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pxb
19 Feb 15 04:53
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Date Joined: 07 Jun 10
| Topic/replies: 8,019 | Blogger: pxb's blog
Cyclone coming through tomorrow, with biblical amounts of rain. Forecast for Sat isn't too bad.

Last time we had a cyclone go through day before a match, in India, pitch was too waterlogged to play despite it being fine on the day.

Word to the wise; anyone with inside information on the pitch will clean up on CMM.
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Report pxb February 19, 2015 8:21 PM GMT
Forecast now is cyclone passes directly over Brisbane on Sat.

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ65002.shtml
Report BJT February 20, 2015 2:43 AM GMT
I am on the Sunshine Coast, about 80km north, and we are under water.

And that link just shows it hits Rocky about 700 km north of Brisbane and then fizzles out along the coast. 

Anything can happen between now and then, but if they are getting anything like we are just north, then they won't be able to play cricket there for weeks.
Report SecondComing February 20, 2015 11:58 AM GMT
there's no way they're playing

I live in Brisbane and some of the areas around me, you need a canoe to get to the other side ffs
Report YOMOMMA February 20, 2015 12:46 PM GMT
I backed Aus over 4.5 group wins. This match if it is abandoned has left my bet as really poor value now. They have to win all the remaining games and hope none of them are abandoned aswell. Play the match at a different venue.
Report slip5 February 20, 2015 1:01 PM GMT
had a week in advance should have moved match to another venue
Report kt22 February 20, 2015 1:13 PM GMT

Feb 20, 2015 -- 1:01PM, slip5 wrote:


had a week in advance should have moved match to another venue


Should have not gone to an innings break with 12 to score today,but thats cricket!

Report SecondComing February 20, 2015 1:51 PM GMT
Bangladesh will be thrilled if this isn't played
Report pxb February 20, 2015 8:06 PM GMT
Cyclone track map has it directly over Brisbane at 6pm.
Report pxb February 20, 2015 8:52 PM GMT
Low-lying areas including Rocklea, Bowen Hills, Albion and Woolloongabba were on localised flood watch.
Report Charkitz February 20, 2015 9:30 PM GMT
Anyone know of any bookies that offer odds on Completed Match?
Report jucel69 February 20, 2015 9:54 PM GMT
once that big band of rain clears (2 hours or so), the forecast/radar is ok. Local knowledge on the state of the outfield would be worth a golden pig!
Report jucel69 February 20, 2015 9:55 PM GMT
no bet on cm for me on this one, as i don't know the state of the outfield etc
Report BJT February 20, 2015 9:58 PM GMT
AFAIK the weather was going south along the coast.  As I said earlier, we are under water, and the rain has gotten worse, and more under water this morning.  If they were getting that, they wouldn't be playing for weeks.

Whether the ground is the best in the world, they may not even be able to get to the ground.  Brisbane known for its flooding.  Don't use this information to back anything, just an opinion, from somebody making assumptions.
Report jucel69 February 20, 2015 10:08 PM GMT
that's why i'm not betting on it! could trade purely on the rain stopping but giving it a miss today! cm currently 1.35
Report Trainy February 20, 2015 10:11 PM GMT
no chance of result 20 overs each team will have to bat for result
Report pxb February 20, 2015 10:18 PM GMT
I've bailed on this for a modest all green. I doubt there will be a match, but CMM high risk. And I prefer to book my profits and move on.
Report Turtle111 February 20, 2015 11:13 PM GMT
It's absolutely pouring rain in Brisbane.  Why is the "no" as high as 1.4?
Report Charkitz February 20, 2015 11:43 PM GMT
Laid no for 20k between 1.12 and 1.16, gunna let it ride, can't justify backing back at 1.40. Rain should have stopped by game time. That gives them about 5 hours to clean up the ground. Gabba usually drains well

If they call it off, too bad, I'll cop my whack. But no way I'm backing it back at those odds
Report Turtle111 February 21, 2015 12:09 AM GMT
The rain is getting even heavier
Report Charkitz February 21, 2015 12:31 AM GMT
Well I'm still going to let it ride but not looking great lol

http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/wrap_fwo.pl?IDQ20032.html

http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/wrap_fwo.pl?IDQ20041.html

