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New Zealand V South Africa 3rd Test Hamilton

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By:

DAN1974 When: 27 Mar 17 09:59

I just don't trust those forecasts on met check. Yesterday they were predicting rain all day and then it suddenly changed to no rain. The radar is the only thing I trust so i will be keeping an eye on that.

By:

jucel69 When: 27 Mar 17 10:01

Mar 27, 2017 -- 3:59AM, DAN1974 wrote:

I just don't trust those forecasts on met check. Yesterday they were predicting rain all day and then it suddenly changed to no rain. The radar is the only thing I trust so i will be keeping an eye on that.

met office muppets creaming it in

By:

DAN1974 When: 27 Mar 17 10:09

There's been so much money traded backwards and forwards in this match based on forecasts that have been in the most part wrong.

By:

tyco161 When: 27 Mar 17 10:37

Even the radar got it wrong today, well sort of. Looked like a band was coming, it did, but it managed to just shave the ground, it was raining on one side of the field and not the other (almost literally) but not enough to go off...

By:

tyco161 When: 27 Mar 17 10:38

I see they had 5mm of rain between 8 and 10pm tonight but should be ok in the morning on that amount...

By:

jucel69 When: 27 Mar 17 10:45

Mar 27, 2017 -- 4:38AM, tyco161 wrote:

I see they had 5mm of rain between 8 and 10pm tonight but should be ok in the morning on that amount...

Nothing fell in Hamilton, I had the radar on & it was clear. Another load of old bollox!

By:

Steam When: 27 Mar 17 10:55

South Africa were pathetic today, cost me money on run lines

By:

slip5 When: 27 Mar 17 11:11

juce have you done your bollocks here it looked a nailed on draw

By:

jucel69 When: 27 Mar 17 11:14

Mar 26, 2017 -- 9:05PM, jucel69 wrote:

Mar 27, 2017 -- 3:04AM, tyco161 wrote:maybe the Big man will come to haunt you againNot me, I'm 6k green on all results. Playing safe now as it's the last test of the season. Want to go out on a positive note

down to about 5.5k now as I've had a couple of bad trades

By:

Steam When: 27 Mar 17 11:33

What is your bet juce ??

By:

PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH When: 27 Mar 17 12:14

Mar 27, 2017 -- 4:09AM, DAN1974 wrote:

There's been so much money traded backwards and forwards in this match based on forecasts that have been in the most part wrong.

yes, most people are sitting on small green books

By:

PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH When: 27 Mar 17 12:28

currently looking like nearly two full days left

By:

jucel69 When: 27 Mar 17 12:31

Mar 27, 2017 -- 5:33AM, Steam wrote:

What is your bet juce ??

Had about a thousand trades!! Looking to lay the draw now though at 1.52/1.53

By:

PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH When: 27 Mar 17 12:32

nz bat 1st session get 150 lead game on, saffers will need to bat at least 3 sessions !!!

By:

jucel69 When: 27 Mar 17 12:33

Mar 27, 2017 -- 6:32AM, PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH wrote:

nz bat 1st session get 150 lead game on, saffers will need to bat at least 3 sessions !!!

yeh 1.53 feels short with almost 200 overs left

By:

PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH When: 27 Mar 17 12:34

Mar 27, 2017 -- 6:31AM, jucel69 wrote:

Mar 27, 2017 -- 11:33AM, Steam wrote:What is your bet juce ??Had about a thousand trades!! Looking to lay the draw now though at 1.52/1.53

a better lay now, than at 1.25 yesterday, given the current forecast !!

By:

PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH When: 27 Mar 17 12:35

25s saffers a little overpriced

By:

Fatslogger When: 27 Mar 17 12:48

I'm well twitched about this game now but don't really feel like taking my nasty tasting medicine £700 or so of medicine by backing Kiwi at a little over 3s to go with the equally nasty tasting and unavoidable run lines medicine. Object lesson in chainsawing a very good start this. Course even a half session of rain and the Kiwis batting like normal rather than how they actually did and it would have been just fine.

By:

Steam When: 27 Mar 17 15:42

Still 2 days of game available ???

By:

detraveller When: 27 Mar 17 18:09

I think I will have to settle for a moderate loss here from a decent all green position. Or I could cash out at nothing. Wasn't a great idea under-estimating Kane's abilities.

It looks obvious we'll have 196 more overs in. Draw shouldn't be 1.5 imo.

By:

Fatslogger When: 27 Mar 17 18:18

Mar 27, 2017 -- 12:09PM, detraveller wrote:

I think I will have to settle for a moderate loss here from a decent all green position. Or I could cash out at nothing. Wasn't a great idea under-estimating Kane's abilities. It looks obvious we'll have 196 more overs in. Draw shouldn't be 1.5 imo.

