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South Africa vs Australia, 2nd Test Port Elizabeth

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Replies: 213
By:
Fatslogger
When: 10 Mar 18 10:59
... nly thing really missing is a decent fifth bowling option.

May struggle to keep my posting up as the baby is now awake and attacking the Macbook at intervals.
By:
VardonVoo.
When: 10 Mar 18 11:04
I've always been a bit loathe to use painkillers - not out of martyrdom, just cos I prefer to listen to what my body's trying to tell me. Stupid of me to mishear for months though. Saying that, I did recently buy a smoke alarm with a snooze button for those lie-in days.

You've just reminded me of that clip with the news correspondent reporting live from his home-office when his baby kid walks in followed by his nanny.
By:
Fatslogger
When: 10 Mar 18 11:10

Mar 10, 2018 -- 11:04AM, VardonVoo. wrote:


I've always been a bit loathe to use painkillers - not out of martyrdom, just cos I prefer to listen to what my body's trying to tell me. Stupid of me to mishear for months though. Saying that, I did recently buy a smoke alarm with a snooze button for those lie-in days.You've just reminded me of that clip with the news correspondent reporting live from his home-office when his baby kid walks in followed by his nanny.


It's his wife - think it was both his children too.

By:
Fatslogger
When: 10 Mar 18 11:17
It's been a very pro draw start to this session for the draw to have notched up slightly, hasn't it?  Would have expected a drop to the high 8s by now. As my last few lays were above current price though, I don't think I can back it (obviously I could but it's against my method).
By:
Cardinal Scott
When: 10 Mar 18 11:27
Dharmasema needs to be demoted
By:
VardonVoo.
When: 10 Mar 18 11:29
Almost as funny as the clip with the Aussie anchor interviewing the Dalai Lama and trying to tell him the Dalai Lama/pizza joke.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xlIrI80og8c
By:
Fatslogger
When: 10 Mar 18 12:02
I missed on the review again but did get some 12s in the aftermath so further slight improvement in position, although still need a proper draw crash, really.  Funny that the draw price is same as over lunch despite most of a session with no wickets and very few runs.  Course the reverse does loo rather threatening and has reminded the market that SA will probably bowl Aus out a second time for far too few runs to keep the draw in play into day 5.
By:
Cardinal Scott
When: 10 Mar 18 12:11
Deficit under 100 with only 1 of top order fallen.........this Aus price has to burst.
By:
Cardinal Scott
When: 10 Mar 18 12:16
Draw coming back into equation can aid that too!
By:
Cardinal Scott
When: 10 Mar 18 12:19
I got matched on Aus at 5.5 at 11.12am took another hour for my 5.6 order to be filled coz of the spectre of reverse swing! Plain
By:
Cardinal Scott
When: 10 Mar 18 12:21
Elgar & Hash a draw traders wet dream going along sub 40 strike rate.
By:
detraveller
When: 10 Mar 18 12:35

Mar 10, 2018 -- 9:47AM, Cardinal Scott wrote:


Do you know what happened to pxb FS?


Rules in aus changed and he said he was going to stop. I havent been on much since september so im not sure when exactly and for what exact reason he stopped but he did say it was the end. He also made a thread for it as far as i remember.

I think the rules were something like only being able to place bets on phone or something...but im not sure.

By:
detraveller
When: 10 Mar 18 12:35
Now I remember. He said he wouldn't be able to bet in-play anymore.
By:
detraveller
When: 10 Mar 18 12:39
I see he was still creating threads for tests in january. SO must still be betting.
By:
Fatslogger
When: 10 Mar 18 12:42

Mar 10, 2018 -- 12:21PM, Cardinal Scott wrote:


Elgar & Hash a draw traders wet dream going along sub 40 strike rate.


It's still not really done as much as you'd expect for a whole session of wicketless stagnation but the reverse is the thing, obviously.