Was hoping the worst of it would miss to Brisbanes east but looks like Gabba will be right on edge of the terrential falls

50/50 call imo. 1.40 still too short
Report Charkitz February 21, 2015 12:34 AM GMT
1.32. Too short
Report Turtle111 February 21, 2015 12:37 AM GMT
I'm a few km from the stadium and it's got heavier again past 10 mins.  I have about 5k on the "no" so far
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 1:33 AM GMT
1.7/1.8 now
Report betfair123 February 21, 2015 1:40 AM GMT
DLFDLFDLFDLFDLFDLF
Report betfair123 February 21, 2015 1:40 AM GMT
wrong thread Cry
Report greenslope February 21, 2015 2:01 AM GMT
the heaviest rain likely to end in about an hour .. state of the outfield seems the biggest question mark from here, leaning toward it being more likely than currently seems that we get a game... in the hands of groundstaff
Report BJT February 21, 2015 2:37 AM GMT
They look likely to miss the hours of drizzle that followed for us up a little north, so comes down to the outfield for mine.
Report shiraz February 21, 2015 2:40 AM GMT
Comms saying that ground staff are confident that there will be play.

Junior wondering how dry it needs to be for them to be able to put the advertising logo on.
Report nigel no idea February 21, 2015 2:51 AM GMT
weather still raining heavy here in bris bane anything over 2.5 for no result is worth it. I wish I had a lot in my account
Report pxb February 21, 2015 3:08 AM GMT
Another short priced favourite at 1.5. Can only look to lay Ban a little shorter than 18.
Report BJT February 21, 2015 3:13 AM GMT
Just put a movie on, Alaska, so no plans by the looks of getting anything going for a couple of hours.
Report pxb February 21, 2015 3:14 AM GMT
1.05
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 3:14 AM GMT
had a dip on no @ 2.6
Report nigel no idea February 21, 2015 3:22 AM GMT
still raining here in Brisbane still value in no result at 2.2
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 3:24 AM GMT
have 5 hours for play to begin and they will take it right up to the last minute, as usual!that rain is taking quite a long time to clear
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 3:28 AM GMT
right down to 1.55 now
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 3:32 AM GMT
up and down like a bride's nightie
Report nigel no idea February 21, 2015 4:09 AM GMT
in briebane game no results to much rain
Report nigel no idea February 21, 2015 4:09 AM GMT
in briebane game no results to much rain
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 4:17 AM GMT
it would be nice is they could tell people how long it's going to take to make the ground playable if/when it stops raining
Report BJT February 21, 2015 4:19 AM GMT
Bit over 4 hours left to get a 20:20 game in.
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 4:23 AM GMT
how long to make the ground playable is the question the officials should be answering!
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 4:31 AM GMT
that rain just keeps filling in too
Report BJT February 21, 2015 4:34 AM GMT
Yeah, turning around onto itself by the looks.  Raining again here too.
Report Charkitz February 21, 2015 4:34 AM GMT
I'm out. Backed no to green out. The LOW seems to have stalled just north of Brisbane which means the rain is backbuilding.

Too much of a guessing game now, but think the 1.40 on no is actually value now
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 4:36 AM GMT
agree + think it's going to take quite a while just to drain the ground
Report Turtle111 February 21, 2015 4:41 AM GMT
Nice job Charkitz, how much are you green?
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 4:44 AM GMT
looks like some heavy stuff on the way too!
Report greenslope February 21, 2015 4:51 AM GMT
nice call nigel
Report Charkitz February 21, 2015 4:53 AM GMT
Turtle... 5k yes 3k no

It's not done and dusted yet, but regardless of the outcome I'm happy with how I've traded on this market. All you can ever ask really
Report Turtle111 February 21, 2015 4:54 AM GMT
Well done.... Timed well on both ends it seems
Report Charkitz February 21, 2015 4:58 AM GMT
Sort of. No traded much higher but I didn't see it as value then