Looked obvious we'd lose loads of time to rain previously though. I still think we could see some showers disrupting the last day's play, although unlike rain on day 4, that's only going to have an effect on the market if there's still any doubt about the result.

I'm going to be stubborn and sit on my nearly £6k NZ red. I don't rate the Kiwi attack and taking 10 wickets inside a day's play, even if we get all the overs, ought to be beyond them at least two times out of three, I think. Course if Kiwis get a decent lead by hitting out effectively, could be they'll have more than a day of bowling time and still be able to win.

By:

Foinavon When: 27 Mar 17 18:23

So far I haven't had a single bet on the match since it started. I'm not going to weaken now. Who says Test cricket is boring?

By:

pxb When: 27 Mar 17 18:24

Official forecast for today,

Cloudy periods, showers developing afternoon. Light winds.

By:

DAN1974 When: 27 Mar 17 18:32

Mar 27, 2017 -- 12:24PM, pxb wrote:

Official forecast for today,Cloudy periods, showers developing afternoon. Light winds.

thats from met service and just a bit further down the page it says " Total rainfall forecast for today: 0 mm"

By:

pxb When: 27 Mar 17 18:36

Tyco posted this,

While computer generated forecasts are useful, the model that produced the 2-hourly graph today is just one of a number of resources used by our meteorologists and can differ from their analysis, presented in the text forecast at the top of the page. In the event that these differ, please use the text forecasts produced by MetService meteorologists.

By:

PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH When: 27 Mar 17 19:15

Mar 27, 2017 -- 12:36PM, pxb wrote:

Tyco posted this,While computer generated forecasts are useful, the model that produced the 2-hourly graph today is just one of a number of resources used by our meteorologists and can differ from their analysis, presented in the text forecast at the top of the page. In the event that these differ, please use the text forecasts produced by MetService meteorologists.

quite incredible really as most of NZ is wholly reliant upon up to date forecasts for agriculture

By:

Cardinal Scott When: 27 Mar 17 19:16

That Draw price is coming back down isn't it? ...coming way back down is my guesstimate. Kiwi pitches as I think PXB posts often don't deteriorate like other places.

By:

PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH When: 27 Mar 17 19:19

Mar 27, 2017 -- 1:16PM, Cardinal Scott wrote:

That Draw price is coming back down isn't it? ...coming way back down is my guesstimate.

By:

DAN1974 When: 27 Mar 17 19:19

Mar 27, 2017 -- 1:16PM, Cardinal Scott wrote:

That Draw price is coming back down isn't it? ...coming way back down is my guesstimate.

By:

DAN1974 When: 27 Mar 17 19:19

wtf!

By:

DAN1974 When: 27 Mar 17 19:20

i dont think it will come in much until SA bat, unless NZ get skittled

By:

detraveller When: 27 Mar 17 19:21

It comes down only with rain or quick NZ wickets.

By:

DAN1974 When: 27 Mar 17 19:22

if the radar looks clear its a pretty safe lay

By:

pxb When: 27 Mar 17 19:22

Kiwi pitches as I think PXB posts often don't deteriorate like other places.

An expensive lesson I learned over the years.

By:

PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH When: 27 Mar 17 19:23

kiwis should look to go at 4 an over in first session and get that 150 lead if possible then stick them in to bat after lunch, be aggressive as need to win !!

By:

pxb When: 27 Mar 17 19:32

I'm having a speculative back of SAF. I doubt they win this. More likely to simply bat NZ out of the match. But they should shorten enough for a decent trade.

By:

detraveller When: 27 Mar 17 19:32

Mar 27, 2017 -- 1:23PM, PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH wrote:

kiwis should look to go at 4 an over in first session and get that 150 lead if possible then stick them in to bat after lunch, be aggressive as need to win !!

why the haste? They can easily play out 80 overs and get to 250+(3 an over) lead and bowl over 100 overs at SA. Aggression is not just scoring faster.

By:

Trainy When: 27 Mar 17 19:39

draw price is drifting out a bit, Bet365 still 1.44

By:

PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH When: 27 Mar 17 20:04

Mar 27, 2017 -- 1:32PM, pxb wrote:

I'm having a speculative back of SAF. I doubt they win this. More likely to simply bat NZ out of the match. But they should shorten enough for a decent trade.

had mine earlier at 25s crazy price

By:

DAN1974 When: 27 Mar 17 20:13

does anybodt know roughly how many test matches there are a year, i can't be bothered to look it up.