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New Zealand V South Africa 3rd Test Hamilton
New Zealand V South Africa 3rd Test Hamilton
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Replies: 2,994
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I reckon all the camera and tv crew have betfair loaded up
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Are they allowed??
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i hope you took my hint.TTTOM
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Im sure there are punters doing that. That is why I am thinking of going to the ground on Monday
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BLACKCAPSVerified account @BLACKCAPS 37s38 seconds ago
More Block is fully covered with light drizzle returning here in Hamilton. Waiting game |
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rain on the way from the north too. 1.2 incoming!!
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Match today in the emirates cup, one of the PTV production crew announced on twitter the match was abandoned 5 mins before the official announcement
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Tyco I think if you wanted to be at the ground making money on rain plays then today would have been the day to do it
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I think I'm trying to say, and not sure, that the draw shortening now has pushed out the other two results to a noticeable change and that's where the money is to be made, not farting about with a 0.2 change on the draw. Then again it's been a long day.
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I know tomtimtum... my schedule does not allow for that... but today would be the day, but I think Monday can be just as profitable.
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Charlie if one price drifts 20% then another price (or prices) have to shorten 20% to make the book
In this instance, if SA drifted 20% and NZ drifted 10% then draw must have shortened 30% Do the math and you'll see that you make more on that 30% shortening than the 20% drift |
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Charlie.. a move from 1.60 to 1.50 is the same roughly as a move from 5.00 to 6.20
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If the book was 2 way, the moves would balance each other out.
The fact we have NZ here (who are drifting too) means its more profitable to be backing the draw in this instance |
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Put that whisky bottle down Charlie and your thinking cap on!
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I can confirm after watching this market intensly for the last 5 days that everytime the draw has moved the other two results have moved at exactly the same time
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covers coming off the bowlers run ups just now..
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block is still covered.
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Returns would almost be the same..just more riskier..with current forecast always risky to be on the wrong side of draw...
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Yes Tom. But if you start with two teams at evens one goes to 1/2 and the other to 2/1 then obviously the first has gone down half-a-point and the other up a full-point.
Not trying to be obtuse but it's the way I look at betting. I understand that 1.6 to 1.5 is the same as 5 to 6.2 but £100 on each isn't. |
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come on, lets get 1000 posts before the start of play
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Whats that in percentage terms...........
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Agreed Chaz..point is you don't risk the same amount...unless you really risk the same amounts your maths works and so does your betting,...at high odds though you would want to put 100 pounds but u really wouldn't..so while this is a good argument..implementing it in practical terms a little difficult..Saying that if you are doing it...good on you...Point still remains the same...what is the safer assured bet...and if there is one..why not take it..
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Charlie do you remember what price the draw was when you laid SAF at 2.5?
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No Tom. Still thinking about Steam's post.
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I remember 2.12 I was backing the draw then...lol
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covers coming off rain has ceased https://twitter.com/BLACKCAPS?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
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BLACKCAPSVerified account @BLACKCAPS 4m4 minutes ago
Rain has ceased at Seddon Park. Covers coming off. #NZvSA ^WN |
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the outfield looks wet
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Delayed start here in Hamilton. Umpires will have a look at 10:45. Rain has stopped and covers are off #NZvSA ^WN
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draw keeps shortening even with the covers off
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Charles to clarify btw, i was reading back and when i said funny i meant witty...ok..
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i will be surprised if we get 150 overs in this match
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Very erratic market and difficult to predict right now!...its the forecast for tomorrow onwards that is crucial!
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have the toss so that I can lay the batting team lol..
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Steam, trying to answer your post honestly which is proving difficult because half the time I ain't got a clue what I'm doing or at least can't quantify it. In the past I've had trouble with tests because of the four (including weather) variables to be taken in to account (five really as sleep plays a big part). At this time of day for me it's too hard a question to answer I'll try tomorrow but then again nobody will be interested so may not.
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Chaz...take it easy...whatever works well for you :) not debating that ...I have a early morning tomorrow ..its India Australia that I am more interested in..
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oh my, its non stop cricket
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Are you pulling an all nighter Charlie??
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No Tom I don't do that.
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