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Cardinal Scott
14 Dec 18 17:49
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Date Joined: 18 Jul 08
| Topic/replies: 35,415 | Blogger: Cardinal Scott's blog
This looks a complete mismatch but there may be opportunities to extract something.
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Report blackcap December 18, 2018 12:39 AM GMT
The rain in Wellington can be weird. Wellington itself can have a micro climate. Hard to really know what will happen. It can be fine at the Basin and raining north of the city in the hills which tend to hold the clouds. We shall see.
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 12:40 AM GMT
50/50 to last today and 50/50 a washout imo which makes 10s the draw decent value for me
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 12:41 AM GMT
problem is the kiwis are due a wicket
Report detraveller December 18, 2018 12:45 AM GMT

Dec 17, 2018 -- 6:40PM, PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH wrote:


50/50 to last today and 50/50 a washout imo which makes 10s the draw decent value for me


please take my 10.5

Report detraveller December 18, 2018 12:46 AM GMT
thanks, if it was you.
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 12:46 AM GMT
Grin
Report detraveller December 18, 2018 12:49 AM GMT
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 12:51 AM GMT
getting close to fatts 5sShocked
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 12:52 AM GMT
the hardest part of trading is sitting in there waiting to hit your orders
Report Cardinal Scott December 18, 2018 12:53 AM GMT
Those backing NZ at 1.09 at lunch were crazy
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 12:53 AM GMT
every ball feels like a wicket taking delivery !!
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 12:54 AM GMT
agreed scott as 1.09 is a working mans lay
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 12:55 AM GMT
market is desperate for a wicket
Report detraveller December 18, 2018 12:56 AM GMT

Dec 17, 2018 -- 6:53PM, Cardinal Scott wrote:


Those backing NZ at 1.09 at lunch were crazy


Could easily have been the 1.02 and 1.03 layers making a killing.

I backed NZ for 4k yesterday at 1.08/1.09

Report blackcap December 18, 2018 1:00 AM GMT

Dec 17, 2018 -- 6:10PM, PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH wrote:


The problem with Wellington is the mizzle !! brief rain not a problem as will clear up, the current levels of precipitation suggest it might be the low cloud scenario


It will not be mizzle tomorrow. Look at the windspeed temperatures. It will be blowing quite a bit which means it will also blow over/and or dry the pitch/field a lot quicker.

Report Cardinal Scott December 18, 2018 1:00 AM GMT
Yesterdays 1.09 looked a far better proposition than todays

Just backing anything sub 1.1 is asking for trouble
Report Cardinal Scott December 18, 2018 1:01 AM GMT
This game is suddenly as interesting to me as Aus India
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 1:03 AM GMT
like india at 20s
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 1:03 AM GMT
30/40 run partnership will single digits
Report Cardinal Scott December 18, 2018 1:07 AM GMT
With no wickets this snail like drift will have to gather speed soon.
Report detraveller December 18, 2018 1:08 AM GMT
yeah. I can see it going into Fatland in 20 min.
Report detraveller December 18, 2018 1:09 AM GMT
Problem is lanka have slowed down.
Report G Hall December 18, 2018 1:15 AM GMT
Wicket coming very soon imo
Report detraveller December 18, 2018 1:20 AM GMT
change of gloves. Is that a signal?
Report blackcap December 18, 2018 1:21 AM GMT

Dec 17, 2018 -- 7:20PM, detraveller wrote:


change of gloves. Is that a signal?


A signal for what? What would they be doing any differently than what they are doing now?