All one can do is back when they see value I guess
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 5:00 AM GMT
https://twitter.com/FOXCricketLive/status/568995965467635712/photo/1
Report pxb February 21, 2015 5:01 AM GMT
This rain clears in 30 mins.
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 5:02 AM GMT
i wouldn't like to bet on itLaugh
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 5:02 AM GMT
i thought originally it would have stopped by 10am, it keeps changing
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 5:06 AM GMT
how anyone can be betting on completed game now @ 1.25 is beyond me. They have physically got to be on the field in 3hrs30 & then complete 40 overs unabated.
Report greenslope February 21, 2015 5:15 AM GMT
that last hour was an absolute drenching..
getting surges with short breaks in between
not really value at $1.14, but not expecting any continuity in dry spells
looking to back no if it spikes to >$1.4
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 5:16 AM GMT
still loads to come too!
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 5:18 AM GMT
call this off soon, i want to go out for some afternoon scoops at the beach
Report BJT February 21, 2015 5:19 AM GMT
WTF does that even mean?
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 5:20 AM GMT
scoops = beer
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 5:20 AM GMT
english slang!
Report Gimpida February 21, 2015 5:23 AM GMT
Did anyone else just see No spike all the way to 1.4? Misclick for sure
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 5:24 AM GMT
https://twitter.com/ARamseyCricket/status/569003247911854080/photo/1
Report greenslope February 21, 2015 5:26 AM GMT
the day's you wish you were at $1.39...
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 5:26 AM GMT
i got a bit of 1.35 by luck
Report BJT February 21, 2015 5:27 AM GMT
Yeah, 3 hours left, radar fizzling out but probably still at least an hour or 2 of some sort of rain in it.
Report greenslope February 21, 2015 5:28 AM GMT
very nice.. should pay for a couple of extra scoops
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 5:29 AM GMT
the ground has got to take a few hours to get ready, 1 more hour of rain and it must be curtains
Report BJT February 21, 2015 5:30 AM GMT
Ahh scoops = beer.  Not sure how, but good idea for sure....
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 5:31 AM GMT
it's only 12.30 in the afternoon where i am so wait 1 more hour then off to a little beach bar i know.
Report BJT February 21, 2015 5:32 AM GMT
Where are you?  Thailand or something?
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 5:32 AM GMT
yeh
Report BJT February 21, 2015 5:32 AM GMT
lol.  Fair guess IMO
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 5:32 AM GMT
in a place called hua hin
Report BJT February 21, 2015 5:33 AM GMT
Was going to say, English slang, go to the beach?  Neither of that makes sense considering both the time, and the beach?  lol
Report BJT February 21, 2015 5:33 AM GMT
Best put lots of sunscreen on you pasty bastard...   LaughLaughLaugh
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 5:34 AM GMT
left england 8 years ago to live here
Report BJT February 21, 2015 5:34 AM GMT
Fair call IMO
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 5:36 AM GMT
loads of miserable old cantankerous aussies here tooLaugh
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 5:37 AM GMT
not many follow cricket though, mainly afl
Report BJT February 21, 2015 5:39 AM GMT
There is very good reason for that..... CoolCool
Report BJT February 21, 2015 5:40 AM GMT
Although AFL glory days long gone.
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 5:40 AM GMT
collingwood supporters are the worst over here, proper whinging one eyed ****
Report pxb February 21, 2015 5:45 AM GMT
I was in Hua Hin quite a few years ago. Bit of a 1 horse town as I recall. Doubtless changed since then.
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 5:47 AM GMT
loads of development have ruined the place
Report jucel69 February 21, 2015 5:50 AM GMT
right then had enough of this off for a few scoops!
Report BJT February 21, 2015 5:51 AM GMT
Scoop it up.  Have a couple of scoops for me.  Scooping myself...

How am I doing?
Report nigel no idea February 21, 2015 6:15 AM GMT
weather improving in Brisbane probably not enough for match to complete but time to green up if not already
Report BJT February 21, 2015 6:50 AM GMT
DONESKI
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