By:
VardonVoo.
When: 10 Mar 18 12:54
I think they changed the rules so that you couldn't even bet in-between days, or something. Lord knows how they think that such restrictions protect people vulnerable to gambling problems - it simply removes their best chances to reduce losses or make a profit.

Price-swap approaching a lot more slowly than I thought it would. SA stable - tempted to lay in the unlikely case of a Wicket McFlurry, but may just continue to drip-back Aus and keep my modest green on SA. Given back half of my draw green already, so won't lay any more unless it goes silly-short.
By:
VardonVoo.
When: 10 Mar 18 12:56
Worryingly, the UK Gambling Commission were considering blocking gambling at certain times of night - I hope exchange-trading would be excepted, but you can never trust politicians not to mess things up.
By:
Cardinal Scott
When: 10 Mar 18 13:58
This evening session not doing me any favours! Sad
By:
Cardinal Scott
When: 10 Mar 18 14:43
AB is still great, where everyonr else struggles he shines.
By:
Cardinal Scott
When: 10 Mar 18 15:33
I had one goal for the day to get myself redless and after a terrifying period just after tea I have managed that thx to the 3 Format GUN AB de Villers. Excited
By:
Cardinal Scott
When: 10 Mar 18 15:36
I layed Aus as low as 2.14. in that session. Excited
By:
Fatslogger
When: 11 Mar 18 08:47

Mar 10, 2018 -- 3:36PM, Cardinal Scott wrote:


I layed Aus as low as 2.14. in that session.


They’d have been odds on if they’d got AB early. SA to bat last on this too: right now I’d rather back than lay Aus at 3.1. Course there’s still scope for a decent first innings lead though so Aus will fly out with a good start to the morning for AB and Big Vern. I’m wondering where to look to go green. At the moment I’ve got a lot of rather unrealistic draw lays in, that will leave me big if the draw gets back to the 7s and massive if it ever get to the 3s. I’m pretty sure I should be less ambitious but how much less?

By:
Cardinal Scott
When: 11 Mar 18 09:04
Saffer bat until lunch, that is the summit of my ambitions here.
By:
Fatslogger
When: 11 Mar 18 09:12

Mar 11, 2018 -- 9:04AM, Cardinal Scott wrote:


Saffer bat until lunch, that is the summit of my ambitions here.


That would do nicely. I missed my last draw back at 15.5 having laid quite a bit off at 14.5 at close, which is a shame as wanted to take more advantage of the no wicket first over and a half draw crash but still a lot better than if there had been a wicket. Now it’s hit a couple more lays I’m actually green on SA to the princely tune of £15, £150 red Aus and £8.6k draw green, which is a lot, lot less comedy than after I last chased the price up on a wicket, when I had well over £20k.

By:
bemb29
When: 11 Mar 18 09:23
How low do SA go in this innings?
By:
Fatslogger
When: 11 Mar 18 09:29

Mar 11, 2018 -- 9:23AM, bemb29 wrote:


How low do SA go in this innings?


Will continue falling until the lead well over 100 and especially so if scoring quickly, which they will if they keep batting. Could see 1.25 if they get past 100?

I’ve now got a bit irritated with myself for taking too many lays at 14.5!

By:
Fatslogger
When: 11 Mar 18 09:30

Mar 11, 2018 -- 9:04AM, Cardinal Scott wrote:


Saffer bat until lunch, that is the summit of my ambitions here.


Where do you go green?

By:
Cardinal Scott
When: 11 Mar 18 09:34

Mar 11, 2018 -- 9:30AM, Fatslogger wrote:


Mar 11, 2018 --  8:04AM, Cardinal Scott wrote:Saffer bat until lunch, that is the summit of my ambitions here.Where do you go green?


I already did last night but then went back in with some Aus lays around the 3's mark.

By:
bemb29
When: 11 Mar 18 09:37

Mar 11, 2018 -- 9:29AM, Fatslogger wrote:


Mar 11, 2018 --  8:23AM, bemb29 wrote:How low do SA go in this innings?Will continue falling until the lead well over 100 and especially so if scoring quickly, which they will if they keep batting. Could see 1.25 if they get past 100?I’ve now got a bit irritated with myself for taking too many lays at 14.5!


