Mar 10, 2016 -- 11:37PM, pxb wrote:
KoD, as I noted earlier,If as expected we get spin friendly dry pitches then subcontinent teams could do rather better than some expect and conversely Aus, SAf, Eng and NZ could struggle. Not a prediction, but something to consider.-----If Banglas don't burn out from the number of matches they have played, I quite fancy them to do well.
Pak's price is mainly to due to the ongoing security problems. Have they arrived in India yet?
They could pull out at any time and who knows how Bfair treat that!
I think they have only played a few games in India in the last 20 years in any format.
Pak's batting has reached an all time low but the bowling is still strong and I expect them to roll over a side or two.
SL have really surprised me. I saw a few acorns in the batting dept in NZ but they seem to have disappeared. Also, they don't seem to have any top class spinners.
Herath is more of a test bowler, Dishan is the standard batsman who bowls a bit of filth & Senanyake like most has been neutralised by a change of action. He just rolls the ball out now & has hardly any variation.
Bangla's batting is their problem at the moment. Their two best batsmen are massively out of form, Shakib & Mushfiqur.
India are the stand out team by a distance imo. All bases covered for all pitches. 90% of the players are in form & at home they will be formidable.
Mar 11, 2016 -- 4:21AM, pxb wrote:
Jucel, how would you rate England's chances? I watched Rashid in the BBL. I think he is better than the spinners Aus are taking.
Yeh England have Rashid & Ali v Zampa & Maxwell.
My only concern with Rashid is that I think his leg spin/googlies are much more effective in Aus.
He was getting bounce and fast spin.
How quickly will he find the correct length and speed?? And even if he does that will be effective? He thrived in Aus on those wickets, we shall see how he fares in India.
IF he bowls well I think England are second favourites as the seam bowling isn't that strong in this comp. Eng, NZ, SA & Aus haven't got the firepower of yesteryear. Spin and changes of pace from the seamers will probably be the key.
The much vaunted "deep batting lineup" has got to start to fire. Stokes, Morgan, Buttler & Ali in the middle order can't keep throwing their wickets away.
England really need to top the group or they will probably face India.
I don't like Aus at 6s at all. Their bowling looks weaker than usual.
I'm surprised they haven't taken Lyon as he has become a top spin bowler. He's a decent fielder too and not the worst number 11.
All the Aus batsmen play with hard hands & they are going to need time to adjust to the slow turning conditions. They have been playing in Aus, NZ & SA recently and that could be a problem. Maybe worth backing against them in the first game.
SA like NZ have a lot of lefties who play spin poorly. Miller, Roussow, Berhardien (RH but still sh1t!) & Duminy are very iffy against spin.
Also AB is not in great nick & Steyn is coming back from injury.
NZ have no spin to talk about & Southee/Boult have been pretty poor now for quite a while. Henry & Milne look more threatening imo. Santner's bowling is real buffet stuff but they seem to favour him over Sodhi.
Mar 13, 2016 -- 7:29AM, jucel69 wrote:
Rain forecast for Dharmasala on Thursday/Friday. Could affect the Aus/NZ game
forecast is worse now: Periods of rain; additional rain can lead to flooding problems
Mar 14, 2016 -- 9:30PM, pxb wrote:
India shortening a bit earlier than I expected in the Winner market. Should see 3 by the start of their match today. I love the predictability of Indian punters.
Everyone is trying to get on the juggernaut early.
With a very dry slow pitch in Nagpur I expect India to beat NZ comfortably. NZ haven't played on a slow turner in the subcontinent since 2014.
Mar 15, 2016 -- 11:57AM, Whisperingdeath wrote:
JuceIf you have that spare 5 Large lying around I can make you a monkeyBack India to win Tournament on Sportsbook for 3.25 ( no commission )Lay India on Exchange for 3.15In my mind that is a free 10% ROCE if India win or 5% if you take the green.pxb if you are awake you can get on it too. I guess the only drawback is your capital is tied up for a couple of weeks as the money on Sportsbook is tied up.Oh and there is only 1,000 left on India at 3.15 to layIt might be worth looking at Sportsbook and Exchange price comparisons real time during games.
I'm already maxed out on India on the exchange. Avg odds about 3.3
Mar 16, 2016 -- 1:27AM, pxb wrote:
Beginner's luck Charlie, there's a long way to go yet.NZ price has halved. A decent trade.I must admit the success of the NZ spinners against India's batting was a complete surprise to me. I thought they would get whacked around. Which implies NZ batting was very good. No Indian spinner took more than 1 wicket.
Hardly anyone was out to a shot in anger either. Just poking and presenting dollies to the fielders. One of the more baffling batting displays.
Mar 16, 2016 -- 7:11AM, pxb wrote:
The 9.4 on England is looking good. Get past WI and they should be in the semis.
Just been thinking that myself.
They have just as much chance as SA/Aus
Mar 21, 2016 -- 2:36AM, pxb wrote:
New Zealand have drifted out to 6, which is a bit surprising as they have the easyist route to the semis with matches against Pak and Banglas.England also have a couple of easy matches against Ghans and Lankans, but will need WI to beat SAF, played at Nagpur and I fancy the WI spinners chances there.
No games feel easy when you are betting on them
Mar 25, 2016 -- 9:38PM, pxb wrote:
I'd expect a bunsen for the Aus India match which will heavily favour India. But I'll be interested to hear jucel's 2 cents worth.SL without Malinga have been poor and Eng should beat them handily.
Mohali has been high scoring so far so it will definitely be interesting to see what they dish up against Aus!
I personally think they could outscore Aus on a flat track but they seem to be obsessed with preparing spinning decks.
The thing is India are not batting particularly well on them!
Mar 26, 2016 -- 7:43AM, Charlie wrote:
Should the unthinkable happen and SL beat England what odds do you think SL and SA would go to? Maybe 25 and 8?
Sounds about right
Mar 3, 2016 -- 6:21AM, jucel69 wrote:
At the semi final stage, if the top 4 get through I would price as follows: This is based on Eng v India & SA v AusIndia - 2.40SA - 4.25Aus - 5.00Engl - 6.50I can't see past India to be honest. If they are playing SA/Eng at the Feroz Kotla they will probably prepare a dust bowl. Guess who wins that contest?Then the same in the final and the same result.Look at the Test tracks they have been preparing in recent times against Aus/SA. Absolute snake pits. Ravi Shastri has orchestrated this after being sick of losing 3/4-0 in Aus/Eng/SA on seaming decks.They have shied away from the boring flat tracks with sponsors in mind, to bunsens, with the M.O. to make India a fortress again.They have two perfect spinners for home conditions & now they have some swing/seam that has settled into a good groove. Nehra is swinging it, Bhumra is unorthodox & Pandya is bowling some good aggressive stuff as the 5th bowler. If any of them are take apart then there is a bit of filth from Yuvraj & Raina.SA, Eng & SA cannot beat India on turning tracks. Not sure they can beat them on any tracks tbf. India even outgunned Aus in Aus a few months ago in T20s. With the other subcontinental sides appearing weaker than usual in the spin & batting depts there is no real opposition to India on slow turners in home conditions.
Not far off, just the wrong teams!