Report detraveller December 18, 2018 1:21 AM GMT
#fix

Grin
Report blackcap December 18, 2018 1:22 AM GMT
I don't think so.
Report blackcap December 18, 2018 1:22 AM GMT
Maybe if it was Pakistan, but not SL that I know of.
Report detraveller December 18, 2018 1:23 AM GMT
This.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iocn9w1cihs

,
Report detraveller December 18, 2018 1:26 AM GMT
draw on the move
Report Bunsen79 December 18, 2018 1:38 AM GMT
Just got back after being out all morning thinking they'd be all out...faaack. They could clean them up later with the new ball... Hopefully, the draw will be below 3's then...
Report blackcap December 18, 2018 1:39 AM GMT
3 hours for no wicket. "Only" another 3 to go today. The Lankans have done well so far.
Report detraveller December 18, 2018 2:03 AM GMT
New Zealand
€513.47

Sri Lanka
€266.47

The Draw
€823.73
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 2:10 AM GMT
fatts just matched for his 1K at 5s CoolHappy
Report detraveller December 18, 2018 2:11 AM GMT

Dec 17, 2018 -- 6:32PM, Fatslogger wrote:


Still got £13k on draw for now, although a lot programmed to lay off if we see 5s.


Congratulations. You won without sacrificing sleep.

Report detraveller December 18, 2018 2:11 AM GMT
haha yeah was thinking of fats too
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 2:12 AM GMT
Laugh
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 2:14 AM GMT
market realising that there might be only 50 overs left in the test match
Report detraveller December 18, 2018 2:14 AM GMT
New Zealand
€553.47
       
Sri Lanka
€306.47
       
The Draw
€673.73

That's it for me. Off to Aussie land to salvage my position there.
Report VardonVoo. December 18, 2018 2:15 AM GMT

Dec 17, 2018 -- 7:23PM, detraveller wrote:


This.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iocn9w1cihs,


Lol! I used to have a gf a bit like that. I once (only the once!) took her to see a fringe theatre production it was a mime/dace interpretation of the Andes plane-crash cannibalism story. One of the characters refuses to eat the dead bodies and to symbolise starving to death the (rather pretty) actress had to dance around shedding clothes until completely naked (what you might call a "fringe benefit"). For the rest of the week my gf obsessively kept angrily demanding to know if I fancied the actress and if I wanted to f*ck her.

Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 2:15 AM GMT
well done and good luck
Report Bunsen79 December 18, 2018 2:37 AM GMT
Obviously you did want to f*ck her haha
Report blackcap December 18, 2018 3:45 AM GMT
Those ppl taking the 50 on the draw at the start of the day will be very happy now with the draw plummeting. Now at 2.40.
Report Cardinal Scott December 18, 2018 3:54 AM GMT
Yes well done!

I have done well too on a smaller scale. Grin  should have been more adventurous Mischief
Report blackcap December 18, 2018 3:56 AM GMT
Yeah in hindsight it seems so easy doesn't it. Always wish had taken more but not going to complain.
Report Cardinal Scott December 18, 2018 5:00 AM GMT
I salute those 2, OUTSTANDING!
Report the big bossman December 18, 2018 6:51 AM GMT
if nz don't win lot of punters losing big time
1.01    £40,071        £26
1.02    £32,761        £388,621
1.03    £26,585        £261,786
1.04    £25,034        £200,531
1.05    £4,042        £146,245
1.06    £10,117        £391,841
1.07    £10,024        £605,056
1.08    £11,138        £1,226,096
1.09    £10,000        £372,745
1.10    £10,043        £303,828
1.11    £2,059        £363,799
1.12    £33,215        £735,287
1.13    £42        £164,680
1.14    £2        £231,614
1.15            £506,241
1.16
Report Fatslogger December 18, 2018 7:14 AM GMT

Dec 17, 2018 -- 9:56PM, blackcap wrote:


Yeah in hindsight it seems so easy doesn't it. Always wish had taken more but not going to complain.


Yep. Funny how regret works. I’m completely cool with having left all my earlier lays in, including some quite large ones in 8s and 9s but I do feel a bit sad I set up £500 at 4s just before I went to sleep. Still leaves me over £2.5k on results and nearly £4k draw so pretty happy overall mind.

