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Cricket
New Zealand V South Africa 3rd Test Hamilton
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Coral woken up..withdrawn the market..maybe made a rick and overlayed the draw to all the avaricious shrewdies on here
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I believe SA can bat one session out..we can safely think that first session is gone..so now its about one more session washout
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The top edge of that LOW has been sitting just south of Whangarei for hours on end now. Don't see it moving south of Hamilton anytime soon
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People complaining about the forecast should consider that it's a bit like a really complex DRS - think of those marginal calls - the "50% of ball width" represents the uncertainty that the umpires call is correct but when it's a close call the graphic doesn't really "confirm" that the ball was hitting or missing, just that the computation error is more/less than 50% in favour of one outcome over the other, so you go with the one with the slightly higher probability of being correct - the more uncertainty there is the closer it is to the middle of the "ball" graphic (which would be better illustrated as as a cone of probable ball-paths instead).
The percentages are often given in forecasts but what they don't do is say "It's only 20% likely to rain, but if it DOES rain at all there's a 60% chance of it being torrential for twenty minutes or a 40% chance of it raining heavily for an hour or more". |
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Not complaining at all VV. Just putting it out there that the Met may be tampering with the forecasts, or least delaying the updates until after they've placed their bets. Like Tyco said, LOW pressure systems are difficult to predict, they are in Australia too, but I don't think they are getting the forecasts too far wrong, they are just witholding info until they've made their dollars.
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I dont trust SA to bat out a session. I am doing the rain dance!
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We are not talking about the uncertainty in the forecast. Nor is my main point to prove that they are crooks(though im guilty of joking about it a lot). All I am saying is, the two events, namely the rain that showed up on the radar abnd then disappeared and the NZ lays last night, were strange occurances. Both were mentioned on this forum when they occurred. And we wondered what was happening. That's all.
In fact, the met guy said this himself. "We know its gonna rain and rain a lot. We just don't know where exactly and when exactly" |
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Nearly out of the blue on the radar... interesting... ok off to physio.. (who would schedule an appt at 9.20am on the last day of a test duh)
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It's about from now till 1400 that there should be very light drizzle..
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Low pressure systems do no just appear, they build up over days and easy to track, like this came from know where
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who cares we have all won in the end anyway
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think we might see a session of cricket v
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@PTTT The met guys do say themselves that their text forecast is way more reliable. And that did predict rain.
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Can we get a 1.35+ on the draw please?
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draw was so free in this match
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NZ would've won aswell if they took my advice yesterday and not waste 25 overs
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oh well, im quids in, ty kane Williamson!
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Cloud thing getting smaller
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the draw was a even money shot 1pm today
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how much play will they get in today
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Yeah I hammered it at 2.0
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First session can safely be ruled out. 6mm rain forecast in last session. All they've got is the middle session imo and that only if the drizzles stop, which they probably wont.
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which is why im ruling out the first session.
As ive said before, the deciding factor is the rain that falls during playing hours. Because that is what is needed to cause further delays(and is forecast) |
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I think from now on i will ask GRANT all i need to know about red ball cricket
and ask him sweet Feck all about white ball cricket.......... |
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dt, my analysis is pretty much identical.
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the draw went out to 4.2 last night. I got 2,76 average! Only small amount to be fair but it feels big!
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http://i.stuff.co.nz/sport/cricket/90956978/Rain-to-deny-Black-Caps-a-cricket-test-win-over-South-Africa-in-Hamilton
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appears to be easing somewhat
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New YR update shows somewhat less rain for the afternoon then before.
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water on the outfield
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Looks very damp the outfield as detraveller suggests
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