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New Zealand V South Africa 3rd Test Hamilton

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By:

Fatslogger When: 25 Mar 17 01:14

Mar 25, 2017 -- 1:13AM, jucel69 wrote:

Mar 25, 2017 -- 12:12AM, Fatslogger wrote:Mar 25, 2017 -- 12:10AM, jucel69 wrote:a mid sized score (about 300) is better for the draw really as it means we have four inningsArguably although a score of 200 isn't. Given that most of my money is now on results, combination of very pleased about the wickets and irate that they've not moved the price. Trick would have been to back draw on wicket each time then lay a minute later for a risk free profit.a lot of rain on the way isn't helping

Never understood the rain radar terribly well but this doesn't look massive to me. The rest of the match may be very badly affected. I don't really have a clue any more.

By:

jucel69 When: 25 Mar 17 01:14

Mar 25, 2017 -- 1:12AM, Fatslogger wrote:

Mar 25, 2017 -- 12:10AM, jucel69 wrote:a mid sized score (about 300) is better for the draw really as it means we have four inningsArguably although a score of 200 isn't. Given that most of my money is now on results, combination of very pleased about the wickets and irate that they've not moved the price. Trick would have been to back draw on wicket each time then lay a minute later for a risk free profit.

NZ aren't going to bowl the Saffers out cheaply twice

By:

detraveller When: 25 Mar 17 01:15

If SA get dismissed for a 200 odd total, its only going to help the draw backers. First, they are great at NOT losing. Second, it means we have 4 innings. Third, SA would rather not lose than win, So when they come out to bat the second time, they'll bat for the forecastand draw.

By:

jucel69 When: 25 Mar 17 01:16

Mar 25, 2017 -- 1:15AM, detraveller wrote:

If SA get dismissed for a 200 odd total, its only going to help the draw backers. First, they are great at NOT losing. Second, it means we have 4 innings. Third, SA would rather not lose than win, So when they come out to bat the second time, they'll bat for the forecastand draw.

that's my thought process too

By:

Fatslogger When: 25 Mar 17 01:17

Mar 25, 2017 -- 1:14AM, jucel69 wrote:

Mar 25, 2017 -- 12:12AM, Fatslogger wrote:Mar 25, 2017 -- 12:10AM, jucel69 wrote:a mid sized score (about 300) is better for the draw really as it means we have four inningsArguably although a score of 200 isn't. Given that most of my money is now on results, combination of very pleased about the wickets and irate that they've not moved the price. Trick would have been to back draw on wicket each time then lay a minute later for a risk free profit.NZ aren't going to bowl the Saffers out cheaply twice

Don't suppose so although nothing is impossible, especially if there's cloud to assist swing and some turn. It's not a great Kiwi attack by any stretch of the imagination but actually, it's not a great SA batting line up either. I don't think the draw price is that far wrong mind. Perhaps I should lay Kiwis although that feels like a big stand to take when they've taken three wickets already.

By:

jucel69 When: 25 Mar 17 01:19

If SA get 400 they could win by an innings against this lineup.
That would be the main concern. NZ's batting looks horrendous

By:

DAN1974 When: 25 Mar 17 01:20

There aren't going to be enough overs for a result either way imo.

By:

Fatslogger When: 25 Mar 17 01:21

Mar 25, 2017 -- 1:15AM, detraveller wrote:

If SA get dismissed for a 200 odd total, its only going to help the draw backers. First, they are great at NOT losing. Second, it means we have 4 innings. Third, SA would rather not lose than win, So when they come out to bat the second time, they'll bat for the forecastand draw.

Don't buy that reasoning at all. If the Kiwi win is in the picture so that the game can see a result even if NZ scores 350, say, then the draw must be less likely than if a decent Kiwi score killed any result stone dead. In fact, Kiwis would be more likely to bat aggressively if in with a chance of winning so could not only score faster but also lose wickets more.

By:

DAN1974 When: 25 Mar 17 01:23

theres about 3 hours of rain about to hit, monday and wednesday look like washouts and the other two days have rain forecast as well, its going to be a draw.

By:

jucel69 When: 25 Mar 17 01:24

off they go

By:

tyco161 When: 25 Mar 17 01:25

Good preventative measure this. Go off as its close to lunch already. Will the rain linger over lunch or will it clear? Time will tell.