Report Fatslogger December 18, 2018 7:27 AM GMT
Also regret not taking that grand at 34s I stared at for a while. As blackcap says, it’s hindsight bias. Oh and thanks all for the thoughts when the draw got down to 5s.
Report VardonVoo. December 18, 2018 8:03 AM GMT
I'm just grateful to have level greened at draw 7.8 having lad to substantial red at draw 25. I could so easy have kept hanging on for a wicket that never came.

So is everybody now on a sleep-deriving 14-hour weather vigil?
Report Cardinal Scott December 18, 2018 9:50 AM GMT
NZ available to lay at 3.8 shortly after stumps, I suppose weather related drift.
Report trader pj December 18, 2018 11:02 AM GMT
it would be funny if Sri Lanka won it! stranger things have happened Happy
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 12:14 PM GMT
a decent two days trading !! how on earth was the draw available to back at 11s when Lanka batted to lunch without losing any wickets and with a poor forecast for day 5 on a flat deck.
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 12:16 PM GMT
Fats, you could have woken up this morning with very little, you traded well indeed and have no regrets !! i cashed out laying the draw odds against and very happy with that.
Report detraveller December 18, 2018 1:24 PM GMT
why is draw still 1.3? SL need to bat out two sessions. they still have chandi and dickwela to come. NZ last took a wicket Sunday evening.
Report detraveller December 18, 2018 1:55 PM GMT
why is draw still 1.25? SL need to bat out two sessions. they still have chandi and dickwela to come. NZ last took a wicket Sunday evening.
Report detraveller December 18, 2018 2:25 PM GMT
why is draw still 1.21? SL need to bat out two sessions. they still have chandi and dickwela to come. NZ last took a wicket Sunday evening.
Report GRANTCKING December 18, 2018 2:56 PM GMT
Grin glorius thai in the making
Report blackcap December 18, 2018 6:11 PM GMT
At this state the weather looks ok. Forecast for rain later in the day. Where I live 40km north of Wellington it is raining right now but its coming from the south. Draw out to 1.27
Report Injera December 18, 2018 6:20 PM GMT
If SL pull this off it must go down as one of the greatest escapes.
Report palchneru December 18, 2018 6:28 PM GMT
no rain yet in Karori .  It's looking grey though.
Report Fatslogger December 18, 2018 6:35 PM GMT

Dec 18, 2018 -- 12:20PM, Injera wrote:


If SL pull this off it must go down as one of the greatest escapes.


The country of the draw lay to back.

Report blackcap December 18, 2018 7:06 PM GMT

Dec 18, 2018 -- 12:28PM, palchneru wrote:


no rain yet in Karori .

