Bole @80
Report SwingingPick May 27, 2015 3:58 PM BST
Added Chavanel to Gilbert, small stakes, also.
Report ExpertBoy May 27, 2015 3:58 PM BST
Slagter goes for it!
Report SwingingPick May 27, 2015 3:59 PM BST
I think Slagter has gone a bit early here.
Report ExpertBoy May 27, 2015 3:59 PM BST
Gilbert attacks
Report SwingingPick May 27, 2015 4:00 PM BST
Argh... Gilbert drawn out by Slagter, did not play the patience game!
Report ExpertBoy May 27, 2015 4:02 PM BST
What a final, super narrow roads
Report SwingingPick May 27, 2015 4:02 PM BST
Wouldn't lay against Paolini, but won't back him as I'm suddenly stretched!
Report SwingingPick May 27, 2015 4:03 PM BST
lampre surely!?
Report ExpertBoy May 27, 2015 4:03 PM BST
bunch sprint, perfect combo for Modolo
Report ExpertBoy May 27, 2015 4:04 PM BST
Modolo Wins, perfect sprint!
Report SwingingPick May 27, 2015 4:05 PM BST
Sharpening arrow controlled perfectly by Lampre and Modolo it was. Clinical stuff, but I thought Haussler had a fair chance to do something.
Report ExpertBoy May 27, 2015 4:07 PM BST
He was in the mix at least, think 5th or 6th
Report ExpertBoy May 27, 2015 4:09 PM BST
Haussler 4th, not bad

Viviani disapointed
Report marychain1 May 27, 2015 4:11 PM BST
Messy finale to that stage but the climbs weren't enough for the attacks to stick. All the sprinters there except Viviani Cry. Thought he was well placed throughout most of the final climb but just didn't have the legs to get back on when Paolini attacked. Modolo is doing an excellent job of picking up some wins in the absence of the topline sprinters.
Report SwingingPick May 27, 2015 4:14 PM BST
Haussler 4th. Good understanding of the potential for the staging point, it did look like it held the potential for a nice classics-style finish, however the peloton were aware of it and Lampre made it count for their man Modolo. MC raised Modolo, hope you backed him also?
Report marychain1 May 27, 2015 5:05 PM BST
Nope just Viviani today.
Report OnTheChase May 27, 2015 10:53 PM BST
Viviani not get back on ??  I think Viviani (in Red) was near Modolo with a few 100m to go.  Finished 11th.
Report marychain1 May 27, 2015 10:55 PM BST
Good spot, I didn't see him at all in the finale
Report OnTheChase May 27, 2015 11:00 PM BST
I was watching Viviani because I backed him pre-Giro for the Points jersey.  Not looking so good for the Points jersey after today.
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