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*Paris-Nice* Sunday 8th March - Sunday 15th March

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Replies: 52
By:
marychain1
When: 14 Mar 15 14:12
31 man break is up the road in today's P-N Stage 6. I've chanced Thomas and Gallopin today.
By:
marychain1
When: 14 Mar 15 16:47
Poels wins in T-A and Gallopin wins at P-N. Didn't have a double though. Laugh
By:
SwingingPick
When: 15 Mar 15 04:28
Well done, MC. I suspect you got Gallopin out of the break?

In 2013, when Porte won this race, Gallopin rode the Col d'Eze stage in 36th place +1.56 down on Porte, who won the stage. After winning yesterday's stage in very tough conditions, it's a big ask to expect Gallopin to back-up with such a strong performance that he protects his .36+ lead in a discipline where he is not an expert and which is made tougher by effectively being a mountain sprint. I therefore believe that this race is still between Porte and G, and the price discrepancy suggests G is better value, although as I stated earlier Porte looks a little better. The only thing I would add is that Porte might require the impetus of being surrounded by his opposition, and riding solo in the ITT may cause him to feel a little flat in his present shape, however the advantage of having won here two years ago will be a significant advantage and on paper Porte is the winner.

I'm on G. SP
By:
marychain1
When: 15 Mar 15 10:36
I put Gallopin on the night before. I've laid Porte for the outright at PN today. Looks like we all got the wrong Sky rider for T-A. Wonder if Sky can protect Poels today? Mental how strong they've been after their altitude training camp.
By:
nugget
When: 15 Mar 15 11:36
very strong headwind, should suit g.thomas
By:
nugget
When: 15 Mar 15 11:50
"I do not know what to expect. It will be difficult, but I do definitely my best. I know the Col d'Eze really well. I climbed on the at least 20 times in training this winter. It is not too hard, it is not just for climbers, " said Tony Gallopin.

Seems confident
By:
CJ70
When: 15 Mar 15 13:06
Taken G as well, Richie's weight will go against him in a headwind. Should be a 1,2 though.
By:
nugget
When: 15 Mar 15 14:44
demolition
By:
marychain1
When: 15 Mar 15 20:56
Sky's plan is to win every race between now and Beijing
By:
SwingingPick
When: 16 Mar 15 15:58
Sometimes it's just better to follow the paper trail, and this was one such case.

PARIS-NICE          
             2013       2015   
PORTE
By:
SwingingPick
When: 16 Mar 15 16:23
PARS-NICE                                                 
2013      COL d'EZE STAGE WINNER: PORTE             
                   STAGE FINISH 36TH: GALLOPIN +1.56
2015      COL d'EZE STAGE WINNER: PORTE             
                   STAGE FINISH 29TH: GALLOPIN +1.39


I think with such strong data, the G scenario shouldn't have really been brought into it. Moreover, Porte won the National ITT title earlier this year, which whilst over a much longer distance, nevertheless showed he was still committed to the discipline, and this perhaps should have been more closely scrutinized.

In conclusion; the stage 4 finish comes to mind as showing Porte fighting hard to close down the gap to teammate G, when he was isolated. Without having to back up the next day on another climb, he could build on that great ride in terms of confidence. G was just never involved in the ITT, and has disappointed himself as for his captaincy chances at SKY. SP
By:
nugget
When: 19 Mar 15 02:24
sky looking good for roubaix?
By:
cedarmaster
When: 21 Mar 15 21:33
not a good result for me but well done to Porte, still not convinced he can step up to be a player  the Giro. My apologies to Warren Barguil for putting the kiss of death on him
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