Report blackcap December 18, 2018 7:06 PM GMT
sorry meant to ask if you could keep us updated if drops start to fall in Karori.
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 7:19 PM GMT
rain drop alert Grin
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 7:20 PM GMT
BCap are you still actively involved in this game ?
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 7:21 PM GMT
I cashed out after tea yesterday on betair, and this morning elsewhere, so just sitting on the sidelines Shocked
Report blackcap December 18, 2018 7:27 PM GMT
I am still actively involved.
Report mafeking December 18, 2018 7:36 PM GMT
rare enough to go through a whole day without losing a wicket let alone on day 4
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 7:38 PM GMT
the pitch was so flat yesterday, can not remember one so easy to bat on after day one !!
Report blackcap December 18, 2018 7:51 PM GMT
Looking bright towards the South they just said on the radio. But I still think rain is on the way. Rain radar starting to look more active than an hour ago.
Report blackcap December 18, 2018 7:55 PM GMT
STARTING to spit in CBD wellington.
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH December 18, 2018 8:11 PM GMT
that first band will clear in an hour or so Shocked
Report blackcap December 18, 2018 8:55 PM GMT
Haha NZ tab has draw at 1.05. But they have NZ at 5.00. What a bunch of ****
Report blackcap December 18, 2018 8:56 PM GMT
raining lightly at the Basin reserve right now.
Report blackcap December 18, 2018 9:07 PM GMT
heavy covers are on, still raining, but bit brighter. Think its going to be an on off day. Maybe 20 overs? if we are luck.
Report blackcap December 18, 2018 9:14 PM GMT
I cannot believe the draw is still available at 1.18. Even if we have 30 overs, Sl would have to be bowled out in 25 for there to be a result. That seems a tall order after what I witnessed yesterday. I guess one wicket may be enough to set the ball in motion and that is what draw layers are banking on? Met still expects southerly with a bit of rain around midday.
Report blackcap December 18, 2018 9:27 PM GMT
new band coming through in about 20-30 mins by the look on the radar.
Report blackcap December 18, 2018 9:36 PM GMT
Scott Styris just said that its going to take 1.5 hours to get the ground ready for play once the rain stops. That is a surprise to me as the Basin is a good draining groung. Looks like a train to 1.01.
Report blackcap December 18, 2018 10:44 PM GMT
umpires are out in the middles, the tractor is pulling a rope around the ground and the covers are being released of their water. Skies are cloudy but its not raining.
Report blackcap December 18, 2018 10:49 PM GMT
play to start at 12.30
Report blackcap December 18, 2018 10:53 PM GMT
covers are off, all covers are off, players are getting ready to come out. Not sure on session times yet.
Report blackcap December 18, 2018 10:54 PM GMT
But play to get underway in about 35 mins
Report currant bun December 18, 2018 11:01 PM GMT
Thank you for the updates Blackcap
Report currant bun December 18, 2018 11:02 PM GMT
Thank you for the updates Blackcap
Report currant bun December 18, 2018 11:02 PM GMT
Thank you for the updates Blackcap
Report currant bun December 18, 2018 11:02 PM GMT
Thank you for the updates Blackcap
Report currant bun December 18, 2018 11:02 PM GMT
Thank you for the updates Blackcap
Report currant bun December 18, 2018 11:02 PM GMT
Thank you for the updates Blackcap
Report currant bun December 18, 2018 11:02 PM GMT
Thank you for the updates Blackcap
Report currant bun December 18, 2018 11:02 PM GMT
Thx for the updates Blackcap
Report mcfc1981 December 18, 2018 11:04 PM GMT
83 overs left in the day if no more rain
Report mcfc1981 December 18, 2018 11:05 PM GMT
83 overs left in the day if no more rain
Report mcfc1981 December 18, 2018 11:11 PM GMT
83 overs left in the day if no more rain
Report Cardinal Scott December 18, 2018 11:28 PM GMT
Just awoke, will keep an eye on it but don't think I can squeeze anything more out of it.
Report detraveller December 19, 2018 12:17 AM GMT
My biggest win ever at 800 bucks beating the 700 i made in the Eng Ind test in Sep.

Christmas has come early for detraveller and its a green christmas.
Report detraveller December 19, 2018 12:26 AM GMT
Quite incredible really what Srilanka have achieved. Could easily have drawn this without the rain as well.
Report detraveller December 19, 2018 12:30 AM GMT
Ive backed 325+ at 3.2 but looking at the radar seems its wasted money
Report Fatslogger December 19, 2018 1:36 PM GMT

Dec 18, 2018 -- 6:17PM, detraveller wrote:


My biggest win ever at 800 bucks beating the 700 i made in the Eng Ind test in Sep.Christmas has come early for detraveller and its a green christmas.


Well done!

I had no bets today. Last one was a draw lay at 3.7 (had thought it was 4 but obviously thought better of it) set up when I went to sleep night before last. Feels like I should have made something out of the rain but I already had my green mostly on draw.

Three tests coming up next week: second one this series; Boxing Day Aus India and SA Pak. Will try to do some ground and weather research for all of them.

Report detraveller December 20, 2018 7:13 PM GMT
Don't forget to share your research Fats.
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