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10 Mar 15 15:06
Date Joined: 20 May 11
| Topic/replies: 936 | Blogger: wise-punt's blog
95 percent of punters are losers. It is so because it is a highly specialized field needing skills which an ordinary punter cannot acquire. So this topic is created to assist the newbees. BF senior Traders are requested to contribute. Thanks all

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Report BJT March 10, 2015 6:10 PM GMT
Lay England.
Report peckerdunne March 10, 2015 7:44 PM GMT
Bet the runs

lay the wickets
Report pxb March 11, 2015 3:20 AM GMT
Don't start with cricket unless you have a good understanding of the game and teams.

Otherwise, never get into a position, unless you know how you plan to get out of it. Which may include taking it to the end of the match.
Report Gnarley March 11, 2015 3:23 AM GMT
Lay low - back high. (if the back high doesn't become an option... lie low).

Best advice that I can offer, and let it be known that I'm no officionado on cricket betting, is to make sure you've got the stamina to see you through to the end of the game. Oh, luck, yes luck. You'll need plenty of it! Hopefully all good.
Report BJT March 11, 2015 4:58 AM GMT

Mar 11, 2015 -- 4:23AM, Gnarley wrote:

Lay low - back high. (if the back high doesn't become an option... lie low).Best advice that I can offer, and let it be known that I'm no officionado on cricket betting, is to make sure you've got the stamina to see you through to the end of the game. Oh, luck, yes luck. You'll need plenty of it! Hopefully all good.

And the bankroll to get you to the end of the season.  Nobody wins every game, and sometimes that extends to week/month.

Report pxb March 11, 2015 5:57 AM GMT
To elaborate on my point.

There are sports you can trade without knowing anything about them. Cricket isn't one of them.

I succesfully traded Asian soccer for several years, which I know b u g g e r all about. South American soccer as well, I only stopped on the latter, when I began to suspect some games were fixed.

I still trade the odd Aus soccer game (pre-play). I always do the same low risk trade.
Report wise-punt March 11, 2015 2:29 PM GMT
thank you for your input.
what are basic skills set essential for successful trader
Report Injera March 11, 2015 5:48 PM GMT
Know your inbuilt bias.

Where do you see yourself having an edge? What are you good at predicting?

I steer clear of one day stuff apart from silly fun bets.

In Tests all 3 outcomes can trade higher or lower therefore all are an opportunity for a trade.

Call the market correctly over a short period of time during a match  and you make money. do it a few times during same match and you make more money.

Manage your money. Have financial rules. Never break your own rules.
Report DStyle March 11, 2015 9:32 PM GMT
you're asking a great deal in that question. it feels over simplistic to reduce an overall approach to a set of tips.

i will say this:

during a change of innings, the price is usually a function of the starting price and the runs scored. Considerations of how the score was achieved and how well the conditions suit or hamper the abilities of the sides chasing and bowling are very often under-accounted for.
Report pxb March 12, 2015 12:09 AM GMT
If we were all doing the same thing, none of us would be making any money.

The most important skill in my experience is trusting your own judgement and not to be swayed by others. You may, if you are good or lucky enough, find some edge few if any know about. But that is a lot harder than it used to be.
Report roy-oi March 12, 2015 12:12 AM GMT
I'll give you a big clue my friend.

DO NOT LISTEN TO ANY FREE MONEY THREADS ON HERE & as above poster says, you need to know the game inside out & beyond to have half a chance then find a niche ie t20, ODI, tests and go from there.

There's so much to take in and you won't learn it all in a few months. Patience!
Report wondersobright March 12, 2015 1:07 AM GMT
my advice would be to specialise
test, 50 overs, 20 overs, international, domestic
its all chalk and cheese

and eat, breathe and sleep it when it is on (nice sport to bet on as you have periods of the year where you can switch off from it)
Report wise-punt March 14, 2015 12:22 PM GMT
one tip which Eqbalco gave me was that always oppose the market. Its very true in the odds market but more so in asian handicap ie innings runs market.

anyone may please comment on my views. Thanks
Report Darlo Bantam March 14, 2015 10:14 PM GMT
I would give the same advice for any market - watch the markets alongside a match to see how the market reacts to different events. The thing with cricket is there are probably more different factors than any other sport, a variety of different forms of the game itself, and a variety of different markets. So there's plenty of work to do - you'll probably never stop learning.
Report Injera March 15, 2015 12:00 PM GMT
I wouldn't oppose the market for the sake of it.

Often it can be wise to follow the money because it's good money calling the game correctly.

You can soon tell which outcome the market favours and in some games it can be very stubborn and refuse to change its mind. Therefore it can be profitable to follow it over a short period.
Report butt March 15, 2015 8:07 PM GMT
hahahah   WTF
Report butt March 15, 2015 8:11 PM GMT
I have some simple words. its a give and take game. you just need to understand what happening and always keep your sides recoverable and don't believe in t20 private league its all money making. don't try to win full. just win a small difference of odds, always made both bets lay and back got some green both side and go to sleep. I have never lose.
Report butt March 15, 2015 8:13 PM GMT
and if you guys need some winning come on my thread as   WI vs NZ with BUTT.....
Report Ekbalco March 15, 2015 8:33 PM GMT
Do your research.

Develop plans for different formats.

Stick rigidly to the numbers developed above - as sure as night follows day your opinion will be more wrong than right, no matter how closely you follow the beautiful game.

Always 'Go Green' when the opportunity arises.

Keep Forum input to minimum - concentrate on the game.
Report butt March 15, 2015 8:49 PM GMT
hi Ekbalco
Report butt March 15, 2015 8:54 PM GMT
if u make betting only on one game from a long time and your total interest and intention on only one game and at the start as new punter you lose a lot and then you automatically become a researcher or got phD ( hahahaha )from last few years I only win its small but if I calculate my winning as per month income its higher then a doctor or a scientist.
Report Ekbalco March 15, 2015 9:35 PM GMT
Well done butters - you sound shrood.
Report peckerdunne March 15, 2015 11:36 PM GMT
Must disagree with alot of the above

Its proven that most people sell their winners often and too quickly(pat on the back syndrome)and then go out (ALL COCKY) and buy a loser with their winnings....

Get it....
Report pxb March 16, 2015 7:00 AM GMT
That's another principle.

Maximise profits, minimise loses.

Also called, waiting for the market to come to you.

It won't always, but then you have to be able to take loses and move on, doing what you believe works and not chasing.
Report Wildone March 18, 2015 6:52 AM GMT
Just wing it, f.. it I doLaugh
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH March 18, 2015 11:23 AM GMT
backing 4.0 South Africa for a trade after demolishing Sri lanka and only two games away from Winning W/C, Whilst India, Aus, and NZ are yet to play their respective 1/4 final matches Shocked realising when prices are wrong is always a good start for the newbiesCool
Report marychain1 March 19, 2015 7:48 AM GMT
Is this the 'gambling cliche' fred? Excellent work.
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