Started my lays off at 1.45. Look comfortable at the moment

By:
Fatslogger
When: 11 Mar 18 10:00
Market thinks SA batting on means it’s flat. It is a bit flat but both sides have got reverse and very hard for Aus to bat out for a draw having been bowled out with so much of day 1 left.

Wicket now. Not going to chase up too much but got lots of my smaller lays picked up so have room to trade a bit.
By:
Fatslogger
When: 11 Mar 18 10:04

Mar 11, 2018 -- 9:37AM, bemb29 wrote:


Mar 11, 2018 --  8:29AM, Fatslogger wrote:Mar 11, 2018 --  8:23AM, bemb29 wrote:How low do SA go in this innings?Will continue falling until the lead well over 100 and especially so if scoring quickly, which they will if they keep batting. Could see 1.25 if they get past 100?I’ve now got a bit irritated with myself for taking too many lays at 14.5!Started my lays off at 1.45. Look comfortable at the moment


Surprised that SA haven’t shortened further but as i say, market thinks flat surface so draw has come in a lot more. Clearly my nominal 1.25 was miles off though.

By:
Fatslogger
When: 11 Mar 18 10:12
Lol, didn't call that review either. Seemed a surprisingly big move even if he had been out!
By:
Fatslogger
When: 11 Mar 18 10:14
Also missed the draw then bafflingly blipping up to 10s. Oh well, can’t hit all the right notes.
By:
bemb29
When: 11 Mar 18 10:16
1.4 for 100 lead seems crazy
By:
Fatslogger
When: 11 Mar 18 10:17

Mar 11, 2018 -- 10:16AM, bemb29 wrote:


1.4 for 100 lead seems crazy


Could still be 150 plus though.

By:
bemb29
When: 11 Mar 18 10:23

Mar 11, 2018 -- 10:17AM, Fatslogger wrote:


Mar 11, 2018 --  9:16AM, bemb29 wrote:1.4 for 100 lead seems crazyCould still be 150 plus though.


Yeah that’s what I meant. I think 1.40 is big. With how tired Aus look and how the balls been reversing. Plus the amount of time left in the match

By:
Fatslogger
When: 11 Mar 18 10:25

Mar 11, 2018 -- 10:23AM, bemb29 wrote:


Mar 11, 2018 --  9:17AM, Fatslogger wrote:Mar 11, 2018 --  9:16AM, bemb29 wrote:1.4 for 100 lead seems crazyCould still be 150 plus though.Yeah that’s what I meant. I think 1.40 is big. With how tired Aus look and how the balls been reversing. Plus the amount of time left in the match


Ah, in that case agree. The favourite is often too long in this sort of situation, partly because there’s too much belief in the draw.

By:
jucel69
When: 11 Mar 18 10:26
ABD is the goat of my generation. Slated him in recent years with his approach to test cricket and I still can't understand why he wouldn't want to shine at the pinnacle of his sport. Forget this T20 sludge this is where legends are made, not in the pleb's version of cricket
By:
jumper3
When: 11 Mar 18 10:26
Don't come here much to post but the draw has now become the value bet. Hoping SA can at least eke out a 150+ lead. The Aussies won't have enough time to build a declarable lead. This time tomorrow the draw is edging towards favourite.
By:
Fatslogger
When: 11 Mar 18 10:29

Mar 11, 2018 -- 10:26AM, jumper3 wrote:


Don't come here much to post but the draw has now become the value bet. Hoping SA can at least eke out a 150+ lead. The Aussies won't have enough time to build a declarable lead. This time tomorrow the draw is edging towards favourite.


Lol, I’m just trying to get my draw green off at 8 thinking we get a wicket to put it up or SA carry on quick scoring and it doesn’t drop much for that reason.

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