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New Zealand V South Africa 3rd Test Hamilton

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By:

johnnythebull When: 28 Mar 17 22:36

WD the shrewdies..reckon the bookies have caught a cold on this one
but of course not pneumonia as would've restricted bets esp if they were coming in in droves

By:

Cardinal Scott When: 28 Mar 17 22:36

Bookies won't let the same dog bite them twice on the same day....they won't hold the draw up when its 1.03 on here! :-(

By:

Fatslogger When: 28 Mar 17 22:36

Mar 28, 2017 -- 10:34PM, detraveller wrote:

Mar 28, 2017 -- 10:33PM, johnnythebull wrote:draw was 1.3x not THAT long ago!i topped up after laying at 1.2

Good skills. I thought it was too likely just to train down to try anything like that. I did attempt to get some 1.55s after the market took a dive to the 1.4s but failed.

By:

fatboy When: 28 Mar 17 22:37

NZ traded at 1.4 hwo are the bookies going to have got canned?

By:

pxb When: 28 Mar 17 22:38

hope you made plenty

I did, but then I don't bet jucel or slogger sized amounts.

By:

Steam When: 28 Mar 17 22:38

Same here Fatslogger..had put up 1.5..it never reached..reversed from 1.46

By:

Angela Rebecchi When: 28 Mar 17 22:39

Huge amounts matched on NZ down to 1.3, whoever knew about the rain would be in huge clover now.

By:

detraveller When: 28 Mar 17 22:40

I shudder to think i was contemplating backing NZ at 1.4 yesterday. Only 0.3mm rain was forecast at that point and now its 51mm

By:

Steam When: 28 Mar 17 22:41

Why do tests in NZ don't have something like discussions between commentators..at least an hour or so should be ok before replaying old tests..

By:

Steam When: 28 Mar 17 22:42

Thank god I was sleeping and only checked in afternoon today to see the forecast and draw at around 2.45...which is where I latched a bit and then took the bigger jump on 1.75

By:

pxb When: 28 Mar 17 22:43

dt, I bet according to the forecast, and was lucky not take a hammering and walk away from this day 4. Going all green pre-play saved me.

By:

tyco161 When: 28 Mar 17 22:45

still raining as of 10.45 comm on radio at ground said

By:

pxb When: 28 Mar 17 22:45

jucel is probably lurking, planning how to spend his cash.

By:

detraveller When: 28 Mar 17 22:46

I was strugglig till yesterday in that the best i got was break even on all results. Only the massive back at 2.0 as i came back from university today is what has doubled my bank.

Juce called it last night.

By:

detraveller When: 28 Mar 17 22:47

The couds really have swirled around and hit Hamilton again!

By:

Steam When: 28 Mar 17 22:49

ok I am not greening out now...leaving this open...

By:

PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH When: 28 Mar 17 22:51

Mar 28, 2017 -- 10:40PM, detraveller wrote:

I shudder to think i was contemplating backing NZ at 1.4 yesterday. Only 0.3mm rain was forecast at that point and now its 51mm

By:

PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH When: 28 Mar 17 22:51

have never seen a forecast so wrong

By:

detraveller When: 28 Mar 17 22:51

32 more posts and we'll be the 4th most posted on thread on cricket forum. e can do it.

By:

tyco161 When: 28 Mar 17 22:51

Mar 28, 2017 -- 10:51PM, PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH wrote:

Mar 28, 2017 -- 10:40PM, detraveller wrote:I shudder to think i was contemplating backing NZ at 1.4 yesterday. Only 0.3mm rain was forecast at that point and now its 51mm

my mantra... do not back short odds in test cricket... unless its a certainty and then double check all calcs...

By:

VardonVoo. When: 28 Mar 17 22:53

I'll add a post. But how many to be first instead of 4th?

By:

detraveller When: 28 Mar 17 22:55

Yes tyco I am slowly getting to that point where i dont back odds like that but its still a work in progress. I have showed a lot of patience on this game and prety happy. At least on two occasions i havent panicked and let my bets stand(by believing in them) :)

By:

pxb When: 28 Mar 17 22:55

I know you have been saying that for years, tyco.

I lay long odds all the time, which is the same thing. I rarely come unstuck.

I hope you made decent money.

By:

Steam When: 28 Mar 17 22:55

You really can't get so wrong with forecasts...I understand all the mini climates you mention but this is near pathetic..forecasts changing by minutes..

By:

detraveller When: 28 Mar 17 22:56

@VV 530 posts

By:

ColdTurkey When: 28 Mar 17 22:56

when the sun comes out, there'll be a few more posts.

By:

Steam When: 28 Mar 17 22:57

Which one had the max DT??

By:

DAN1974 When: 28 Mar 17 22:58

i really ought to go to bed, but i want to see 1.01

By:

Steam When: 28 Mar 17 22:58

Still raining ..1100 hrs

By:

tyco161 When: 28 Mar 17 22:58

Mar 28, 2017 -- 10:55PM, pxb wrote:

I know you have been saying that for years, tyco.I lay long odds all the time, which is the same thing. I rarely come unstuck.I hope you made decent money.

I do ok thanks, I know where you are coming from too, you are probably looking at value. I just do not have the temperament to hold on and accept and either green or red out at inappropriate times. But I did back the draw at 1.16 this morning when I saw the ground and conditions and when I heard it had started raining again..... that to me is value and I thought it would move the market to a point where I could get out. Other than that I do back short odds by laying the draw pre game for all tests.... have an automatic system going and double money (actually over double now) since 2103. But that involves psychology as well. Interesting if people have time to delve into how the mind works.

By:

pxb When: 28 Mar 17 22:58

But in the old days (before twitter and facebook) we had a new thread for each day.

By:

Steam When: 28 Mar 17 22:59

I have an early flight to catch but I ll stick around for a while..may be sleep in the flight..

By:

tyco161 When: 28 Mar 17 22:59

Mar 28, 2017 -- 10:58PM, Steam wrote:

Still raining ..1100 hrs

Are you at the ground Steam?

By:

detraveller When: 28 Mar 17 23:00

Mar 28, 2017 -- 10:58PM, pxb wrote:

But in the old days (before twitter and facebook) we had a new thread for each day.

Yes i noted that the otehr day. And you guys could still get 2000+ posts! God knows what you talked about.

By:

detraveller When: 28 Mar 17 23:01

Draw drifting again. Didn't get my 1.05 matched.

By:

Steam When: 28 Mar 17 23:01

Neah cricinfo reports

By:

DAN1974 When: 28 Mar 17 23:01

why is the draw price drifting out again, i haven't got a more money to put on

By:

Fatslogger When: 28 Mar 17 23:02

Mar 28, 2017 -- 10:40PM, detraveller wrote:

I shudder to think i was contemplating backing NZ at 1.4 yesterday. Only 0.3mm rain was forecast at that point and now its 51mm

To be fair, that looked like massive value at the time. I couldn't believe where the market was when I woke up to see 5 down and still 10 overs left.

I've just felt obliged to put another grand on at 1.1. Free money is often an illusion but this is pretty close. You'd need bright sun, wind and thirty degree heat to dry that outfield out. They've still got to get the huge puddles off the covers too, which will slop more rain on to it.

By:

pxb When: 28 Mar 17 23:03

But that involves psychology

I make the odd post on the psychology of markets on the General Betting forum. Surprising how few people even consider it. jucel is switched on to it though. Good man, jucel.

By:

peckerdunne When: 28 Mar 17 23:03

I want to sleep now but don't want to miss the 1.3...........