By:

detraveller When: 25 Mar 17 01:27

I just think a big SA total reduces chances of the draw. So I dont mind seeing SA in early trouble(as does the market)

I say that because SA bowling is superior. AND NZ have collapsed before in better conditions. SA score 400 and i'll be praying NZ score 200+ which they might not

By:

detraveller When: 25 Mar 17 01:29

I'l take a nap good luckto you all

By:

peckerdunne When: 25 Mar 17 01:29

Its the Kiwis who will be playing for a draw.........

By:

DAN1974 When: 25 Mar 17 01:31

they wont get the chance to play for a draw it will be raining.

By:

detraveller When: 25 Mar 17 01:32

This is it for the day folks. Get some sleep and be fresh for Dharamsala. Ciao.

By:

jucel69 When: 25 Mar 17 01:32

Draw looks massive after seeing that two hours of play
Looks like a 4 day wicket (at least)

By:

DAN1974 When: 25 Mar 17 01:34

they might get a few overs in on Tuesday but thats about it imo

By:

peckerdunne When: 25 Mar 17 01:35

Yes Dan, i am implying that..

Another smaller band of yellow following this one....

I am now shocked the draw is above 1.5

By:

detraveller When: 25 Mar 17 01:35

Sorry I am still awake. WOndering why they went off? Was the drizzle strong? Or was it just a preventive measure? Could it be that the groundsmen aren't confident and hence got in really quickly to prevent damage?

By:

detraveller When: 25 Mar 17 01:36

Also worth noting is that we've had two drizzles today both causing delays. And this with no clouds on the radar.

By:

jucel69 When: 25 Mar 17 01:40

Been thinking and not even sure they can use the floodlights as Dunedin didn't have any. Normally if there is a ground in the series without floodlights they can't use them in any of the games

By:

Cardinal Scott When: 25 Mar 17 01:41

Mar 25, 2017 -- 1:36AM, detraveller wrote:

Also worth noting is that we've had two drizzles today both causing delays. And this with no clouds on the radar.

But Dan & Jucel predicted this latest one.

By:

DAN1974 When: 25 Mar 17 01:41

if you look at the 3 day rain maps on met service you would put your house on the draw, the trouble is met service dont link their forecast with their forecast when infact their rain forecast has been more accurate .

By:

jucel69 When: 25 Mar 17 01:42

Still about 20/30 mins til it hits

By:

DAN1974 When: 25 Mar 17 01:42

if you look at the 3 day rain maps on met service you would put your house on the draw, the trouble is met service dont link their forecast with their rain forecast when infact their rain forecast has been more accurate .

By:

peckerdunne When: 25 Mar 17 01:44

A lot of forecast(s) for one sentence Dan..............

By:

DAN1974 When: 25 Mar 17 01:44

two bottles of wine

By:

peckerdunne When: 25 Mar 17 01:44

By:

DAN1974 When: 25 Mar 17 01:45

i know what i am trying to say, its you feckers who have got the problem !

By:

peckerdunne When: 25 Mar 17 01:46

Yes Juce, 30/40 minutes id say for real rain....

Did not wish to supersede your earlier prediction...

By:

peckerdunne When: 25 Mar 17 01:48

Thats what the wife used to say to me Dan when she was on it, a lot more colourful mind.

By:

DAN1974 When: 25 Mar 17 01:48

indeed

By:

peckerdunne When: 25 Mar 17 01:50

So 1.3 or less in an hour.........

By:

peckerdunne When: 25 Mar 17 01:50

By:

DAN1974 When: 25 Mar 17 01:52

looking at the radar, it looks like it will hit in about half an hour and last for about 3 hours

By:

peckerdunne When: 25 Mar 17 01:55

yes its day over...more behind..

What price i wonder...tho..

By:

DAN1974 When: 25 Mar 17 01:56

1.25-1.3

By:

peckerdunne When: 25 Mar 17 01:56

concur

By:

peckerdunne When: 25 Mar 17 01:57

right, the tablets coming out now...

Just made the bed for the first time in 3 days..........

appalling stuff........but hey.........